<p>作者：汉娜·佩多尼</p>
<p>经济学家和华尔街分析师表示，2 月份的劳动市场疲软与人工智能对就业的影响几乎没有重叠。</p>
<p>分析师告诉 MarketWatch，周五的疲弱就业数据与人工智能没有明显关联。</p>
<p>2 月份意外疲弱的就业报告似乎证实了投资者对人工智能将取代数千名工人的担忧。但有许多理由表明，这些担忧在目前看来是被夸大的。</p>
<p>美国劳工统计局的数据表明，2 月份非农就业人数下降了 92,000，这是自疫情以来最大的降幅之一。这一数据紧随金融科技公司 Block（XYZ）在 2 月底宣布将裁员近一半以大胆拥抱人工智能的消息。</p>
<p>而在 2 月初，Citrini Research 发布了一篇博客文章，概述了人工智能将迫使美国劳动市场发生广泛变化的情景。</p>
<p>但经济学家和分析师们都试图缓解这些担忧，表示 2 月份的失业并不与人工智能相关。</p>
<p>麻省理工学院的经济学家大卫·奥托在给 MarketWatch 的邮件中表示：“今天早上的不利就业报告与人工智能对劳动市场的影响关系不大。”</p>
<p>他说，虽然没有单一原因可以明确指出疲弱数据的来源，但他认为这更多是由于美国雇主当前面临的各种不确定性，包括波动的关税、军事冲突和变化的税收政策。</p>
<p>摩根大通资产管理公司房地产投资策略负责人托马斯·肯尼迪同意这一观点，他告诉 MarketWatch，报告与人工智能对劳动市场的影响 “几乎没有重叠”。</p>
<p>他说：“人工智能的影响主要在未来（如果真的会出现的话）。”</p>
<p>政府数据显示，2 月份导致就业人数下降的主要行业包括医疗保健、制造业、建筑和运输，而不是那些通常与人工智能干扰相关的行业。</p>
<p>肯尼迪在发布前的邮件中写道：“如果人工智能正在大规模消除技术工作，那么软件工程职位应该会崩溃，因为人工智能特别擅长编写代码。”</p>
<p>他说，虽然软件职位的空缺数量较疫情前水平有所下降，但过去六个月实际的工作数量大幅增加。</p>
<p>另外，人工智能公司 Anthropic 的经济学家在周四发布的一项研究中表示，目前 “有限的证据表明人工智能对就业产生了影响。”</p>
<p>经济学家表示，最容易受到人工智能干扰的群体可能是 “年长、女性、受教育程度较高和薪资较高” 的工人，并指出受影响的职业在长期内可能会看到就业增长放缓。</p>
<p>阅读更多：股市反映了对白领工作人工智能末日的担忧</p>
<p>-汉娜·佩多尼</p>
<p>本内容由 MarketWatch 创作，MarketWatch 由道琼斯公司运营。MarketWatch 与道琼斯新闻通讯和《华尔街日报》独立出版。</p>
<p>（完）道琼斯新闻通讯</p>
<p>03-06-26 1452ET</p>

<p>经济学家和分析师们断言，二月份疲弱的就业数据（非农就业人数减少 92,000）与人工智能（AI）无关。包括麻省理工学院的 David Autor 和摩根大通的 Thomas Kennedy 在内的专家强调，失业的原因是经济中的更广泛不确定性，而不是 AI 的影响。他们指出，受到影响的行业，如医疗保健和制造业，通常与 AI 的颠覆无关。AI 公司 Anthropic 的一项研究也发现，迄今为止，AI 对就业的影响证据有限</p>

