<p>美国总统 <strong>唐纳德·特朗普</strong> 将于 5 月 14 日和 15 日访问北京，与中国国家主席 <strong>习近平</strong> 举行峰会，此次长期计划的行程因美以战争与伊朗的冲突而推迟。习近平也将在今年晚些时候的一个日期对华盛顿进行回访。</p><p>“我非常期待与习近平主席共度时光，这将是一个我相信的重大事件，” 特朗普在周三的 Truth Social 上写道。</p><figure class="image"><img src="https://pub.pbkrs.com/uploads/2026/8721bda2d61c6a492a0784946544a4ec?x-oss-process=style/lg" alt="" width="1024" height="805" original-src="https://pub.pbkrs.com/uploads/2026/8721bda2d61c6a492a0784946544a4ec"/></figure><h2 id="wdoox58w"><strong>一场改变规则的战争</strong></h2><p>特朗普原定于 3 月 31 日抵达北京。由于美国和以色列于 2 月 28 日对伊朗发动袭击，导致该国最高领袖阿亚图拉 <strong>阿里·哈梅内伊</strong> 被杀，这次行程被搁置。伊朗对以色列和美国盟友的海湾国家进行了报复，并有效关闭了霍尔木兹海峡——全球石油和液化天然气运输的关键瓶颈——引发了全球燃料危机。</p><p>白宫新闻秘书 <strong>卡罗琳·莱维特</strong> 周三确认，特朗普与习近平就行程延误进行了直接沟通，习近平 “理解总统在当前这些战斗行动中到场是非常重要的。”</p><h2 id="xb9ujiy0w"><strong>5 月日期的意义</strong></h2><p>伊朗战争是否能在峰会前结束仍是一个悬而未决的问题，白宫对此并未明确表态。当被问及 5 月中旬是否意味着战争将会减缓时，莱维特表示：“我们一直估计大约需要四到六周。所以你可以自己算一下。”</p><p>在 <strong>Polygon</strong> 基于 (CRYPTO: POL) <strong>Polymarket</strong> 的预测市场上，交易者押注特朗普访问习近平之前，伊朗会停火的概率为 60%。截至周四早些时候，已有约 42,000 美元的资金投入该预测。</p><h2 id="b197kiuid"><strong>可能达成善意协议，艰难的谈判则不太可能</strong></h2><p>此次峰会将是特朗普与习近平自去年 10 月在韩国的亚太经济合作会议以来的首次面对面会晤，双方在会议上达成了贸易休战。然而，这一休战现在看起来脆弱。2 月份的 最高法院裁决 限制了特朗普征收关税的权力，剥夺了他与美国第三大贸易伙伴谈判的关键杠杆。此后，他依赖于另一项法律权力下的 10% 的临时普遍征税。</p><p>预计双方将在农业和飞机零部件方面达成善意协议。对于出口管制、稀土和提议的双边贸易执法机制等更棘手的问题，承诺则不多。</p><p>台湾也 reportedly 将在议程上。特朗普在第二任期内显著扩大了对该岛的美国武器销售，激怒了声称台湾是其领土的北京。</p><h2 id="02iz16kns"><strong>北京不愿触碰的霍尔木兹问题</strong></h2><p>伊朗战争也使中国在峰会前处于困难境地。2026 年前两个月，中国每天进口约 1200 万桶石油，居全球之首，霍尔木兹海峡的关闭对北京构成直接经济威胁。</p><p>特朗普特别要求中国施压德黑兰重新开放水道。北京尚未直接回应，这一请求可能会在访问期间悬而未决。</p><p><i>图片来源于 Shutterstock</i></p>

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<p>特朗普总统定于 5 月 14 日至 15 日在北京与中国国家主席习近平会晤，此次会晤因美以战争与伊朗的冲突而推迟。主要议题包括贸易、台湾以及霍尔木兹海峡的关闭，这对全球石油供应产生了影响。此次峰会是他们自去年十月以来的首次面对面会谈，预计将在农业和飞机零部件方面达成善意协议，但更棘手的问题仍未解决。伊朗冲突的结果可能会影响峰会的背景，预计在会议之前可能会出现停火的情况</p>

