<h2><strong>加元技术展望：USD/CAD 短期交易水平</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li>USD/CAD 从三月初的低点反弹，目前正在本月第二次测试一个明确的阻力区域。</li>
<li>价格仍然被限制在这个支点之下，除非出现决定性的突破，否则上涨将面临风险。</li>
<li>明天将有重大事件风险，涉及美联储和加拿大央行的利率决策。</li>
<li>阻力位 1.3722/33（关键），1.3759，1.38 01/11- 支持位 1.3645，1.3608（关键），1.3540/51（关键）</li>
</ul>
<p>在从近期低点反弹后，USD/CAD 再次逼近关键阻力区域，将价格带入一个关键决策区域。这个水平在过去两个月已经限制了上涨，而当前的重新测试正值市场准备迎接主要央行更新之际。尽管反弹反映出短期动能的改善，但更广泛的结构在这个上限之下仍未解决。决定性的突破将标志着向更持续的复苏转变，而在此处的再次失败可能会加强区间并保持下行风险。USD/CAD 短期技术图表上的战斗线已划定。</p>
<p>查看我最新的 <strong>每周策略网络研讨会</strong>，深入分析这个加元设置及更多内容。<strong>周一上午 8:30（东部时间）</strong> 直播。</p>
<h3><strong>加元价格图 – USD/CAD 日线</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121136-5.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121136-5.png"/></p>
<p><em>图表由 Michael Boutros 准备，高级技术策略师；</em> <em>USD/CAD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>技术展望：</strong> 在上个月的 <strong>加元短期展望</strong> 中，我们指出，“USD/CAD 今天正在测试月度区间高点的阻力，重点关注这一支点区域的反应。” 关注的水平是 <strong>1.3722/33</strong> - 这是由九月和八月的波动低点、年度开盘目标、二月开盘区间高点以及十一月下跌的 38.2% 回撤所定义的区域。多头在三月三日尝试突破，但未能确保收盘，USD/CAD 在月初暴跌超过 1.6%。</p>
<p>该下跌在上周从一月反弹的 78.6% 回撤和二月收盘低点 <strong>1.3540/51</strong> 处反弹。随后的反弹（1.6%）使 USD/CAD 本周再次回到关键阻力区域，重点再次放在这一关键区域的拐点上。当前的上涨在这一阈值下仍然脆弱，需要突破/收盘在此之上，才能表明更显著的趋势反转正在进行中。</p>
<h3><strong>加元价格图 – USD/CAD 240 分钟</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121150-6.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121150-6.png"/></p>
<p><em>图表由 Michael Boutros 准备，高级技术策略师；</em> <em>USD/CAD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>备注：</strong> 更仔细地观察加元价格走势显示，USD/CAD 在关键阻力下方形成了每周开盘区间。请关注此处的突破，以提供短期指导。</p>
<p>突破/收盘在 <strong>1.3733</strong> 之上将验证二月/三月开盘区间高点的突破，表明更显著的趋势反转正在进行中。后续的阻力目标关注在年初至今区间的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>1.3759</strong> 和 200 日移动平均线/十一月下跌的 50% 回撤位 <strong>1.3801/11</strong>。如果达到，请关注更大的反应。</p>
<p>月度开盘支撑位在 <strong>1.3645</strong>，并受到月度上涨的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>1.3608</strong> 的支持。最终，突破/收盘在 <strong>1.3540</strong> 之下将标志着十一月下跌趋势的恢复。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-Indices-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAWaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-Indices-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAWaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ"/></p>
<p><strong>底线：</strong> USD/CAD 今天正在测试多个月份区间高点的关键阻力，明天将有美联储和加拿大央行的利率决策。从交易的角度来看，如果价格在这一波段上升，回调应限制在 1.36，收盘在 1.3733 之上将需要推动下一轮上涨。</p>
<p>请记住，美联储明天将发布更新的经济预测摘要，修订增长、就业和通胀预测。由于伊朗冲突推动的高能源价格可能会使通胀风险处于中心位置，而上个月疲弱的非农就业报告则突显出劳动力市场日益增长的下行风险，加剧了美联储双重任务之间的紧张关系。</p>
<p>焦点将放在更新的通胀预测上，因为任何对前景的上调都可能进一步推迟美联储降息的预期。截至今天，美联储基金期货定价大约有 56% 的概率，下一次降息将在十月进行，这与战前预期的七月行动形成了明显的转变。请在明天的发布中保持灵活，并关注每周收盘以获取指导。查看我最新的 <strong>加元每周预测</strong>，以更仔细地观察长期的 USD/CAD 技术交易水平。</p>
<h3><strong>关键 USD/CAD 经济数据发布</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121221-8.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121221-8.png"/></p>
<p><strong>经济日历</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新经济动态和即将到来的事件风险。</p>
<h3><strong>活跃的短期技术图表</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>英镑短期展望：GBP/USD 空头第七次冲击关键支撑</li>
<li>欧元短期展望：EUR/USD 空头攻击多个月支撑- 下跌风险加大</li>
<li>日元短期展望：USD/JPY 三周上涨停滞- 下跌风险加大</li>
<li>美元短期展望：USD 突破面临一月高点的重大考验- NFP 即将发布</li>
<li>瑞士法郎短期展望：USD/CHF 突破上涨测试重大阻力</li>
<li>黄金价格短期展望：XAU/USD 多头在 23% 上涨后撤退- 7% 下跌引发感染风险</li>
<li>澳元展望：AUD/USD 六周连胜面临多年来高点的重大考验</li>
</ul>
<p>撰写者：Michael Boutros，高级技术策略师</p>
<p>在 X 上关注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>

