<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/hAPHflbLsN_hREuEy.yxIQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/145d8fdc796cd602ba1f826b22e008ae?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/hAPHflbLsN_hREuEy.yxIQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/145d8fdc796cd602ba1f826b22e008ae"/></p>
<p>副总统 JD·范斯和国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥于 3 月 3 日在白宫参加唐纳德·特朗普总统与德国总理梅尔茨的会议。 - 凯·尼特费尔德/图片联盟/DPA/AP</p>
<p>当唐纳德·特朗普总统首次提出与伊朗开战的可能性时，他的副手提出了一些最严肃的顾虑。</p>
<p>作为一名前海军陆战队员，因批评对外战争而崭露头角的副总统 JD·范斯劝告不要冒险发起另一场不可预测的中东冲突。</p>
<p>但随着特朗普仍然倾向于采取军事行动，范斯改变了立场。他主张特朗普迅速而果断地发动攻击，认为这将有助于减少美国伤亡并防止伊朗先发制人。</p>
<p>两位熟悉事件的人士表示，副总统的转变反映了特朗普最亲密的助手们如何看待一场最初没有人认为是必要的战争——但最终他们都支持了。</p>
<p>当特朗普考虑冲突时，许多最响亮的支持战争的声音来自白宫外的盟友，而不是他内圈的人，六位助手、顾问和其他熟悉此事的人士表示。这些更为直言不讳的参与者最终淹没了对谨慎的低调呼声。</p>
<p>除了范斯，联合参谋长联席会议主席丹·凯恩将军也阐述了对伊朗发动攻击的潜在负面后果。国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥在处理一月份对委内瑞拉袭击的后果时，起初只提供了冷淡的支持。而幕僚长苏茜·怀尔斯在最近几个月更专注于政治事务，策划一场关注国内优先事项的中期选举活动，她担心这些优先事项被特朗普的外交政策所掩盖。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/AMW2B_80neplI9K9OJhSdA--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/32d93664bf31cc3296f8ba395528761f?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/AMW2B_80neplI9K9OJhSdA--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/32d93664bf31cc3296f8ba395528761f"/></p>
<p>人们在 2 月 28 日德黑兰发生爆炸后观看烟雾升起的天际线。 - 美联社</p>
<p>尽管有顾虑，范斯和其他高级官员在意识到战争不可避免后几乎没有抵抗，花费时间在 2 月 28 日的袭击前全力以赴执行特朗普的意愿，而不是试图改变这些意愿。</p>
<p>“这不是一个 ‘竞争对手的团队’ 的白宫；总统并没有让不同的政策思想在公开辩论中互相撕扯，” 美国保守派执行董事库尔特·米尔斯说，他对对外干预持深度怀疑态度。“如果总统不愿意或无法说不，我们就要开战。”</p>
<p>这些高级助手现在正在努力制定一项长期战略，以应对没有明确结束目标但对特朗普的总统任期和一些人的未来政治抱负充满风险的战争。</p>
<p>范斯对战争的支持让他多年来培养的共和党反干预派感到不安，实际上他将 2028 年的前途押在能够在中东迅速获胜、美国伤亡较少且没有持久后果的赌注上。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/_dSWLUtZdyBdVwry3ud2HQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/ab3f3542b0426b913baa61278ab16b76?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/_dSWLUtZdyBdVwry3ud2HQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/ab3f3542b0426b913baa61278ab16b76"/></p>
<p>副总统 JD·范斯在 3 月 6 日走向白宫西翼时打电话。 - 亚历克斯·布兰登/AP</p>
<p>对于鲁比奥来说，他被广泛视为范斯在 2028 年提名中的主要竞争对手，长期冲突威胁到他在海外监督一系列成功行动中积累的良好声誉。在战争开始几天，他就因暗示以色列引导美国对伊朗发动攻击而遭到迅速反击。他在特朗普公开反对后第二天收回了这些评论。</p>
<p>“这正是这一决定特别脆弱的性质，” 一位前特朗普政府官员说。“这可能会困扰那些有抱负并希望看到超越这一特定政府的人。”</p>
<p>总统的团队正在应对多个方面的紧迫挑战，即使特朗普最近几天一直在宣传这次行动是一次响亮的军事胜利。</p>
<p>在国务院，鲁比奥正在监督一项迟来的努力，以撤离数千名被困在中东并面临威胁的美国人。在由皮特·赫格塞斯领导的五角大楼内部，人们对国家的武器库存和战争的无尽时间表感到焦虑。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/mfxMzbp_9AIHVGNjsMqA.A--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/48860c4de58c0f2d0214778fbefdceca?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/mfxMzbp_9AIHVGNjsMqA.A--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/48860c4de58c0f2d0214778fbefdceca"/></p>
<p>国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥在 3 月 2 日于美国国会与记者交谈。 - 奇普·索莫德维拉/盖蒂图片</p>
<p>在距离中期选举还有八个月的情况下，范斯和怀尔斯正在努力控制国内的后果，试图安抚因特朗普对战争的热情而感到担忧的 MAGA 盟友，并向更广泛的公众推销其目标，同时寻找新的方法来限制对美国经济的影响——包括迅速上升的油价。</p>
<p>“唐纳德·特朗普绝对不会允许这个国家陷入没有明确结束和目标的多年冲突，” 范斯上周在福克斯新闻上坚持说，尽管他承认 “我们可能会持续一段时间。我们可能会持续更久。”</p>
<p>白宫发言人泰勒·罗杰斯在一份声明中表示，特朗普的国家安全团队 “每天都在共同努力，以确保 ‘史诗般的愤怒行动’ 的全面成功。”</p>
<p>然而，在战斗进行一周后，战争的最终走向仍然没有明确的迹象——以及如何确保干净的退出。</p>
<p>特朗普的高级顾问们一致希望战争相对短暂，希望持续几周而不是几个月，知情人士表示。自发起初步打击以来，他们强调他们的目标不包括政权更迭，担心设定一个不一定在美国控制范围内的胜利标准。</p>
