<h2><strong>瑞士法郎技术预测：美元/瑞士法郎短期交易水平</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li>美元/瑞士法郎在从月低点强劲反弹后，突破了多周的下行趋势。</li>
<li>当前反弹接近一个主要阻力区，这可能决定下一步的方向性走势。</li>
<li>持续的突破向上将支持更广泛的趋势反转情景，而失败则可能触发在更广泛的下行结构内的回调。</li>
<li>阻力位 7921/26（关键），7994，8041 - 支持位 7873/75，7840，7814/17（关键）</li>
</ul>
<p>美元/瑞士法郎在从月低点强劲反弹后，试图在多周的下行趋势上建立突破。恢复改善了短期技术前景，但反弹现在接近一个主要阻力区，这可能决定这一走势是否发展为更广泛的反转，或在更大的看跌结构内停滞。接下来的交易会关注多头能否在这一关键测试中维持动能。美元/瑞士法郎短期技术图表上的战斗线已经划定。</p>
<p>查看我最新的 <strong>每周策略网络研讨会</strong>，深入分析这一美元/瑞士法郎的设置及更多内容。<strong>周一上午 8:30 EST 直播</strong>。</p>
<h3><strong>瑞士法郎价格图 – 美元/瑞士法郎日线</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131827-7.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131827-7.png"/></p>
<p><em>图表由高级技术策略师 Michael Boutros 准备；</em> <em>美元/瑞士法郎在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>技术展望：</strong> 在上个月的 <strong>瑞士法郎短期展望</strong> 中，我们指出美元/瑞士法郎已 “从年初的重合阻力转向，本周价格现在准备标记自 2 月 9 日以来最大的单日下跌。从交易的角度来看，如果价格在这一波段下行，反弹应限制在 7875，收盘低于 7808 将需要推动下一波下跌，目标指向 4 月低点。” 短期内恢复至 5 月开盘时，日内高点为 7848，随后从 4 月底的高点下跌超过 2%。</p>
<p>空头未能在 <strong>7772</strong> 处突破年范围的 61.8% 回撤位，美元/瑞士法郎从这些低点反弹超过 1.8%。上周突破了 3 月底的下行趋势和 5 月月开盘区间高点，暗示在本月底前进一步上涨的潜力。也就是说，多头现在正在测试短期阻力，稍高处有一个更重要的技术区，关注如果达到该区的反应。</p>
<h3><strong>瑞士法郎价格图 – 美元/瑞士法郎 240 分钟</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131835-8.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131835-8.png"/></p>
<p><em>图表由高级技术策略师 Michael Boutros 准备；</em> <em>美元/瑞士法郎在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>备注：</strong> 更仔细地观察瑞士的价格走势显示，美元/瑞士法郎在从月低点延伸的上升叉形内交易，今天的反弹测试中线作为阻力。请注意，稍高处的 200 日移动平均线与目标年初开盘价和 11 月下跌的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>7921/26</strong> 汇聚。需要在该支点区域上方突破/日收盘，以暗示更显著的低点已形成，且更大的趋势反转正在进行。后续的阻力目标关注年高日收盘（HDC）<strong>7994</strong> 和 1 月高点 <strong>8041</strong>。</p>
<p>初步支持现在回落至 <strong>7873/75</strong>，并得到周范围低点 <strong>7840</strong> 的支持。短期内的 <em>看涨</em> 无效点现在设定在月开盘/4 月低日收盘（LDC）<strong>7814/17</strong>。请注意，较低的平行线在本周收盘时与该阈值汇聚，突破/日收盘低于该斜率将威胁到更广泛的下行趋势的恢复，目标指向月低点。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ"/></p>
<p><strong>结论：</strong> 美元/瑞士法郎突破了 5 月开盘区间高点，多头试图验证多周下行趋势的突破。从交易的角度来看，如果价格在这一波段上行，损失应限制在 7814，收盘高于 7926 将需要推动下一波主要上涨。</p>
<p>请记住，本周经济日程相对清淡，交易者仍然关注伊朗持续的冲突。谈判缺乏进展继续对能源价格的前景施加压力，通胀预期上升推动了对美联储政策前景的转变。市场现在预计美联储在年底前加息的概率为 60%。与此同时，国债收益率持续突破，长期债券收益率升至 19 年高点。请关注这些美元的顺风，并观察每周收盘以获取指导。查看我最新的 <strong>瑞士法郎每周预测</strong>，以更仔细地了解长期美元/瑞士法郎技术交易水平。</p>
<h3><strong>美元/瑞士法郎关键经济数据发布</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131846-9.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131846-9.png"/></p>
<p><strong>经济日历</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新经济动态和即将到来的事件风险。</p>
<h3><strong>活跃的短期技术图表</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>欧元短期展望：欧元/美元五天的抛售突破 5 月低点——1.16 现在成为焦点</li>
<li>黄金价格短期展望：黄金/美元反弹在阻力位停滞——关注区间突破</li>
<li>澳元展望：澳元/美元回调测试上升趋势支持——下一步至关重要</li>
<li>美元短期展望：美元施压支持——下行风险加大</li>
<li>英镑短期展望：英镑/美元测试突破——虚假突破风险</li>
<li>加元短期展望：美元/加元反弹测试下行趋势阻力</li>
<li>日元短期展望：美元/日元多头瞄准年高点——美联储即将召开</li>
</ul>
<p>--- 由高级技术策略师 Michael Boutros 撰写</p>
<p>在 X 上关注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>

瑞士法郎 做多 - CurrencyShares

<p>美元/瑞士法郎已经突破了多周的下行趋势，接近一个关键的阻力区，这可能决定其下一步的走势。需要在 7921/26 上方持续突破，以实现更广泛的趋势反转，而失败可能导致回调。目前的支撑位在 7873/75 和 7814/17。交易者还在关注经济因素，包括潜在的美联储加息和上升的国债收益率，这可能会影响美元的强势</p>

