<ul>
<li>比特幣在發佈時接近死亡交叉，暗示可能會進一步下跌。</li>
<li>歷史趨勢顯示，死亡交叉後可能會出現恢復，就像在 2020 年和 2021 年看到的那樣。</li>
</ul>
<p>比特幣（BTC）在發佈時的價格為 57,389 美元。</p>
<p>這不僅標誌着比特幣價格在過去一天上漲了 3.9%，而且也是比特幣在 8 月 5 日下跌後的顯着反彈，當時價格跌至 49,781 美元。</p>
<p>儘管比特幣價格逐漸反彈，但在撰寫本文時，該資產仍比其歷史最高價（高於 73,000 美元）下跌約 22.2%。</p>
<h2><strong>比特幣面臨死亡交叉</strong></h2>
<p>在此期間，比特幣似乎搖擺在一個被稱為 “死亡交叉” 的技術配置的邊緣。</p>
<p>在交易中，這個術語指的是 50 天移動平均線跌破 200 天移動平均線，傳統上是交易員的一個熊市指標。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-07-at-11.46.21.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1201" height="885" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-07-at-11.46.21.png"/></p>
<p>來源：X 上的 Barchart</p>
<p>根據 Barchart 的數據，這種模式出現是因為比特幣的短期收益未能維持在長期收益之上。</p>
<p>歷史上，比特幣曾面臨類似的模式；例如，死亡交叉曾在 2020 年 3 月發生，然而，隨後在同年創下新的歷史高點。</p>
<p>另一個例子是 2021 年 6 月，這也預示着一次重要的漲勢達到歷史水平。</p>
<p>雖然這可能是一個熊市指標，但如果按照歷史情景來看，那麼比特幣很可能即將迎來向上突破。</p>
<p>除此之外，一位在 X（前身為 Twitter）上被稱為 ‘walltreetbets’ 的知名加密貨幣愛好者強調了比特幣圖表中一個引人注目的模式。</p>
<p>這個模式與 2020 年看到的情況非常相似，當時比特幣在 COVID-19 崩盤期間陷入一個下降擴張模式，從不到 5,000 美元急劇反彈至 20,000 美元以上。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-07-at-11.48.24.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1193" height="847" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-07-at-11.48.24.png"/></p>
<p>來源：X 上的 wallstreetbets</p>
<p>根據 Wallstreetbets 的分析，2024 年的圖表顯示了類似的趨勢。</p>
<p>比特幣在最近的經濟衰退中形成了另一個下降擴張模式，並且似乎已經觸底，為類似於 2020 年觀察到的復甦奠定了基礎。</p>
<h2><strong>基本面展望</strong></h2>
<p>除了技術分析之外，研究比特幣的基本面也可以提供對其未來走勢的見解。</p>
<p>值得注意的是，比特幣的市值與實現價值（MVRV）比率，在發佈時為 1.79。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Bitcoin-MVRV-Ratio-3.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="2560" height="1440" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Bitcoin-MVRV-Ratio-3.png"/></p>
<p>來源：CryptoQuant</p>
<p>這個比率表明，比特幣在撰寫本文時被低估，因為低於 2 的值通常表示該資產交易低於其公平價值，提供了一個潛在的買入機會。</p>
<p>此外，比特幣的未平倉合約總量，代表着尚未結算的所有衍生合約，如期貨和期權，在過去 24 小時內上漲了 3.81%，達到 282.4 億美元。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-07-at-11.58.23.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="2560" height="730" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-07-at-11.58.23.png"/></p>
<p>來源：Coinglass</p>
<hr/>
<p>您的投資組合狀況如何？查看比特幣利潤計算器</p>
<hr/>
<p>儘管這一增長，未平倉合約總量卻大幅下降了 48%，達到 801.2 億美元。</p>
<p>這種背離通常表明，雖然開放了更多合約，但交易的總價值卻下降，這表明市場動量正在降温或交易者情緒發生轉變。</p>

<p>比特幣面臨潛在的 “死亡交叉”，因為其 50 日移動平均線接近其 200 日移動平均線，這在歷史上表明了熊市趨勢。然而，先前的情況導致了顯著的漲勢和復甦。比特幣的基本面表明它被低估了，提供了一個潛在的買入機會。此外，持倉量增加，但交易價值總體下降，表明市場動量正在降温或情緒發生轉變</p>

