<p>根據來自 CoinMarketCap 上超過 60,000 名參與者的數據，Aster DEX 下跌超過 5%，儘管社區情緒仍然樂觀，超過 75%。</p>
<p>截至發稿時，這種山寨幣已重新奪回 1 美元的價格水平，但在橫盤市場中交易。</p>
<p>圍繞去中心化交易所的炒作已經減退，與更廣泛的加密市場相一致。</p>
<p>有趣的是，儘管鏈上存在基本挑戰因素，歷史模式的對齊似乎仍在發揮作用。</p>
<h2><strong>ASTER 的 30% 反彈會在 12 月來臨嗎？</strong></h2>
<p>在經歷了一次將價格推至 1.40 美元的反彈後，4 小時圖表在修正後的一週內處於區間內。價格波動不定表明該山寨幣正在持續積累。</p>
<p>這與該山寨幣的平衡交易量（OBV）在 11 月第一週的類似走勢相呼應。</p>
<p>這次 Aster [ASTER] 目標是 1.50 美元區間，就像 OBV 在 11 月 14 日橫盤並突破時一樣。</p>
<p>然而，價格需要突破下降趨勢線，就像之前突破橫盤走勢一樣。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/ASTERUSDT_2025-11-29_14-59-08.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/ASTERUSDT_2025-11-29_14-59-08.png"/></p>
<p>來源：TradingView</p>
<p>值得注意的是，MACD 顯示出看漲的跡象，微弱地呈現綠色。</p>
<p>信號線仍然在下方，柱狀圖較小，表明買家剛剛開始進入市場，但尚未完全控制價格。</p>
<p>儘管有 30% 以上收益的可能性，但鏈上活動的下降和解鎖帶來的潛在賣壓可能使這種結果變得困難。</p>
<h2><strong>活動疲軟但優於 Hyperliquid</strong></h2>
<p>根據 CoinMarketCap 數據，日交易量上漲了 10%，這一表現優於 Hyperliquid [HYPE]。ASTER 的交易量為 54.67 億美元，而 HYPE 為 46.05 億美元。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/G64geEhX0AAIyMN.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/G64geEhX0AAIyMN.jpeg"/></p>
<p>來源：X</p>
<p>儘管 Aster 的推出時間晚於 HYPE，但這顯示出其相對於同行的實力。</p>
<p>但儘管如此，其他鏈上指標卻在下降。DEX 和永續合約的交易量低於 9 月至 11 月初的記錄。</p>
<p>此外，手續費受到重大影響，全天驟降至約 118 萬美元。總鎖倉價值（TVL）幾乎下降了 50%，從 24.8 億美元降至 13.2 億美元。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-142249.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-142249.png"/></p>
<p>來源：DefiLlama</p>
<p>所有這些因素本質上都是看跌的，但在市場轉變時可能會突然改變。這些可能會阻礙潛在的 30% 反彈，但這並不是唯一的障礙。</p>
<h2><strong>即將到來的賣壓</strong></h2>
<p>加密市場可能會在 12 月面臨來自大規模代幣解鎖的再次賣壓。ASTER 和 Sui Network [SUI] 以超過 8600 萬美元的最大解鎖量領先。</p>
<p>約 3.89% 的 ASTER 市值將被解鎖，數量相當於 7841 萬個代幣。儘管如此，仍有超過 55% 的代幣被鎖定，7% 的代幣尚未分配解鎖時間。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-143222.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-143222.png"/></p>
<p>來源：Tokenomist</p>
<p>此次解鎖可能會由於供應驅動的賣壓而阻礙預期的反彈。</p>
<hr/>
<h2><strong>最終思考</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li><em>ASTER 價格走勢的技術前景暗示可能出現 30% 的反彈。</em></li>
<li><em>鏈上活動和即將到來的解鎖是看跌的，阻礙了這一潛力。</em></li>
</ul>

<p>ASTER DEX 顯示出在 12 月份有 30% 的上漲潛力，儘管當前存在鏈上活動下降和即將解鎖代幣等看跌因素。該山寨幣的價格走勢表明正在積累，歷史模式暗示可能會出現突破。然而，代幣解鎖帶來的賣壓和疲弱的鏈上指標可能會阻礙上漲。ASTER 的交易量超過了 Hyperliquid，但去中心化交易所和永續合約的交易量正在下降。技術前景暗示可能會出現上漲，但看跌因素依然存在</p>

