<ul>
<li>新兴市场股票下跌 1.4%，外汇下跌 0.5%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>罗马尼亚批准 2026 年预算计划，目标赤字为 6.2%</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>波兰总统否决欧盟国防贷款法案</li>
</ul>
<p>作者：Pranav Kashyap</p>
<p>3 月 13 日（路透社）- 新兴市场资产预计将在周五迎来连续第二周的亏损，投资者继续逃离风险较高的投资，伊朗战争没有明显结束的迹象。新兴市场股票的 MSCI 指数（.MSCIEF）当天下跌 1.4%，周跌幅接近 2%。跟踪新兴市场货币的类似指数（.MIEM00000CUS）下滑 0.5%，预计周跌幅约为 0.6%。</p>
<p>孟买（.BSESN）和伊斯坦布尔（.XU100）的股票均下跌超过 1%，而首尔（.KS11）下滑 1.7%，曼谷（.SETI）则下跌 1.5%。</p>
<p>美国总统唐纳德·特朗普对伊朗领导层进行了猛烈抨击，称他们为 “精神错乱的败类”，并表示杀死他们是他的 “伟大荣幸”，因为该地区的冲突已接近两周，持续遭受无人机和导弹袭击。</p>
<p>在特拉维夫，股票（.TA125）正朝着自 2023 年 10 月以来最糟糕的一周迈进。迪拜（.DFMGI）和多哈（.QSI）的市场也承受着巨大压力，预计将连续第四周出现亏损，区域影响加剧。</p>
<p>全球各国政府在这一周忙于应对能源价格剧烈波动带来的冲击。新德里采取了紧急措施以应对供应短缺，波兰则利用金融工具来减轻影响，而巴西则取消了柴油税，同时对石油出口征收税。</p>
<p>在中东欧地区，罗马尼亚的列伊（EURRON=）持平，而该国的基准股票指数（.BETI）下跌 0.3%。政府批准了一个 2026 年预算，目标赤字为经济产出的 6.2%——这一数字仍远高于欧盟的财政上限 3% 的 GDP。</p>
<p>土耳其股票（.XU100）年初表现强劲，但随后略微下滑。动能的转变是因为最近的通胀数据表明，去通胀趋势正在失去动力，能源成本的上升进一步模糊了前景。作为伊朗邻国，该国预计到年底消费者通胀将达到约 25%。就在一天前，土耳其中央银行再次暂停了宽松周期，理由是冲突带来的市场动荡。标准普尔全球评级也表示，伊朗驱动的油价飙升将对该国产生负面影响。</p>
<p>“通胀担忧依然存在，收益率正在上升，但我们认为如果股票投资者开始寻求避风港，后者只会小幅上升。最重要的是，我们认为所有这些影响都是暂时的，” Van Lanschot Kempen 的高级投资策略师 Joost van Leenders 表示。</p>
<p>当天稍晚，评级机构还预计将审查沙特阿拉伯的 A+ 信用评级及其稳定展望。</p>
<p>在其他地方，波兰兹罗提（EURPLN=）略微上涨，尽管股票（.WIG20）下跌 1%，市场消化了该国总统拒绝签署建立机制以部署 437 亿欧元（50.04 亿美元）欧盟贷款以加强军事的立法的消息。</p>
<p>（$1 = 0.8733 欧元）</p>