<ul>
<li><em>Bitcoin neared a death cross at press time, suggesting possible further declines.</em></li>
<li><em>Historical trends showed that recovery was possible post-death cross, as seen in 2020 and 2021.</em></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>比特幣在發佈時接近死亡交叉，暗示可能會進一步下跌。</li>
<li>歷史趨勢顯示，死亡交叉後可能會出現恢復，就像在 2020 年和 2021 年看到的那樣。</li>
</ul>
</div><p>Bitcoin [BTC] was trading at a price of $57,389 at press time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特幣（BTC）在發佈時的價格為 57,389 美元。</p>
</div><p>This does not only marked a 3.9% increase in BTC’s price over the past day, but was also a notable rebound from BTC’s decline on the 5th of August, which brought its price to trade as low as $49,781.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這不僅標誌着比特幣價格在過去一天上漲了 3.9%，而且也是比特幣在 8 月 5 日下跌後的顯着反彈，當時價格跌至 49,781 美元。</p>
</div><p>Regardless of the gradual rebound in BTC’s price, at the time of writing, the asset was still down roughly 22.2% from its all-time high (ATH) above $73,000 in March.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管比特幣價格逐漸反彈，但在撰寫本文時，該資產仍比其歷史最高價（高於 73,000 美元）下跌約 22.2%。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Death cross looms over Bitcoin</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>比特幣面臨死亡交叉</strong></h2>
</div><p>Amid this, Bitcoin appeared to be teetering on the edge of a technical configuration known as a “death cross.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在此期間，比特幣似乎搖擺在一個被稱為 “死亡交叉” 的技術配置的邊緣。</p>
</div><p>This term in trading refers to a scenario where the 50-day moving average drops below the 200-day moving average, traditionally a bearish indicator for traders.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在交易中，這個術語指的是 50 天移動平均線跌破 200 天移動平均線，傳統上是交易員的一個熊市指標。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-07-at-11.46.21.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-07-at-11.46.21.png"/></p>
<p>Source: Barchart on X</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：X 上的 Barchart</p>
</div><p>According to data from Barchart, this pattern was emerging as Bitcoin’s short-term gains had not sustained above its long-term gains.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>根據 Barchart 的數據，這種模式出現是因為比特幣的短期收益未能維持在長期收益之上。</p>
</div><p>Historically, Bitcoin has faced similar patterns; for instance, a death cross occurred in March 2020, however, it was followed by a new all-time high later that year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>歷史上，比特幣曾面臨類似的模式；例如，死亡交叉曾在 2020 年 3 月發生，然而，隨後在同年創下新的歷史高點。</p>
</div><p>Another instance was noted in June 2021, which also preceded a significant rally to record levels.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一個例子是 2021 年 6 月，這也預示着一次重要的漲勢達到歷史水平。</p>
</div><p>While this may be a bearish indicator, if historical scenario is to go by, then BTC may as well be on the verge of a breakout to the upside.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>雖然這可能是一個熊市指標，但如果按照歷史情景來看，那麼比特幣很可能即將迎來向上突破。</p>
</div><p>Adding to this sentiment, a notable crypto enthusiast known on X (formerly Twitter) as ‘walltreetbets’ has highlighted a compelling pattern in Bitcoin’s chart.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>除此之外，一位在 X（前身為 Twitter）上被稱為 ‘walltreetbets’ 的知名加密貨幣愛好者強調了比特幣圖表中一個引人注目的模式。</p>
</div><p>This pattern closely mirrored the one seen in 2020, when Bitcoin fell into a descending broadening pattern during the COVID-19 crash, only to rebound sharply from below $5,000 to over $20,000.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這個模式與 2020 年看到的情況非常相似，當時比特幣在 COVID-19 崩盤期間陷入一個下降擴張模式，從不到 5,000 美元急劇反彈至 20,000 美元以上。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-07-at-11.48.24.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-07-at-11.48.24.png"/></p>
<p>Source: wallstreetbets on X</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：X 上的 wallstreetbets</p>
</div><p>According to Wallstreetbets’ analysis, the 2024 chart suggested a similar trend.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>根據 Wallstreetbets 的分析，2024 年的圖表顯示了類似的趨勢。</p>
</div><p>Bitcoin has formed another descending broadening pattern amidst the recent economic downturn and seemed to have bottomed out, setting the stage for a potential surge akin to the recovery observed in 2020.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特幣在最近的經濟衰退中形成了另一個下降擴張模式，並且似乎已經觸底，為類似於 2020 年觀察到的復甦奠定了基礎。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Fundamental outlook</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>基本面展望</strong></h2>
</div><p>Aides technical analysis, examining Bitcoin’s fundamentals can also provide insight into its future direction.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>除了技術分析之外，研究比特幣的基本面也可以提供對其未來走勢的見解。</p>
</div><p>Notably, Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, which measures the discrepancy between market price and actual value, was 1.79 at press time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>值得注意的是，比特幣的市值與實現價值（MVRV）比率，在發佈時為 1.79。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Bitcoin-MVRV-Ratio-3.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Bitcoin-MVRV-Ratio-3.png"/></p>
<p>Source: CryptoQuant</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：CryptoQuant</p>
</div><p>This ratio suggested that Bitcoin was undervalued at the time of writing, as a value below 2 often indicates that the asset was trading below its fair value, presenting a potential buying opportunity.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這個比率表明，比特幣在撰寫本文時被低估，因為低於 2 的值通常表示該資產交易低於其公平價值，提供了一個潛在的買入機會。</p>
</div><p>Additionally, Bitcoin’s Open Interest, representing the total number of outstanding derivative contracts like Futures and options that have yet to be settled, roseby 3.81% in the past 24 hours to $28.24 billion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，比特幣的未平倉合約總量，代表着尚未結算的所有衍生合約，如期貨和期權，在過去 24 小時內上漲了 3.81%，達到 282.4 億美元。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-07-at-11.58.23.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-07-at-11.58.23.png"/></p>
<p>Source:: Coinglass</p>
<hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：Coinglass</p>
<hr/>
</div><p>Is your portfolio green? Check out theBTC Profit Calculator</p>
<hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>您的投資組合狀況如何？查看比特幣利潤計算器</p>
<hr/>
</div><p>Despite this increase, the Open Interest volume saw a significant decline of 48%, standing at $80.12 Billion at press time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管這一增長，未平倉合約總量卻大幅下降了 48%，達到 801.2 億美元。</p>
</div><p>This divergence typically indicates that while more contracts are open, the overall value of trading has decreased, suggesting a cooling off in market momentum or a shift in trader sentiment.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這種背離通常表明，雖然開放了更多合約，但交易的總價值卻下降，這表明市場動量正在降温或交易者情緒發生轉變。</p>
</div>

警告！比特幣面臨死亡交叉——市場是否將迎來動盪？