<p>根据 <strong>Alex Pruden</strong>，Project 11 的首席执行官，加密货币行业在面对量子计算威胁时，危险地缺乏准备。</p>
<p>在周三的《万街之狼》播客 中，Pruden 详细分析了量子计算机如何解构 <strong>比特币</strong> 的基础加密技术，约 670 万个 BTC 面临被盗的风险。</p>
<h3>谷歌的突破：改变规则</h3>
<p>当前恐慌的催化剂是一篇由谷歌发布的研究论文，该论文概述了攻击者如何比之前认为的更快且用更少的资源破解比特币的私钥。</p>
<p>“这篇论文实际上是关于降低门槛或将规则改变得更近，” Pruden 解释道。</p>
<p>“如果你查看比特币的密码学家，特别是查看我们的架构并做一些技巧，你可以将那个门槛降低得非常低。”</p>
<p>谷歌的论文建议，优化后的量子计算机可以在大约 9 分钟内破解一个私钥——稍微快于比特币平均 10 分钟的区块时间。</p>
<p>这意味着量子攻击者理论上可以在交易处于内存池时看到交易，破解私钥，并在原始交易被确认之前盗取资金。</p>
<p>之前的估计认为，破解比特币需要一个拥有 1000 亿逻辑操作的大型量子计算机。</p>
<p>谷歌论文中提出的新算法只需要 700 万次操作。</p>
<h3>黑客是如何工作的：走 “错误的方向”</h3>
<p>比特币是通过公钥密码学来保护的，特别依赖于一个叫做 “离散对数问题” 的数学概念。</p>
<p>在当前的范式中，它运作如同单行道：私钥生成公钥（和地址）。你可以将你的公共地址分享给任何人，经典计算机从该地址反向工程出你的私钥在数学上是不可能的。</p>
<p>量子计算机通过 “量子比特” 拥有超能力，这使它们能够同时处理多个可能性，而不是线性处理。</p>
<p>“量子计算机让你可以走你不应该走的路，” Pruden 指出。通过使用一种叫做 Shor 算法的算法，量子计算机可以从暴露的公钥推导出底层的私钥。</p>
<p>一旦量子攻击者拥有私钥，他们实际上就拥有了比特币。“如果我拥有你的私钥，我就拥有你的比特币。就是这样，” Pruden 说。“没有双重身份验证。天空中没有闪烁的霓虹灯显示 ‘Alex 是量子对手’。它在世界上看起来就像你失去了对你密钥的控制。”</p>
<h3>加密行业现在必须做什么</h3>
<p>虽然 Pruden 强调目前并不存在一个在密码学上相关的量子计算机，但他认为行业必须立即开始迁移，因为过渡的复杂性。</p>
<p>比特币的后量子升级可能需要一次硬分叉和交易数据大小的大幅增加。</p>
<p>“我们不必相信在未来五年内量子计算机 100% 确定会到来，” Pruden 警告说。“我们只需要相信有一些不可忽视的机会。我们不能冒这个风险。”</p>

ARBKF

ARBK

GLXY

<p>Project 11 的首席执行官 Alex Pruden 警告称，加密货币行业尚未为量子计算威胁做好准备，这可能使 670 万个比特币面临风险。最近的一篇谷歌研究论文表明，优化后的量子计算机可以在大约 9 分钟内破解比特币的私钥，速度远快于之前的估计。这一脆弱性源于公钥密码学的使用，量子计算机可以利用 Shor 算法进行攻击。Pruden 强调，尽管目前没有相关的量子计算机存在，行业仍需开始向后量子密码学过渡，以降低这些风险</p>

