<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/57707242_l_normal_none-scaled.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/57707242_l_normal_none-scaled.jpg"/></p>
<p>挪威的貨幣克朗（NOK）貶值正在成為該國的雙刃劍。</p>
<p>一方面，它帶動了旅遊業的激增，吸引了曾經覺得該國價格昂貴的遊客。另一方面，儘管貨幣貶值引發了對整體經濟的擔憂，但卻支撐了海鮮出口。</p>
<p>這種複雜的情況突顯了挪威金融格局在貨幣貶值的壓力下正在發生變化。</p>
<h2>貨幣貶值推動旅遊業增長</h2>
<p>挪威歷來被認為是歐洲最昂貴的旅遊目的地之一，如今由於其貨幣價值的貶值，吸引了大量遊客。</p>
<p>自 2024 年初以來，挪威克朗對美元貶值了 5.85%，對歐元貶值了 4.84%。</p>
<p>這一趨勢始於 2014 年原油價格暴跌，持續使挪威對國際旅行者更加實惠。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-09-at-8.18.11PM-1024x535.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-09-at-8.18.11PM-1024x535.png"/></p>
<p><em>旅遊者酒店客房夜數的發展相對於</em> <em>NOK 貨幣價值的變化</em></p>
<p><em>來源：泰勒和弗朗西斯</em></p>
<p>中國、美國、德國、荷蘭以及鄰國瑞典和丹麥等國現在都向挪威派遣更多遊客。</p>
<p>從壯麗的峽灣到迷人的極光，挪威自然奇觀的吸引力現在更加容易讓更廣泛的遊客羣體接觸到。</p>
<p>據 Statista 稱，預計 2024 年挪威的旅遊市場將創造 4682 億美元（429.1 億歐元）的價值。該市場預計從 2024 年到 2029 年以每年 3.03% 的速度增長，到 2029 年可能達到 543.6 億美元（497.7 億歐元）的價值。</p>
<p>克朗貶值是這一預期增長的關鍵因素，使挪威對注重預算的旅行者更具吸引力。</p>
<h2>挪威海鮮出口激增</h2>
<p>克朗貶值也對挪威海鮮產業產生了重大影響，這是該國經濟的重要組成部分。</p>
<p>7 月份，挪威海鮮出口達到 130 億挪威克朗（11.8 億美元/10.8 億歐元），較去年同期增長了 6%。</p>
<p>儘管鮭魚價格大幅下跌，通常會對收入造成壓力，但出口價值卻出現了激增。</p>
<p>挪威海鮮理事會首席執行官克里斯蒂安·克拉默將這一增長主要歸因於貨幣效應。</p>
<p>克拉默解釋道：“我們看到鮭魚價格大幅下跌被產量增長所抵消，最終是貨幣效應增加了價值。”</p>
<p>7 月份，挪威海鮮出口的主要市場包括波蘭、丹麥和荷蘭，該國向 111 個國家出口，比去年同期多出一個國家。</p>
<p>2023 年，挪威海鮮出口價值達到了歷史最高，共有 1720 億挪威克朗的海鮮出口。克拉默指出，克朗的貶值為這一總額貢獻了近 150 億挪威克朗，突顯了貨幣對該行業的影響。</p>
<h2>克朗為何貶值？</h2>
<p>挪威的克朗曾經是經濟實力的象徵，但在過去十年裏，它出現了顯著貶值。</p>
<p>貨幣貶值主要與該國對石油和天然氣出口的嚴重依賴有關。</p>
<p>隨着全球石油價格的下跌，克朗的價值也在下降。</p>
<p>此外，全球經濟不確定性和風險規避導致了克朗的拋售，被認為是 G10 國家中最不穩定的貨幣之一。</p>
<p>通貨膨脹的快速下降進一步削弱了貨幣，表明經濟可能比預期的更快降温，影響了投資者信心。</p>
<p>挪威央行挪威銀行並沒有對克朗設定政策目標，但承認貨幣對通脹和經濟活動的重要性。</p>
<p>行長伊達·沃爾登·巴赫強調，較為緊縮的貨幣政策通常會加強克朗，但當前環境存在挑戰。</p>
<p>分析師對克朗的短期前景並不特別樂觀。</p>
<p>Commerzbank 的外匯策略師沃爾克馬爾·鮑爾指出，儘管挪威銀行的緊縮立場可能提振市場信心，但在當前風險規避環境下，克朗的顯著漲幅不太可能。</p>
<p>ING 的外匯策略師弗朗切斯科·佩索萊也表達了這種看法，承認在高市場波動性的情況下，預測克朗復甦的困難。</p>
<p>然而，佩索萊建議，歐元/挪威克朗匯率可能會出現修正，預計克朗的反彈幅度將大於瑞典克朗，這是由於兩國貨幣政策的不同。</p>
<p>儘管迴歸較強水平仍不確定，但克朗的貶值目前為旅遊和海鮮出口等行業提供了臨時助力。</p>
<p>然而，貨幣疲軟的更廣泛經濟影響繼續籠罩着挪威的金融未來。</p>
<p>本文來源：Invezz，標題：挪威的弱克朗（NOK）如何推動旅遊業和海鮮出口增長</p>

諾基亞

<p>挪威的貨幣克朗（NOK）走弱，推動了旅遊業和海產品出口的增長。克朗的貶值使得該國對國際旅行者更加實惠，導致旅遊業迎來了激增。此外，貨幣貶值也提振了海產品出口，儘管鮭魚價格大幅下跌。克朗的疲軟歸因於該國對石油和天然氣出口的嚴重依賴。克朗的未來前景仍不確定，但目前的貶值正在惠及旅遊業和海產品出口等行業</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/57707242_l_normal_none-scaled.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/57707242_l_normal_none-scaled.jpg"/></p>
<p>Norway’s weakening currency, the krone (NOK), is turning out to be a double-edged sword for the country.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>挪威的貨幣克朗（NOK）貶值正在成為該國的雙刃劍。</p>
</div><p>On one side, it’s driving a surge in tourism, attracting visitors who once found the country prohibitively expensive. On the other, it’s bolstering seafood exports, even as the currency’s decline raises concerns about the broader economy.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一方面，它帶動了旅遊業的激增，吸引了曾經覺得該國價格昂貴的遊客。另一方面，儘管貨幣貶值引發了對整體經濟的擔憂，但卻支撐了海鮮出口。</p>
</div><p>This complex scenario highlights how Norway’s financial landscape is evolving under the weight of currency depreciation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這種複雜的情況突顯了挪威金融格局在貨幣貶值的壓力下正在發生變化。</p>
</div><h2>Currency depreciation boosting tourism</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>貨幣貶值推動旅遊業增長</h2>
</div><p>Historically known as one of Europe’s most expensive travel destinations, Norway is now seeing a significant influx of tourists, thanks to the weakened value of its currency.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>挪威歷來被認為是歐洲最昂貴的旅遊目的地之一，如今由於其貨幣價值的貶值，吸引了大量遊客。</p>
</div><p>Since the start of 2024, the Norwegian krone has depreciated by 5.85% against the US dollar and 4.84% against the euro.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>自 2024 年初以來，挪威克朗對美元貶值了 5.85%，對歐元貶值了 4.84%。</p>
