<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/nikola-1.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/nikola-1.jpeg"/></p>
<p>尼古拉（NKLA）股價在公司發佈令人鼓舞的財務業績並且美聯儲指出 9 月可能降息後繼續下跌。在過去 30 天裏，股價暴跌超過 22%，使得年初至今的損失達到 71%，市值降至 3.79 億美元。</p>
<h2>尼古拉正在取得進展</h2>
<p>尼古拉最近的業績顯示，該公司正在努力成為氫燃料卡車行業的領導者。</p>
<p>該公司繼續製造和交付卡車給客户，投資於氫基礎設施，並獲得碳銷售收入。</p>
<p>第三季度公司發貨 77 輛卡車，上半年發貨 120 輛。對於一個剛開始銷售氫燃料車輛的公司來説，這些數字是顯著的。預計今年將交付 300 至 350 輛卡車。</p>
<p>本季度，公司營收為 3100 萬美元，高於去年同期的 1500 萬美元。預期尼古拉每賣出一輛卡車都會虧錢，這解釋了其毛虧損飆升至 5400 萬美元的原因。分析師預計，其年度營收將為 1.33 億美元，明年將達到 4.15 億美元。</p>
<p>其總淨虧損從 2.17 億美元降至 1.33 億美元，預計公司短期內不會實現盈虧平衡。預計其每股淨虧損今年將為 10.2 美分，明年為 7.68 美分。在大多數情況下，像 Rivian、Lucid Motors 和蔚來汽車這樣的汽車製造商需要幾年時間才能實現盈利。</p>
<h2>主要挑戰仍存</h2>
<p>尼古拉取得了很多進展，這是值得讚賞的。然而，公司面臨着將會隨時間影響其股票表現的重大挑戰。</p>
<p>首先，尼古拉存在資產負債表問題，將需要再次籌集資金。季末，其無限制現金為 2.56 億美元，這意味着需要想辦法改善現金狀況。</p>
<p>尼古拉需要資金用於工資、持續的研發以及擴大其 HYLA 項目。HYLA 是尼古拉為其生態系統中的公司提供模塊化氫氣充電站的服務。公司希望到年底在北美擁有 14 個加油站。</p>
<p>就在最近，尼古拉表示將發行高達 1.6 億美元的可轉換為股票的優先票據。首次籌款的淨收益將為 7430 萬美元。</p>
<p>然而，現實是這不是尼古拉因現金流失而稀釋股東權益的最後一次。多年來，尼古拉的流通股數量已從幾年前不到 100 萬股增加到 4847 萬股以上。</p>
<p>尼古拉的第二個問題是仍處於測試階段，公司正在試驗這些氫燃料卡車。在財報電話會議上，首席財務官 Tom Okray 表示：</p>
<p>“沒有人會進行演示然後説，我要購買 500 輛卡車。他們會進行演示，然後説，給我 5 或 10 輛，然後他們知道他們有憑證，他們在加利福尼亞循環使用憑證或在美國其他地區嘗試不同路線。”</p>
<p>因此，存在一種風險，即一些公司可能選擇繼續使用柴油卡車，因為運行氫燃料卡車成本高昂。在最近的一個季度中，公司指出平均銷售價格上漲了 7000 美元至 38.1 萬美元，而柴油卡車的平均成本低於 30 萬美元。</p>
<p>此外，由於燃料成本的原因，公司可能會因燃料成本而難以吸引車隊加入其生態系統。在大多數情況下，柴油的平均成本在每加侖 3 至 5 美元之間，而氫氣的成本在每千克 10 至 15 美元之間。</p>
<p>一般估計，柴油卡車每英里成本約為 57 美分，而氫燃料卡車每英里成本為 1.33 美元。因此，由於車隊是低利潤行業，許多車隊將等待購買這些卡車。</p>
<h2>尼古拉股價分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Nikola-stock.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Nikola-stock.png"/></p>
<p>如前所述，尼古拉麪臨重大挑戰，股價可能會繼續下跌，就像過去一樣。</p>
<p>儘管如此，它已形成了一個下降楔形圖案，如紅色所示。在大多數情況下，這是市場上最看漲的圖案之一。尼古拉的空頭頭寸高達近 20%。</p>
<p>因此，股價有可能在未來幾周經歷空頭擠壓，這意味着做空它是有風險的。</p>
<p>本文來源於 Invezz</p>

NKLA

NKLAQ

<p>尼古拉（NKLA）股票在過去 30 天內下跌了超過 22％，儘管公司公佈了有希望的財務業績和潛在的聯邦利率下調信號，但全年累計虧損達 71％。該公司在第三季度發貨了 77 輛卡車，預計全年交付量為 300-350 輛。然而，尼古拉麪臨現金流挑戰和進一步融資需求，這一點可以從計劃出售可轉換高級票據來證明。該公司正在與氫燃料卡車進行測試階段，由於運營成本高，車隊可能會推遲購買。股票中的下降楔形圖案可能導致潛在的空頭擠壓</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/nikola-1.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/nikola-1.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Nikola (NKLA) stock price continued its sell-off even after the company published encouraging financial results and the Federal Reserve pointed to potential rate cuts in September. It has crashed by over 22% in the last 30 days, bringing the year-to-date losses to 71% and its market cap to $379 million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尼古拉（NKLA）股價在公司發佈令人鼓舞的財務業績並且美聯儲指出 9 月可能降息後繼續下跌。在過去 30 天裏，股價暴跌超過 22%，使得年初至今的損失達到 71%，市值降至 3.79 億美元。</p>
</div><h2>Nikola is making progress</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>尼古拉正在取得進展</h2>
</div><p>Nikola’s recent results showed that the company was making progress as it seeks to become a leader in the hydrogen truck industry.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尼古拉最近的業績顯示，該公司正在努力成為氫燃料卡車行業的領導者。</p>
</div><p>The firm has continued to manufacture and deliver trucks to customers, invest in the hydrogen infrastructure, and also receive carbon sales.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>該公司繼續製造和交付卡車給客户，投資於氫基礎設施，並獲得碳銷售收入。</p>