<h2><strong>Swiss Franc Technical Forecast: USD/CHF Short-term Trade Levels</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>瑞士法郎技术预测：美元/瑞士法郎短期交易水平</strong></h2>
</div><ul>
<li>USD/CHF has broken above a multi-week downtrend after rebounding sharply from the monthly lows.</li>
<li>The rally is now approaching a major resistance zone that could determine the next directional move.</li>
<li>A sustained break higher would support a broader trend reversal scenario while failure could trigger a pullback within the broader downtrend structure.</li>
<li>Resistance 7921/26 (key), 7994, 8041- Support 7873/75, 7840, 7814/17 (key)</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>美元/瑞士法郎在从月低点强劲反弹后，突破了多周的下行趋势。</li>
<li>当前反弹接近一个主要阻力区，这可能决定下一步的方向性走势。</li>
<li>持续的突破向上将支持更广泛的趋势反转情景，而失败则可能触发在更广泛的下行结构内的回调。</li>
<li>阻力位 7921/26（关键），7994，8041 - 支持位 7873/75，7840，7814/17（关键）</li>
</ul>
</div><p>USD/CHF is attempting to build on a breakout above a multi-week downtrend after rebounding strongly from the monthly lows. The recovery has improved the near-term technical outlook, but the rally is now approaching a major resistance zone that could determine whether this move develops into a broader reversal or stalls within the larger bearish structure. The focus in the sessions ahead will be on whether bulls can sustain momentum into this key test. Battles lines drawn on the USD/CHF short-term technical charts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元/瑞士法郎在从月低点强劲反弹后，试图在多周的下行趋势上建立突破。恢复改善了短期技术前景，但反弹现在接近一个主要阻力区，这可能决定这一走势是否发展为更广泛的反转，或在更大的看跌结构内停滞。接下来的交易会关注多头能否在这一关键测试中维持动能。美元/瑞士法郎短期技术图表上的战斗线已经划定。</p>
</div><p>Review my latest <strong>Weekly Strategy Webinar</strong> for an in-depth breakdown of this USD/CHF setup and more. <strong>Join live</strong> on Monday’s at 8:30am EST.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>查看我最新的 <strong>每周策略网络研讨会</strong>，深入分析这一美元/瑞士法郎的设置及更多内容。<strong>周一上午 8:30 EST 直播</strong>。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Swiss Franc Price Chart – USD/CHF Daily</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>瑞士法郎价格图 – 美元/瑞士法郎日线</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131827-7.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131827-7.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>USD/CHF on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图表由高级技术策略师 Michael Boutros 准备；</em> <em>美元/瑞士法郎在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Technical Outlook:</strong> In last month’s <strong>Swiss Franc Short-term Outlook</strong> we noted that USD/CHF had, “turned from confluent resistance at the yearly open this week with price now poised to mark the largest single-day decline since February 9th. From a trading standpoint, rallies should be limited to 7875 IF price is heading lower on <em>this</em> stretch with a close below 7808 needed to fuel the next leg of the decline towards the April lows.” A short-term recovery into the May open registered an intraday high at 7848 before plunging more than 2% off the late-April high.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>技术展望：</strong> 在上个月的 <strong>瑞士法郎短期展望</strong> 中，我们指出美元/瑞士法郎已 “从年初的重合阻力转向，本周价格现在准备标记自 2 月 9 日以来最大的单日下跌。从交易的角度来看，如果价格在这一波段下行，反弹应限制在 7875，收盘低于 7808 将需要推动下一波下跌，目标指向 4 月低点。” 短期内恢复至 5 月开盘时，日内高点为 7848，随后从 4 月底的高点下跌超过 2%。</p>