</div><p>This trend, which began in 2014 with the plunge in crude oil prices, has continued to make Norway more affordable for international travelers.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這一趨勢始於 2014 年原油價格暴跌，持續使挪威對國際旅行者更加實惠。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-09-at-8.18.11PM-1024x535.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Screenshot-2024-08-09-at-8.18.11PM-1024x535.png"/></p>
<p><em>Development in the</em> number of tourists’ hotel guest nights relative to changes in the <em>value of NOK currency</em></p>
<p><em>Source: Taylor &amp; Francis</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>旅遊者酒店客房夜數的發展相對於</em> <em>NOK 貨幣價值的變化</em></p>
<p><em>來源：泰勒和弗朗西斯</em></p>
</div><p>Countries such as China, the United States, Germany, the Netherlands, and neighboring Sweden and Denmark are now sending more tourists to Norway.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>中國、美國、德國、荷蘭以及鄰國瑞典和丹麥等國現在都向挪威派遣更多遊客。</p>
</div><p>The appeal of Norway’s natural wonders, from the majestic fjords to the mesmerizing Northern Lights, is now more accessible to a wider range of visitors.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>從壯麗的峽灣到迷人的極光，挪威自然奇觀的吸引力現在更加容易讓更廣泛的遊客羣體接觸到。</p>
</div><p>According to Statista, Norway’s travel and tourism market is expected to generate $4,682 million (€4,291 million) in 2024. This market is projected to grow at an annual rate of 3.03% from 2024 to 2029, potentially reaching a value of $5,436 million (€4,977 million) by 2029.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>據 Statista 稱，預計 2024 年挪威的旅遊市場將創造 4682 億美元（429.1 億歐元）的價值。該市場預計從 2024 年到 2029 年以每年 3.03% 的速度增長，到 2029 年可能達到 543.6 億美元（497.7 億歐元）的價值。</p>
</div><p>The weakening krone is a key factor in this anticipated growth, making Norway a more attractive destination for budget-conscious travelers.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>克朗貶值是這一預期增長的關鍵因素，使挪威對注重預算的旅行者更具吸引力。</p>
</div><h2>Norwegian seafood exports surge</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>挪威海鮮出口激增</h2>
</div><p>The depreciation of the krone has also had a significant impact on Norway’s seafood industry, a vital component of the country’s economy.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>克朗貶值也對挪威海鮮產業產生了重大影響，這是該國經濟的重要組成部分。</p>
</div><p>In July, Norwegian seafood exports reached NOK 13 billion ($1.18 billion/€1.08 billion), marking a 6% increase compared to the same period last year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>7 月份，挪威海鮮出口達到 130 億挪威克朗（11.8 億美元/10.8 億歐元），較去年同期增長了 6%。</p>
</div><p>This surge in export value comes despite a sharp decline in salmon prices, which would typically put pressure on revenue.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管鮭魚價格大幅下跌，通常會對收入造成壓力，但出口價值卻出現了激增。</p>
</div><p>Christian Chramer, CEO of the Norwegian Seafood Council, attributed this growth primarily to the currency effect.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>挪威海鮮理事會首席執行官克里斯蒂安·克拉默將這一增長主要歸因於貨幣效應。</p>
</div><p>“We see that a sharp decline in salmon prices was compensated by volume growth, and in the end, it is the currency effect that adds value,” Chramer explained.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>克拉默解釋道：“我們看到鮭魚價格大幅下跌被產量增長所抵消，最終是貨幣效應增加了價值。”</p>
</div><p>Norway’s top markets for seafood exports in July included Poland, Denmark, and the Netherlands, with the country exporting to 111 nations, one more than in July last year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>7 月份，挪威海鮮出口的主要市場包括波蘭、丹麥和荷蘭，該國向 111 個國家出口，比去年同期多出一個國家。</p>
</div><p>The value of Norwegian seafood exports reached an all-time high in 2023, with NOK 172 billion worth of seafood shipped out of the country. Chramer noted that the krone’s devaluation contributed nearly NOK 15 billion to this total, underscoring the currency’s impact on the industry.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>2023 年，挪威海鮮出口價值達到了歷史最高，共有 1720 億挪威克朗的海鮮出口。克拉默指出，克朗的貶值為這一總額貢獻了近 150 億挪威克朗，突顯了貨幣對該行業的影響。</p>