<p>尽管特朗普敦促伊朗人民在当前政权被摧毁后接管政府，但对这一过程的结果以及新领导层是否会对美国更友好几乎没有信心。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/WEKZYGE80LCUlaEZOTyubg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/e49ebbbe53f90d118e690d775de606fd?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/WEKZYGE80LCUlaEZOTyubg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/e49ebbbe53f90d118e690d775de606fd"/></p>
<p>美国海军的托马斯·哈德纳号在 3 月 1 日向伊朗发射了一枚战斧陆基攻击导弹。- 美国海军/路透社</p>
<p>范斯、鲁比奥和其他高级官员则试图建立一套更可管理的军事目标，旨在摧毁伊朗的即时武器能力，并有效消除其发展核武器的任何进展。</p>
<p>然而，确切需要多长时间仍不确定，因为军方正在扩大其在全国范围内的目标。考虑到美国可能在管理随之而来的领导真空中发挥某种作用，这一过程可能会进一步延续——特朗普曾表示他希望对下一个政权有发言权。</p>
<p>“在接下来的三周左右，他们将会打击大量目标，” 一位特朗普政府官员表示。“然后将是几个月的时间，谁在建立控制，如何进行？谁在指挥部队，他们如何合作？”</p>
<p>然而，在这一周内，特朗普的高级顾问们面临着更紧迫的困境，离家更近。由于伊朗在中东的持续报复，霍尔木兹海峡——世界上最重要的水道之一——的石油运输已停滞不前，导致价格上涨，并促使财政部、能源部和内政部迅速寻找新的方法来缓解冲击。</p>
<p>飙升的油价已经传导到美国的汽油价格，推动加油站的成本达到两年多来的最高全国平均水平——并抹去了特朗普在中期选举中将其作为美国人负担能力关注的核心指标所取得的进展。</p>
<p>白宫发言人罗杰斯表示，特朗普及其能源团队 “制定了强有力的计划以保持油价稳定”，并正在审查所有可信的选项。到周五，特朗普的高级官员们已经推出了一些初步行动，包括计划开始让政府为愿意穿越与伊朗接壤的霍尔木兹海峡的油轮提供保险。</p>
<p>然而，尽管努力缓解行业的担忧，油价仍继续上涨，显示出市场对特朗普团队能否掌控接下来可能发生的事情的信心微薄。</p>
<p>“他们完全专注于此，” 前特朗普能源高级官员理查德·戈德堡谈到政府内部的推动时表示。但由于官员们试图应对战争带来的不可预测的连锁反应，“你正处于某种未知领域。”</p>
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油气服务 ETF - Market Vectors

能源业 ETF - SPDR

美国 WTI 原油 ETF

油气开采 ETF - SPDR

2 倍做多彭博原油 ETF - ProShares

美国油气勘探与生产 ETF - iShares

德银原油基金 - PowerShares

<p>副总统 JD Vance 和国务卿 Marco Rubio 最初对对伊朗采取军事行动持谨慎态度，但现在已转变立场，支持特朗普总统的冲突决策。尽管早期有保留意见，他们现在主张进行果断攻击，以减少美国的伤亡。这一变化反映了特朗普内阁中更广泛的趋势，支持战争的情绪压倒了对谨慎的呼声。随着政府在战争的复杂性中前行，人们对潜在的政治后果和对美国经济的影响，尤其是油价上涨的担忧日益加剧</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/hAPHflbLsN_hREuEy.yxIQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/145d8fdc796cd602ba1f826b22e008ae" alt="" original-src="https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/hAPHflbLsN_hREuEy.yxIQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/145d8fdc796cd602ba1f826b22e008ae"/></p>
<p>Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio take part in President Donald Trump's meeting with German Chancellor Merz at the White House on March 3. - Kay Nietfeld/Picture Alliance/DPA/AP</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>副总统 JD·范斯和国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥于 3 月 3 日在白宫参加唐纳德·特朗普总统与德国总理梅尔茨的会议。 - 凯·尼特费尔德/图片联盟/DPA/AP</p>
</div><p>When President Donald Trump first raised the prospect of war with Iran, some of the most serious reservations came from his second in command.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>当唐纳德·特朗普总统首次提出与伊朗开战的可能性时，他的副手提出了一些最严肃的顾虑。</p>
</div><p>A former Marine who rose to political prominence as a critic of foreign wars, Vice President JD Vance counseled against the perils of launching another unpredictable conflict in the Middle East.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作为一名前海军陆战队员，因批评对外战争而崭露头角的副总统 JD·范斯劝告不要冒险发起另一场不可预测的中东冲突。</p>
</div><p>But as it became apparent that Trump still favored military action, Vance shifted his stance. He advocated for Trump to attack quickly and decisively, arguing it would be necessary to minimize American casualties and prevent Iran from striking first.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但随着特朗普仍然倾向于采取军事行动，范斯改变了立场。他主张特朗普迅速而果断地发动攻击，认为这将有助于减少美国伤亡并防止伊朗先发制人。</p>