德银美元指数 做空 - PowerShares

加元 做多 - CurrencyShares

德银美元指数 做多 - PowerShares

彭博美元指数 做多 - WisdomTree

<p>加元目前正在对美元测试一个关键的阻力区间，1.3722/33 的水平至关重要。若能果断突破该水平，可能会暗示趋势反转，而未能突破则可能加大下行风险。即将到来的美联储和加拿大央行的利率决策增加了市场的不确定性。市场关注通胀预测，任何上调可能会推迟对美联储降息的预期。交易者应关注未来几天的关键水平和市场反应</p>

<h2><strong>Canadian Dollar Technical Outlook: USD/CAD Short-term Trade Levels</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>加元技术展望：USD/CAD 短期交易水平</strong></h2>
</div><ul>
<li>USD/CAD has rebounded from early-March lows and is now testing a well-defined resistance zone for a second time this month.</li>
<li>Price remains capped beneath this pivot, with the advance vulnerable unless a decisive break higher is secured.</li>
<li>Major Event risk on tap with the Federal Reserve &amp; Bank of Canada interest rate decisions tomorrow</li>
<li>Resistance 1.3722/33 (key), 1.3759, 1.38 01/11- Support 1.3645, 1.3608 (key), 1.3540/51 (key)</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>USD/CAD 从三月初的低点反弹，目前正在本月第二次测试一个明确的阻力区域。</li>
<li>价格仍然被限制在这个支点之下，除非出现决定性的突破，否则上涨将面临风险。</li>
<li>明天将有重大事件风险，涉及美联储和加拿大央行的利率决策。</li>
<li>阻力位 1.3722/33（关键），1.3759，1.38 01/11- 支持位 1.3645，1.3608（关键），1.3540/51（关键）</li>
</ul>
</div><p>USD/CAD has pushed back toward a key resistance zone after recovering from recent lows, bringing price once again into a critical decision area. This level has already capped advances for the past two-months, and the current retest comes as markets brace for major central bank updates. While the rebound reflects improving near-term momentum, the broader structure remains unresolved beneath this ceiling. A decisive breakout would mark a shift toward a more sustained recovery, while another failure here could reinforce the range and keep downside risks in play. Battle lines drawn on the USD/CAD short-term technical charts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在从近期低点反弹后，USD/CAD 再次逼近关键阻力区域，将价格带入一个关键决策区域。这个水平在过去两个月已经限制了上涨，而当前的重新测试正值市场准备迎接主要央行更新之际。尽管反弹反映出短期动能的改善，但更广泛的结构在这个上限之下仍未解决。决定性的突破将标志着向更持续的复苏转变，而在此处的再次失败可能会加强区间并保持下行风险。USD/CAD 短期技术图表上的战斗线已划定。</p>
</div><p>Review my latest <strong>Weekly Strategy Webinar</strong> for an in-depth breakdown of this Loonie setup and more. <strong>Join live</strong> on Monday’s at 8:30am EST.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>查看我最新的 <strong>每周策略网络研讨会</strong>，深入分析这个加元设置及更多内容。<strong>周一上午 8:30（东部时间）</strong> 直播。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Canadian Dollar Price Chart – USD/CAD Daily</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>加元价格图 – USD/CAD 日线</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121136-5.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121136-5.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>USD/CAD on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图表由 Michael Boutros 准备，高级技术策略师；</em> <em>USD/CAD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Technical Outlook:</strong> In last month’s <strong>Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook</strong>, we noted that, “USD/CAD is testing resistance at the monthly range highs today and the focus is on a reaction off this pivot zone.” The level in focus was <strong>1.3722/33</strong>- a region defined by the September &amp; August swing lows, the objective yearly open, the February opening-range high, and the 38.2% retracement of the November decline. The bulls attempted to break higher on March 3rd but failed to secure a close with USD/CAD plunging more than 1.6% early in the month.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>技术展望：</strong> 在上个月的 <strong>加元短期展望</strong> 中，我们指出，“USD/CAD 今天正在测试月度区间高点的阻力，重点关注这一支点区域的反应。” 关注的水平是 <strong>1.3722/33</strong> - 这是由九月和八月的波动低点、年度开盘目标、二月开盘区间高点以及十一月下跌的 38.2% 回撤所定义的区域。多头在三月三日尝试突破，但未能确保收盘，USD/CAD 在月初暴跌超过 1.6%。</p>
