<p>十月對於特斯拉（Tesla）來説將是一個充滿事件的月份。</p>
<p>10 月 2 日，特斯拉發佈了其第三季度的生產和交付數據，這是該公司在發佈季度收益報告之前的標準程序。僅幾天後，它舉行了備受期待的 “我們，機器人” 活動，展示了其在自動駕駛車輛和人形機器人方面取得的進展。</p>
<p>而在 10 月 23 日，特斯拉將發佈其第三季度收益報告。</p>
<p>讓我們探討一些投資者在特斯拉季度報告即將發佈之際應該考慮的重要主題，並評估現在是否是買入該股票的好時機。</p>
<h2>特斯拉即將發佈的報告中有什麼重要內容？</h2>
<p>作為特斯拉的股東，我將密切關注其第三季度報告中的以下內容：</p>
<ol>
<li>低成本車型的更新；</li>
</ol>
<ol>
<li>有關 Robotaxi 和自動駕駛的新聞；</li>
</ol>
<ol>
<li>與 Optimus 和特斯拉機器人願景相關的任何內容。</li>
</ol>
<p>話雖如此，我實際上並不認為即將發佈的報告和收益電話會有什麼特別之處。很多這些消息已經被分享過了。</p>
<p>如果特斯拉管理層在 10 月 23 日提供的細節不多，或者與 10 月 10 日的 Robotaxi 活動期間分享的內容沒有實質性不同，我會感到相當驚訝。因此，我並不指望會有任何驚喜——無論是積極的還是消極的。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy83OTQwNzUvdGVzbGEtZXYtZWxlY3RyaWMtdmVoaWNsZS1jaGFyZ2luZy1zdGF0aW9uLTEuanBnJnc9NzAw?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy83OTQwNzUvdGVzbGEtZXYtZWxlY3RyaWMtdmVoaWNsZS1jaGFyZ2luZy1zdGF0aW9uLTEuanBnJnc9NzAw"/></p>
<p>圖片來源：Getty Images</p>
<h2>特斯拉收益報告後股價表現如何？</h2>
<p>下圖展示了特斯拉股票在過去七個收益期間的價格走勢。收益報告的日期由紫色圓圈標記，標有字母 “E”。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://media.ycharts.com/charts/820c887d8b3e14de821427a2b0a9c2d0.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://media.ycharts.com/charts/820c887d8b3e14de821427a2b0a9c2d0.png"/></p>
<p>數據來源：YCharts。</p>
<p>很明顯，特斯拉股票往往在發佈收益報告時經歷劇烈波動。在幾次情況下，股價在這些報告發布前大幅上漲，但很快在報告發布後下跌。</p>
<h2>當猶豫不決時，放大視角</h2>
<p>然而，退一步看，考慮特斯拉股票在不同時間段的回報。</p>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>指標</th>
<th>1 年</th>
<th>3 年</th>
<th>5 年</th>
<th>10 年</th>
<th>歷史</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>特斯拉股價回報</td>
<td>(12.8%)</td>
<td>(18.9%)</td>
<td>1,230%</td>
<td>1,360%</td>
<td>13,660%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>數據來源：Ycharts。</p>
<p>顯然，特斯拉股東在過去幾年對股票的表現感到失望。宏觀經濟因素，如持續的通貨膨脹和高利率環境，對公司的增長造成了影響。然而，經濟正在顯示出韌性：通貨膨脹率已降至 3% 以下，美聯儲正在逐步縮減利率，勞動力市場仍然相當強勁。我認為這些因素應該對特斯拉短期內是有利的。</p>
<p>然而，從長期來看，有一點更加重要。特斯拉股票在長期內已經成為了一個真正的多倍增長股。</p>
<p>因此，問題仍然是：在特斯拉下一次收益報告之前，你應該買入特斯拉股票嗎？在我看來，這並不重要。股票很可能會像以往的收益期間一樣經歷更大的波動，但更關鍵的是要記住，試圖時機市場通常是一個失敗的策略。</p>
<p>如果你相信特斯拉的人工智能願景，並認為公司正在採取正確的舉措保持在汽車行業的領先地位，那麼無論在收益日曆的哪個時間點，將該股票納入你的投資組合都是值得的。</p>

