<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/20251021_092751_xlVln.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/20251021_092751_xlVln.png"/></p>
<p>日經 225 指數在週二繼續承壓，市場參與者對日本銀行（BoJ）可能加息的暗示作出反應，儘管通脹有所緩和。該指數連續第二天下跌，最低跌至 49,400 日元，較今年最高點低約 6.30%。</p>
<h2>日本銀行潛在加息</h2>
<p>日經 225 和東證指數在投資者對日本銀行行長上田和夫的聲明作出反應時，仍低於今年的最高水平。</p>
<p>在他的聲明中，他暗示銀行可能會決定加息。這一舉動是一些分析師所預期的，值得注意的是，這一決定是在國家通脹放緩的背景下做出的。國家統計局編制的數據指出，整體通脹率從 1 月份的 4.0% 下降至 11 月份的 2.7%。</p>
<p>加息將發生在日元今年持續承壓的情況下。美元/日元匯率上漲至 157.88 的高位，比今年最低點上漲超過 12%。因此，加息將是銀行提升日元價值的一種方式。</p>
<p>值得注意的是，日本銀行的加息將與美聯儲考慮本月第三次降息相吻合。一些官員暗示，他們將支持本月的降息，理由是勞動力市場的表現，因為失業率已上升至 4.3%。</p>
<p>美聯儲的降息與日本銀行的加息同時發生，將對股市產生影響，因為交易者將解除他們的套利交易。</p>
<h2>近期日本主要股票下跌</h2>
<p>持續的日經 225 指數表現顯示，一些知名公司在過去幾周內出現下跌。</p>
<p>例如，軟銀的股價暴跌至 16,000 日元，較今年最高水平下跌 42%。該股票在公司出售其 Nvidia 持股後大幅下跌，並且因大舉借款以資助其人工智能計劃。</p>
<p>例如，該公司承諾投資高達 400 億美元於 OpenAI，並通過質押其 Arm 股份籌集了超過 135 億美元的保證金貸款。</p>
<p>與此同時，其比特幣持有量在過去幾個月中也大幅下滑，價格從 126,300 美元跌至今天的 85,000 美元。</p>
<p>在週二下跌的其他日經 225 指數公司包括東京電力、古河電工、東邦鋅業、太平洋金屬、大冢製藥、日本製鋼所和尼康公司等知名企業。</p>
<p>另一方面，一些關鍵公司在過去幾個月表現良好。例如，頂級日本銀行如住友三井銀行的股價升至多年高點。三菱 UFJ 金融集團的股票自今年 4 月的最低點上漲了 55%。瑞穗銀行的股價躍升至 6,600 日元，創下新高，而 Resona 的股價升至 1,600 日元，為 2007 年以來的最高水平。</p>
<h2>日經 225 指數技術分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Nikkei-225-1024x579.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Nikkei-225-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p>日經 225 指數圖表 | 來源：TradingView</p>
<p>日線圖顯示，日經 225 指數在過去幾周承壓，從 11 月份的年內最高點 52,627 日元下滑至當前的 49,387 日元。</p>
<p>它已突破自今年 8 月以來連接最低波動的上升趨勢線，並保持在 50 日和 100 日指數移動平均線（EMA）之上。</p>
<p>因此，該股票可能會恢復上漲，因為多頭目標是 52,626 日元的關鍵阻力位。只要指數高於上升趨勢線，這一前景將保持不變。</p>
<p>文章《日經 225 指數預測：如果日本銀行加息，是否值得買入？》首發於 Invezz</p>

2 倍做空日元 ETF - ProShares

<p>日經 225 指數因日本銀行加息的暗示而承壓，儘管通脹有所緩解。該指數下跌至 49,400 日元，較年度高點低約 6.30%。軟銀等關鍵股票下跌，而三井住友銀行等銀行股上漲。技術分析表明，如果指數保持在上升趨勢線之上，可能會出現反彈，目標阻力位為 52,626 日元</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/20251021_092751_xlVln.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/20251021_092751_xlVln.png"/></p>
<p>The Nikkei 225 Index remained under pressure on Tuesday as market participants reacted to hints that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike interest rates, even as inflation moderates. The index dropped for the second consecutive day, reaching a low of ¥49,400, which is ~6.30% below its highest point this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日經 225 指數在週二繼續承壓，市場參與者對日本銀行（BoJ）可能加息的暗示作出反應，儘管通脹有所緩和。該指數連續第二天下跌，最低跌至 49,400 日元，較今年最高點低約 6.30%。</p>
</div><h2>Bank of Japan potential rate hike</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>日本銀行潛在加息</h2>
</div><p>The Nikkei 225 and Topix indices remained below their highest levels this year as investors reacted to a statement by Kazuo Ueda, the head of the BoJ.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日經 225 和東證指數在投資者對日本銀行行長上田和夫的聲明作出反應時，仍低於今年的最高水平。</p>
</div><p>In his statement, he hinted that the bank may decide to hike interest rates. Such a move, which some analysts were expecting, is notable as it comes as the country’s inflation eases. Data compiled by the country’s statistics agency noted that the headline inflation has dropped from 4.0% in January to 2.7% in November.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在他的聲明中，他暗示銀行可能會決定加息。這一舉動是一些分析師所預期的，值得注意的是，這一決定是在國家通脹放緩的背景下做出的。國家統計局編制的數據指出，整體通脹率從 1 月份的 4.0% 下降至 11 月份的 2.7%。</p>
</div><p>The rate hike will come as the Japanese yen remains under pressure this year. The USD/JPY exchange rate rose to a high of 157.88, up by over 12% from the lowest point this year. As such, a rate would be a way of the bank boosting the value of the yen.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>加息將發生在日元今年持續承壓的情況下。美元/日元匯率上漲至 157.88 的高位，比今年最低點上漲超過 12%。因此，加息將是銀行提升日元價值的一種方式。</p>
</div><p>Most notably, the BoJ rate hike will come as the Federal Reserve considers cutting interest rates for the third time this month. Some officials have hinted that they will support rate cuts this month, citing the performance of the labor market as the unemployment rate has jumped to 4.3%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>值得注意的是，日本銀行的加息將與美聯儲考慮本月第三次降息相吻合。一些官員暗示，他們將支持本月的降息，理由是勞動力市場的表現，因為失業率已上升至 4.3%。</p>
