<ul>
<li><em>萊特幣錢包中盈利的比例已上升至自 2021 年以來的最高水平，受近期漲幅的推動</em></li>
<li><em>在較低時間框架上，出現了反向杯柄形態，可能會導致看跌反轉</em></li>
</ul>
<p>萊特幣（LTC）在過去一個月中上漲超過 50%，與整個山寨幣市場的普遍上漲相呼應。然而，儘管出現了這一反彈，一些分析師實際上認為萊特幣可能已經死去。</p>
<p>在一條 X 帖子中，知名分析師 Ali Martinez 指出，LTC 目前的交易價格與 2017 年時相同。此外，他認為它現在缺乏強勁的基本面來推動任何長期增長。</p>
<p>據他所説，儘管 LTC 可能會繼續錄得一些短期收益，但仍將被困在一個整合區間內。</p>
<h2>萊特幣錢包盈利能力達到 2021 年高點</h2>
<p>儘管這種看跌前景，但萊特幣近期的漲幅導致盈利錢包的數量激增，達到了自 2021 年以來的最高水平。事實上，來自 IntoTheBlock 的數據揭示，78% 的 LTC 持有者，即 633 萬個地址，現在是盈利的。</p>
<p>相反，處於虧損狀態的錢包比例在短短一個月內從 46% 降至 16%。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/ltc-iom.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/ltc-iom.png"/></p>
<p>來源：IntoTheBlock</p>
<p>錢包盈利能力的激增可能會增強市場信心，並導致對萊特幣的看漲前景。</p>
<p>然而，一些早期買入的交易者和在反彈期間買入的交易者可能會開始獲利了結，從而導致趨勢減弱。</p>
<h2>高地址數量是積極指標嗎？</h2>
<p>截至發稿時，萊特幣的活躍地址數量為 364,000 個，超過大多數山寨幣。例如，市值是其四倍的卡爾達諾（ADA）只有約 41,000 個活躍地址。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/addresses-1.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/addresses-1.png"/></p>
<p>（來源：IntoTheBlock）</p>
<p>相反，從長期來看，萊特幣的地址數量一直在下降。特別是年初時，活躍地址數量超過一百萬。</p>
<p>這表明萊特幣的實用性在今年下降，這可能對價格產生負面影響。</p>
<h2>隨着這些看跌信號的出現，萊特幣價格分析</h2>
<p>截至發稿時，萊特幣的交易價格為 123 美元，24 小時內上漲 1.57%。在其四小時圖表上出現了反向杯柄形態，這可能意味着該山寨幣即將進入下行趨勢。</p>
<p>如果萊特幣承受這種看跌壓力並且價格反轉，交易者應關注該形態的頸線位 100.65 美元。特別是因為跌破該水平可能會引發更多虧損。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/LTCUSDT_2024-12-14_11-44-29.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/LTCUSDT_2024-12-14_11-44-29.png"/></p>
<p>（來源：Tradingview）</p>
<p>Chaikin 資金流動指標（CMF）表明，由於其跌至零線，買入壓力正在減弱。如果它轉為負值，可能表明賣出活動激增，從而導致看跌趨勢。</p>
<p>與此同時，移動平均收斂發散指標（MACD）的直方圖條形顯示出買入壓力疲弱。然而，較低時間框架上的 MACD 線為正，表明動能仍然略顯看漲。</p>
<h2>萊特幣的未平倉合約下降</h2>
<p>最後，來自 Coinglass 的數據表明，萊特幣的投機活動在本月早些時候達到多個月的峯值後有所下降，當時未平倉合約（OI）激增至 7.06 億美元。</p>
<p>截至發稿時，萊特幣的未平倉合約已降至 5.31 億美元，表明一些交易者已平倉。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Litecoin-OI.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Litecoin-OI.png"/></p>
<p>（來源：Coinglass）</p>
<p>未平倉合約的下降可能意味着由於市場參與減少，交易者變得謹慎和猶豫，從而導致看跌情緒。</p>