特斯拉

<p>特斯拉即將迎來一個重要的月份，將於 10 月 23 日發佈第三季度財報，此前已發佈生產數據和 “我們，機器人” 活動。投資者應關注關於低成本車輛、Robotaxi 和機器人技術的更新。歷史數據顯示，特斯拉股票在財報公佈前後波動較大，過去幾年表現參差不齊。儘管最近有些令人失望的情況，但宏觀經濟的改善可能有利於特斯拉。最終，市場的時機把握是有風險的；長期看好特斯拉願景的投資者可能會考慮不考慮財報時機而購買</p>

<p>October is shaping up to be an eventful month for <strong>Tesla</strong>(TSLA -0.09%).</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>十月對於特斯拉（Tesla）來説將是一個充滿事件的月份。</p>
</div><p>On Oct. 2, Tesla released its production and delivery stats for the third quarter -- standard procedure for the company prior to publishing its quarterly earnings. Just days later, it held its highly anticipated &#34;We, Robot&#34; event, during which it showed off the progress it has made on self-driving vehicles and humanoid robots.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>10 月 2 日，特斯拉發佈了其第三季度的生產和交付數據，這是該公司在發佈季度收益報告之前的標準程序。僅幾天後，它舉行了備受期待的 “我們，機器人” 活動，展示了其在自動駕駛車輛和人形機器人方面取得的進展。</p>
</div><p>And on Oct. 23, it will issue its third-quarter earnings report.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>而在 10 月 23 日，特斯拉將發佈其第三季度收益報告。</p>
</div><p>Let's explore some important themes that investors should be thinking about as Tesla's quarterly report approaches, and assess if now is a good time to buy the stock.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>讓我們探討一些投資者在特斯拉季度報告即將發佈之際應該考慮的重要主題，並評估現在是否是買入該股票的好時機。</p>
</div><h2>What's at stake in Tesla's upcoming report?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>特斯拉即將發佈的報告中有什麼重要內容？</h2>
</div><p>As a shareholder of Tesla, I'm going to be on the lookout for the following things in its third-quarter report:</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作為特斯拉的股東，我將密切關注其第三季度報告中的以下內容：</p>
</div><p>1. Updates on the lower-cost vehicle model;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><ol>
<li>低成本車型的更新；</li>
</ol>
</div><p>2. News surrounding the Robotaxi and autonomous driving in general;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><ol>
<li>有關 Robotaxi 和自動駕駛的新聞；</li>
</ol>
</div><p>3. Anything related to Optimus and Tesla's robotics vision.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><ol>
<li>與 Optimus 和特斯拉機器人願景相關的任何內容。</li>
</ol>
</div><p>With all that said, I don't actually think the upcoming report and earnings call will be anything special. A lot of this news has already been shared.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>話雖如此，我實際上並不認為即將發佈的報告和收益電話會有什麼特別之處。很多這些消息已經被分享過了。</p>
</div><p>I would be quite surprised if Tesla's management provides much more detail or says anything materially different on Oct. 23 than what it shared during the Robotaxi event on Oct. 10. For this reason, I'm not holding my breath for any surprises -- positive or negative.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如果特斯拉管理層在 10 月 23 日提供的細節不多，或者與 10 月 10 日的 Robotaxi 活動期間分享的內容沒有實質性不同，我會感到相當驚訝。因此，我並不指望會有任何驚喜——無論是積極的還是消極的。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy83OTQwNzUvdGVzbGEtZXYtZWxlY3RyaWMtdmVoaWNsZS1jaGFyZ2luZy1zdGF0aW9uLTEuanBnJnc9NzAw" alt="" original-src="https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F794075%2Ftesla-ev-electric-vehicle-charging-station-1.jpg&amp;op=resize&amp;w=700"/></p>
<p>Image Source: Getty Images</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>圖片來源：Getty Images</p>
</div><h2>How has Tesla stock performed following earnings reports?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>特斯拉收益報告後股價表現如何？</h2>
</div><p>The chart below illustrates the price action of Tesla stock across the past seven earnings periods. The dates of the earnings reports are denoted by the purple circles marked with the letter &#34;E&#34;.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>下圖展示了特斯拉股票在過去七個收益期間的價格走勢。收益報告的日期由紫色圓圈標記，標有字母 “E”。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://media.ycharts.com/charts/820c887d8b3e14de821427a2b0a9c2d0.png" alt="" original-src="https://media.ycharts.com/charts/820c887d8b3e14de821427a2b0a9c2d0.png"/></p>
