<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/08/98238669_l_normal_none-scaled.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/08/98238669_l_normal_none-scaled.jpg"/></p>
<p>特朗普媒體與科技（DJT）股價暴跌。股價跌至 17 美元，為自 1 月以來的最低點，較今年早些時候的最高點下跌近 80%。市值從 90 億美元降至約 35 億美元。</p>
<h2>鎖定期限即將到期</h2>
<p>DJT 股價可能會在本月繼續下跌，因為鎖定期限即將到期。在此之後，公司的大股東唐納德·特朗普將可以自由出售他的股份。</p>
<p>很可能特朗普會立即開始出售股份，因為他發現自己處於困境之中。他需要現金來資助競選活動、支付法律費用和支付過去的罰款。</p>
<p>此外，特朗普還希望出售他的股份，因為過去幾個月股價表現不佳。</p>
<p>更重要的是，他非常清楚 TruthSocial 的表現不佳，這解釋了為什麼他已經開始使用 X 和 Facebook 來吸引更廣泛的受眾。</p>
<p>在大多數情況下，股票往往會在鎖定期限到期前急劇下跌，因為內部人士開始退出交易。</p>
<h2>特朗普媒體財務業績</h2>
<p>DJT 股票的最近表現符合我幾個月前的預測。在那篇文章中，我説，雖然 DWAC 是一隻表現良好且非常成功的股票，但 DJT 將面臨更多挑戰。</p>
<p>作為一家空白支票公司，DWAC 的季度和年度文件相對模糊。這與特朗普媒體截然不同，特朗普媒體是一家運營公司，根據法律要求每個季度發佈準確的文件。</p>
<p>最近的業績顯示公司正在掙扎。其季度收入為 836,000 美元，較去年同期的 1.1 百萬美元有所下降。此外，半年收入降至 1.6 百萬美元。</p>
<p>儘管特朗普媒體是一家相對新的公司，但這些數字意味着它尚未在用户和廣告商中獲得足夠的關注。如果受到這兩方的歡迎，其收入將會高得多。</p>
<p>特朗普媒體是一家燒錢機器，這在其目前的位置上是可以理解的。其淨虧損超過 1630 萬美元。作為發展的一部分，特朗普媒體推出了其 CDN 網絡，並最近推出了其流媒體解決方案。</p>
<h2>步入破產之路？</h2>
<p>特朗普媒體面臨着前所未有的挑戰。首先，有跡象表明唐納德·特朗普將不會在 11 月的大選中獲勝。最近的民意調查顯示，特朗普和卡瑪拉·哈里斯在六個搖擺州中勢均力敵。</p>
<p>DJT 股票受到交易者青睞的一個原因是，人們認為如果唐納德·特朗普贏得選舉，公司將會蓬勃發展。現在，如果他輸掉選舉，其平台的活動可能會減少。</p>
<p>其次，TruthSocial 仍然是科技行業的一小部分。SimilarWeb 的數據顯示，其網站在 7 月僅有 1500 萬訪問者。相比之下，規模較小的右傾平台 Gab 擁有近 700 萬用户，而 Reddit 擁有 35.6 億用户。Reddit 現在的估值超過 96 億美元。</p>
<p>第三，由於其資產負債表，特朗普媒體是一個潛在的稀釋機器。公司上個季度以超過 3.43 億美元的現金和短期投資結束。雖然這是一大筆錢，但預計公司將燒掉大部分資金，因為其沒有帶來任何實質性的收入。</p>
<p>特朗普媒體已經開始從投資者那裏籌集資金。上週，它註冊了 500 萬股用於籌集資金支持其流媒體雄心。在此之前，它宣佈籌集了 1.05 億美元的認股權證。我相信這種稀釋將會持續很長一段時間。</p>
<p>此外，有跡象表明特朗普最近推出的流媒體服務表現不佳。要成為流媒體領域的成功者，公司將需要花費大量資金吸引平台上的人才。</p>
<p>特朗普媒體可能申請破產的另一個重要原因是它永遠不會吸引到大型廣告商。在過去幾年中，大型廣告主已經避免在右傾平台如福克斯新聞、Rumble 和 TruthSocial 上播放廣告。沒有這些廣告商，公司要成功將會很困難。</p>
<h2>DJT 股價分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/09/DJT-stock.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/09/DJT-stock.png"/></p>
<p>日線圖顯示，特朗普媒體股價在過去幾個月一直處於強烈的熊市趨勢中。最近，股價跌破了 22.60 美元的關鍵支撐水平，為今年 4 月的最低水平。</p>
<p>特朗普媒體股票還形成了死亡交叉圖表模式，即 200 日和 50 日移動平均線相交。因此，最易路徑是向下，下一個即時關注水平為 14.52 美元，為去年 10 月的最低點。</p>
<p>未來，我相信 DJT 股票可能會在最終申請破產前成為一隻便士股。然而，做空特朗普媒體股票的風險在於它擁有一支忠誠的粉絲羣體，這意味着它可能會經歷一些短期做空壓力。</p>
<p>本文來源於 Invezz，特朗普媒體未來破產的可能性不容忽視。</p>

特朗普媒體科技集團

<p>特朗普媒體與科技（DJT）的股票今年已經暴跌近 80%，市值跌至約 15 億美元。即將到來的解禁期可能導致大股東唐納德·特朗普大舉拋售股票，以獲取資金用於競選和法律費用。財務數據顯示，公司出現了超過 4000 萬美元的淨虧損，其應用 TruthSocial 缺乏增長。分析師警告稱，破產風險正在增加，主要是由於廣告前景疲弱和用户參與度下降，再加上特朗普不確定的競選機會</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/08/98238669_l_normal_none-scaled.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/08/98238669_l_normal_none-scaled.jpg"/></p>
<p>Trump Media &amp; Technology (DJT) stock price has imploded. It has crashed to $17, its lowest point since January, and by almost 80% from its highest point earlier this year. Its market cap has dropped from over $9 billion to about $3.5 billion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普媒體與科技（DJT）股價暴跌。股價跌至 17 美元，為自 1 月以來的最低點，較今年早些時候的最高點下跌近 80%。市值從 90 億美元降至約 35 億美元。</p>
</div><h2>Lockup expiry is coming</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>鎖定期限即將到期</h2>
</div><p>The DJT stock price will likely continue falling this month as the lock-up expiry is set to expire. In the aftermath, Donald Trump, the majority owner of the company will be free to sell his stake.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>DJT 股價可能會在本月繼續下跌，因為鎖定期限即將到期。在此之後，公司的大股東唐納德·特朗普將可以自由出售他的股份。</p>
</div><p>Odds are that Trump will start selling immediately because of the difficult situation he finds himself in. He needs liquid cash to fund his campaign, pay for legal fees, and pay for the past penalties.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>很可能特朗普會立即開始出售股份，因為他發現自己處於困境之中。他需要現金來資助競選活動、支付法律費用和支付過去的罰款。</p>