<p>Aster DEX was down by over 5% even as community sentiment was bullish at over 75%, per data garnered from more than 60K participants on CoinMarketCap.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>根據來自 CoinMarketCap 上超過 60,000 名參與者的數據，Aster DEX 下跌超過 5%，儘管社區情緒仍然樂觀，超過 75%。</p>
</div><p>The altcoin had reclaimed the $1 price level at press time, but was trading in a sideways market.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>截至發稿時，這種山寨幣已重新奪回 1 美元的價格水平，但在橫盤市場中交易。</p>
</div><p>The hype around the decentralized exchange had faded, aligning with the broader crypto market.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>圍繞去中心化交易所的炒作已經減退，與更廣泛的加密市場相一致。</p>
</div><p>Interestingly, historical pattern alignment seemed to be in play, despite the fundamentally challenging factors in the chain.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>有趣的是，儘管鏈上存在基本挑戰因素，歷史模式的對齊似乎仍在發揮作用。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Is ASTER’s 30% rally coming in December?</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>ASTER 的 30% 反彈會在 12 月來臨嗎？</strong></h2>
</div><p>The 4-hour chart was in a range over a week after the correction that resulted from the rally that took the price to $1.40. The choppy price action was an indication of the ongoing accumulation of the altcoin.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在經歷了一次將價格推至 1.40 美元的反彈後，4 小時圖表在修正後的一週內處於區間內。價格波動不定表明該山寨幣正在持續積累。</p>
</div><p>This follows the altcoin’s On Balance Volume (OBV) replicating similar movement as in the first week of November.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這與該山寨幣的平衡交易量（OBV）在 11 月第一週的類似走勢相呼應。</p>
</div><p>Aster [ASTER] was eyeing the $1.50 zone this time around, just like when OBV moved sideways and broke out on the 14th of November.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這次 Aster [ASTER] 目標是 1.50 美元區間，就像 OBV 在 11 月 14 日橫盤並突破時一樣。</p>
</div><p>However, price needed to breach the descending trendline the same way it broke the sideways movement earlier on.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，價格需要突破下降趨勢線，就像之前突破橫盤走勢一樣。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/ASTERUSDT_2025-11-29_14-59-08.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/ASTERUSDT_2025-11-29_14-59-08.png"/></p>
<p>Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：TradingView</p>
</div><p>Notably, there were prints of bullish action as seen in the MACD, which was faintly green.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>值得注意的是，MACD 顯示出看漲的跡象，微弱地呈現綠色。</p>
</div><p>The signal lines were still below, and bars were small, indicating that buyers were just making their way but were yet to gain full control of price.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>信號線仍然在下方，柱狀圖較小，表明買家剛剛開始進入市場，但尚未完全控制價格。</p>
</div><p>While there was a chance of this 30%+ gain, the declining on-chain activity and potential sell pressure from the unlock could make such an outcome difficult.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管有 30% 以上收益的可能性，但鏈上活動的下降和解鎖帶來的潛在賣壓可能使這種結果變得困難。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Weak activity but better than Hyperliquid</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>活動疲軟但優於 Hyperliquid</strong></h2>
</div><p>The daily trading volume was up by 10% as per CoinMarketCap data, with this outperformance extending against Hyperliquid [HYPE]. ASTER had a volume of $5.467 billion against HYPE’s $4.605 billion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>根據 CoinMarketCap 數據，日交易量上漲了 10%，這一表現優於 Hyperliquid [HYPE]。ASTER 的交易量為 54.67 億美元，而 HYPE 為 46.05 億美元。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/G64geEhX0AAIyMN.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/G64geEhX0AAIyMN.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Source: X</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：X</p>
</div><p>This was a show of strength against its peer, even though it launched way after HYPE.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管 Aster 的推出時間晚於 HYPE，但這顯示出其相對於同行的實力。</p>
</div><p>But despite this, other chain metrics were down. The DEX and perp volumes were declining, below their September to early November records.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但儘管如此，其他鏈上指標卻在下降。DEX 和永續合約的交易量低於 9 月至 11 月初的記錄。</p>
</div><p>Additionally, the fees experienced significant impact, plummeting to approximately $1.18 million throughout the day. The Total Value Locked (TVL) fell by almost 50%, down from $2.48 billion to $1.32 billion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，手續費受到重大影響，全天驟降至約 118 萬美元。總鎖倉價值（TVL）幾乎下降了 50%，從 24.8 億美元降至 13.2 億美元。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-142249.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-142249.png"/></p>
<p>Source: DefiLlama</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：DefiLlama</p>
</div><p>All these factors were bearish in nature but could change abruptly when markets shift. These could derail this potential 30% rally, but those were not the only hurdles.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>所有這些因素本質上都是看跌的，但在市場轉變時可能會突然改變。這些可能會阻礙潛在的 30% 反彈，但這並不是唯一的障礙。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Upcoming sell pressure</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>即將到來的賣壓</strong></h2>
</div><p>The crypto markets could experience yet another sell pressure from massive token unlocks in December. ASTER and Sui Network [SUI] were leading with the largest unlocks of more than $86 million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>加密市場可能會在 12 月面臨來自大規模代幣解鎖的再次賣壓。ASTER 和 Sui Network [SUI] 以超過 8600 萬美元的最大解鎖量領先。</p>
</div><p>About 3.89% of ASTER market cap would be unlocked, and the amount was equivalent to 78.41 million tokens. Still, more than 55% were locked, with 7% yet to be assigned a period for unlocking.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>約 3.89% 的 ASTER 市值將被解鎖，數量相當於 7841 萬個代幣。儘管如此，仍有超過 55% 的代幣被鎖定，7% 的代幣尚未分配解鎖時間。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-143222.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-143222.png"/></p>
<p>Source: Tokenomist</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：Tokenomist</p>
</div><p>This unlock could potentially hinder the anticipated rally due to increased supply-driven sell pressure.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此次解鎖可能會由於供應驅動的賣壓而阻礙預期的反彈。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><h2><strong>Final Thoughts</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>最終思考</strong></h2>
</div><ul>
<li><em>The technical outlook of ASTER price action suggests a potential 30% rally.</em></li>
<li><em>Chain activity and the upcoming unlock were bearish, hindering this potential.</em></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><em>ASTER 價格走勢的技術前景暗示可能出現 30% 的反彈。</em></li>
<li><em>鏈上活動和即將到來的解鎖是看跌的，阻礙了這一潛力。</em></li>
</ul>
</div>

ASTER 能否在 12 月上漲 30%？數據揭示了什麼