<p>新的国家预测显示犬类传播性疾病风险扩大——对人类健康的影响以及 94% 以上准确的早期预警系统</p>
<p>, /PRNewswire/ -- 宠物寄生虫委员会（CAPC）——影响宠物和人类的传播性疾病的权威机构——今天发布了 2026 年宠物寄生虫预测，预计莱姆病、嗜血细胞增多症、无形体病和心丝虫风险将在美国继续地理扩展——包括曾被认为是低风险或中等风险的地区的增长。</p>
<p>CAPC 的年度预测旨在预测兽医和诊断实验室在 2026 年检测犬只时会发现的情况。历史上，CAPC 的预测在与全国报告的诊断结果进行验证时，准确率达到了 <strong>94%</strong>。</p>
<p>基于十多年的疾病监测和每年超过 1000 万份兽医诊断测试结果的分析，CAPC 的精确预测作为国家和县级的早期预警系统。它们不仅为兽医提供了关键见解，也为更广泛的公共卫生提供了重要信息。</p>
<p>“传播性疾病风险继续扩大——而且不是沿着直线，”<strong>阿伯丁大学寄生虫学副教授、CAPC 董事会成员及 2026 年预测的主要作者凯瑟琳·E·赖夫（Kathryn E. Reif, MSPH, PhD）</strong> 表示。“土地使用变化、宠物旅行、野生动物动态以及气候驱动的变暖和极端天气正在加速这些传播媒介的扩散。这些 2026 年的预测是前瞻性工具，旨在预测诊所和实验室今年将看到的情况。它们帮助兽医加强全年预防工作，根据当地风险量身定制疫苗接种策略，并强化年度检测——保护宠物免受这些潜在致命疾病的侵害。”</p>
<p>这种扩展在莱姆病的持续传播中表现得尤为明显。</p>
<p><strong>莱姆病：超越历史热点的扩展</strong> 黑腿蜱，莱姆病的主要传播媒介，继续在地理上扩展。尽管上中西部和东北部仍然是高风险地区，但 2026 年预测显示，俄亥俄州、肯塔基州、西弗吉尼亚州、田纳西州、北卡罗来纳州、印第安纳州、伊利诺伊州和密歇根州的风险显著扩展——风险持续向西扩展至北平原地区。</p>
<p>犬只面临更高莱姆风险的地区与人类感染莱姆病的地区高度重合——强化了宠物、人类与环境之间的 “一体健康” 联系。</p>
<p>“犬只是人类健康的哨兵，”<strong>克雷格·普赖尔（Craig Prior, BVSc, CVJ）</strong>，<strong>CAPC 董事会成员</strong> 表示。“当我们看到犬只中莱姆病、嗜血细胞增多症或无形体病风险上升时，通常反映出影响人类的相同环境压力。寄生虫是动态且不断变化的——它们正在移动，可能会出现在你家附近的后院。如果我们不知道自己后院的风险，就无法妥善保护宠物或它们的家庭。”</p>
<p>在莱姆风险上升的地区，兽医应加强蜱虫预防，并立即重新评估疫苗接种策略——而不是在病例上升后再行动。</p>
<p><strong>心丝虫：持续风险与北向传播</strong> 心丝虫病由蚊子传播，仍在美国东南部扎根，风险持续向北扩展，沿密西西比河走廊和大西洋沿岸传播。</p>
<p>预测还强调了在部分山区西部和北加州的心丝虫风险持续存在——这些地区传统上不被认为是地方性地区。感染犬只的移动、扩展的蚊子栖息地、城市发展和不一致的预防使用继续推动传播。</p>
<p><strong>嗜血细胞增多症和无形体病：蜱虫范围扩展，风险增加</strong> 随着孤星蜱和棕色犬蜱扩展其地理范围，嗜血细胞增多症和无形体病的风险继续扩大。CAPC 的 2026 年预测显示：</p>
<ul>
<li>东南部、西南部和中南部美国持续高风险的嗜血细胞增多症</li>
<li>孤星蜱持续向上中西部和新英格兰扩展</li>
<li>西南部和山区西部的棕色犬蜱相关风险增加</li>
<li>在经历莱姆扩展的地区，无形体病风险平行上升</li>
</ul>
<p>由于多种蜱虫物种传播这些病原体——而且棕色犬蜱可以在室内生存——在许多地区传播可以全年发生。</p>
<p>“在 2026 年，信息很明确：传播性疾病风险正在扩大，” 普赖尔博士表示。“蜱虫并不是全年 365 天都在吸血，但它们确实在每个月都在吸血。‘低风险’ 并不意味着 ‘没有风险’。全年预防和年度检测不再是可选的——它们是基础。”</p>
<p><strong>一体健康早期预警系统</strong> 除了保护宠物，CAPC 的预测还作为有价值的一体健康早期预警系统。当在犬只中检测到新的蜱虫传播病原体时，表明这些传播性病原体对公共健康的共享和不断演变的风险——强化了为什么持续的全国监测至关重要。</p>
<p>“CAPC 的预测独特而可信，因为它们基于异常庞大的现实世界诊断数据，”<strong>CAPC 执行董事克里斯·卡彭特（Chris Carpenter, DVM, MBA）</strong> 表示。“当犬只接触蜱虫传播病原体的风险上升时，通常也表明人类周围的传播活动在加剧。保护宠物就是保护家庭。通过利用这些预测，兽医可以预见风险，而不是被动应对。”</p>
<p><strong>全年预防和年度检测仍然至关重要</strong> CAPC 强调，常规的诊断检测仍然是兽医了解寄生虫疾病地方性风险的最可靠方式。预测地图通过显示预防措施有效的地方、存在的空白和风险出现的地方，补充了检测工作。</p>
<p>在历史上流行和新兴地区日益增加的威胁凸显了全年施用寄生虫预防药物的重要性。在病原体传播发生之前，持续、全年使用能够驱赶和/或杀死蜱虫和蚊子的产品仍然是预防的基石。</p>
<p>“2026 年对兽医来说最重要的启示是：保持主动，” Reif 博士补充道。“每年进行检测，推荐持续的全年预防，并利用当地监测数据指导你的寄生虫控制计划。”</p>
<p><strong>免费本地预测工具</strong> 除了年度预测，CAPC 还提供：</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>30 天寄生虫预测地图</strong> 可在 www.PetDiseaseAlerts.org 上查看，提供每月县级预测，允许兽医和宠物主人跟踪当地新兴威胁</li>
<li><strong>每日跳蚤预测</strong>，同样可在 www.PetDiseaseAlerts.org 上查看，基于环境条件显示美国各地的实时跳蚤活动</li>
