<p>在每次加密貨幣市場暴跌後，一個常見的策略是&#34;買入低谷&#34;。隨着價格下跌，許多加密貨幣突然顯得被低估，因此更具吸引力，吸引着那些着眼於長期投資的投資者。</p>
<p>但是存在一個問題：這種策略並不適用於每種加密貨幣。關鍵在於找到具有長期生存能力和經歷過從逆境中反彈的加密貨幣。考慮到這一點，我名單上排名前兩位的加密貨幣是 <strong>比特幣</strong>(BTC -1.52%) 和 <strong>以太坊</strong>(ETH -2.30%)。</p>
<h2>1. 比特幣</h2>
<p>首要投資是比特幣，因為這種加密貨幣已經表現出從暴跌中反彈的最大潛力。一次又一次，比特幣的價值暴跌，只是為了比以往更加強勁地反彈。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy83ODcxNjQvaW52ZXN0b3ItYW5hbHlzdC13YXRjaGluZy10cmVuZHMuanBnJnc9NzAw?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy83ODcxNjQvaW52ZXN0b3ItYW5hbHlzdC13YXRjaGluZy10cmVuZHMuanBnJnc9NzAw"/></p>
<p>圖片來源：Getty Images。</p>
<p>在 2023 年，Ark Invest 的凱茜·伍德分析了比特幣的歷史記錄，以查看&#34;買入低谷&#34;策略對比特幣是否有效。她的研究結果絕對令人滿意。她發現比特幣歷史上有五次價格暴跌了 77% 或更多。每一次，比特幣都會反彈並創下新高。</p>
<p>以最近的回調為例，這次回調發生在比特幣在 2021 年 11 月達到（當時）歷史最高價 69000 美元后。比特幣隨後價值暴跌了 77%，許多預言家稱這是加密貨幣的終結。但猜猜發生了什麼？比特幣迅速在 2023 年反彈，價值增長超過 150%。比特幣在 2024 年初繼續上漲，達到新的歷史最高價 73750 美元。</p>
<p>考慮到這個歷史背景，最近的 8 月份暴跌，比特幣在幾乎一夜之間損失了 28% 的價值，幾乎沒有造成災難。正如預期的那樣，在 8 月份，許多長期持有比特幣的投資者做了他們一直在做的事情：買入低谷。結果，比特幣現在穩定在 60000 美元左右。</p>
<h2>2. 以太坊</h2>
<p>與比特幣類似，以太坊也有着長期從逆境中反彈的記錄。如果你查看自 2015 年推出以來的以太坊長期價格走勢圖，你會看到許多陡峭的高峰和低谷。例如，在 2018 年，以太坊的價格從 1400 美元跌至 400 美元，僅用了幾個月的時間。而在 2021 年，以太坊的價值暴跌了近 50%，然後在年底反彈至新的歷史最高價。</p>
<p>以太坊生存能力的關鍵在於其多樣化的區塊鏈生態系統。以太坊不僅僅是用於交易商品和服務的數字貨幣，它還是一個區塊鏈網絡，開發者可以在其上構建各種應用程序、代幣和去中心化市場。因此，以太坊在區塊鏈世界的幾乎每個領域都有着建立的存在。這有助於在市場暴跌時分散風險。</p>
<p>話雖如此，如果你打算買入低谷，比特幣明顯優先於以太坊。首先，比特幣的恢復期通常比以太坊快得多。而且，正如上文所述，比特幣往往在重大暴跌後達到新的歷史最高價。而以太坊並非總是如此，它仍在努力從 2021 年的 4891 美元歷史最高價中反彈。</p>
<h2>歷史是序幕？</h2>
<p>這裏的一個警告是，過去的表現並不保證未來的表現。換句話説，沒有什麼金融鐵律説一個資產 -- 尤其是數字資產 -- 必須在市場暴跌後反彈。比特幣和以太坊在過去十年中多次反彈的能力可能只是巧合。也許這只是一個奇怪的統計異常，類似於股市中的一月效應。</p>
<p>但我不這麼認為。這一次不同的是比特幣和以太坊的新現貨 ETF。這將有助於為這兩種加密貨幣的價格提供支撐，並幫助緩解任何向下的賣壓。只要投資者流入比特幣和以太坊的新現貨 ETF 顯示出恢復的跡象，這很可能是再次買入比特幣和以太坊的機會。</p>

<p>在最近加密貨幣市場的拋售之後，“買入低點” 的策略備受關注，尤其是對比特幣和以太坊。由於比特幣具有強勁的歷史反彈潛力，2023 年在跌幅達到 77% 後曾出現過顯著的 150% 漲幅，因此比特幣被優先考慮。以太坊雖然也表現出韌性，但其恢復速度較慢，因此被較少優先考慮。針對這兩種加密貨幣新的交易所交易基金（ETF）的出現可能提供價格穩定性，並有助於減輕未來的下跌風險，這表明現在是投資這些資產的一個有利時機</p>

<p>After every crypto market sell-off, a popular strategy has been to &#34;buy the dip.&#34; As prices fall, many cryptocurrencies suddenly look undervalued, and hence, much more appealing to investors with an eye on the long term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在每次加密貨幣市場暴跌後，一個常見的策略是&#34;買入低谷&#34;。隨着價格下跌，許多加密貨幣突然顯得被低估，因此更具吸引力，吸引着那些着眼於長期投資的投資者。</p>
</div><p>But there's just one problem: This strategy does not work with every cryptocurrency. The key is to find cryptocurrencies with long-term staying power and a demonstrated track record of bouncing back from adversity. With that in mind, the two cryptocurrencies at the top of my list are <strong>Bitcoin</strong>(BTC -1.52%) and <strong>Ethereum</strong>(ETH -2.30%).</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但是存在一個問題：這種策略並不適用於每種加密貨幣。關鍵在於找到具有長期生存能力和經歷過從逆境中反彈的加密貨幣。考慮到這一點，我名單上排名前兩位的加密貨幣是 <strong>比特幣</strong>(BTC -1.52%) 和 <strong>以太坊</strong>(ETH -2.30%)。</p>
