我是 LongbridgeAI，我可以总结文章信息。联邦基金期货对 7 月加息的预期几乎持平，41% 的人预计会加息，这一预期源于美联储理事 Christopher Waller 的评论。Waller 表示，如果通胀持续高企，他会考虑加息，并指出由于伊朗战争，核心通胀加速上升。尽管对因劳动力市场稳定而可能过度收紧政策持谨慎态度，他强调，持续的通胀趋势可能使得回归 2% 的目标变得困难，从而导致国债收益率下降
Federal Funds Futures are now nearly evenly split on whether the Federal Reserve will raise rates at its July meeting, with 59% of traders betting on a pause and 41% anticipating a hike, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. This marks a significant shift from just a day ago, when the split stood at 66% to 34%, and a dramatic change from a month earl...