</ul>
<p>这些工具帮助兽医和宠物主人根据当地寄生虫风险和新兴威胁量身定制预防策略。</p>
<p><strong>关于伴侣动物寄生虫委员会</strong> 伴侣动物寄生虫委员会（CAPC）是一个独立的非营利组织，由寄生虫学家、兽医以及医学、公共卫生和其他专业人士组成，提供有关最佳控制威胁宠物和人类健康的内外寄生虫的信息。CAPC 成立于 2002 年，致力于帮助兽医专业人士和宠物主人制定最佳的寄生虫管理实践，以保护宠物免受寄生虫感染，并减少人畜共患病传播的风险。访问：www.capcvet.org</p>
<p>来源：伴侣动物寄生虫委员会</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://rt.prnewswire.com/rt.gif/query-RGF0ZUlkPTIwMjYwMzIzJk5ld3NJdGVtSWQ9Q0cxNjI2OSZUcmFuc21pc3Npb25fSWQ9MjAyNjAzMjMwOTA1UFJfTkVXU19VU1BSX19fX19DRzE2MjY5?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://rt.prnewswire.com/rt.gif/query-RGF0ZUlkPTIwMjYwMzIzJk5ld3NJdGVtSWQ9Q0cxNjI2OSZUcmFuc21pc3Npb25fSWQ9MjAyNjAzMjMwOTA1UFJfTkVXU19VU1BSX19fX19DRzE2MjY5"/></p>

<p>伴侣动物寄生虫委员会（CAPC）发布了 2026 年宠物寄生虫预测，指出莱姆病、嗜血细胞病、无形体病和心丝虫等媒介传播疾病在美国的扩散。预测显示，之前被认为是低风险的地区风险将增加，强调了全年预防和检测宠物的必要性。报告强调了宠物与人类健康的相互关联，呼吁兽医根据环境因素驱动的疾病模式变化调整疫苗接种策略和预防措施</p>

<p>New National Forecast Signals Expanding Vector-Borne Disease Risk for Dogs – with Implications for Human Health and a 94%+ Accurate Early Warning System</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>新的国家预测显示犬类传播性疾病风险扩大——对人类健康的影响以及 94% 以上准确的早期预警系统</p>
</div><p>, /PRNewswire/ -- The Companion Animal Parasite Council (CAPC) – the leading authority on vector-borne diseases affecting pets and people – today released its 2026 Pet Parasite Forecast, projecting continued geographic expansion of Lyme disease, ehrlichiosis, anaplasmosis and heartworm risk across the United States – including growth in areas once considered low or moderate risk.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>, /PRNewswire/ -- 宠物寄生虫委员会（CAPC）——影响宠物和人类的传播性疾病的权威机构——今天发布了 2026 年宠物寄生虫预测，预计莱姆病、嗜血细胞增多症、无形体病和心丝虫风险将在美国继续地理扩展——包括曾被认为是低风险或中等风险的地区的增长。</p>
</div><p>The CAPC annual forecasts are designed to predict what veterinarians and diagnostic laboratories will find when testing dogs for these diseases in 2026. Historically, CAPC's forecasts have achieved <strong>94% accuracy</strong> when validated against reported nationwide diagnostic results throughout the year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>CAPC 的年度预测旨在预测兽医和诊断实验室在 2026 年检测犬只时会发现的情况。历史上，CAPC 的预测在与全国报告的诊断结果进行验证时，准确率达到了 <strong>94%</strong>。</p>
</div><p>Built on more than a decade of disease surveillance and analysis of over 10 million veterinary diagnostic test results per disease each year, CAPC's precise forecasts serve as a national and county-level early warning system. They offer critical insight not only for veterinarians, but for broader public health as well.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>基于十多年的疾病监测和每年超过 1000 万份兽医诊断测试结果的分析，CAPC 的精确预测作为国家和县级的早期预警系统。它们不仅为兽医提供了关键见解，也为更广泛的公共卫生提供了重要信息。</p>