</div><h2>Why is the Kroner falling?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>克朗為何貶值？</h2>
</div><p>Norway’s krone, once a symbol of economic strength, has seen a significant weakening over the past decade.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>挪威的克朗曾經是經濟實力的象徵，但在過去十年裏，它出現了顯著貶值。</p>
</div><p>The currency’s decline is primarily linked to the country’s heavy dependence on oil and gas exports.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>貨幣貶值主要與該國對石油和天然氣出口的嚴重依賴有關。</p>
</div><p>As global oil prices have dropped, so too has the value of the krone.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>隨着全球石油價格的下跌，克朗的價值也在下降。</p>
</div><p>Additionally, global economic uncertainties and risk aversion have led to a sell-off in the krone, which is considered one of the most volatile currencies among the G10 nations.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，全球經濟不確定性和風險規避導致了克朗的拋售，被認為是 G10 國家中最不穩定的貨幣之一。</p>
</div><p>The rapid decline in inflation has further weakened the currency, signaling that the economy may be cooling faster than anticipated and affecting investor confidence.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>通貨膨脹的快速下降進一步削弱了貨幣，表明經濟可能比預期的更快降温，影響了投資者信心。</p>
</div><p>Norway’s central bank, Norges Bank, does not have a policy target for the krone, but it recognizes the currency’s importance for inflation and economic activity.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>挪威央行挪威銀行並沒有對克朗設定政策目標，但承認貨幣對通脹和經濟活動的重要性。</p>
</div><p>Governor Ida Wolden Bache has emphasized that a tighter monetary stance typically strengthens the krone, but the current environment presents challenges.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>行長伊達·沃爾登·巴赫強調，較為緊縮的貨幣政策通常會加強克朗，但當前環境存在挑戰。</p>
</div><p>Analysts are not particularly optimistic about the krone’s short-term prospects.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>分析師對克朗的短期前景並不特別樂觀。</p>
</div><p>Commerzbank’s FX strategist Volkmar Baur noted that while a restrictive stance from Norges Bank could boost market confidence, significant gains for the NOK are unlikely in the current risk-averse environment.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Commerzbank 的外匯策略師沃爾克馬爾·鮑爾指出，儘管挪威銀行的緊縮立場可能提振市場信心，但在當前風險規避環境下，克朗的顯著漲幅不太可能。</p>
</div><p>Francesco Pesole, an FX strategist at ING, echoed this sentiment, acknowledging the difficulty of predicting a recovery for the krone amid high market volatility.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>ING 的外匯策略師弗朗切斯科·佩索萊也表達了這種看法，承認在高市場波動性的情況下，預測克朗復甦的困難。</p>
</div><p>However, Pesole suggested that a correction in the EUR/NOK exchange rate might be possible, with a greater rebound expected in the NOK compared to the Swedish krona (SEK) due to differing monetary policies.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，佩索萊建議，歐元/挪威克朗匯率可能會出現修正，預計克朗的反彈幅度將大於瑞典克朗，這是由於兩國貨幣政策的不同。</p>
</div><p>While a return to stronger levels remains uncertain, the krone’s depreciation is currently providing a temporary boost to sectors like tourism and seafood exports.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管迴歸較強水平仍不確定，但克朗的貶值目前為旅遊和海鮮出口等行業提供了臨時助力。</p>
</div><p>Yet, the broader economic implications of a weak currency continue to cast a shadow over Norway’s financial future.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，貨幣疲軟的更廣泛經濟影響繼續籠罩着挪威的金融未來。</p>
</div><p>The post How Norway’s weak krone (NOK) is driving growth in tourism and seafood exports appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本文來源：Invezz，標題：挪威的弱克朗（NOK）如何推動旅遊業和海鮮出口增長</p>
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挪威弱勢克朗（NOK）如何推動旅遊業和海產品出口的增長