</div><p>Additionally, Trump will want to sell his stake because of the stock’s performance in the past few months.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，特朗普還希望出售他的股份，因為過去幾個月股價表現不佳。</p>
</div><p>Most importantly, he knows very well that TruthSocial is not doing well, which explains why he has started to use X and Facebook to reach a wider audience.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>更重要的是，他非常清楚 TruthSocial 的表現不佳，這解釋了為什麼他已經開始使用 X 和 Facebook 來吸引更廣泛的受眾。</p>
</div><p>In most cases, stocks tend to drop sharply ahead of a lockup expiration as insiders start to exit their trades.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在大多數情況下，股票往往會在鎖定期限到期前急劇下跌，因為內部人士開始退出交易。</p>
</div><h2>Trump Media financial results</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>特朗普媒體財務業績</h2>
</div><p>The recent performance of the DJT stock is in line with what I predicted a few months ago <strong>.</strong> In that note, I said that while DWAC was a good and highly successful stock, DJT would face more challenges.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>DJT 股票的最近表現符合我幾個月前的預測。在那篇文章中，我説，雖然 DWAC 是一隻表現良好且非常成功的股票，但 DJT 將面臨更多挑戰。</p>
</div><p>As a blank check company, DWAC’s quarterly and annual documents were relatively vague. This is very different from Trump Media, which is an operating company that is required by law to publish accurate documents each quarter.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作為一家空白支票公司，DWAC 的季度和年度文件相對模糊。這與特朗普媒體截然不同，特朗普媒體是一家運營公司，根據法律要求每個季度發佈準確的文件。</p>
</div><p>The most recent results showed that the company was struggling. Its quarterly revenues came in at $836,000, a drop from the $1.1 million it made in the same period last year. Also, its half-year revenue dropped to $1.6 million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最近的業績顯示公司正在掙扎。其季度收入為 836,000 美元，較去年同期的 1.1 百萬美元有所下降。此外，半年收入降至 1.6 百萬美元。</p>
</div><p>While Trump Media is a fairly new company, these numbers mean that it has not gained traction among users and advertisers. Its revenue would have been much higher if was popular with the two parties.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管特朗普媒體是一家相對新的公司，但這些數字意味着它尚未在用户和廣告商中獲得足夠的關注。如果受到這兩方的歡迎，其收入將會高得多。</p>
</div><p>Trump Media is a cash incinerator, which is understandable for a company in its position. Its net loss came in at over $16.3 million. As part of its development, Trump Media launched its CDN network and has recently unveiled its streaming solution.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普媒體是一家燒錢機器，這在其目前的位置上是可以理解的。其淨虧損超過 1630 萬美元。作為發展的一部分，特朗普媒體推出了其 CDN 網絡，並最近推出了其流媒體解決方案。</p>
</div><h2>On a path towards bankruptcy?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>步入破產之路？</h2>
</div><p>Trump Media faces numerous challenges ahead. First, there are signs that Donald Trump will not win the general election in November. Recent polls show that Trump and Kamala Harris are neck-and-neck in six swing states.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普媒體面臨着前所未有的挑戰。首先，有跡象表明唐納德·特朗普將不會在 11 月的大選中獲勝。最近的民意調查顯示，特朗普和卡瑪拉·哈里斯在六個搖擺州中勢均力敵。</p>
</div><p>One reason why the DJT stock is popular with traders is the view that the company will thrive if Donald Trump wins the election. Now, if he loses, there is a chance that activity in its platform will dwindle.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>DJT 股票受到交易者青睞的一個原因是，人們認為如果唐納德·特朗普贏得選舉，公司將會蓬勃發展。現在，如果他輸掉選舉，其平台的活動可能會減少。</p>