</div><p>&#34;Vector-borne disease risk continues to expand – and not in straight lines,&#34; said <strong>Kathryn E. Reif, MSPH, PhD, Associate Professor in Parasitology at Auburn University, CAPC Board Member and lead author of the 2026 forecast</strong>. &#34;Land use changes, pet travel, wildlife dynamics, and climate-driven warming and extreme weather are accelerating shifts in where and when these vectors spread. These 2026 forecasts are forward-looking tools, built to predict what clinics and labs will see this year. They help veterinarians strengthen year-round prevention efforts, tailor vaccination strategies based on local risk, and reinforce annual testing – keeping pets safe from these potentially fatal diseases.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“传播性疾病风险继续扩大——而且不是沿着直线，”<strong>阿伯丁大学寄生虫学副教授、CAPC 董事会成员及 2026 年预测的主要作者凯瑟琳·E·赖夫（Kathryn E. Reif, MSPH, PhD）</strong> 表示。“土地使用变化、宠物旅行、野生动物动态以及气候驱动的变暖和极端天气正在加速这些传播媒介的扩散。这些 2026 年的预测是前瞻性工具，旨在预测诊所和实验室今年将看到的情况。它们帮助兽医加强全年预防工作，根据当地风险量身定制疫苗接种策略，并强化年度检测——保护宠物免受这些潜在致命疾病的侵害。”</p>
</div><p>Nowhere is this expansion more evident than in the continued spread of Lyme disease.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这种扩展在莱姆病的持续传播中表现得尤为明显。</p>
</div><p><strong>Lyme Disease: Expansion Beyond Historic Hotspots</strong> Blacklegged ticks, the primary vectors of Lyme disease, continue to expand geographically. While the Upper Midwest and Northeast remain high-risk regions, the 2026 forecast projects notable expansion across Ohio, Kentucky, West Virginia, Tennessee, North Carolina, Indiana, Illinois and Michigan – with sustained risk spreading westward into the Northern Plains.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>莱姆病：超越历史热点的扩展</strong> 黑腿蜱，莱姆病的主要传播媒介，继续在地理上扩展。尽管上中西部和东北部仍然是高风险地区，但 2026 年预测显示，俄亥俄州、肯塔基州、西弗吉尼亚州、田纳西州、北卡罗来纳州、印第安纳州、伊利诺伊州和密歇根州的风险显著扩展——风险持续向西扩展至北平原地区。</p>
</div><p>Areas where dogs face higher Lyme risk closely mirror where people contract Lyme disease – reinforcing the One Health connection between pets, people and the environment.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>犬只面临更高莱姆风险的地区与人类感染莱姆病的地区高度重合——强化了宠物、人类与环境之间的 “一体健康” 联系。</p>
</div><p>&#34;Dogs are sentinels for human health,&#34; said <strong>Craig Prior, BVSc, CVJ</strong>, <strong>CAPC Board Member</strong>. &#34;When we see rising Lyme, ehrlichiosis or anaplasmosis risk in dogs, it often reflects the same environmental pressures affecting people. Parasites are dynamic and ever-changing – and they're on the move, potentially to a backyard near you. If we don't know the risks in our own backyards, we can't properly protect pets or their families.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“犬只是人类健康的哨兵，”<strong>克雷格·普赖尔（Craig Prior, BVSc, CVJ）</strong>，<strong>CAPC 董事会成员</strong> 表示。“当我们看到犬只中莱姆病、嗜血细胞增多症或无形体病风险上升时，通常反映出影响人类的相同环境压力。寄生虫是动态且不断变化的——它们正在移动，可能会出现在你家附近的后院。如果我们不知道自己后院的风险，就无法妥善保护宠物或它们的家庭。”</p>