</div><p>The bears could not secure a break below the 61.8% retracement of the yearly range at <strong>7772</strong> with USD/CHF rallying more than 1.8% off those lows. A breakout of the late-March downtrend and the May monthly opening-range highs last week suggests the potential for further gains into the close of the month. That said, the bulls are now testing near-term resistance with a more significant technical zone seen just higher, and the focus is on a reaction there IF reached.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>空头未能在 <strong>7772</strong> 处突破年范围的 61.8% 回撤位，美元/瑞士法郎从这些低点反弹超过 1.8%。上周突破了 3 月底的下行趋势和 5 月月开盘区间高点，暗示在本月底前进一步上涨的潜力。也就是说，多头现在正在测试短期阻力，稍高处有一个更重要的技术区，关注如果达到该区的反应。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Swiss Franc Price Chart – USD/CHF 240min</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>瑞士法郎价格图 – 美元/瑞士法郎 240 分钟</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131835-8.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131835-8.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>USD/CHF on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图表由高级技术策略师 Michael Boutros 准备；</em> <em>美元/瑞士法郎在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Notes:</strong> A closer look at Swisse price action shows USD/CHF trading within the confines of an ascending pitchfork extending off the monthly low with today’s rally testing the median line as resistance. Note that just higher the 200-day moving average converges on the objective yearly open and the 61.8% retracement of the November decline at <strong>7921/26</strong>. A topside breach / daily close above this pivot zone is needed to suggest a more significant low is in place and a larger trend reversal is underway. Subsequent resistance objectives are eyed at the yearly high-day close (HDC) at <strong>7994</strong> and the January high at <strong>8041</strong>.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>备注：</strong> 更仔细地观察瑞士的价格走势显示，美元/瑞士法郎在从月低点延伸的上升叉形内交易，今天的反弹测试中线作为阻力。请注意，稍高处的 200 日移动平均线与目标年初开盘价和 11 月下跌的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>7921/26</strong> 汇聚。需要在该支点区域上方突破/日收盘，以暗示更显著的低点已形成，且更大的趋势反转正在进行。后续的阻力目标关注年高日收盘（HDC）<strong>7994</strong> 和 1 月高点 <strong>8041</strong>。</p>
</div><p>Initial support now rests back at <strong>7873/75</strong> and is backed by the weekly range low at <strong>7840</strong>. Near-term <em>bullish</em> invalidation is now set to the monthly open / April low-day close (LDC) at <strong>7814/17</strong>. Note that the lower parallel converges on this threshold into the close of the week and a break / daily close below this slope threaten resumption of the broader downtrend toward the monthly lows.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>初步支持现在回落至 <strong>7873/75</strong>，并得到周范围低点 <strong>7840</strong> 的支持。短期内的 <em>看涨</em> 无效点现在设定在月开盘/4 月低日收盘（LDC）<strong>7814/17</strong>。请注意，较低的平行线在本周收盘时与该阈值汇聚，突破/日收盘低于该斜率将威胁到更广泛的下行趋势的恢复，目标指向月低点。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ" alt="" original-src="https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg?extension=webp&amp;hash=02BA65E65BB9F508C5A91DBB3AFB588E"/></p>