</div><p>The decline rebounded off support last week at the 78.6% retracement of the January rally and the February close low at <strong>1.3540/51.</strong> The subsequent rebound (1.6%) takes USD/CAD back into pivotal resistance again this week and the focus once again is on inflection off this key zone. The immediate advance is vulnerable while below this threshold with a breach / close above needed to suggest a more significant trend reversal is underway.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该下跌在上周从一月反弹的 78.6% 回撤和二月收盘低点 <strong>1.3540/51</strong> 处反弹。随后的反弹（1.6%）使 USD/CAD 本周再次回到关键阻力区域，重点再次放在这一关键区域的拐点上。当前的上涨在这一阈值下仍然脆弱，需要突破/收盘在此之上，才能表明更显著的趋势反转正在进行中。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Canadian Dollar Price Chart – USD/CAD 240min</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>加元价格图 – USD/CAD 240 分钟</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121150-6.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121150-6.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>USD/CAD on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图表由 Michael Boutros 准备，高级技术策略师；</em> <em>USD/CAD 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Notes:</strong> A closer look at Canadian Dollar price action shows USD/CAD carving the weekly opening-range just below key resistance. Look for the breakout here to offer near-term guidance.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>备注：</strong> 更仔细地观察加元价格走势显示，USD/CAD 在关键阻力下方形成了每周开盘区间。请关注此处的突破，以提供短期指导。</p>
</div><p>A breach / close above <strong>1.3733</strong> would validate a breakout of the February / March opening-range highs suggest a more significant trend reversal is underway. Subsequent resistance objectives are eyed at the 61.8% retracement of the year-to-date range at <strong>1.3759</strong> and the 200-day moving average / 50% retracement of the November decline at <strong>1.3801/11</strong>. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>突破/收盘在 <strong>1.3733</strong> 之上将验证二月/三月开盘区间高点的突破，表明更显著的趋势反转正在进行中。后续的阻力目标关注在年初至今区间的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>1.3759</strong> 和 200 日移动平均线/十一月下跌的 50% 回撤位 <strong>1.3801/11</strong>。如果达到，请关注更大的反应。</p>
</div><p>Monthly open support rests at <strong>1.3645</strong> and is backed by the 61.8% retracement of the monthly advance at <strong>1.3608</strong>. Ultimately, a break / close below <strong>1.3540</strong> would be needed to mark resumption of the November downtrend.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>月度开盘支撑位在 <strong>1.3645</strong>，并受到月度上涨的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>1.3608</strong> 的支持。最终，突破/收盘在 <strong>1.3540</strong> 之下将标志着十一月下跌趋势的恢复。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-Indices-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ" alt="" original-src="https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-Indices-V2.jpg?extension=webp&amp;hash=02BA65E65BB9F508C5A91DBB3AFB588E"/></p>
<p><strong>Bottom line:</strong> The USD/CAD is testing pivotal resistance at multi-monthly range highs today with the Fed and Bank of Canada rate decisions on tap tomorrow. From at trading standpoint, pullbacks should be limited to 1.36 IF price is heading higher on <em>this</em> stretch with a close above 1.3733 needed to fuel the next leg of the advance.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>底线：</strong> USD/CAD 今天正在测试多个月份区间高点的关键阻力，明天将有美联储和加拿大央行的利率决策。从交易的角度来看，如果价格在这一波段上升，回调应限制在 1.36，收盘在 1.3733 之上将需要推动下一轮上涨。</p>