</div><p>It shipped 77 trucks in the third quarter and 120 of them in the first half of the year. These are notable numbers for a company that just started selling its hydrogen vehicles. It expects to deliver between 300 and 350 trucks this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>第三季度公司發貨 77 輛卡車，上半年發貨 120 輛。對於一個剛開始銷售氫燃料車輛的公司來説，這些數字是顯著的。預計今年將交付 300 至 350 輛卡車。</p>
</div><p>For the quarter, the company’s revenue came in at $31 million, higher than the $15 million it made in the same period last year. As expected, Nikola lost money for each truck it sold, which explains why its gross loss soared to $54 million. Analysts expect that its annual revenue will be $133 million followed by $415 million next year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本季度，公司營收為 3100 萬美元，高於去年同期的 1500 萬美元。預期尼古拉每賣出一輛卡車都會虧錢，這解釋了其毛虧損飆升至 5400 萬美元的原因。分析師預計，其年度營收將為 1.33 億美元，明年將達到 4.15 億美元。</p>
</div><p>Its total net loss narrowed to $133 million from $217 million, and the company is not expected to break even any time soon. Its net loss per share is expected to be 10.2 cents this year followed by 7.68 cents next year. In most cases, automakers like Rivian, Lucid Motors, and Nio take a few years before turning a profit.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>其總淨虧損從 2.17 億美元降至 1.33 億美元，預計公司短期內不會實現盈虧平衡。預計其每股淨虧損今年將為 10.2 美分，明年為 7.68 美分。在大多數情況下，像 Rivian、Lucid Motors 和蔚來汽車這樣的汽車製造商需要幾年時間才能實現盈利。</p>
</div><h2>Major challenges remain</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>主要挑戰仍存</h2>
</div><p>Nikola has made a lot of progress, which is commendable. However, the company faces substantial challenges that will impact its stock performance over time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尼古拉取得了很多進展，這是值得讚賞的。然而，公司面臨着將會隨時間影響其股票表現的重大挑戰。</p>
</div><p>First, Nikola has a balance sheet problem and will need to raise cash again. It ended the quarter with $256 million in unrestricted cash, meaning that it needs to find a way to improve its cash position.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>首先，尼古拉存在資產負債表問題，將需要再次籌集資金。季末，其無限制現金為 2.56 億美元，這意味着需要想辦法改善現金狀況。</p>
</div><p>Nikola needs money for payroll, continued research and development (R&amp;D), and expanding its HYLA program. HYLA is a service where Nikola offers modular hydrogen filling stations for companies in its ecosystem. The company hopes to have 14 fueling stations in North America by the end of the year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尼古拉需要資金用於工資、持續的研發以及擴大其 HYLA 項目。HYLA 是尼古拉為其生態系統中的公司提供模塊化氫氣充電站的服務。公司希望到年底在北美擁有 14 個加油站。</p>
</div><p>Just recently, Nikola said that it would sell up to $160 million senior notes that are convertible into stocks. The net proceeds of the first tranche of the fundraising will be $74.3 million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>就在最近，尼古拉表示將發行高達 1.6 億美元的可轉換為股票的優先票據。首次籌款的淨收益將為 7430 萬美元。</p>
</div><p>The reality, however, is that this is not the last time that Nikola is diluting its shareholders because of its cash burn. Over the years, the number of Nikola’s outstanding shares have risen to over 48.47 million from less than 1 million a few years ago.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，現實是這不是尼古拉因現金流失而稀釋股東權益的最後一次。多年來，尼古拉的流通股數量已從幾年前不到 100 萬股增加到 4847 萬股以上。</p>