<p>President <strong>Donald Trump</strong> will travel to Beijing on May 14 and 15 for a summit with Chinese President <strong>Xi Jinping</strong>, after the long-planned trip was delayed by the U.S.-Israel war with Iran. Xi will also make a reciprocal visit to Washington at a date to be announced later this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国总统 <strong>唐纳德·特朗普</strong> 将于 5 月 14 日和 15 日访问北京，与中国国家主席 <strong>习近平</strong> 举行峰会，此次长期计划的行程因美以战争与伊朗的冲突而推迟。习近平也将在今年晚些时候的一个日期对华盛顿进行回访。</p>
</div><p>“I look very much forward to spending time with President Xi in what will be, I am sure, a Monumental Event,” Trump wrote on Truth Social Wednesday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“我非常期待与习近平主席共度时光，这将是一个我相信的重大事件，” 特朗普在周三的 Truth Social 上写道。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/26045257/Screenshot-2026-03-26-at-14.21.47-1024x805.png" alt="" original-src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/26045257/Screenshot-2026-03-26-at-14.21.47-1024x805.png"/></p>
<h2><strong>A War That Moved Goalposts</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>一场改变规则的战争</strong></h2>
</div><p>Trump was originally scheduled to arrive in Beijing on March 31. That trip was shelved after the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Iran on February 28, killing the country’s supreme leader Ayatollah <strong>Ali Khamenei</strong>. Iran retaliated against Israel and U.S.-allied Gulf states and effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz — the critical chokepoint for global oil and LNG shipments — triggering a worldwide fuel crisis.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普原定于 3 月 31 日抵达北京。由于美国和以色列于 2 月 28 日对伊朗发动袭击，导致该国最高领袖阿亚图拉 <strong>阿里·哈梅内伊</strong> 被杀，这次行程被搁置。伊朗对以色列和美国盟友的海湾国家进行了报复，并有效关闭了霍尔木兹海峡——全球石油和液化天然气运输的关键瓶颈——引发了全球燃料危机。</p>
</div><p>White House press secretary <strong>Karoline Leavitt</strong> confirmed on Wednesday that Trump and Xi had spoken directly about the delay, and that Xi “understood that it’s very important for the president to be here throughout these combat operations right now.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>白宫新闻秘书 <strong>卡罗琳·莱维特</strong> 周三确认，特朗普与习近平就行程延误进行了直接沟通，习近平 “理解总统在当前这些战斗行动中到场是非常重要的。”</p>
</div><h2><strong>What The May Dates Mean</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>5 月日期的意义</strong></h2>
</div><p>Whether the Iran war wraps up in time for the summit is an open question, and the White House isn’t quite saying. When pressed on Wednesday on whether mid-May implied the war would be winding down, Leavitt offered: “We’ve always estimated approximately four to six weeks. So you could do the math on that.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>伊朗战争是否能在峰会前结束仍是一个悬而未决的问题，白宫对此并未明确表态。当被问及 5 月中旬是否意味着战争将会减缓时，莱维特表示：“我们一直估计大约需要四到六周。所以你可以自己算一下。”</p>
</div><p>On <strong>Polygon</strong>-based (CRYPTO: POL) <strong>Polymarket</strong>, prediction market traders are betting on a 60% chance that there will be a ceasefire in Iran before Trump visits Xi. About $42,000 has been placed on the best as of early Thursday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 <strong>Polygon</strong> 基于 (CRYPTO: POL) <strong>Polymarket</strong> 的预测市场上，交易者押注特朗普访问习近平之前，伊朗会停火的概率为 60%。截至周四早些时候，已有约 42,000 美元的资金投入该预测。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Goodwill Deals Likely, Hard Bargains Less So</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>可能达成善意协议，艰难的谈判则不太可能</strong></h2>
</div><p>The summit will be the first face-to-face between Trump and Xi since their October APEC meeting in South Korea, where the two sides agreed on a trade truce. That truce now looks fragile. A February Supreme Court ruling curtailed Trump’s power to impose tariffs, stripping him of a key negotiating lever with America’s third-largest trading partner. He has since relied on a stopgap 10% across-the-board levy under a different legal authority.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此次峰会将是特朗普与习近平自去年 10 月在韩国的亚太经济合作会议以来的首次面对面会晤，双方在会议上达成了贸易休战。然而，这一休战现在看起来脆弱。2 月份的 最高法院裁决 限制了特朗普征收关税的权力，剥夺了他与美国第三大贸易伙伴谈判的关键杠杆。此后，他依赖于另一项法律权力下的 10% 的临时普遍征税。</p>
</div><p>Both sides are expected to reach goodwill agreements on agriculture and aircraft parts. Little is promised on harder issues like export controls, rare earths, and a proposed bilateral trade enforcement mechanism.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>预计双方将在农业和飞机零部件方面达成善意协议。对于出口管制、稀土和提议的双边贸易执法机制等更棘手的问题，承诺则不多。</p>
</div><p>Taiwan will also reportedly be on the agenda. Trump has significantly expanded U.S. arms sales to the island during his second term, angering Beijing, which claims Taiwan as its own territory.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>台湾也 reportedly 将在议程上。特朗普在第二任期内显著扩大了对该岛的美国武器销售，激怒了声称台湾是其领土的北京。</p>
</div><h2><strong>The Hormuz Problem Beijing Won’t Touch</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>北京不愿触碰的霍尔木兹问题</strong></h2>
</div><p>The Iran war has also put China in a difficult position heading into the summit. China imported roughly 12 million barrels of oil per day in the first two months of 2026 — the most in the world — making the Strait of Hormuz closure a direct economic threat to Beijing.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>伊朗战争也使中国在峰会前处于困难境地。2026 年前两个月，中国每天进口约 1200 万桶石油，居全球之首，霍尔木兹海峡的关闭对北京构成直接经济威胁。</p>
</div><p>Trump has specifically asked China to help pressure Tehran into reopening the waterway. Beijing has not responded directly, and that request is likely to hang over the visit.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普特别要求中国施压德黑兰重新开放水道。北京尚未直接回应，这一请求可能会在访问期间悬而未决。</p>
</div><p><em>Image via Shutterstock</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图片来源于 Shutterstock</em></p>
</div>

Trump-Xi Jinping China Summit Locked In For May As Iran War Reshapes Agenda: What's On The Cards?

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特朗普与习近平的中国峰会已确定在五月举行，伊朗战争正在重塑议程：有哪些议题在讨论中？