<p>财政司司长陈茂波在博客中表示，随着私人消费持续改善，加上出口和固定投资的持续增长，本周将发布的 2026 年第一季度国内生产总值初步估计将进一步加速，超过 2025 年第四季度修订后的 4% 增长，标志着近五年来最强劲的季度增长。</p>
<p>他指出，香港的出口在 2026 年第一季度保持强劲表现，按价值计算增长 32%，连续 25 个月录得增长，成为五年来最佳季度表现。按目的地来看，在区域生产和供应链深刻重组的背景下，香港对中国大陆和东盟的出口值分别增长了近 35% 和 38%。对美国和欧盟的出口也分别增长了超过 47% 和 15%。</p>
<p>陈茂波表示，在黄金周期间，香港的商业信心保持积极。根据入境事务处的数据，5 月前两天通过各个管制点进入香港的游客超过 602,000 人，同比增长 6%。2026 年第一季度的游客到港人数进一步加速，同比增长 17%，超过 1430 万人，创下疫情后季度新高。全年游客到港人数可能超过原先估计的 5380 万人。预计全年入境旅游相关支出将超过 2400 亿港元，比去年增长 9.5%。这些因素将进一步促进本地零售和餐饮行业的持续改善，并为整体经济增长和就业提供持续支持。</p>
<p>他补充说，政府正在密切关注中东局势和国际油价上涨对相关行业、中小企业和整体经济的影响。考虑到燃料成本占比较高的行业，如运输业的运营费用上升，政府已宣布多项短期和针对性的措施，总额约为 20 亿港元。此外，为了帮助本地中小企业应对当前波动的市场环境，政府已要求香港金融管理局与银行业合作推出新一轮支持措施，包括增加为中小企业预留的专用资金、为受影响行业提供信贷支持，以及推出灵活的贷款还款安排。</p>
<p>本文由 AI 自动翻译，中文版本应视为权威版本。AASTOCKS.com Limited 不保证其准确性或完整性，并对因使用此翻译而导致的任何损害或损失不承担任何责任。</p>

恒生指数

<p>财政司司长陈茂波预测，香港经济将在 2026 年第一季度增长超过 4%，这是近五年来的最高增幅，主要受益于私人消费、出口和固定投资的改善。出口价值增长了 32%，对中国大陆和东盟的出口显著增加。游客到访人数同比激增 17%，超过 1430 万。政府正在监测油价上涨的影响，并已宣布为中小企业提供 20 亿港元的支持措施。预计总旅游支出将超过 2400 亿港元，进一步推动零售和餐饮行业的发展</p>

<p>Financial Secretary Paul Chan said in a blog that, as private consumption continues to improve, together with sustained growth in exports and fixed investment, the advance estimate of Gross Domestic Product for 1Q26 to be released this week will accelerate further from the revised 4% growth in 4Q25, marking the strongest quarterly growth in nearly five years.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>财政司司长陈茂波在博客中表示，随着私人消费持续改善，加上出口和固定投资的持续增长，本周将发布的 2026 年第一季度国内生产总值初步估计将进一步加速，超过 2025 年第四季度修订后的 4% 增长，标志着近五年来最强劲的季度增长。</p>
</div><p>He noted that Hong Kongs exports maintained strong performance in 1Q26, rising 32% in value terms and recording growth for 25 consecutive months, representing the best quarterly performance in five years. By destination, amid a profound restructuring of regional production and supply chains, the value of Hong Kongs exports to Mainland China and ASEAN increased by nearly 35% and 38% respectively. Exports to the US and the European Union also rose by over 47% and 15% respectively.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他指出，香港的出口在 2026 年第一季度保持强劲表现，按价值计算增长 32%，连续 25 个月录得增长，成为五年来最佳季度表现。按目的地来看，在区域生产和供应链深刻重组的背景下，香港对中国大陆和东盟的出口值分别增长了近 35% 和 38%。对美国和欧盟的出口也分别增长了超过 47% 和 15%。</p>
</div><p>Paul Chan said that during the Golden Week period, Hong Kongs business sentiment remained positive. According to Immigration Department data, more than 602,000 visitors entered Hong Kong through various control points in the first two days of May, up 6% YoY. Visitor arrivals to Hong Kong in 1Q26 accelerated further to a 17% YoY increase, exceeding 14.3 million, setting another post-pandemic quarterly high. For the full year, visitor arrivals may surpass the original estimate of 53.8 million. Total inbound tourism-related spending for the year is expected to exceed HKD240 billion, representing a 9.5% increase from last year. These factors will reinforce the continued improvement of the local retail and catering sectors and provide ongoing support to overall economic growth and employment.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>陈茂波表示，在黄金周期间，香港的商业信心保持积极。根据入境事务处的数据，5 月前两天通过各个管制点进入香港的游客超过 602,000 人，同比增长 6%。2026 年第一季度的游客到港人数进一步加速，同比增长 17%，超过 1430 万人，创下疫情后季度新高。全年游客到港人数可能超过原先估计的 5380 万人。预计全年入境旅游相关支出将超过 2400 亿港元，比去年增长 9.5%。这些因素将进一步促进本地零售和餐饮行业的持续改善，并为整体经济增长和就业提供持续支持。</p>
</div><p>He added that the government is closely monitoring the impact of the Middle East situation and rising international oil prices on relevant industries, small and medium-sized enterprises, and the overall economy. Considering that operating expenses have risen for sectors with a relatively high share of fuel costs, such as the transportation industry, the government has announced multiple short-term and targeted measures totaling about HKD2 billion. In addition, to assist local small and medium-sized enterprises in coping with the current volatile market environment, the government has requested the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to work with the banking sector to launch a new round of support measures, including increasing dedicated funds reserved for small and medium-sized enterprises, providing credit support to affected industries, and introducing flexible loan repayment arrangements.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他补充说，政府正在密切关注中东局势和国际油价上涨对相关行业、中小企业和整体经济的影响。考虑到燃料成本占比较高的行业，如运输业的运营费用上升，政府已宣布多项短期和针对性的措施，总额约为 20 亿港元。此外，为了帮助本地中小企业应对当前波动的市场环境，政府已要求香港金融管理局与银行业合作推出新一轮支持措施，包括增加为中小企业预留的专用资金、为受影响行业提供信贷支持，以及推出灵活的贷款还款安排。</p>
</div><p>This article was automatically translated by AI, the Chinese version should be considered the authoritative version. AASTOCKS.com Limited does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness and accepts no liability for any damages or losses arising from the use of this translation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本文由 AI 自动翻译，中文版本应视为权威版本。AASTOCKS.com Limited 不保证其准确性或完整性，并对因使用此翻译而导致的任何损害或损失不承担任何责任。</p>
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陈茂波预测香港 2026 年第一季度经济增长将超过 4%，这是近五年来最强劲的增长