<p>在美国与伊朗战争持续的背景下，日本日经 225 指数在日本银行（BoJ）公布利率决策后小幅下滑。周四，该指数跌至 59,920 日元，较年初至今的高点 60,592 日元略有下降。</p>
<p><strong>日本银行利率决策</strong></p>
<p>日本股市因市场参与者对最新的 BoJ 利率决策进行反思而回落，官员们决定维持利率不变，这也是大多数分析师所预期的。他们将利率维持在 30 年来的最高水平 0.75%。</p>
<p>日经 225 指数下跌的主要原因是此次会议上更多官员投票支持加息。三名成员投票支持加息 0.25%，而之前只有两名。</p>
<p>因此，人们担心该银行最终会在今年晚些时候决定加息，因为通胀持续上升。</p>
<p>日本经济面临的最大风险是过去几个月能源价格飙升，布伦特原油和西德克萨斯中质油（WTI）分别上涨至 109 美元和 97 美元。</p>
<p>由于双方之间的停火争议持续，本周这一涨势仍在继续。截至发稿时，特朗普尚未回应伊朗重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的提议。</p>
<p>在过去几年中，日本银行相对鹰派，已退出负利率并将利率提高至三十年来的最高水平。它还结束了收益率曲线控制，这也解释了为什么债券收益率最近飙升。</p>
<p>展望未来，美联储将在周三公布利率决策，大多数分析师预计将维持利率在 3.50% 至 3.75% 之间不变。</p>
<p><strong>即将发布财报的顶尖公司</strong></p>
<p>日经 225 指数的另一个重要催化剂是一些日本顶尖公司的即将财报。日立、Advantest 和 Astellas Pharma 本周已发布了财报。</p>
<p>今天值得关注的公司包括三菱电机、信越化学、富士通、电通和小松。</p>
<p>之后，三菱、三井、丸红、住友和伊藤忠等日本最大的贸易公司将发布财报。这些财报备受关注，因为沃伦·巴菲特在这些公司中进行了大量投资。</p>
<p>日本股市将对一些美国大型公司的即将财报作出反应，包括苹果、微软、谷歌和亚马逊等知名公司。这些财报的重要性在于它们的规模以及它们在人工智能业务中使用日本供应链的事实。</p>
<p><strong>日经 225 指数技术分析</strong></p>
<p><em>日经指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
<p>日线图显示，日经 225 指数在过去几天内波动，并略微高于重要支撑位 59,297 日元。该支撑位非常重要，因为它是杯柄形态的上侧。</p>
<p>该指数远高于 50 日和 100 日指数移动平均线（EMA），而平均方向指数（ADX）仍在上升趋势中。因此，日经指数的最可能预测是看涨，投资者的目标是下一个关键阻力位 61,000 日元。</p>

1369

1571

1329

1578

1570

南方日经225

南方两倍看多日经

1346

2 倍做空日圓 ETF - ProShares

<p>日经 225 指数在日本银行（BoJ）将利率维持在 30 年来的高点 0.75% 后下跌至¥59,920。由于更多官员投票支持潜在的加息，通胀压力引发了担忧。能源价格飙升，影响了经济。即将公布的日本主要公司和美国公司的财报可能会影响市场反应。尽管近期波动频繁，技术分析显示日经指数的前景看涨，目标阻力位在¥61,000</p>