</div><p>The vice president’s pivot, described by two people familiar with the events, reflected how Trump’s closest aides approached a war that few initially viewed as an imperative — but all of them ended up supporting.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>两位熟悉事件的人士表示，副总统的转变反映了特朗普最亲密的助手们如何看待一场最初没有人认为是必要的战争——但最终他们都支持了。</p>
</div><p>As Trump weighed conflict, many of the loudest pro-war voices came from allies outside the White House rather than those in his inner circle, according to a half-dozen aides, advisers and others familiar with the matter. Those more vocal actors eventually drowned out quieter calls for caution.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>当特朗普考虑冲突时，许多最响亮的支持战争的声音来自白宫外的盟友，而不是他内圈的人，六位助手、顾问和其他熟悉此事的人士表示。这些更为直言不讳的参与者最终淹没了对谨慎的低调呼声。</p>
</div><p>In addition to Vance, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine laid out the potential negative repercussions of striking Iran. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, already occupied with managing the aftermath of January’s raid on Venezuela, offered only tepid support at the outset. And chief of staff Susie Wiles had spent recent months more focused on political matters, plotting a midterm push focused on domestic priorities she worried had been overshadowed by Trump’s foreign policy forays.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>除了范斯，联合参谋长联席会议主席丹·凯恩将军也阐述了对伊朗发动攻击的潜在负面后果。国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥在处理一月份对委内瑞拉袭击的后果时，起初只提供了冷淡的支持。而幕僚长苏茜·怀尔斯在最近几个月更专注于政治事务，策划一场关注国内优先事项的中期选举活动，她担心这些优先事项被特朗普的外交政策所掩盖。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/AMW2B_80neplI9K9OJhSdA--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/32d93664bf31cc3296f8ba395528761f" alt="" original-src="https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/AMW2B_80neplI9K9OJhSdA--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/32d93664bf31cc3296f8ba395528761f"/></p>
<p>People watch as smoke rises on the skyline after an explosion in Tehran, Iran, on February 28. - AP</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>人们在 2 月 28 日德黑兰发生爆炸后观看烟雾升起的天际线。 - 美联社</p>
</div><p>Despite the misgivings, Vance and other top officials put up little resistance to war once they came to see it as inevitable, spending the run-up to the February 28 attack racing to execute Trump’s wishes rather than trying to change them.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管有顾虑，范斯和其他高级官员在意识到战争不可避免后几乎没有抵抗，花费时间在 2 月 28 日的袭击前全力以赴执行特朗普的意愿，而不是试图改变这些意愿。</p>
</div><p>“This is not a ‘team of rivals’ White House; the president is not having different policy minds tear out each other’s throats in open debate,” said Curt Mills, executive director of The American Conservative and among those deeply skeptical of foreign intervention. “If the president was unwilling or unable to say no, we were going to war.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“这不是一个 ‘竞争对手的团队’ 的白宫；总统并没有让不同的政策思想在公开辩论中互相撕扯，” 美国保守派执行董事库尔特·米尔斯说，他对对外干预持深度怀疑态度。“如果总统不愿意或无法说不，我们就要开战。”</p>
</div><p>Those senior aides are now scrambling to build out a longer-term strategy for a fight with no clear endgame but plenty of risk to Trump’s presidency and — for some — their own future political aspirations.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这些高级助手现在正在努力制定一项长期战略，以应对没有明确结束目标但对特朗普的总统任期和一些人的未来政治抱负充满风险的战争。</p>
