<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Wall-St.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Wall-St.png"/></p>
<p>道琼斯指数在今年最高点下跌 9% 后，正接近修正。</p>
<p>周三下跌了 768 点，期货也下跌超过 120 点。</p>
<p>这种回撤可能会在未来几周继续，可能会跌至 45,000 美元，因为风险上升。</p>
<h2>道琼斯指数技术分析显示更多下行空间</h2>
<p>日线图显示，道琼斯指数在过去几周崩溃，从年初至今的高点 50,530 美元跌至当前的 46,040 美元。</p>
<p>该图表显示，指数已跌破 50 日和 200 日指数移动平均线（EMA）。跌破该水平是空头占优的迹象。</p>
<p>指数还跌破了 Ichimoku 云指标，而 Supertrend 指标已从绿色转为红色。</p>
<p>与此同时，指数已跌破 23.6% 的斐波那契回撤水平。</p>
<p>这种回撤发生在指数形成了一个上升楔形模式，该模式由两条上升且收敛的趋势线构成。</p>
<p>与此同时，平均方向指数（ADX）已跃升至 31，为去年十月以来的最高水平。</p>
<p>ADX 指标的激增是下行趋势正在加速的迹象。</p>
<p>因此，指数可能会继续下跌，下一个关键目标是 50% 斐波那契回撤水平，位于 43,615 美元，比当前水平下跌 5.60%。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/dow-jones.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/dow-jones.png"/></p>
<p><em>道琼斯指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
<h2>美国股票面临重大风险</h2>
<p>道琼斯指数在过去几周大幅下跌，因为投资者采取了风险规避的情绪。</p>
<p>一个很好的例子是恐惧与贪婪指数，该指数已暴跌至极度恐惧区间 17。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Fear-and-Greed-Index.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Fear-and-Greed-Index.jpeg"/></p>
<p>恐惧与贪婪指数中的大多数子指数已移动到极度恐惧区间，只有市场波动性或 VIX 处于中性区间。</p>
<p>随着美伊战争转向能源市场，这些风险持续上升，布伦特原油作为全球主要基准，价格飙升至 116 美元，西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）上涨至 96 美元。天然气价格也大幅上涨。</p>
<p>因此，美国面临更长时间高通胀的风险。</p>
<p>最新数据显示，2 月份的整体和核心生产者价格指数（PPI）大幅上涨，这一趋势可能在可预见的未来继续。</p>
<p>消费者通胀可能会继续上升，导致美联储更加鹰派。</p>
<p>这解释了为什么美国国债收益率持续上升，十年期和三十年期分别上升至 4.277% 和 4.90%。</p>
<p>一些分析师现在认为，美联储今年将加息两次。</p>
<p>由于战争加剧，道琼斯指数中的大多数公司在过去 30 天内大幅下跌。</p>
<p>例如，TradingView 汇编的数据表明，道琼斯股票在过去 30 天内下跌了 17%。</p>
<p>Sherwin-Williams 的股票下跌了 16.5%，而像 Home Depot、波音、美国运通、耐克、高盛和卡特彼勒等公司在同一时期均下跌超过 9.5%。</p>
<p>另一方面，过去 30 天内只有少数公司上涨。</p>
<p>雪佛龙、亚马逊、思科和 Salesforce 的股票上涨超过 1%。</p>
<p>道琼斯风险崩溃至 43,000 美元的文章首次出现在 Invezz 上。</p>

