<p>第 1 頁，共 5 頁</p>
<p>薩克索銀行的展望在金融行業中享有一定的追隨者，原因很充分：這家丹麥數字銀行的專家以其大膽的預測而聞名——今年他們再次如此。</p>
<p>薩克索的«離譜預測»並不是官方市場觀點或預測。相反，它們強調了低概率、高影響的事件，如果這些事件發生，將對全球市場產生衝擊。</p>
<p><strong>瑞士情景首次出現</strong></p>
<p>有時候，走出舒適區，思考看似不可能的事情是好的，<strong>Ole S. Hansen</strong>（商品策略負責人）在最近的蘇黎世媒體活動中表示：«儘管這些預測並不是為了正確，但它們旨在挑戰現有敍事。也許在 2026 年，平靜的水域將成為新的非凡。»</p>
<p>他們並不總是錯誤的。在 2022 年，薩克索預測黃金將翻倍——這在兩年後實現了。該機構還正確預測了英偉達的市值將超過蘋果（2025 年）。而在 2017 年，分析師們正確預測比特幣將產生巨大的利潤躍升。</p>
<p>今年，瑞士首次出現了兩個情景。</p>
<p><strong>1. Q 日震撼加密貨幣和全球金融系統</strong></p>
<hr/>
<p>在 2026 年，安全專家們擔心多年的事情發生了：一台功能齊全的量子計算機突破了今天的常見加密標準。從一天到另一天，沒有任何數字鎖被認為是安全的——無論是電子郵件、銀行轉賬還是加密錢包。市場恐慌：比特幣崩潰至接近零；黃金飆升至近 10,000 美元。</p>
<p>中央銀行啓動緊急設施，監管機構實施全球«維護週末»以重新保障數字金融基礎設施。贏家：擁有現金訪問的傳統銀行、實體金庫提供商和新的網絡安全冠軍。輸家：公共加密貨幣和熱錢包交易所。</p>
<p><strong>2. Swift–Kelce：名人婚禮盛況推動全球增長</strong></p>
<hr/>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.finews.com/images/news/2025/12/saxo_taylor_.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.finews.com/images/news/2025/12/saxo_taylor_.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>泰勒·斯威夫特。（圖片來源：Shutterstock）</em></p>
<p><strong>泰勒·斯威夫特</strong> 和 <strong>特拉維斯·凱爾西</strong> 在一個私人加勒比海島上結婚，觸發了社會的多米諾效應。該夫婦決定大幅減少社交媒體的使用，擁抱以家庭為導向的離線世界，這一決定在全球範圍內被模仿。</p>
<p>結婚和出生率明顯上升，千禧一代和 Z 世代創造新的生活空間，購買房屋並進行裝修——為全球經濟帶來可衡量的動力。國際貨幣基金組織將全球經濟的增長預測上調超過一個百分點。然而，社交媒體平台卻失去了用户時間和增長動力。華爾街迅速談論«Swiftie Put»。</p>

<p>Saxo Bank 對 2026 年的 “離譜預測” 包括量子計算機破解加密技術，導致比特幣崩潰和黃金飆升，以及泰勒·斯威夫特與特拉維斯·凱爾茨的婚禮推動全球經濟增長。這些以大膽著稱的預測旨在挑戰現有敍述，並突出潛在的市場衝擊波</p>