<p><strong>Bottom line:</strong> USD/CHF has broken the May opening-range high with the bulls attempting to validate a breakout of a multi-week downtrend. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 7814 IF price is heading higher on <em>this</em> stretch with a close above 7926 needed to fuel the next major leg for of the advance.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>结论：</strong> 美元/瑞士法郎突破了 5 月开盘区间高点，多头试图验证多周下行趋势的突破。从交易的角度来看，如果价格在这一波段上行，损失应限制在 7814，收盘高于 7926 将需要推动下一波主要上涨。</p>
</div><p>Keep in mind the economic docket is rather light this week and traders remain focused on the ongoing conflict in Iran. A lack of progress in the negotiations continues to weigh on the outlook for energy prices and rising inflation expectations has fueled a shift in the outlook for Fed policy. Markets are now pricing a 60% probability the Fed will hike rates before the end of the year. At the same time, Treasury yields have continued to breakout with the long-bond extending to 19-year highs. Keep an eye on these USD tailwinds and watch the weekly close for guidance. Review my latest <strong>Swiss Franc Weekly Forecast</strong> for a closer look at the longer-term USD/CHF technical trade levels.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>请记住，本周经济日程相对清淡，交易者仍然关注伊朗持续的冲突。谈判缺乏进展继续对能源价格的前景施加压力，通胀预期上升推动了对美联储政策前景的转变。市场现在预计美联储在年底前加息的概率为 60%。与此同时，国债收益率持续突破，长期债券收益率升至 19 年高点。请关注这些美元的顺风，并观察每周收盘以获取指导。查看我最新的 <strong>瑞士法郎每周预测</strong>，以更仔细地了解长期美元/瑞士法郎技术交易水平。</p>
</div><h3><strong>USD/CHF Key Economic Data Releases</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>美元/瑞士法郎关键经济数据发布</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131846-9.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131846-9.png"/></p>
<p><strong>Economic Calendar</strong> <strong>-</strong> latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>经济日历</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新经济动态和即将到来的事件风险。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Active Short-term Technical Charts</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>活跃的短期技术图表</strong></h3>
</div><ul>
<li>Euro Short-term Outlook: EUR/USD Five-day Selloff Breaks May Lows—1.16 Now in Focus</li>
<li>Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Rebound Stalls at Resistance—Range Breakout in Focus</li>
<li>Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Pullback Tests Uptrend Support—Next Move Critical</li>
<li>US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Pressures Support—Breakdown Risk Builds</li>
<li>British Pound Short-term Outlook: GBP/USD Tests Breakout—False Break Risk</li>
<li>Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD/CAD Rebound Tests Downtrend Resistance</li>
<li>Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Bulls Eye Yearly High- Fed on Tap</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>欧元短期展望：欧元/美元五天的抛售突破 5 月低点——1.16 现在成为焦点</li>
<li>黄金价格短期展望：黄金/美元反弹在阻力位停滞——关注区间突破</li>
<li>澳元展望：澳元/美元回调测试上升趋势支持——下一步至关重要</li>
<li>美元短期展望：美元施压支持——下行风险加大</li>
<li>英镑短期展望：英镑/美元测试突破——虚假突破风险</li>
<li>加元短期展望：美元/加元反弹测试下行趋势阻力</li>
<li>日元短期展望：美元/日元多头瞄准年高点——美联储即将召开</li>
</ul>
</div><p>--- Written by Michael Boutros, Sr Technical Strategist</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>--- 由高级技术策略师 Michael Boutros 撰写</p>
</div><p>Follow Michael on X <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 X 上关注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
</div>

瑞士法郎的短期前景：美元/瑞士法郎的突破面临首个重大阻碍