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<p>道琼斯指数今年已从高点下跌了 9%，周三下跌了 768 点，期货下跌超过 120 点。技术分析显示进一步下跌的可能性，潜在目标为 43,615 美元。恐惧与贪婪指数已降至 17，表明投资者极度恐惧。地缘政治紧张局势加剧和通胀担忧正在导致风险规避情绪，导致过去一个月大多数道琼斯股票显著下跌。分析师预测美联储今年将加息两次，因为债券收益率上升</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Wall-St.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Wall-St.png"/></p>
<p>The Dow Jones Index is nearing a correction after falling by 9% from its highest point this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>道琼斯指数在今年最高点下跌 9% 后，正接近修正。</p>
</div><p>It tumbled by 768 points on Wednesday, and its futures dropped by over 120 points.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>周三下跌了 768 点，期货也下跌超过 120 点。</p>
</div><p>This retreat may continue in the coming weeks, potentially to $45,000 as risks rise.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这种回撤可能会在未来几周继续，可能会跌至 45,000 美元，因为风险上升。</p>
</div><h2>Dow Jones Index technical analysis suggests more downside</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>道琼斯指数技术分析显示更多下行空间</h2>
</div><p>The daily chart reveals that the Dow Jones Index has crashed in the past few weeks, falling from the year-to-date high of $50,530 to the current $46,040.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日线图显示，道琼斯指数在过去几周崩溃，从年初至今的高点 50,530 美元跌至当前的 46,040 美元。</p>
</div><p>This chart shows that the index has dropped below the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). Moving below that level will is a sign that bears have prevailed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该图表显示，指数已跌破 50 日和 200 日指数移动平均线（EMA）。跌破该水平是空头占优的迹象。</p>
</div><p>The index has also crashed below the Ichimoku cloud indicator, while the Supertrend indicator has turned from green to red.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>指数还跌破了 Ichimoku 云指标，而 Supertrend 指标已从绿色转为红色。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, the index has dropped below the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，指数已跌破 23.6% 的斐波那契回撤水平。</p>
</div><p>This retreat happened after Index formed a rising wedge pattern, which is made up of two ascending and converging trendlines.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这种回撤发生在指数形成了一个上升楔形模式，该模式由两条上升且收敛的趋势线构成。</p>
</div><p>Meanwhile, the Average Directional Index (ADX) has jumped to 31, its highest level since October last year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，平均方向指数（ADX）已跃升至 31，为去年十月以来的最高水平。</p>
</div><p>A surge in the ADX indicator is a sign that the downtrend is gaining momentum.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>ADX 指标的激增是下行趋势正在加速的迹象。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the index will likely continue falling, with the next key target being at the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level at $43,615, down 5.60% from the current level.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，指数可能会继续下跌，下一个关键目标是 50% 斐波那契回撤水平，位于 43,615 美元，比当前水平下跌 5.60%。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/dow-jones.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/dow-jones.png"/></p>
<p><em>Dow Jones Index chart | Source: TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>道琼斯指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
</div><h2>American stocks are facing major risks</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>美国股票面临重大风险</h2>
</div><p>The Dow Jones Index has slumped in the past few weeks as investors have embraced a risk-off sentiment.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>道琼斯指数在过去几周大幅下跌，因为投资者采取了风险规避的情绪。</p>
</div><p>A good example of this is shown by the Fear and Greed Index, which has plunged to the extreme fear zone of 17.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一个很好的例子是恐惧与贪婪指数，该指数已暴跌至极度恐惧区间 17。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Fear-and-Greed-Index.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Fear-and-Greed-Index.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Most sub-indices in the Fear and Greed Index have moved to the extreme fear zone, with only the market volatility or VIX being in the neutral zone.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>恐惧与贪婪指数中的大多数子指数已移动到极度恐惧区间，只有市场波动性或 VIX 处于中性区间。</p>
</div><p>These risks continued rising as the US-Iran war shifted to the energy market, with Brent, the top global benchmark, jumping to $116, and the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose to $96. Natural gas prices have soared.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>随着美伊战争转向能源市场，这些风险持续上升，布伦特原油作为全球主要基准，价格飙升至 116 美元，西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）上涨至 96 美元。天然气价格也大幅上涨。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, there is a risk that the US will face higher inflation for longer.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，美国面临更长时间高通胀的风险。</p>
</div><p>The most recent results showed that the headline and core Producer Price Index (PPI) jumped in February, a trend that may continue in the foreseeable future.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最新数据显示，2 月份的整体和核心生产者价格指数（PPI）大幅上涨，这一趋势可能在可预见的未来继续。</p>
</div><p>Consumer inflation will likely continue rising, leading to a more hawkish Federal Reserve.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>消费者通胀可能会继续上升，导致美联储更加鹰派。</p>
</div><p>This explains why US bond yields continued rising, with the ten-year and 30-year rising to 4.277% and 4.90%, respectively.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这解释了为什么美国国债收益率持续上升，十年期和三十年期分别上升至 4.277% 和 4.90%。</p>
</div><p>Some analysts now believe that the Federal Reserve will deliver two rate hikes this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一些分析师现在认为，美联储今年将加息两次。</p>
</div><p>Most companies in the Dow Jones Index have plunged in the past 30 days as the war has accelerated.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>由于战争加剧，道琼斯指数中的大多数公司在过去 30 天内大幅下跌。</p>
</div><p>For example, data compiled by TradingView shows that Dow stock has dropped by 17% in the last 30 days.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>例如，TradingView 汇编的数据表明，道琼斯股票在过去 30 天内下跌了 17%。</p>
</div><p>Sherwin-Williams stock has dropped by 16.5%, while companies like Home Depot, Boeing, American Express, Nike, Goldman Sachs, and Caterpillar have all plunged by over 9.5% in the same period.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Sherwin-Williams 的股票下跌了 16.5%，而像 Home Depot、波音、美国运通、耐克、高盛和卡特彼勒等公司在同一时期均下跌超过 9.5%。</p>
</div><p>On the other hand, just a handful of companies have jumped in the last 30 days.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一方面，过去 30 天内只有少数公司上涨。</p>
</div><p>Chevron, Amazon, Cisco, and Salesforce stocks have risen by over 1%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>雪佛龙、亚马逊、思科和 Salesforce 的股票上涨超过 1%。</p>
</div><p>The post Dow risks crash to $43k as Fear and Greed Index tumbles appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>道琼斯风险崩溃至 43,000 美元的文章首次出现在 Invezz 上。</p>
</div>

Dow risks crash to $43k as Fear and Greed Index tumbles

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道琼斯指数面临崩盘风险至 43,000 点，恐惧与贪婪指数暴跌