</div><p>A Federal Reserve interest rate cut coinciding with the Bank of Japan rate hike will have an impact on the stock market as traders unwind their carry trades.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美聯儲的降息與日本銀行的加息同時發生，將對股市產生影響，因為交易者將解除他們的套利交易。</p>
</div><h2>Key Japanese stocks have slumped recently</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>近期日本主要股票下跌</h2>
</div><p>The ongoing Nikkei 225 Index performance shows that some notable companies have slumped in the past few weeks.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>持續的日經 225 指數表現顯示，一些知名公司在過去幾周內出現下跌。</p>
</div><p>For example, the Softbank stock price has crashed to ¥16,000, down by 42% from its highest level this year. The stock has plunged after the company sold its Nvidia holdingsand as it borrowed heavily to fund its AI ambitions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>例如，軟銀的股價暴跌至 16,000 日元，較今年最高水平下跌 42%。該股票在公司出售其 Nvidia 持股後大幅下跌，並且因大舉借款以資助其人工智能計劃。</p>
</div><p>For example, the company committed to invest up to $40 billion in OpenAI, and has raised a margin loan worth over $13.5 billion by pledging its Arm shares.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>例如，該公司承諾投資高達 400 億美元於 OpenAI，並通過質押其 Arm 股份籌集了超過 135 億美元的保證金貸款。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, its Bitcoin holdings have slumped in the past few months as the coin has dropped from $126,300 to $85,000 today.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，其比特幣持有量在過去幾個月中也大幅下滑，價格從 126,300 美元跌至今天的 85,000 美元。</p>
</div><p>Other Nikkei 225 Index companies that slumped on Tuesday were popular names like Tokyo Electric Power, Furukawa, Toho Zinc, Pacific Metals, Daiichi Sankyo, Japan Steel Works, and Nikon Corporation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在週二下跌的其他日經 225 指數公司包括東京電力、古河電工、東邦鋅業、太平洋金屬、大冢製藥、日本製鋼所和尼康公司等知名企業。</p>
</div><p>On the other hand, some key companies have done well in the past few months. For example, top Japanese banks like Sumitomo Mitsui Banking rose to a multi-year high. MUFG stock has jumped by 55% from its lowest level in April this year. Mizuho stock jumped to ¥6,600, a record high, while Resona rose to ¥1,600, its highest level since 2007.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一方面，一些關鍵公司在過去幾個月表現良好。例如，頂級日本銀行如住友三井銀行的股價升至多年高點。三菱 UFJ 金融集團的股票自今年 4 月的最低點上漲了 55%。瑞穗銀行的股價躍升至 6,600 日元，創下新高，而 Resona 的股價升至 1,600 日元，為 2007 年以來的最高水平。</p>
</div><h2>Nikkei 225 Index technical analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>日經 225 指數技術分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Nikkei-225-1024x579.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Nikkei-225-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p>Nikkei 225 Index chart | Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日經 225 指數圖表 | 來源：TradingView</p>
</div><p>The daily timeframe chart shows that the Nikkei 225 Index has come under pressure in the past few weeks, moving from the year-to-date high of ¥52,627 in November to the current ¥49,387.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日線圖顯示，日經 225 指數在過去幾周承壓，從 11 月份的年內最高點 52,627 日元下滑至當前的 49,387 日元。</p>
</div><p>It has moved above the ascending trendline that connects the lowest swings since August this year. It has remained above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA).</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>它已突破自今年 8 月以來連接最低波動的上升趨勢線，並保持在 50 日和 100 日指數移動平均線（EMA）之上。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the stock will likely resume rising as bulls target the key resistance level at ¥52,626. This outlook will remain as long as the index is above the ascending trendline.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，該股票可能會恢復上漲，因為多頭目標是 52,626 日元的關鍵阻力位。只要指數高於上升趨勢線，這一前景將保持不變。</p>
</div><p>The post Nikkei 225 Index forecast: Is it a buy if BoJ hikes rates? appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>文章《日經 225 指數預測：如果日本銀行加息，是否值得買入？》首發於 Invezz</p>
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日經 225 指數預測：如果日本央行加息，是否是買入的好時機？