</div><p>In areas where Lyme risk is rising, veterinarians should strengthen tick prevention and reassess vaccination strategies now – not after cases climb.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在莱姆风险上升的地区，兽医应加强蜱虫预防，并立即重新评估疫苗接种策略——而不是在病例上升后再行动。</p>
</div><p><strong>Heartworm: Persistent Risk and Northward Spread</strong> Heartworm disease, transmitted by mosquitoes, remains entrenched in the Southeastern United States, with continued spread northward along the Mississippi River corridor and up the Atlantic coast.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>心丝虫：持续风险与北向传播</strong> 心丝虫病由蚊子传播，仍在美国东南部扎根，风险持续向北扩展，沿密西西比河走廊和大西洋沿岸传播。</p>
</div><p>The forecast also highlights consistent pockets of elevated heartworm risk in parts of the Mountain West and Northern California – regions not traditionally considered endemic. Movement of infected dogs, expanding mosquito habitats, urban development, and inconsistent preventive use continue to drive transmission.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>预测还强调了在部分山区西部和北加州的心丝虫风险持续存在——这些地区传统上不被认为是地方性地区。感染犬只的移动、扩展的蚊子栖息地、城市发展和不一致的预防使用继续推动传播。</p>
</div><p><strong>Ehrlichiosis and Anaplasmosis: Expanding Tick Ranges, Expanding Risk</strong> Ehrlichiosis and anaplasmosis risk continues to expand as lone star ticks and brown dog ticks extend their geographic ranges. CAPC's 2026 forecast projects:</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>嗜血细胞增多症和无形体病：蜱虫范围扩展，风险增加</strong> 随着孤星蜱和棕色犬蜱扩展其地理范围，嗜血细胞增多症和无形体病的风险继续扩大。CAPC 的 2026 年预测显示：</p>
</div><ul>
<li>Sustained high ehrlichiosis risk across the Southeast, Southwest, and south-central United States</li>
<li>Continued northward expansion of lone star ticks into the Upper Midwest and New England</li>
<li>Increasing brown dog tick-associated risk in the Southwest and Mountain West</li>
<li>Parallel rises in anaplasmosis risk in regions experiencing Lyme expansion</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>东南部、西南部和中南部美国持续高风险的嗜血细胞增多症</li>
<li>孤星蜱持续向上中西部和新英格兰扩展</li>
<li>西南部和山区西部的棕色犬蜱相关风险增加</li>
<li>在经历莱姆扩展的地区，无形体病风险平行上升</li>
</ul>
</div><p>Because multiple tick species transmit these pathogens – and brown dog ticks can live indoors – transmission can occur year-round in many areas.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>由于多种蜱虫物种传播这些病原体——而且棕色犬蜱可以在室内生存——在许多地区传播可以全年发生。</p>