<p>The Nikkei 225 Index slipped a bit after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) delivered its interest rate decision amid the ongoing US-Iran war. It dropped to ¥59,920 on Thursday, down slightly from the year-to-date high of ¥60,592.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在美国与伊朗战争持续的背景下，日本日经 225 指数在日本银行（BoJ）公布利率决策后小幅下滑。周四，该指数跌至 59,920 日元，较年初至今的高点 60,592 日元略有下降。</p>
</div><p><strong>Bank of Japan interest rate decision</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日本银行利率决策</strong></p>
</div><p>Japanese stocks retreated as market participants reflected on the latest BoJ interest rate decision, in which officials decided to leave interest rates unchanged, as most analysts were expecting. They left rates at the 30-year high of 0.75%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日本股市因市场参与者对最新的 BoJ 利率决策进行反思而回落，官员们决定维持利率不变，这也是大多数分析师所预期的。他们将利率维持在 30 年来的最高水平 0.75%。</p>
</div><p>The main reason why the Nikkei 225 Index dropped, and the Japanese yen jumped is that more officials voted to increase interest rates in this meeting. Three members voted to hike by 0.25%, up from the previous two.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日经 225 指数下跌的主要原因是此次会议上更多官员投票支持加息。三名成员投票支持加息 0.25%，而之前只有两名。</p>
</div><p>As a result, there are concerns that the bank will ultimately decide to hike interest rates later this year as inflation continues rising.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，人们担心该银行最终会在今年晚些时候决定加息，因为通胀持续上升。</p>
</div><p>The biggest risk for the Japanese economy is that energy prices have surged in the past few months, with Brent and the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rising to $109 and $97, respectively.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日本经济面临的最大风险是过去几个月能源价格飙升，布伦特原油和西德克萨斯中质油（WTI）分别上涨至 109 美元和 97 美元。</p>
</div><p>This rally continued this week as the contentious ceasefire between the two sides continued. At press time, Trump had not responded to Iran's offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>由于双方之间的停火争议持续，本周这一涨势仍在继续。截至发稿时，特朗普尚未回应伊朗重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的提议。</p>
</div><p>The BoJ has been relatively hawkish in the past few years as it exited negative interest rates and hiked rates to the highest level in three decades. It also ended the yield curve control, which explains why bond yields have soared recently.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在过去几年中，日本银行相对鹰派，已退出负利率并将利率提高至三十年来的最高水平。它还结束了收益率曲线控制，这也解释了为什么债券收益率最近飙升。</p>
</div><p>Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve will deliver its interest rate decision on Wednesday, with most analysts expecting that it will leave rates unchanged between 3.50% and 3.75%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>展望未来，美联储将在周三公布利率决策，大多数分析师预计将维持利率在 3.50% 至 3.75% 之间不变。</p>
</div><p><strong>Top companies to publish earnings</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>即将发布财报的顶尖公司</strong></p>
</div><p>The other important catalyst for the Nikkei 225 Index is the upcoming earnings by some of the top companies in Japan. Hitachi, Advantest, and Astellas Pharma have already released their numbers this week..</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日经 225 指数的另一个重要催化剂是一些日本顶尖公司的即将财报。日立、Advantest 和 Astellas Pharma 本周已发布了财报。</p>
</div><p>The ones to watch today will be Mitsubishi Electric, Shin-etsu Chemical, Fujitsu, Dentso, and Komatsu.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>今天值得关注的公司包括三菱电机、信越化学、富士通、电通和小松。</p>
</div><p>After this, the biggest Japanese trading houses like Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Marubeni, Sumitomo, and Itochu will release their range. These earnings are watched closely because of the large investments that Warren Buffett has made in them.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>之后，三菱、三井、丸红、住友和伊藤忠等日本最大的贸易公司将发布财报。这些财报备受关注，因为沃伦·巴菲特在这些公司中进行了大量投资。</p>
</div><p>The Japanese stock market will react to the upcoming earnings by some of the biggest American companies, including popular names like Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Amazon. These numbers are important because of their size and the fact that they use Japanese supply chains in their AI businesses.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日本股市将对一些美国大型公司的即将财报作出反应，包括苹果、微软、谷歌和亚马逊等知名公司。这些财报的重要性在于它们的规模以及它们在人工智能业务中使用日本供应链的事实。</p>
</div><p><strong>Nikkei 225 Index technical analysis</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>日经 225 指数技术分析</strong></p>
</div><p><em>Nikkei Index chart | Source: TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>日经指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
</div><p>The daily chart shows that the Nikkei 225 Index has wavered in the past few days and is hovering slightly above the important support level at ¥59,297. This support is important as it is the upper side of the cup-and-handle pattern.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日线图显示，日经 225 指数在过去几天内波动，并略微高于重要支撑位 59,297 日元。该支撑位非常重要，因为它是杯柄形态的上侧。</p>
</div><p>The index remains much higher than the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), while the Average Directional Index (ADX) continues its uptrend. Therefore, the most likely Nikkei Index forecast is bullish as investors target the next key resistance at ¥61,000.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该指数远高于 50 日和 100 日指数移动平均线（EMA），而平均方向指数（ADX）仍在上升趋势中。因此，日经指数的最可能预测是看涨，投资者的目标是下一个关键阻力位 61,000 日元。</p>
</div>

Here’s why the Nikkei 225 Index may surge despite hawkish BoJ tilt

Invezz

Asset Management One Co., Ltd.

Nomura Holdings, Inc.

BlackRock, Inc.

Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings, Inc.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc.

Hitachi,Ltd.

日立(ADR)

Advantest Corp.

Astellas Pharma Inc.

安斯泰莱制药(ADR)

三菱电机

三菱电机(ADR)

信越化学

Fujitsu Limited

Komatsu Ltd.

小松(ADR)

Mitsubishi Corporation

MITSUBISHI CORP UNSPONS ADS REP 1 ORD SHS

Mitsui & Co.,Ltd

三井物产(ADR)

Marubeni Corporation

Sumitomo Corporation

SUMITOMO CORP SPONS ADR EACH REP 1 COM NPV

Itochu Corporation

伊藤忠商事(ADR)

苹果

微软

谷歌-A

谷歌-C

亚马逊

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.

以下是尽管日本央行采取强硬立场，日经 225 指数仍可能飙升的原因