LTCN

<p>萊特幣（LTC）在過去一個月中上漲超過 50%，目前 78% 的錢包處於盈利狀態，這是自 2021 年以來的最高水平。然而，分析師警告，由於基本面疲弱以及最近出現的反向杯柄形態，可能會出現看跌反轉。今年活躍地址顯著減少，表明使用率降低。儘管短期內有所上漲，交易者可能會獲利了結，導致可能的下行趨勢。Chaikin 資金流動指標顯示買入壓力減弱，未平倉合約也有所下降，暗示市場情緒謹慎</p>

<ul>
<li><em>Percentage of Litecoin wallets in profit has risen to its highest level since 2021 after recent gains</em></li>
<li><em>A bearish reversal is likely after an inverse cup and handle pattern on the lower timeframe</em></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><em>萊特幣錢包中盈利的比例已上升至自 2021 年以來的最高水平，受近期漲幅的推動</em></li>
<li><em>在較低時間框架上，出現了反向杯柄形態，可能會導致看跌反轉</em></li>
</ul>
</div><p>Litecoin (LTC) has gained by more than 50% over the past month, mirroring the widespread gains across the altcoin market. However, despite this rally, some analysts actually believe that Litecoin may be dead.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>萊特幣（LTC）在過去一個月中上漲超過 50%，與整個山寨幣市場的普遍上漲相呼應。然而，儘管出現了這一反彈，一些分析師實際上認為萊特幣可能已經死去。</p>
</div><p>In an X post, popular analyst Ali Martinez noted that LTC is now trading at the same price as back in 2017. Moreover, he argued that it now lacks strong fundamentals to drive any long-term growth.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在一條 X 帖子中，知名分析師 Ali Martinez 指出，LTC 目前的交易價格與 2017 年時相同。此外，他認為它現在缺乏強勁的基本面來推動任何長期增長。</p>
</div><p>According to him, while LTC might continue to register some short-term gains, it will still be stuck within a consolidation range.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>據他所説，儘管 LTC 可能會繼續錄得一些短期收益，但仍將被困在一個整合區間內。</p>
</div><h2>Litecoin wallet profitability hits 2021 highs</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>萊特幣錢包盈利能力達到 2021 年高點</h2>
</div><p>Despite this bearish outlook, however, Litecoin’s recent gains led to a surge in the number of wallets that are in profit to its highest levels since 2021. In fact, data from IntoTheBlock revealed that 78% of LTC holders, equivalent to 6.33 million addresses, are now profitable.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管這種看跌前景，但萊特幣近期的漲幅導致盈利錢包的數量激增，達到了自 2021 年以來的最高水平。事實上，來自 IntoTheBlock 的數據揭示，78% 的 LTC 持有者，即 633 萬個地址，現在是盈利的。</p>
</div><p>Conversely, the wallets that are in losses have dropped from 46% to 16% in just one month.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>相反，處於虧損狀態的錢包比例在短短一個月內從 46% 降至 16%。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/ltc-iom.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/ltc-iom.png"/></p>
<p>Source: IntoTheBlock</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：IntoTheBlock</p>
</div><p>A spike in wallet profitability could increase market confidence and lead to a bullish outlook for Litecoin.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>錢包盈利能力的激增可能會增強市場信心，並導致對萊特幣的看漲前景。</p>
</div><p>However, some traders who bought early and those who bought during the rally might start to take profits, causing the trend to weaken.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，一些早期買入的交易者和在反彈期間買入的交易者可能會開始獲利了結，從而導致趨勢減弱。</p>
</div><h2>Is a high address count a positive indicator?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>高地址數量是積極指標嗎？</h2>
</div><p>The number of active addresses on Litecoin stood at 364,000 at press time – A higher count than for most altcoins. For instance, Cardano (ADA), an altcoin with a market capitalization that is four times higher, has around 41,000 active addresses.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>截至發稿時，萊特幣的活躍地址數量為 364,000 個，超過大多數山寨幣。例如，市值是其四倍的卡爾達諾（ADA）只有約 41,000 個活躍地址。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/addresses-1.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/addresses-1.png"/></p>