</div><p>Vance’s support for the war has alarmed the anti-interventionist wing of the GOP that he spent years cultivating, effectively gambling his 2028 fortunes on being able to pull off a fast win in the Middle East with few American deaths and no lasting consequences.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>范斯对战争的支持让他多年来培养的共和党反干预派感到不安，实际上他将 2028 年的前途押在能够在中东迅速获胜、美国伤亡较少且没有持久后果的赌注上。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/_dSWLUtZdyBdVwry3ud2HQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/ab3f3542b0426b913baa61278ab16b76" alt="" original-src="https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/_dSWLUtZdyBdVwry3ud2HQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/ab3f3542b0426b913baa61278ab16b76"/></p>
<p>Vice President JD Vance talks on his phone as he walks to the West Wing of the White House on March 6. - Alex Brandon/AP</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>副总统 JD·范斯在 3 月 6 日走向白宫西翼时打电话。 - 亚历克斯·布兰登/AP</p>
</div><p>For Rubio, who is widely viewed as Vance’s chief rival for the 2028 nomination, a prolonged conflict threatens to jeopardize the goodwill he’s accumulated from overseeing a string of successful gambits abroad. He seemed to step in it just days into the war, prompting swift backlash when he suggested Israel led the US into striking Iran. He walked back those comments the next day, after Trump publicly disagreed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>对于鲁比奥来说，他被广泛视为范斯在 2028 年提名中的主要竞争对手，长期冲突威胁到他在海外监督一系列成功行动中积累的良好声誉。在战争开始几天，他就因暗示以色列引导美国对伊朗发动攻击而遭到迅速反击。他在特朗普公开反对后第二天收回了这些评论。</p>
</div><p>“This is the precarious nature of this decision in particular,” said one former Trump administration official. “It could end up haunting the folks who have ambitions and want to see beyond this particular administration.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“这正是这一决定特别脆弱的性质，” 一位前特朗普政府官员说。“这可能会困扰那些有抱负并希望看到超越这一特定政府的人。”</p>
</div><p>The president’s team is juggling pressing challenges on several fronts, even as Trump has spent recent days touting the operation as a resounding military triumph.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>总统的团队正在应对多个方面的紧迫挑战，即使特朗普最近几天一直在宣传这次行动是一次响亮的军事胜利。</p>
</div><p>At the State Department, Rubio is overseeing a belated effort to evacuate thousands of Americans stranded in the Middle East and under threat. Inside a Pentagon run by Pete Hegseth, there is anxiety about the extent of the nation’s weapons stockpiles and the war’s open-ended timeline.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在国务院，鲁比奥正在监督一项迟来的努力，以撤离数千名被困在中东并面临威胁的美国人。在由皮特·赫格塞斯领导的五角大楼内部，人们对国家的武器库存和战争的无尽时间表感到焦虑。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/mfxMzbp_9AIHVGNjsMqA.A--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/48860c4de58c0f2d0214778fbefdceca" alt="" original-src="https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/mfxMzbp_9AIHVGNjsMqA.A--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/48860c4de58c0f2d0214778fbefdceca"/></p>
<p>Secretary of State Marco Rubio talks to reporters at the US Capitol on March 2. - Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>国务卿马尔科·鲁比奥在 3 月 2 日于美国国会与记者交谈。 - 奇普·索莫德维拉/盖蒂图片</p>