<p>Data by YCharts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>數據來源：YCharts。</p>
</div><p>It's obvious that Tesla stock tends to experience heightened volatility around the times of its earnings releases. On several occasions, shares surged significantly in advance of those reports, only to slump shortly after they arrived.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>很明顯，特斯拉股票往往在發佈收益報告時經歷劇烈波動。在幾次情況下，股價在這些報告發布前大幅上漲，但很快在報告發布後下跌。</p>
</div><h2>When in doubt, zoom out</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>當猶豫不決時，放大視角</h2>
</div><p>Take a step back, though, and consider the returns of Tesla stock over various time periods.</p>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Metric</th>
<th>1 Year</th>
<th>3 Years</th>
<th>5 Years</th>
<th>10 Years</th>
<th>All Time</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Tesla stock price return</td>
<td>(12.8%)</td>
<td>(18.9%)</td>
<td>1,230%</td>
<td>1,360%</td>
<td>13,660%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，退一步看，考慮特斯拉股票在不同時間段的回報。</p>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>指標</th>
<th>1 年</th>
<th>3 年</th>
<th>5 年</th>
<th>10 年</th>
<th>歷史</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>特斯拉股價回報</td>
<td>(12.8%)</td>
<td>(18.9%)</td>
<td>1,230%</td>
<td>1,360%</td>
<td>13,660%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div><p>Data source: Ycharts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>數據來源：Ycharts。</p>
</div><p>Clearly, Tesla shareholders have been disappointed by the stock's results over the last few years. Macroeconomic forces such as lingering inflation and a high interest rate environment took a toll on the company's growth. However, the economy is showing signs of resiliency: Inflation has cooled to below 3%, the Federal Reserve is tapering interest rates, and the labor market remains fairly strong. I think these factors should bode well for Tesla in the near term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>顯然，特斯拉股東在過去幾年對股票的表現感到失望。宏觀經濟因素，如持續的通貨膨脹和高利率環境，對公司的增長造成了影響。然而，經濟正在顯示出韌性：通貨膨脹率已降至 3% 以下，美聯儲正在逐步縮減利率，勞動力市場仍然相當強勁。我認為這些因素應該對特斯拉短期內是有利的。</p>
</div><p>In the long run, however, there's something much more important to note. Tesla stock has been a bona fide multibagger over the long term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，從長期來看，有一點更加重要。特斯拉股票在長期內已經成為了一個真正的多倍增長股。</p>
</div><p>So, the question remains: Should you buy Tesla stock before its next earnings report? In my opinion, it doesn't really matter. There's a good chance the stock will see greater volatility as it has in prior earnings periods, but the more crucial point to remember is that attempting to time the market is a usually a losing proposition.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，問題仍然是：在特斯拉下一次收益報告之前，你應該買入特斯拉股票嗎？在我看來，這並不重要。股票很可能會像以往的收益期間一樣經歷更大的波動，但更關鍵的是要記住，試圖時機市場通常是一個失敗的策略。</p>
</div><p>If you are a believer in Tesla's AI vision and feel the company is making the right moves to remain a leader in the auto industry, the stock could be worth adding to your portfolio, no matter where in the earnings calendar we are.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如果你相信特斯拉的人工智能願景，並認為公司正在採取正確的舉措保持在汽車行業的領先地位，那麼無論在收益日曆的哪個時間點，將該股票納入你的投資組合都是值得的。</p>
</div>

Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Oct. 23? Here's What History Suggests

- 特斯拉將在 10 月 23 日發佈第三季度財報，投資者需關注多個主題。  
- 近期，特斯拉發佈了第三季度生產和交付數據，並舉行了 “我們，機器人” 事件。  
- 儘管市場波動性加大，但長期來看，特斯拉股票仍具備增長潛力。

你是否應該在 10 月 23 日之前購買特斯拉股票？以下是歷史的建議