</div><p>&#34;In 2026, the message is clear: vector-borne disease risk is expanding,&#34; said Dr. Prior. &#34;Ticks don't feed 365 days a year, but they do feed 12 months a year. 'Low risk' does not mean 'no risk.' Year-round prevention and annual testing are no longer optional – they're foundational.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“在 2026 年，信息很明确：传播性疾病风险正在扩大，” 普赖尔博士表示。“蜱虫并不是全年 365 天都在吸血，但它们确实在每个月都在吸血。‘低风险’ 并不意味着 ‘没有风险’。全年预防和年度检测不再是可选的——它们是基础。”</p>
</div><p><strong>A One Health Early Warning System</strong> Beyond protecting pets, CAPC's forecasts serve as a valuable One Health early warning system. When new tick-borne pathogens are detected in dogs, it signals shared and evolving public health risk to these vector-borne pathogens as well – reinforcing why continuous, nationwide surveillance is essential.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>一体健康早期预警系统</strong> 除了保护宠物，CAPC 的预测还作为有价值的一体健康早期预警系统。当在犬只中检测到新的蜱虫传播病原体时，表明这些传播性病原体对公共健康的共享和不断演变的风险——强化了为什么持续的全国监测至关重要。</p>
</div><p>&#34;CAPC's forecasts are uniquely credible because they're grounded in exceptionally large, real-world diagnostic data,&#34; said <strong>Chris Carpenter, DVM, MBA</strong>, <strong>Executive Director of CAPC</strong>. &#34;When canine exposure to tick-borne pathogens rises, it often signals intensifying vector activity around people as well. Protecting the pet is protecting the family. By leveraging these forecasts, veterinarians can anticipate risk rather than react to it.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“CAPC 的预测独特而可信，因为它们基于异常庞大的现实世界诊断数据，”<strong>CAPC 执行董事克里斯·卡彭特（Chris Carpenter, DVM, MBA）</strong> 表示。“当犬只接触蜱虫传播病原体的风险上升时，通常也表明人类周围的传播活动在加剧。保护宠物就是保护家庭。通过利用这些预测，兽医可以预见风险，而不是被动应对。”</p>
</div><p><strong>Year-Round Prevention and Annual Testing Remain Essential</strong> CAPC emphasizes that routine diagnostic testing remains the most reliable way for veterinarians to understand local risk of parasitic diseases. The forecast maps complement testing efforts by showing where prevention is working, where gaps exist and where risk is emerging.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>全年预防和年度检测仍然至关重要</strong> CAPC 强调，常规的诊断检测仍然是兽医了解寄生虫疾病地方性风险的最可靠方式。预测地图通过显示预防措施有效的地方、存在的空白和风险出现的地方，补充了检测工作。</p>
</div><p>Increasing threats in both historically endemic and newly emerging regions underscore the importance of administering parasite preventatives year-round. Consistent, year-round use of products that repel and/or kill ticks and mosquitoes before pathogen transmission occurs remains the cornerstone of prevention.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在历史上流行和新兴地区日益增加的威胁凸显了全年施用寄生虫预防药物的重要性。在病原体传播发生之前，持续、全年使用能够驱赶和/或杀死蜱虫和蚊子的产品仍然是预防的基石。</p>