</div><p>And eight months out from midterm elections, Vance and Wiles are trying to contain the domestic fallout, seeking to reassure MAGA allies worried by Trump’s enthusiasm for war and to sell the broader public on its objectives while also finding new ways to limit the repercussions for the US economy — including the rapidly increasing cost of oil.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在距离中期选举还有八个月的情况下，范斯和怀尔斯正在努力控制国内的后果，试图安抚因特朗普对战争的热情而感到担忧的 MAGA 盟友，并向更广泛的公众推销其目标，同时寻找新的方法来限制对美国经济的影响——包括迅速上升的油价。</p>
</div><p>“There’s just no way that Donald Trump is going to allow this country to get into a multi-year conflict with no clear end in sight and no clear objective,” Vance insisted on Fox News last week, even as he conceded that “we could go for a little bit longer. We could go a lot longer.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“唐纳德·特朗普绝对不会允许这个国家陷入没有明确结束和目标的多年冲突，” 范斯上周在福克斯新闻上坚持说，尽管他承认 “我们可能会持续一段时间。我们可能会持续更久。”</p>
</div><p>White House spokesperson Taylor Rogers said in a statement that Trump’s national security team was “working together daily to ensure the total and complete success of Operation Epic Fury.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>白宫发言人泰勒·罗杰斯在一份声明中表示，特朗普的国家安全团队 “每天都在共同努力，以确保 ‘史诗般的愤怒行动’ 的全面成功。”</p>
</div><p>Still, a week into the fighting, there remains little clear sense of the war’s ultimate trajectory — and how exactly to ensure a clean exit.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，在战斗进行一周后，战争的最终走向仍然没有明确的迹象——以及如何确保干净的退出。</p>
</div><p>Trump’s top aides are aligned on their desire to keep the war relatively brief, hoping it lasts weeks rather than months, the people familiar with the matter said. Since launching the initial strikes, they’ve stressed that their goals do not include regime change, wary of setting a standard for victory that’s not necessarily within the US’ control.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普的高级顾问们一致希望战争相对短暂，希望持续几周而不是几个月，知情人士表示。自发起初步打击以来，他们强调他们的目标不包括政权更迭，担心设定一个不一定在美国控制范围内的胜利标准。</p>
</div><p>Though Trump has urged the Iranian people to take over their government once the current regime is decimated, there is little confidence in how that will play out and whether the new leadership will be friendlier for the US.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管特朗普敦促伊朗人民在当前政权被摧毁后接管政府，但对这一过程的结果以及新领导层是否会对美国更友好几乎没有信心。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/WEKZYGE80LCUlaEZOTyubg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/e49ebbbe53f90d118e690d775de606fd" alt="" original-src="https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/WEKZYGE80LCUlaEZOTyubg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTEyNDI7aD02OTk-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/cnn_articles_875/e49ebbbe53f90d118e690d775de606fd"/></p>
<p>The USS Thomas Hudner fires a Tomahawk land attack missile toward Iran on March 1. - US Navy/Reuters</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国海军的托马斯·哈德纳号在 3 月 1 日向伊朗发射了一枚战斧陆基攻击导弹。- 美国海军/路透社</p>
</div><p>Vance, Rubio and other top officials have instead sought to establish a more manageable set of military objectives aimed at destroying Iran’s immediate weapons capabilities and effectively eliminating any progress toward developing a nuclear bomb.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>范斯、鲁比奥和其他高级官员则试图建立一套更可管理的军事目标，旨在摧毁伊朗的即时武器能力，并有效消除其发展核武器的任何进展。</p>
