<ul>
<li>期货下跌：道琼斯指数下跌 1.18%，标准普尔 500 指数下跌 1.05%，纳斯达克下跌 1.13%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>油价飙升，接近每桶 120 美元</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>旅游和银行股遭重创，能源股上涨</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>美联储的利率前景因能源成本而复杂化</li>
</ul>
<p>（更新价格，增加经纪公司观点）</p>
<p>作者：Johann M Cherian 和 Pranav Kashyap</p>
<p>3 月 9 日（路透社）- 美国股指期货周一下跌超过 1%，因油价飙升，加剧了通胀担忧，随着中东冲突进入第十天。</p>
<p>在伊朗任命已故阿里·哈梅内伊的儿子莫赫塔巴·哈梅内伊为最高领袖后，地缘政治紧张局势加剧，这一举动被视为强硬派在德黑兰依然牢牢掌控的明确信号。</p>
<p>原油价格飙升至接近每桶 120 美元，但随着包括七国集团（G7）和沙特阿拉伯在内的各国政府开始讨论通过增加石油供应来限制能源成本的上涨，价格有所回落。</p>
<p>上周的数据反映出就业市场疲软，同时整体经济活动激增，进一步给市场施加压力，滞涨担忧加剧。</p>
<p>IG 首席市场分析师 Chris Beauchamp 表示：“股市已经急于追赶所有消息，但现在我们面临着美国和全球经济衰退的可能性大幅增加，因为通胀飙升。”</p>
<p>“虽然协调释放石油储备提供了暂时的缓解，但这是一种有限的应对措施，远远无法弥补霍尔木兹海峡关闭和该地区生产停滞造成的石油产量损失。”</p>
<p>上周遭受重创的旅游股在周一也受到重击。</p>
<p>阿拉斯加航空（ALK.N）和联合航空（UAL.O），以及嘉年华公司（CCL.N）和皇家加勒比邮轮（RCL.N）等邮轮股在盘前交易中均下跌 3%。</p>
<p>被视为任何经济支柱的大型银行也遭受重创，摩根士丹利（MS.N）和花旗集团（C.N）均下跌超过 2%。</p>
<p>高油价的持续可能会对今年的股票造成压力，高盛表示，每下降一个百分点的经济增长可能会使标准普尔 500 指数的收益减少多达 4%。</p>
<p>能源价格上涨推动了 Diamondback（FANG.O）和 APA（APA.O）的股价，均上涨超过 2%，而西方石油（OXY.N）上涨 1.4%。</p>
<p>在东部时间上午 06:43，道琼斯 E-mini 期货（YMcv1）下跌 561 点，跌幅 1.18%；标准普尔 500 E-mini 期货（EScv1）下跌 70.75 点，跌幅 1.05%；纳斯达克 100 E-mini 期货（NQcv1）下跌 278.25 点，跌幅 1.13%。</p>
<p>Cboe 波动率指数（.VIX），华尔街的恐惧指标，达到了 32.14，为 2025 年 4 月以来的最高水平。</p>
<p>传统避险资产如贵金属的价格也受到压力，投资者纷纷涌向美元。矿业公司如 Endeavour Silver（EXK.N）和 Barrick Mining（B.N）的股价各下跌约 2.7%。</p>
<p>与此趋势相反，防务公司如 RTX（RTX.N）上涨 1.5%，AeroVironment（AVAV.O）上涨 1.4%。</p>
<p>能源成本的激增使全球中央银行的工作变得复杂，对于美联储来说，通胀触发因素可能会成为更大的关注点。</p>
<p>政策制定者迄今为止表示需要等待并评估能源成本激增对经济的影响，然后再决定货币政策。然而，两年期国债收益率（US2YT=RR）上升，并短暂触及自去年 11 月底以来的最高水平，反映出投资者对高利率的预期。</p>
<p>跟踪利率敏感的罗素 2000 指数（RTYcv1）期货下跌 2%，并短暂标记出自历史最高点以来的 10% 跌幅。10% 的下跌通常被视为指数的修正区域。</p>
<p>上周的疲软就业报告提高了对 6 月降息 25 个基点的预期。然而，现在交易员们将这些概率推迟到可能的 9 月或 10 月，根据 LSEG 编制的数据。</p>
<p>上周，蓝筹股道琼斯指数录得自 2025 年 4 月以来最陡峭的周跌幅，而罗素 2000 指数（.RUT）则创下自 8 月初以来最大的周损失。</p>
<p>市场面临一周的数据密集，包括职位空缺数据、个人消费支出（美联储偏爱的通胀指标）以及季度 GDP 的第二次估计。</p>