</div><p>&#34;The most important takeaway for veterinarians in 2026 is this: Stay proactive,&#34; added Dr. Reif. &#34;Test annually, recommend consistent year-round prevention, and use local surveillance data to guide your parasite control programs.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“2026 年对兽医来说最重要的启示是：保持主动，” Reif 博士补充道。“每年进行检测，推荐持续的全年预防，并利用当地监测数据指导你的寄生虫控制计划。”</p>
</div><p><strong>Free Local Forecast Tools</strong> In addition to the annual forecast, CAPC provides:</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>免费本地预测工具</strong> 除了年度预测，CAPC 还提供：</p>
</div><ul>
<li><strong>30-Day Parasite Forecast Maps</strong> at www.PetDiseaseAlerts.org offer monthly county-level projections that allow veterinarians and pet owners to track emerging threats locally</li>
<li><strong>Daily Flea Forecasts,</strong> also available at www.PetDiseaseAlerts.org, display real-time flea activity across the United States based on environmental conditions</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><strong>30 天寄生虫预测地图</strong> 可在 www.PetDiseaseAlerts.org 上查看，提供每月县级预测，允许兽医和宠物主人跟踪当地新兴威胁</li>
<li><strong>每日跳蚤预测</strong>，同样可在 www.PetDiseaseAlerts.org 上查看，基于环境条件显示美国各地的实时跳蚤活动</li>
</ul>
</div><p>Together, these tools help veterinarians and pet owners tailor prevention strategies to local parasite risk and emerging threats.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这些工具帮助兽医和宠物主人根据当地寄生虫风险和新兴威胁量身定制预防策略。</p>
</div><p><strong>About the Companion Animal Parasite Council</strong> The Companion Animal Parasite Council (CAPC) is an independent not-for-profit organization comprised of parasitologists, veterinarians, as well as medical, public health and other professionals, who provide information for the optimal control of internal and external parasites that threaten the health of pets and people. Formed in 2002, CAPC works to help veterinary professionals and pet owners develop the best practices in parasite management that protect pets from parasitic infections and reduce the risk of zoonotic disease transmission. Visit: www.capcvet.org</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>关于伴侣动物寄生虫委员会</strong> 伴侣动物寄生虫委员会（CAPC）是一个独立的非营利组织，由寄生虫学家、兽医以及医学、公共卫生和其他专业人士组成，提供有关最佳控制威胁宠物和人类健康的内外寄生虫的信息。CAPC 成立于 2002 年，致力于帮助兽医专业人士和宠物主人制定最佳的寄生虫管理实践，以保护宠物免受寄生虫感染，并减少人畜共患病传播的风险。访问：www.capcvet.org</p>
</div><p>SOURCE Companion Animal Parasite Council</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：伴侣动物寄生虫委员会</p>
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2026 年宠物寄生虫预测刚刚发布：传播媒介的扩展、新兴热点以及全年风险的新纪元