<p>标普全球发布报告预测，香港房价在今年剩余时间内将进一步上涨 3-5%，全年增长将达到 8-10%。报告还预计，房价在 2027 年将持平或增长最多 3%。</p>
<p>标普全球指出，香港的住宅市场明显具有周期性，土地竞标在上行周期中通常更为激烈，并预计此次复苏将相对温和。</p>
<p>此外，投资资本可能会支持香港房价超出预期的增长，因为投资者在最近推出的新项目中占总购买量的约 30%。</p>
<p>房地产交易量也有所反弹。去年，初级市场交易恢复至 20,500 宗，机构预计今年交易量将进一步上升。然而，随着被压抑的需求逐渐被消化，明年的交易量可能会回落至 18,000 宗。</p>
<p>标普全球认为，香港的住宅市场在未来两年可能进入温和复苏阶段。传统的供需失衡可能不会像过去那样明显，预计未来 3-4 年将有充足的新私营住房供应，以及增加的补贴住房供应。</p>

恒生指数

南方恒指ETF

南方两倍看多恒指

南方一倍看空恒指

安硕恒生指数

盈富基金

南方两倍看空恒指

<p>标准普尔全球预测香港房价全年将上涨 8-10%，预计剩余月份将增加 3-5%。报告强调了一个周期性的住宅市场，投资资本推动了需求，投资者占最近购买的 30%。尽管去年一手市场交易回升至 20,500 宗，但预计明年将轻微下降至 18,000 宗。该机构预测未来两年市场将进入温和复苏阶段，住房供应的增加将为其提供支持</p>

<p>S&amp;P Global released a report forecasting that Hong Kong home prices will elevate by a further 3-5% in the remainder of this year, driving full-year growth to 8-10%. It also estimated that home prices will be flat to grow by up to 3% in 2027.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>标普全球发布报告预测，香港房价在今年剩余时间内将进一步上涨 3-5%，全年增长将达到 8-10%。报告还预计，房价在 2027 年将持平或增长最多 3%。</p>
</div><p>S&amp;P Global noted that Hong Kong's residential market is clearly cyclical, with land bidding typically more aggressive during upcycles, and expected this recovery to be relatively mild.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>标普全球指出，香港的住宅市场明显具有周期性，土地竞标在上行周期中通常更为激烈，并预计此次复苏将相对温和。</p>
</div><p>In addition, investment capital may support stronger-than-expected gains in Hong Kong home prices, as investors accounted for about 30% of total purchases in recently launched new projects.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，投资资本可能会支持香港房价超出预期的增长，因为投资者在最近推出的新项目中占总购买量的约 30%。</p>
</div><p>Property transaction volumes have also rebounded. Primary market transactions recovered to 20,500 last year, and the agency expected volumes to advance further this year. However, transactions may ebb back to 18,000 next year as pent-up demand is gradually absorbed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>房地产交易量也有所反弹。去年，初级市场交易恢复至 20,500 宗，机构预计今年交易量将进一步上升。然而，随着被压抑的需求逐渐被消化，明年的交易量可能会回落至 18,000 宗。</p>
</div><p>S&amp;P Global believed that Hong Kong's residential market may enter a phase of moderate recovery over the next two years. The traditional supply-demand imbalance may not be as pronounced as in the past, with ample new private housing supply expected over the next 3-4 years, alongside increasing subsidized housing supply.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>标普全球认为，香港的住宅市场在未来两年可能进入温和复苏阶段。传统的供需失衡可能不会像过去那样明显，预计未来 3-4 年将有充足的新私营住房供应，以及增加的补贴住房供应。</p>
</div>

标普全球预计香港全年房价将上涨至多 10%