<p>美国股指期货下跌超过 1%，因油价飙升至接近 120 美元/桶，令通胀担忧加剧，且中东局势持续紧张。旅游和银行股遭受重大损失，而能源股则上涨。分析师警告称，持续的高油价可能导致经济衰退，并影响标普 500 的盈利。由于能源成本上升，美联储在货币政策方面面临挑战，降息预期可能被推迟。市场预计本周将公布关键经济数据，包括职位空缺和 GDP 预估</p>

<ul>
<li>Futures down: Dow 1.18%, S&amp;P 500 1.05%, Nasdaq 1.13%</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>期货下跌：道琼斯指数下跌 1.18%，标准普尔 500 指数下跌 1.05%，纳斯达克下跌 1.13%</li>
</ul>
</div><ul>
<li>Oil prices surge, nearing $120/barrel</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>油价飙升，接近每桶 120 美元</li>
</ul>
</div><ul>
<li>Travel and bank stocks hit hard, energy shares rise</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>旅游和银行股遭重创，能源股上涨</li>
</ul>
</div><ul>
<li>Fed’s interest rate outlook complicated by energy costs</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>美联储的利率前景因能源成本而复杂化</li>
</ul>
</div><p>(Updates prices throughout, adds brokerage perspective)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>（更新价格，增加经纪公司观点）</p>
</div><p>By Johann M Cherian and Pranav Kashyap</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作者：Johann M Cherian 和 Pranav Kashyap</p>
</div><p>March 9 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures tumbled more than 1% on Monday, as oil prices soared, exacerbating inflation fears as hostilities in the Middle East entered their tenth day.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>3 月 9 日（路透社）- 美国股指期货周一下跌超过 1%，因油价飙升，加剧了通胀担忧，随着中东冲突进入第十天。</p>
</div><p>Geopolitical tensions deepened after Iran named Mojtaba Khamenei, son of the late Ali Khamenei, as the supreme leader - a move seen as a clear signal that hardliners remain firmly in control in Tehran.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在伊朗任命已故阿里·哈梅内伊的儿子莫赫塔巴·哈梅内伊为最高领袖后，地缘政治紧张局势加剧，这一举动被视为强硬派在德黑兰依然牢牢掌控的明确信号。</p>
</div><p>Crude prices shot up to just under $120 a barrel but eased as governments, including those part of the Group of Seven(G7) and Saudi Arabia, began discussions around measures to limit the jump in energy costs through increased oil supply.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>原油价格飙升至接近每桶 120 美元，但随着包括七国集团（G7）和沙特阿拉伯在内的各国政府开始讨论通过增加石油供应来限制能源成本的上涨，价格有所回落。</p>
</div><p>Last week’s data that reflected a weakening jobs market, alongside a surge in broader economic activity, further pressured the market, as stagflation worries mounted.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>上周的数据反映出就业市场疲软，同时整体经济活动激增，进一步给市场施加压力，滞涨担忧加剧。</p>
</div><p>“Stock markets have raced to catch up to all the news, but we are now looking at a vastly increased chance of a U.S. and global recession as inflation surges,” said Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>IG 首席市场分析师 Chris Beauchamp 表示：“股市已经急于追赶所有消息，但现在我们面临着美国和全球经济衰退的可能性大幅增加，因为通胀飙升。”</p>
</div><p>“While a coordinated release of oil reserves provides temporary relief, it is a limited response, and is dwarfed by the loss of oil output from the Hormuz closure and the shutdown of production in the region.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“虽然协调释放石油储备提供了暂时的缓解，但这是一种有限的应对措施，远远无法弥补霍尔木兹海峡关闭和该地区生产停滞造成的石油产量损失。”</p>
</div><p>Travel stocks that had borne the brunt of the selloff last week were also the hardest hit on Monday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>上周遭受重创的旅游股在周一也受到重击。</p>
</div><p>Alaska Air (ALK.N) and United Airlines (UAL.O) , along with cruise stocks such as Carnival Corp (CCL.N) and Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL.N) , dropped 3% each in premarket trading.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>阿拉斯加航空（ALK.N）和联合航空（UAL.O），以及嘉年华公司（CCL.N）和皇家加勒比邮轮（RCL.N）等邮轮股在盘前交易中均下跌 3%。</p>
</div><p>Big banks, seen as the backbone of any economy, also took a hit with Morgan Stanley (MS.N) and Citigroup (C.N) down over 2% each.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>被视为任何经济支柱的大型银行也遭受重创，摩根士丹利（MS.N）和花旗集团（C.N）均下跌超过 2%。</p>
</div><p>A prolonged period of higher oil prices could weigh on equities this year, Goldman Sachs said, warning that every one percentage point drop in economic growth could cut S&amp;P 500 earnings by as much as 4%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>高油价的持续可能会对今年的股票造成压力，高盛表示，每下降一个百分点的经济增长可能会使标准普尔 500 指数的收益减少多达 4%。</p>