<p>(Source: IntoTheBlock)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>（來源：IntoTheBlock）</p>
</div><p>On the contrary, a look at the long-term picture revealed that Litecoin’s address count has been on a downward trajectory. Especially since at the start of the year, the active addresses stood at more than one million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>相反，從長期來看，萊特幣的地址數量一直在下降。特別是年初時，活躍地址數量超過一百萬。</p>
</div><p>This suggested that Litecoin’s utility has dropped this year, which could have a negative impact on the price.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這表明萊特幣的實用性在今年下降，這可能對價格產生負面影響。</p>
</div><h2>Litecoin price analysis as THESE bearish signs emerge</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>隨着這些看跌信號的出現，萊特幣價格分析</h2>
</div><p>Litecoin, at press time, was trading at $123 after gains of 1.57% in 24 hours. This altcoin could be on the verge of a downtrend after an inverse cup and handle pattern appeared on its four-hour chart.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>截至發稿時，萊特幣的交易價格為 123 美元，24 小時內上漲 1.57%。在其四小時圖表上出現了反向杯柄形態，這可能意味着該山寨幣即將進入下行趨勢。</p>
</div><p>If Litecoin succumbs to this bearish pressure and the price reverses itself, traders should watch out for the neckline of this pattern at $100.65. Especially since a drop below could trigger more losses.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如果萊特幣承受這種看跌壓力並且價格反轉，交易者應關注該形態的頸線位 100.65 美元。特別是因為跌破該水平可能會引發更多虧損。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/LTCUSDT_2024-12-14_11-44-29.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/LTCUSDT_2024-12-14_11-44-29.png"/></p>
<p>(Source: Tradingview)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>（來源：Tradingview）</p>
</div><p>The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) implied that buying pressure has been weakening due to its drop to the zero line. If it flips negative, it could indicate a surge in selling activity that could lead to bearish trends.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Chaikin 資金流動指標（CMF）表明，由於其跌至零線，買入壓力正在減弱。如果它轉為負值，可能表明賣出活動激增，從而導致看跌趨勢。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence’s (MACD) histogram bars pointed to weak buying pressure. However, the MACD line on the lower timeframe was positive – A sign that momentum was still slightly bullish.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，移動平均收斂發散指標（MACD）的直方圖條形顯示出買入壓力疲弱。然而，較低時間框架上的 MACD 線為正，表明動能仍然略顯看漲。</p>
</div><h2>Litecoin’s Open Interest drops</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>萊特幣的未平倉合約下降</h2>
</div><p>Finally, data from Coinglass indicated that speculative activity around Litecoin has dropped after hitting a multi-month peak earlier this month when the OI surged to $706M.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最後，來自 Coinglass 的數據表明，萊特幣的投機活動在本月早些時候達到多個月的峯值後有所下降，當時未平倉合約（OI）激增至 7.06 億美元。</p>
</div><p>At press time, Litecoin’s OI had dropped to $531M – A sign that some traders had closed their positions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>截至發稿時，萊特幣的未平倉合約已降至 5.31 億美元，表明一些交易者已平倉。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Litecoin-OI.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Litecoin-OI.png"/></p>
<p>(Source: Coinglass)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>（來源：Coinglass）</p>
</div><p>A drop in OI could mean bearish sentiment due to reduced market participation as traders become cautious and indecisive.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>未平倉合約的下降可能意味着由於市場參與減少，交易者變得謹慎和猶豫，從而導致看跌情緒。</p>
</div>

Is Litecoin ‘dead?’ 50% hike in 30 days may not be enough because…

萊特幣 ‘死’ 了嗎？30 天內上漲 50% 可能還不足以挽救，因為