</div><h2>1. Bitcoin</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>1. 比特幣</h2>
</div><p>The priority investment is Bitcoin, because this cryptocurrency has shown the greatest potential to bounce back from a sell-off. Time and time again, Bitcoin has collapsed in value, only to bounce back bigger and better than before.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>首要投資是比特幣，因為這種加密貨幣已經表現出從暴跌中反彈的最大潛力。一次又一次，比特幣的價值暴跌，只是為了比以往更加強勁地反彈。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy83ODcxNjQvaW52ZXN0b3ItYW5hbHlzdC13YXRjaGluZy10cmVuZHMuanBnJnc9NzAw" alt="" original-src="https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F787164%2Finvestor-analyst-watching-trends.jpg&amp;op=resize&amp;w=700"/></p>
<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>圖片來源：Getty Images。</p>
</div><p>In 2023, Cathie Wood of Ark Invest analyzed the historical track record of Bitcoin, to see whether there was any validity to the &#34;buy the dip&#34; strategy for Bitcoin. Her findings certainly did not disappoint. She found that there were five times in the history of Bitcoin when its price collapsed by 77% or more. Each time, Bitcoin bounced back to hit new highs.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 2023 年，Ark Invest 的凱茜·伍德分析了比特幣的歷史記錄，以查看&#34;買入低谷&#34;策略對比特幣是否有效。她的研究結果絕對令人滿意。她發現比特幣歷史上有五次價格暴跌了 77% 或更多。每一次，比特幣都會反彈並創下新高。</p>
</div><p>Take the most recent drawdown, which occurred after Bitcoin reached a (then) all-time high of $69,000 in November 2021. Bitcoin proceeded to collapse in value by 77%, and many doomsayers said that was the end of the cryptocurrency. But guess what? Bitcoin promptly rallied in 2023, gaining more than 150% in value. Bitcoin continued to gain in early 2024, reaching a new all-time high of $73,750.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>以最近的回調為例，這次回調發生在比特幣在 2021 年 11 月達到（當時）歷史最高價 69000 美元后。比特幣隨後價值暴跌了 77%，許多預言家稱這是加密貨幣的終結。但猜猜發生了什麼？比特幣迅速在 2023 年反彈，價值增長超過 150%。比特幣在 2024 年初繼續上漲，達到新的歷史最高價 73750 美元。</p>
</div><p>Given that historical context, the recent August sell-off, in which Bitcoin lost 28% of its value almost overnight, is hardly calamitous. And, as expected, in August many longtime Bitcoin investors did what they've always done: They bought the dip. As a result, Bitcoin has now stabilized around $60,000.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>考慮到這個歷史背景，最近的 8 月份暴跌，比特幣在幾乎一夜之間損失了 28% 的價值，幾乎沒有造成災難。正如預期的那樣，在 8 月份，許多長期持有比特幣的投資者做了他們一直在做的事情：買入低谷。結果，比特幣現在穩定在 60000 美元左右。</p>
</div><h2>2. Ethereum</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>2. 以太坊</h2>
</div><p>Similar to Bitcoin, Ethereum also has a long track record of bouncing back from adversity. If you look at a long-term price chart of Ethereum dating back to its launch in 2015, you'll see a surprising number of steep peaks and valleys. For example, in 2018, Ethereum fell from $1,400 to $400 in a matter of just months. And in 2021, Ethereum collapsed in value by nearly 50% before rallying to a new all-time high by the end of the year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與比特幣類似，以太坊也有着長期從逆境中反彈的記錄。如果你查看自 2015 年推出以來的以太坊長期價格走勢圖，你會看到許多陡峭的高峰和低谷。例如，在 2018 年，以太坊的價格從 1400 美元跌至 400 美元，僅用了幾個月的時間。而在 2021 年，以太坊的價值暴跌了近 50%，然後在年底反彈至新的歷史最高價。</p>