<p>According to <strong>Alex Pruden</strong>, CEO of Project 11, the cryptocurrency industry is dangerously unprepared for quantum computing as a threat.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>根据 <strong>Alex Pruden</strong>，Project 11 的首席执行官，加密货币行业在面对量子计算威胁时，危险地缺乏准备。</p>
</div><p>In an interview on the Wolf of All Streets podcast Wednesday, Pruden broke down the exact mechanics of how a quantum computer could unravel <strong>Bitcoin</strong>‘s (CRYPTO: BTC) foundational cryptography, putting approximately 6.7 million BTC at risk of theft.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在周三的《万街之狼》播客 中，Pruden 详细分析了量子计算机如何解构 <strong>比特币</strong> 的基础加密技术，约 670 万个 BTC 面临被盗的风险。</p>
</div><h3>The Google Breakthrough: Moving The Goalposts</h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3>谷歌的突破：改变规则</h3>
</div><p>The catalyst for the current panic is a research paper published by Google, which outlines how attackers could crack Bitcoin’s private keys much faster — and with significantly fewer resources — than previously believed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>当前恐慌的催化剂是一篇由谷歌发布的研究论文，该论文概述了攻击者如何比之前认为的更快且用更少的资源破解比特币的私钥。</p>
</div><p>“This paper is really about lowering the bar or moving the goalposts closer,” Pruden explained.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“这篇论文实际上是关于降低门槛或将规则改变得更近，” Pruden 解释道。</p>
</div><p>“If you look at the cryptographers for Bitcoin and specifically look at our architecture and do a bunch of tricks, you can lower that bar way down.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“如果你查看比特币的密码学家，特别是查看我们的架构并做一些技巧，你可以将那个门槛降低得非常低。”</p>
</div><p>The Google paper suggests that an optimized quantum computer could crack a private key in roughly 9 minutes — slightly faster than Bitcoin’s average 10-minute block time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>谷歌的论文建议，优化后的量子计算机可以在大约 9 分钟内破解一个私钥——稍微快于比特币平均 10 分钟的区块时间。</p>
</div><p>This means a quantum attacker could theoretically see a transaction in the mempool, crack the private key, and steal the funds before the original transaction is confirmed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这意味着量子攻击者理论上可以在交易处于内存池时看到交易，破解私钥，并在原始交易被确认之前盗取资金。</p>
</div><p>Previous estimates suggested it would take a massive quantum computer with 100 billion logical operations to break Bitcoin.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>之前的估计认为，破解比特币需要一个拥有 1000 亿逻辑操作的大型量子计算机。</p>
</div><p>The new algorithm proposed in the Google paper requires only 7 million operations.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>谷歌论文中提出的新算法只需要 700 万次操作。</p>
</div><h3>How The Hack Works: Going “The Wrong Way”</h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3>黑客是如何工作的：走 “错误的方向”</h3>
</div><p>Bitcoin is secured by public key cryptography, specifically relying on a mathematical concept called the “discrete log problem.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特币是通过公钥密码学来保护的，特别依赖于一个叫做 “离散对数问题” 的数学概念。</p>
</div><p>In the current paradigm, it operates as a one-way street: a private key generates a public key (and an address). You can share your public address with anyone, and it is mathematically impossible for a classical computer to reverse-engineer your private key from that address.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在当前的范式中，它运作如同单行道：私钥生成公钥（和地址）。你可以将你的公共地址分享给任何人，经典计算机从该地址反向工程出你的私钥在数学上是不可能的。</p>
</div><p>Quantum computers possess superpowers via “qubits,” which allow them to process multiple possibilities simultaneously rather than linearly.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>量子计算机通过 “量子比特” 拥有超能力，这使它们能够同时处理多个可能性，而不是线性处理。</p>
</div><p>“What quantum computers let you do is go the way you’re not supposed to go,” Pruden noted. By using an algorithm called Shor’s Algorithm, a quantum computer can take an exposed public key and derive the underlying private key.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“量子计算机让你可以走你不应该走的路，” Pruden 指出。通过使用一种叫做 Shor 算法的算法，量子计算机可以从暴露的公钥推导出底层的私钥。</p>
</div><p>Once a quantum attacker has the private key, they effectively own the Bitcoin. “If I have your private key, I own your Bitcoin. That’s it,” Pruden said. “There’s no two-factor authentication. There’s not a flashing neon sign in the sky that says ‘Alex is the quantum adversary.’ It’s just going to look to the world like you lost control of your key.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一旦量子攻击者拥有私钥，他们实际上就拥有了比特币。“如果我拥有你的私钥，我就拥有你的比特币。就是这样，” Pruden 说。“没有双重身份验证。天空中没有闪烁的霓虹灯显示 ‘Alex 是量子对手’。它在世界上看起来就像你失去了对你密钥的控制。”</p>
</div><h3>What The Crypto Industry Must Do Now</h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3>加密行业现在必须做什么</h3>
</div><p>While Pruden stresses that a cryptographically relevant quantum computer does not exist today, he argues the industry must begin migrating immediately due to the complexity of the transition.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>虽然 Pruden 强调目前并不存在一个在密码学上相关的量子计算机，但他认为行业必须立即开始迁移，因为过渡的复杂性。</p>
</div><p>A post-quantum upgrade for Bitcoin would likely require a hard fork and massive increases in transaction data sizes.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特币的后量子升级可能需要一次硬分叉和交易数据大小的大幅增加。</p>
</div><p>“We don’t have to believe that it’s 100% certain that a quantum computer is coming in the next five years,” Pruden warned. “We just have to believe that there’s some non-negligible chance. We just can’t take the risk that we’re wrong here.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“我们不必相信在未来五年内量子计算机 100% 确定会到来，” Pruden 警告说。“我们只需要相信有一些不可忽视的机会。我们不能冒这个风险。”</p>
</div>

6.7 Million Bitcoin Face A 9-Minute Quantum Threat And Nobody's Watching, Crypto Exec Warns

- 项目 11 的首席执行官 Alex Pruden 指出，密码货币行业对量子计算威胁严重缺乏准备。  
- 量子计算机可能在约 9 分钟内破译比特币的私钥，面临 670 万 BTC 的被盗风险。  
- Pruden 呼吁行业立即迁移以应对量子威胁，尽管相关的量子计算机尚未出现。

benzinga_article

Argo Blockchain plc

Argo Blockchain

Galaxy Digital

Bitfarms Canada

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust BTC - ETF

Riot Platforms

Marathon Digital

Coinbase

CoinShares Bitcoin ETF

iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF

2 倍做多 COIN ETF - GraniteShares

ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF

Grayscale Bitcoin Miners ETF

Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF

COIN 周收益 ETF - Roundhill

Bitwise Bitcoin ETF

WisdomTree Bitcoin Fund

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund - ETF

Franklin Bitcoin ETF

Bitwise MARA Option Income Strategy ETF

Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF

Bitwise Bitcoin Std Corporations ETF

YieldMax COIN Option Income Strategy ETF

2 倍做多加密货币行业 ETF - Direxion

2 倍做多 Coinbase ETF - Leverage Shares

Invesco Alerian Galaxy Crypto Economy ETF

2 倍做多 MARA ETF - GraniteShares

Global X Blockchain ETF

Keel Infrastructure

加密行业高管警告称，670 万比特币正面临 9 分钟的量子威胁，但无人关注