</div><p>Keep in mind the Fed will release its updated Summary of Economic Projections tomorrow, with revisions to the growth, employment, and inflation forecasts. Elevated energy prices driven by the Iran conflict are likely to keep inflation risks front and center, while last month’s weak Non-Farm Payrolls report underscores growing downside risks in the labor market- intensifying the tension within the Fed’s dual mandate.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>请记住，美联储明天将发布更新的经济预测摘要，修订增长、就业和通胀预测。由于伊朗冲突推动的高能源价格可能会使通胀风险处于中心位置，而上个月疲弱的非农就业报告则突显出劳动力市场日益增长的下行风险，加剧了美联储双重任务之间的紧张关系。</p>
</div><p>The focus will be on the updated inflation projections, as any upward revision to the outlook could further delay expectations for a Fed rate cut. As of today, Fed funds futures are pricing roughly a 56% probability that the next cut will come in October, marking a sharp shift from pre-war expectations that favored a July move. Stay nimble into the release tomorrow and watch the weekly closes here for guidance. Review my latest <strong>Canadian Dollar Weekly Forecast</strong> for a closer look at the longer-term USD/CAD technical trade levels.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>焦点将放在更新的通胀预测上，因为任何对前景的上调都可能进一步推迟美联储降息的预期。截至今天，美联储基金期货定价大约有 56% 的概率，下一次降息将在十月进行，这与战前预期的七月行动形成了明显的转变。请在明天的发布中保持灵活，并关注每周收盘以获取指导。查看我最新的 <strong>加元每周预测</strong>，以更仔细地观察长期的 USD/CAD 技术交易水平。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Key USD/CAD Economic Data Releases</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>关键 USD/CAD 经济数据发布</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121221-8.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260317121221-8.png"/></p>
<p><strong>Economic Calendar</strong> <strong>-</strong> latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>经济日历</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新经济动态和即将到来的事件风险。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Active Short-term Technical Charts</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>活跃的短期技术图表</strong></h3>
</div><ul>
<li>British Pound Short-term Outlook: GBP/USD Bears Charge Pivotal Support for a Seventh Time</li>
<li>Euro Short-term Outlook: EUR/USD Bears Assault Multi-Month Support- Breakdown Risk Builds</li>
<li>Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Three-Week Surge Stalls – Breakdown Risk Builds</li>
<li>US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Breakout Faces Major Test at January High- NFP on Tap</li>
<li>Swiss Franc Short-term Outlook: USD/CHF Breakout Surge Tests Major Resistance</li>
<li>Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Bulls Retreat After 23% Surge- 7% Drop Sparks Infection Risk</li>
<li>Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD 6-Week Winning Streak Faces Major Test at Multi-year Highs</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>英镑短期展望：GBP/USD 空头第七次冲击关键支撑</li>
<li>欧元短期展望：EUR/USD 空头攻击多个月支撑- 下跌风险加大</li>
<li>日元短期展望：USD/JPY 三周上涨停滞- 下跌风险加大</li>
<li>美元短期展望：USD 突破面临一月高点的重大考验- NFP 即将发布</li>
<li>瑞士法郎短期展望：USD/CHF 突破上涨测试重大阻力</li>
<li>黄金价格短期展望：XAU/USD 多头在 23% 上涨后撤退- 7% 下跌引发感染风险</li>
<li>澳元展望：AUD/USD 六周连胜面临多年来高点的重大考验</li>
</ul>
</div><p>Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>撰写者：Michael Boutros，高级技术策略师</p>
</div><p>Follow Michael on X <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 X 上关注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
</div>

加元短期展望：美元/加元正在测试关键阻力位，突破风险正在增加