</div><p>The key to Ethereum's staying power has been its diversified blockchain ecosystem. Ethereum is more than just a digital currency used to transact goods and services. It's also a blockchain network that developers can build on top of to create anything from apps to tokens to decentralized marketplaces. As a result, Ethereum has an established presence in nearly every sector of the blockchain world. This helps to diversify away risk in the event of a market sell-off.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>以太坊生存能力的關鍵在於其多樣化的區塊鏈生態系統。以太坊不僅僅是用於交易商品和服務的數字貨幣，它還是一個區塊鏈網絡，開發者可以在其上構建各種應用程序、代幣和去中心化市場。因此，以太坊在區塊鏈世界的幾乎每個領域都有着建立的存在。這有助於在市場暴跌時分散風險。</p>
</div><p>That being said, Bitcoin is a clear priority over Ethereum if you're looking to buy the dip. For one, Bitcoin's recovery period is usually much faster than Ethereum's. And, as noted above, Bitcoin tends to reach a new all-time high after a major sell-off. That's not necessarily the case with Ethereum, which is still looking to rebound from an all-time high of $4,891 in 2021.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>話雖如此，如果你打算買入低谷，比特幣明顯優先於以太坊。首先，比特幣的恢復期通常比以太坊快得多。而且，正如上文所述，比特幣往往在重大暴跌後達到新的歷史最高價。而以太坊並非總是如此，它仍在努力從 2021 年的 4891 美元歷史最高價中反彈。</p>
</div><h2>What's past is prologue?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>歷史是序幕？</h2>
</div><p>The one caveat here is that past performance is no guarantee of future performance. In other words, there is no iron law of finance that says an asset -- especially not a digital asset -- must rebound in price after a market sell-off. The ability of Bitcoin and Ethereum to bounce back so many times over the past decade could just be a coincidence. Perhaps it's just a bizarre statistical anomaly, along the lines of the January Effect in the stock market.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這裏的一個警告是，過去的表現並不保證未來的表現。換句話説，沒有什麼金融鐵律説一個資產 -- 尤其是數字資產 -- 必須在市場暴跌後反彈。比特幣和以太坊在過去十年中多次反彈的能力可能只是巧合。也許這只是一個奇怪的統計異常，類似於股市中的一月效應。</p>
</div><p>But I don't think so. What's different this time around are the new spot ETFs for Bitcoin and Ethereum. These will help provide a floor to the prices of these two cryptocurrencies, and help mitigate any downward selling pressure. As long as investor inflows into the new spot ETFs for Bitcoin and Ethereum show signs of recovering, this could very likely be yet another opportunity to buy the dip in Bitcoin and Ethereum.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但我不這麼認為。這一次不同的是比特幣和以太坊的新現貨 ETF。這將有助於為這兩種加密貨幣的價格提供支撐，並幫助緩解任何向下的賣壓。只要投資者流入比特幣和以太坊的新現貨 ETF 顯示出恢復的跡象，這很可能是再次買入比特幣和以太坊的機會。</p>
</div>

在市場拋售之後，現在購買這兩種加密貨幣