</div><p>The second issue for Nikola is that it is still in the testing phase, where companies are experimenting with these hydrogen trucks. In the earnings call, Tom Okray, the CFO said:</p>
<blockquote>
</blockquote>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尼古拉的第二個問題是仍處於測試階段，公司正在試驗這些氫燃料卡車。在財報電話會議上，首席財務官 Tom Okray 表示：</p>
</div><p>“No one does a demo and says, I’m going to buy 500 trucks. They do a demo, they say, give me 5 or 10, and then they know they have vouchers and they’re cycling vouchers in California or trying different routes in other parts of the country.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“沒有人會進行演示然後説，我要購買 500 輛卡車。他們會進行演示，然後説，給我 5 或 10 輛，然後他們知道他們有憑證，他們在加利福尼亞循環使用憑證或在美國其他地區嘗試不同路線。”</p>
</div><p>As such, there is a risk that some of them will opt to continue with their diesel trucks since running hydrogen trucks is costly. In its most recent quarter, the company noted that the average sale price rose by $7,000 to $381,000 while the average cost of a diesel truck goes for less than $300,000.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，存在一種風險，即一些公司可能選擇繼續使用柴油卡車，因為運行氫燃料卡車成本高昂。在最近的一個季度中，公司指出平均銷售價格上漲了 7000 美元至 38.1 萬美元，而柴油卡車的平均成本低於 30 萬美元。</p>
</div><p>Additionally, the company may struggle to onboard fleets in its ecosystem because of fuel costs. In most cases, the average cost of diesel ranges between $3 to $5 per gallon while hydrogen costs between $10 to $15 per kilogram.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，由於燃料成本的原因，公司可能會因燃料成本而難以吸引車隊加入其生態系統。在大多數情況下，柴油的平均成本在每加侖 3 至 5 美元之間，而氫氣的成本在每千克 10 至 15 美元之間。</p>
</div><p>In most cases, it is estimated that a diesel truck costs about 57 cents a mile while a hydrogen truck costs $1.33 a mile. As a result, since fleets are low-margin businesses, many fleets will wait to buy these trucks.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一般估計，柴油卡車每英里成本約為 57 美分，而氫燃料卡車每英里成本為 1.33 美元。因此，由於車隊是低利潤行業，許多車隊將等待購買這些卡車。</p>
</div><h2>Nikola stock price analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>尼古拉股價分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Nikola-stock.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Nikola-stock.png"/></p>
<p>As mentioned, Nikola faces major challenges ahead and the stock may continue falling as it has done in the past.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如前所述，尼古拉麪臨重大挑戰，股價可能會繼續下跌，就像過去一樣。</p>
</div><p>Nonetheless, it has formed a falling wedge pattern, which is shown in red. In most cases, this is one of the most bullish patterns in the market. Nikola is also highly shorted with a short interest of almost 20%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管如此，它已形成了一個下降楔形圖案，如紅色所示。在大多數情況下，這是市場上最看漲的圖案之一。尼古拉的空頭頭寸高達近 20%。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, there is a likelihood that the stock will go through a short squeeze in the coming weeks, meaning that shorting it is risky.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，股價有可能在未來幾周經歷空頭擠壓，這意味着做空它是有風險的。</p>
</div><p>The post Nikola stock: short interest, falling wedge, points to a short squeeze appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本文來源於 Invezz</p>
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Nikola 股票：空頭頭寸和下降楔形暗示可能出現空頭擠壓