</div><p>Yet it’s uncertain precisely how long that will take as the military broadens its targets across the country. And it could go on further, given recognition that the US will likely play some role in managing the resulting leadership vacuum — Trump has mused that he would like a say in the next regime.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，确切需要多长时间仍不确定，因为军方正在扩大其在全国范围内的目标。考虑到美国可能在管理随之而来的领导真空中发挥某种作用，这一过程可能会进一步延续——特朗普曾表示他希望对下一个政权有发言权。</p>
</div><p>“For the next three weeks, roughly, they’re going to be striking a lot of material,” said one Trump administration official. “Then it’s going to be a couple months of, who’s establishing the control and how are they doing it? Who’s running the forces and how are they cooperating?”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“在接下来的三周左右，他们将会打击大量目标，” 一位特朗普政府官员表示。“然后将是几个月的时间，谁在建立控制，如何进行？谁在指挥部队，他们如何合作？”</p>
</div><p>Throughout the week, though, Trump’s top aides were confronting more immediate dilemmas far closer to home. Spooked by Iran’s sustained retaliation across the Middle East, oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz — one of the world’s most critical waterways — had come to a standstill, driving up prices and prompting a sprint across the Treasury, Energy and Interior departments to develop new ways to temper the shock.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，在这一周内，特朗普的高级顾问们面临着更紧迫的困境，离家更近。由于伊朗在中东的持续报复，霍尔木兹海峡——世界上最重要的水道之一——的石油运输已停滞不前，导致价格上涨，并促使财政部、能源部和内政部迅速寻找新的方法来缓解冲击。</p>
</div><p>The surging oil prices have already filtered through to US gas prices, pushing the cost at the pump to its highest national average in more than two years — and wiping out progress on a key metric Trump had made a centerpiece of his midterm pitch on Americans’ affordability concerns.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>飙升的油价已经传导到美国的汽油价格，推动加油站的成本达到两年多来的最高全国平均水平——并抹去了特朗普在中期选举中将其作为美国人负担能力关注的核心指标所取得的进展。</p>
</div><p>Rogers, the White House spokeswoman, said Trump and his energy team “have had a strong game plan to keep oil prices stable” and that they were reviewing all credible options. By Friday, top Trump officials had rolled out some initial actions, including plans to start having the government insure tankers willing to venture across the Strait of Hormuz bordering Iran.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>白宫发言人罗杰斯表示，特朗普及其能源团队 “制定了强有力的计划以保持油价稳定”，并正在审查所有可信的选项。到周五，特朗普的高级官员们已经推出了一些初步行动，包括计划开始让政府为愿意穿越与伊朗接壤的霍尔木兹海峡的油轮提供保险。</p>
</div><p>Yet despite the effort to ease the industry’s fears , oil prices continued to rise, signaling scant market confidence that Trump’s team had a handle on what might come next.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，尽管努力缓解行业的担忧，油价仍继续上涨，显示出市场对特朗普团队能否掌控接下来可能发生的事情的信心微薄。</p>
</div><p>“They’re totally focused on it,” Richard Goldberg, a former senior Trump energy official, said of the push inside the administration. But with officials trying to navigate the unpredictable ripple effects of war, “you’re in somewhat uncharted territory.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“他们完全专注于此，” 前特朗普能源高级官员理查德·戈德堡谈到政府内部的推动时表示。但由于官员们试图应对战争带来的不可预测的连锁反应，“你正处于某种未知领域。”</p>
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范斯、卢比奥以及特朗普核心圈的其他成员曾对伊朗问题持谨慎态度。如今，他们已经同意参与其中