</div><p>Second, TruthSocial is still a small part of the tech industry. Data by SimilarWeb shows that its website had just 15 million visitors in July. In contrast, Gab, a smaller right-leaning platform had almost 7 million users while Reddit had 3.56 billion. Reddit is now valued at over $9.6 billion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>其次，TruthSocial 仍然是科技行業的一小部分。SimilarWeb 的數據顯示，其網站在 7 月僅有 1500 萬訪問者。相比之下，規模較小的右傾平台 Gab 擁有近 700 萬用户，而 Reddit 擁有 35.6 億用户。Reddit 現在的估值超過 96 億美元。</p>
</div><p>Third, Trump Media is a potential dilution machine because of its balance sheet. The company ended the last quarter with over $343 million in cash and short-term investments. While this is a lot of money, the company is expected to burn most of it because it is not bringing in any meaningful revenues.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>第三，由於其資產負債表，特朗普媒體是一個潛在的稀釋機器。公司上個季度以超過 3.43 億美元的現金和短期投資結束。雖然這是一大筆錢，但預計公司將燒掉大部分資金，因為其沒有帶來任何實質性的收入。</p>
</div><p>Trump Media has already started raising cash from investors. Last week, it registered 5 million shares for sale to fund its streaming ambitions. Before that, it announced $105 million raised in warrants. I believe that this dilution will continue for a long time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普媒體已經開始從投資者那裏籌集資金。上週，它註冊了 500 萬股用於籌集資金支持其流媒體雄心。在此之前，它宣佈籌集了 1.05 億美元的認股權證。我相信這種稀釋將會持續很長一段時間。</p>
</div><p>Additionally, there are signs that Trump’s recently launched streaming service is not doing well. To become a successful player in streaming, the company will need to spend a lot of money to attract talent in its platform.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，有跡象表明特朗普最近推出的流媒體服務表現不佳。要成為流媒體領域的成功者，公司將需要花費大量資金吸引平台上的人才。</p>
</div><p>The other important reason why Trump Media may file for bankruptcy is that it will never attract large advertisers. In the last few years, large spenders have avoided airing their ads in right-leaning platforms like Fox News, Rumble, and TruthSocial. Without these advertisers, it will be difficult for the company to succeed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普媒體可能申請破產的另一個重要原因是它永遠不會吸引到大型廣告商。在過去幾年中，大型廣告主已經避免在右傾平台如福克斯新聞、Rumble 和 TruthSocial 上播放廣告。沒有這些廣告商，公司要成功將會很困難。</p>
</div><h2>DJT stock price analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>DJT 股價分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/09/DJT-stock.png" alt="" original-src="https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/09/DJT-stock.png"/></p>
<p>The daily chart reveals that the Trump Media stock price has been in a strong bearish trend in the past few months. Most recently, the shares crashed below the key support level at $22.60, its lowest level in April this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日線圖顯示，特朗普媒體股價在過去幾個月一直處於強烈的熊市趨勢中。最近，股價跌破了 22.60 美元的關鍵支撐水平，為今年 4 月的最低水平。</p>
</div><p>Trump Media shares have also formed a death cross chart pattern as the 200-day and 50-day moving averages crossed each other. Therefore, the path of the least resistance is downwards, with the next immediate level to watch being at $14.52, its lowest point in October last year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普媒體股票還形成了死亡交叉圖表模式，即 200 日和 50 日移動平均線相交。因此，最易路徑是向下，下一個即時關注水平為 14.52 美元，為去年 10 月的最低點。</p>
</div><p>In the future, I believe that DJT may become a penny stock before eventually filing for bankruptcy. However, the risk for shorting Trump Media stock is that it has a highly dedicated fanbase, meaning that it will likely have some short-term short squeezes.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>未來，我相信 DJT 股票可能會在最終申請破產前成為一隻便士股。然而，做空特朗普媒體股票的風險在於它擁有一支忠誠的粉絲羣體，這意味着它可能會經歷一些短期做空壓力。</p>
</div><p>The post DJT stock: Trump Media future bankruptcy can’t be ruled out appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本文來源於 Invezz，特朗普媒體未來破產的可能性不容忽視。</p>
</div>

DJT 股票：Trump Media 未來破產的可能性不能排除