<p>Page 1 of 5</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>第 1 頁，共 5 頁</p>
</div><p>Saxo Bank’s outlook enjoys something of a cult following in the financial industry. For good reason: the Danish digital bank’s experts are known for venturing far out on a limb with their forecasts — as they have again this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>薩克索銀行的展望在金融行業中享有一定的追隨者，原因很充分：這家丹麥數字銀行的專家以其大膽的預測而聞名——今年他們再次如此。</p>
</div><p>Saxo's «Outrageous Predictions» are not an official market view or forecast. Rather, they highlight low-probability, high-impact events that could send shockwaves through global markets if they were to materialize.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>薩克索的«離譜預測»並不是官方市場觀點或預測。相反，它們強調了低概率、高影響的事件，如果這些事件發生，將對全球市場產生衝擊。</p>
</div><p><strong>Switzerland Scenarios for the First Time</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>瑞士情景首次出現</strong></p>
</div><p>Sometimes it’s good to step out of your comfort zone and think the seemingly impossible, said <strong>Ole S. Hansen</strong>, Head of Commodity Strategy, at a recent media event in Zurich: «Even though these predictions aren’t about being right, they are meant to challenge prevailing narratives. Perhaps in 2026 calm waters will be the new extraordinary.»</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>有時候，走出舒適區，思考看似不可能的事情是好的，<strong>Ole S. Hansen</strong>（商品策略負責人）在最近的蘇黎世媒體活動中表示：«儘管這些預測並不是為了正確，但它們旨在挑戰現有敍事。也許在 2026 年，平靜的水域將成為新的非凡。»</p>
</div><p>They are not always wrong. In 2022, Saxo predicted that gold would double — which happened two years later. The institution was also correct in forecasting that Nvidia would surpass Apple in market capitalization (2025). And back in 2017, analysts were right to predict that Bitcoin would generate enormous profit leaps.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他們並不總是錯誤的。在 2022 年，薩克索預測黃金將翻倍——這在兩年後實現了。該機構還正確預測了英偉達的市值將超過蘋果（2025 年）。而在 2017 年，分析師們正確預測比特幣將產生巨大的利潤躍升。</p>
</div><p>This year, for the first time, there are also two scenarios for Switzerland.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>今年，瑞士首次出現了兩個情景。</p>
</div><p><strong>1. Q-Day Shakes Cryptos and the Global Financial System</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>1. Q 日震撼加密貨幣和全球金融系統</strong></p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p>In 2026, what security experts have feared for years happens: a functioning quantum computer breaks today’s common encryption standards. From one day to the next, no digital lock is considered secure — not emails, bank transfers, or crypto wallets. Markets panic: Bitcoin collapses toward zero; gold surges to nearly 10,000 dollars.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 2026 年，安全專家們擔心多年的事情發生了：一台功能齊全的量子計算機突破了今天的常見加密標準。從一天到另一天，沒有任何數字鎖被認為是安全的——無論是電子郵件、銀行轉賬還是加密錢包。市場恐慌：比特幣崩潰至接近零；黃金飆升至近 10,000 美元。</p>
</div><p>Central banks activate emergency facilities, regulators impose a worldwide«Maintenance Weekend» to secure the digital financial infrastructure anew. Winners: traditional banks with cash access, physical vault providers, and new cybersecurity champions. Losers: public cryptocurrencies and hot-wallet exchanges.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>中央銀行啓動緊急設施，監管機構實施全球«維護週末»以重新保障數字金融基礎設施。贏家：擁有現金訪問的傳統銀行、實體金庫提供商和新的網絡安全冠軍。輸家：公共加密貨幣和熱錢包交易所。</p>
</div><p><strong>2. Swift–Kelce: A Celebrity Wedding Spectacle Fuels Global Growth</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>2. Swift–Kelce：名人婚禮盛況推動全球增長</strong></p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.finews.com/images/news/2025/12/saxo_taylor_.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://www.finews.com/images/news/2025/12/saxo_taylor_.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>Taylor Swift. (Image: Shutterstock)</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>泰勒·斯威夫特。（圖片來源：Shutterstock）</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Taylor Swift</strong> and <strong>Travis Kelce</strong> tie the knot on a private Caribbean island, triggering a societal domino effect. The couple’s decision to largely withdraw from social media and embrace a family-oriented offline world is imitated globally.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>泰勒·斯威夫特</strong> 和 <strong>特拉維斯·凱爾西</strong> 在一個私人加勒比海島上結婚，觸發了社會的多米諾效應。該夫婦決定大幅減少社交媒體的使用，擁抱以家庭為導向的離線世界，這一決定在全球範圍內被模仿。</p>
</div><p>Marriage and birth rates rise noticeably, Millennials and Gen Z create new living space, buy homes, furnish them — giving measurable momentum to the global economy. The International Monetary Fund raises its growth forecast for the world economy by more than one percentage point. Social-media platforms, however, lose user time and growth momentum. Wall Street quickly talks about the«Swiftie Put».</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>結婚和出生率明顯上升，千禧一代和 Z 世代創造新的生活空間，購買房屋並進行裝修——為全球經濟帶來可衡量的動力。國際貨幣基金組織將全球經濟的增長預測上調超過一個百分點。然而，社交媒體平台卻失去了用户時間和增長動力。華爾街迅速談論«Swiftie Put»。</p>
</div>

AI 首席執行官，Swiftie 熱潮，黃金元：盛寶銀行對 2026 年的大膽預測