<p>By Hannah Pedone</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作者：汉娜·佩多尼</p>
</div><p>Economists and Wall Street analysts say there is very little overlap between February's labor-market weakness and AI's impact on jobs</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>经济学家和华尔街分析师表示，2 月份的劳动市场疲软与人工智能对就业的影响几乎没有重叠。</p>
</div><p>Analysts told MarketWatch that Friday's weak jobs data isn't clearly linked to artificial intelligence.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>分析师告诉 MarketWatch，周五的疲弱就业数据与人工智能没有明显关联。</p>
</div><p>The surprisingly weak jobs report for February seemed to confirm investor fears that artificial intelligence will replace thousands of workers. But there are a number of reasons to suggest those fears are overblown, at least for now.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>2 月份意外疲弱的就业报告似乎证实了投资者对人工智能将取代数千名工人的担忧。但有许多理由表明，这些担忧在目前看来是被夸大的。</p>
</div><p>Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that nonfarm payrolls fell by 92,000 in February, one of the largest drops since the pandemic. The data follows an announcement in late February from financial technology company Block (XYZ) that it would lay off nearly half its staff in a bold embrace of AI.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国劳工统计局的数据表明，2 月份非农就业人数下降了 92,000，这是自疫情以来最大的降幅之一。这一数据紧随金融科技公司 Block（XYZ）在 2 月底宣布将裁员近一半以大胆拥抱人工智能的消息。</p>
</div><p>And earlier in February, Citrini Research published a blog post outlining a scenario in which AI would force widespread shifts in U.S. labor markets.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>而在 2 月初，Citrini Research 发布了一篇博客文章，概述了人工智能将迫使美国劳动市场发生广泛变化的情景。</p>
</div><p>But economists and analysts alike looked to assuage those fears, saying the loss of jobs in February is not related to AI.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但经济学家和分析师们都试图缓解这些担忧，表示 2 月份的失业并不与人工智能相关。</p>
</div><p>&#34;This morning's adverse jobs report has little to do with AI's labor market impacts,&#34; David Autor, an economist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, said in an email to MarketWatch.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>麻省理工学院的经济学家大卫·奥托在给 MarketWatch 的邮件中表示：“今天早上的不利就业报告与人工智能对劳动市场的影响关系不大。”</p>
</div><p>He said while there's no single cause to pinpoint for the weak data, he believed it was more a function of all the uncertainty that U.S. employers are currently facing, including those related to fluctuating tariffs, military conflicts and whipsawing tax policy.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他说，虽然没有单一原因可以明确指出疲弱数据的来源，但他认为这更多是由于美国雇主当前面临的各种不确定性，包括波动的关税、军事冲突和变化的税收政策。</p>
</div><p>Thomas Kennedy, head of real-estate investment strategy at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, agreed, telling MarketWatch that there &#34;isn't much overlap&#34; between the jobs report and AI's impact on the labor market.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>摩根大通资产管理公司房地产投资策略负责人托马斯·肯尼迪同意这一观点，他告诉 MarketWatch，报告与人工智能对劳动市场的影响 “几乎没有重叠”。</p>
</div><p>&#34;The AI impact is largely in the future (if it comes at all),&#34; he said.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他说：“人工智能的影响主要在未来（如果真的会出现的话）。”</p>
</div><p>The government data showed the that sectors contributing most to the payroll decline in February included healthcare, manufacturing, construction and transport - and not those typically associated with facing AI disruption.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>政府数据显示，2 月份导致就业人数下降的主要行业包括医疗保健、制造业、建筑和运输，而不是那些通常与人工智能干扰相关的行业。</p>
</div><p>&#34;If AI is eliminating tech jobs en masse, software engineering jobs should be crashing as AI is particularly good at writing code,&#34; Kennedy wrote in an email prior to the release.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>肯尼迪在发布前的邮件中写道：“如果人工智能正在大规模消除技术工作，那么软件工程职位应该会崩溃，因为人工智能特别擅长编写代码。”</p>
</div><p>He said that while software job openings are down from prepandemic levels, the actual number of jobs has increased substantially in the last six months.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他说，虽然软件职位的空缺数量较疫情前水平有所下降，但过去六个月实际的工作数量大幅增加。</p>
</div><p>Separately, a study by economists at AI company Anthropic released on Thursday said that there is &#34;limited evidence that AI has affected employment to date.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另外，人工智能公司 Anthropic 的经济学家在周四发布的一项研究中表示，目前 “有限的证据表明人工智能对就业产生了影响。”</p>
</div><p>The economists said the groups most exposed to AI disruption are likely to be &#34;older, female, more educated, and higher-paid&#34; workers and noted that exposed professions could see slowing employment growth in the long term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>经济学家表示，最容易受到人工智能干扰的群体可能是 “年长、女性、受教育程度较高和薪资较高” 的工人，并指出受影响的职业在长期内可能会看到就业增长放缓。</p>
</div><p>Read more: The stock market is reflecting fears of an AI apocalypse for white-collar jobs</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>阅读更多：股市反映了对白领工作人工智能末日的担忧</p>
</div><p>-Hannah Pedone</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>-汉娜·佩多尼</p>
</div><p>This content was created by MarketWatch, which is operated by Dow Jones &amp; Co. MarketWatch is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本内容由 MarketWatch 创作，MarketWatch 由道琼斯公司运营。MarketWatch 与道琼斯新闻通讯和《华尔街日报》独立出版。</p>
</div><p>(END) Dow Jones Newswires</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>（完）道琼斯新闻通讯</p>
</div><p>03-06-26 1452ET</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>03-06-26 1452ET</p>
</div>

为什么不应该将就业数据疲软归咎于人工智能