Vanguard富时新兴市场指数ETF

iShares MSCI新兴市场小盘股指数ETF

AVEM

<ul>
<li>EM stocks down 1.4%, FX down 0.5%</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>新兴市场股票下跌 1.4%，外汇下跌 0.5%</li>
</ul>
</div><ul>
<li>Romania approves 2026 budget plan with 6.2% deficit target</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>罗马尼亚批准 2026 年预算计划，目标赤字为 6.2%</li>
</ul>
</div><ul>
<li>Polish president vetoes EU defence loan bill</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>波兰总统否决欧盟国防贷款法案</li>
</ul>
</div><p>By Pranav Kashyap</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作者：Pranav Kashyap</p>
</div><p>March 13 (Reuters) - Emerging market assets are on track to log a second consecutive week of losses on Friday, as investors continued to flee riskier bets, with no clear end in sight to the Iran war. The MSCI index for emerging market equities (.MSCIEF) fell 1.4% on the day, taking the weekly loss to nearly 2%. A similar index tracking emerging market currencies (.MIEM00000CUS) slipped 0.5%, setting it up for a weekly decline of about 0.6%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>3 月 13 日（路透社）- 新兴市场资产预计将在周五迎来连续第二周的亏损，投资者继续逃离风险较高的投资，伊朗战争没有明显结束的迹象。新兴市场股票的 MSCI 指数（.MSCIEF）当天下跌 1.4%，周跌幅接近 2%。跟踪新兴市场货币的类似指数（.MIEM00000CUS）下滑 0.5%，预计周跌幅约为 0.6%。</p>
</div><p>Equities in Mumbai (.BSESN) and Istanbul (.XU100) each dropped more than 1%, while Seoul (.KS11) slid 1.7% and Bangkok (.SETI) lost 1.5%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>孟买（.BSESN）和伊斯坦布尔（.XU100）的股票均下跌超过 1%，而首尔（.KS11）下滑 1.7%，曼谷（.SETI）则下跌 1.5%。</p>
</div><p>U.S. President Donald Trump lashed out at Iran’s leadership, calling them “deranged scumbags” and saying it was his “great honor” to kill them, as the conflict in the region neared the two-week mark amid sustained barrages of drone and missile strikes.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国总统唐纳德·特朗普对伊朗领导层进行了猛烈抨击，称他们为 “精神错乱的败类”，并表示杀死他们是他的 “伟大荣幸”，因为该地区的冲突已接近两周，持续遭受无人机和导弹袭击。</p>
</div><p>In Tel Aviv, stocks (.TA125) were on course for their worst week since October 2023. Markets in Dubai (.DFMGI) and Doha (.QSI) were also under heavy strain, with both set to post a fourth consecutive week of losses as the regional fallout intensified.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在特拉维夫，股票（.TA125）正朝着自 2023 年 10 月以来最糟糕的一周迈进。迪拜（.DFMGI）和多哈（.QSI）的市场也承受着巨大压力，预计将连续第四周出现亏损，区域影响加剧。</p>
</div><p>Governments around the world have spent the week scrambling to cushion the shock from violent swings in energy prices. New Delhi invoked emergency measures to tackle supply shortages, Poland turned to financial tools to blunt the impact, and Brazil removed taxes on diesel while imposing levies on oil exports.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>全球各国政府在这一周忙于应对能源价格剧烈波动带来的冲击。新德里采取了紧急措施以应对供应短缺，波兰则利用金融工具来减轻影响，而巴西则取消了柴油税，同时对石油出口征收税。</p>
</div><p>In central and eastern Europe, Romania’s leu (EURRON=) was flat, while the country’s benchmark equity index (.BETI) fell 0.3%. The government approved a 2026 budget targeting a deficit equal to 6.2% of economic output - a figure still well above the European Union’s fiscal ceiling of 3% of GDP.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在中东欧地区，罗马尼亚的列伊（EURRON=）持平，而该国的基准股票指数（.BETI）下跌 0.3%。政府批准了一个 2026 年预算，目标赤字为经济产出的 6.2%——这一数字仍远高于欧盟的财政上限 3% 的 GDP。</p>
</div><p>Turkish equities (.XU100) , which began the year on a strong footing, have since drifted into slight declines. The shift in momentum comes as recent inflation data points to a loss of steam in the disinflation trend, with higher energy costs further clouding the outlook. The country, Iran’s neighbour, is now expected to see consumer inflation reach around 25% by year-end. That came a day after Turkey’s central bank paused its easing cycle once again, citing market turbulence from the conflict. S&amp;P Global Ratings also said the Iran-driven spike in oil prices would be a negative for the country.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>土耳其股票（.XU100）年初表现强劲，但随后略微下滑。动能的转变是因为最近的通胀数据表明，去通胀趋势正在失去动力，能源成本的上升进一步模糊了前景。作为伊朗邻国，该国预计到年底消费者通胀将达到约 25%。就在一天前，土耳其中央银行再次暂停了宽松周期，理由是冲突带来的市场动荡。标准普尔全球评级也表示，伊朗驱动的油价飙升将对该国产生负面影响。</p>
</div><p>“Inflation fears are prevailing and yields are climbing, but we think the latter will only increase by a small amount if equity investors start to seek safe havens. Above all, we view all these effects as temporary,” said Joost van Leenders, senior investment strategist at Van Lanschot Kempen.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“通胀担忧依然存在，收益率正在上升，但我们认为如果股票投资者开始寻求避风港，后者只会小幅上升。最重要的是，我们认为所有这些影响都是暂时的，” Van Lanschot Kempen 的高级投资策略师 Joost van Leenders 表示。</p>
</div><p>Later in the day, the rating agency was also expected to review Saudi Arabia’s A+ credit rating with a stable outlook.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>当天稍晚，评级机构还预计将审查沙特阿拉伯的 A+ 信用评级及其稳定展望。</p>
</div><p>Elsewhere, the Polish zloty (EURPLN=) edged slightly higher, though stocks (.WIG20) fell 1% as markets absorbed news that the country’s president had declined to sign legislation establishing a mechanism to deploy 43.7 billion euros ($50.04 billion) in European Union loans aimed at strengthening the military.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在其他地方，波兰兹罗提（EURPLN=）略微上涨，尽管股票（.WIG20）下跌 1%，市场消化了该国总统拒绝签署建立机制以部署 437 亿欧元（50.04 亿美元）欧盟贷款以加强军事的立法的消息。</p>
</div><p>($1 = 0.8733 euros)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>（$1 = 0.8733 欧元）</p>
</div>

EMERGING MARKETS-Emerging markets set for second weekly loss as energy spike hurts

- 新兴市场股票下跌 1.4%，外汇下滑 0.5%。  
- 罗马尼亚批准 2026 年预算，目标赤字 6.2%。  
- 波兰总统否决 437 亿欧元国防贷款法案。

Reuters

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新兴市场 - 由于能源价格飙升，新兴市场预计将连续第二周下跌