</div><p>Higher energy prices lifted shares of Diamondback (FANG.O) and APA (APA.O) that climbed over 2% each, while Occidental (OXY.N) added 1.4%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>能源价格上涨推动了 Diamondback（FANG.O）和 APA（APA.O）的股价，均上涨超过 2%，而西方石油（OXY.N）上涨 1.4%。</p>
</div><p>At 06:43 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis (YMcv1) were down 561 points, or 1.18%, S&amp;P 500 E-minis (EScv1) were down 70.75 points, or 1.05%. Nasdaq 100 E-minis (NQcv1) were down 278.25 points, or 1.13%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在东部时间上午 06:43，道琼斯 E-mini 期货（YMcv1）下跌 561 点，跌幅 1.18%；标准普尔 500 E-mini 期货（EScv1）下跌 70.75 点，跌幅 1.05%；纳斯达克 100 E-mini 期货（NQcv1）下跌 278.25 点，跌幅 1.13%。</p>
</div><p>The Cboe Volatility Index (.VIX) , Wall Street’s fear gauge was at 32.14, its highest since April 2025.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Cboe 波动率指数（.VIX），华尔街的恐惧指标，达到了 32.14，为 2025 年 4 月以来的最高水平。</p>
</div><p>Prices of traditional safe-havens such as precious metals also came under pressure as investors rushed to the U.S. dollar &lt;=USD. Shares of miners such as Endeavour Silver (EXK.N) and Barrick Mining (B.N) lost about 2.7% each.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>传统避险资产如贵金属的价格也受到压力，投资者纷纷涌向美元。矿业公司如 Endeavour Silver（EXK.N）和 Barrick Mining（B.N）的股价各下跌约 2.7%。</p>
</div><p>Bucking the trend, defense companies such as RTX (RTX.N) climbed 1.5% and AeroVironment (AVAV.O) added 1.4%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此趋势相反，防务公司如 RTX（RTX.N）上涨 1.5%，AeroVironment（AVAV.O）上涨 1.4%。</p>
</div><p>The spike in energy costs is complicating the work of global central banks, and for the Federal Reserve, inflation triggers are likely to become a greater focus.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>能源成本的激增使全球中央银行的工作变得复杂，对于美联储来说，通胀触发因素可能会成为更大的关注点。</p>
</div><p>Policymakers have so far voiced the need to wait and gauge the repercussions of the energy cost spike on the economy before deciding on the monetary policy. However, the yield on the two-year Treasury note (US2YT=RR) rose and briefly touched its highest since late November, reflecting investors pricing in elevated interest rates.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>政策制定者迄今为止表示需要等待并评估能源成本激增对经济的影响，然后再决定货币政策。然而，两年期国债收益率（US2YT=RR）上升，并短暂触及自去年 11 月底以来的最高水平，反映出投资者对高利率的预期。</p>
</div><p>Futures tracking the rate-sensitive Russell 2000 index (RTYcv1) dropped 2% and briefly marked a 10% drop from all-time highs. A 10% fall is commonly seen as correction territory for indexes.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>跟踪利率敏感的罗素 2000 指数（RTYcv1）期货下跌 2%，并短暂标记出自历史最高点以来的 10% 跌幅。10% 的下跌通常被视为指数的修正区域。</p>
</div><p>Friday’s soft jobs report boosted expectations for a 25-basis-point interest rate cut in June. However, now traders have pushed those odds to potentially September or October, according to LSEG-compiled data.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>上周的疲软就业报告提高了对 6 月降息 25 个基点的预期。然而，现在交易员们将这些概率推迟到可能的 9 月或 10 月，根据 LSEG 编制的数据。</p>
</div><p>Last week, the biggest declines were in the blue-chip Dow that logged its steepest weekly drop since early April 2025, while the Russell 2000 (.RUT) posted its biggest weekly loss since early August.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>上周，蓝筹股道琼斯指数录得自 2025 年 4 月以来最陡峭的周跌幅，而罗素 2000 指数（.RUT）则创下自 8 月初以来最大的周损失。</p>
</div><p>Markets face a week packed with data, including job opening numbers, personal consumption expenditures - the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge - and a second estimate of quarterly GDP.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>市场面临一周的数据密集，包括职位空缺数据、个人消费支出（美联储偏爱的通胀指标）以及季度 GDP 的第二次估计。</p>
</div>

US STOCKS-Wall St futures slide as Middle East conflict stokes inflation worries

- 美国股指期货下跌逾 1%，油价飙升至近 $120/桶。  
- 旅游和银行类股票受损严重，能源股上涨。  
- 美联储面临能源成本上升带来的更复杂利率前景。

美国股市——由于中东冲突引发通胀担忧，华尔街期货下滑