<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/20250829_071716_z6Zf1.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1152" height="720" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/20250829_071716_z6Zf1.png"/></p>
<p>週一，原油價格小幅上漲，因市場對美國政府重啓的樂觀情緒以及國內石油需求的激增。參議院投票後，市場對眾議院和美國總統的批准充滿期待。</p>
<p>然而，潛在的不確定性抑制了商品的上漲潛力。USO 原油價格仍處於區間震盪中，投資者關注 OPEC、IEA 和 EIA 的市場報告。</p>
<h2>美國政府協議提振原油價格</h2>
<p>布倫特原油價格在剛剛結束的一週中連續第二週下跌，因市場對未來幾個月供應過剩的擔憂加劇。然而，隨着市場預期美國政府關門的結束，新的一週開始時價格有所回升。與此同時，作為基準的美國原油價格在撰寫時交易於 60.15 美元的綠色區域。</p>
<p>週日晚上，參議院投票通過了一項法案，旨在重啓政府。以 60 票對 40 票的投票結果支持該協議，其中包括八名温和派民主黨的支持。</p>
<p>這一關鍵步驟支持了原油價格，因為市場預期暫停的政府支出將恢復，國內對能源及其他商品和服務的需求將改善。此外，改善的風險偏好將降低對避險資產的需求，從而影響石油和其他資產的走勢。</p>
<p>然而，儘管 40 天的關門在 11 月中旬結束的可能性相當高，但程序遠未結束。在參議院投票後，仍需獲得眾議院的批准，然後再交由特朗普總統簽署。在潛在的不確定性下，原油價格在短期內可能仍將保持波動。</p>
<p>與此同時，美元走弱使得持有外幣的買家購買原油的成本降低。值得注意的是，美國政府關門及隨後的數據停滯使得金融市場在數週內處於盲目狀態。雖然結束的消息有利於國債收益率，但美元仍面臨賣壓。</p>
<p>美元指數追蹤美元相對於六種主要貨幣的價值，本週開局疲軟，延續了近期的修正。它仍低於 100 美元的關鍵區域，因風險偏好的改善。</p>
<p>除了關於美國政府重啓的最新消息外，投資者還在關注 OPEC、IEA 和 EIA 的市場報告。由於對未來幾個月供應過剩的擔憂，原油價格一直承受賣壓。</p>
<h2>USO 原油價格技術分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/crude-oil-price-1024x579.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="579" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/crude-oil-price-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p>美國石油基金（USO）圖表 | 來源：TradingView</p>
<p>美國石油基金（USO）在經歷了連續兩週的下跌後，本週開局表現良好。然而，由於對美國政府關門結束的不確定性，它仍然交易於中期 50 日 EMA 以下。在撰寫時，它在短期 25 日 EMA 附近徘徊，價格為 71.64 美元。</p>
<p>儘管市場預計在接下來的交易中將高度波動，但 RSI 為 49 表明交易處於區間震盪中。這是因為投資者對結束超過一個月的關門努力保持謹慎。</p>
<p>更具體地説，71.26 美元至 72.77 美元的區間在短期內值得關注。如果進一步反彈，USO 原油價格可能在 73.70 美元處遇到阻力。相反，如果價格回落至 70.59 美元的支撐區間以下，則這一論點將失效。</p>
<p>原油價格分析：市場不確定性限制美國政府協議熱潮的文章首發於 Invezz</p>

<p>原油價格因對美國政府重啓的樂觀情緒而上漲，推動了國內需求。然而，不確定性限制了潛在的漲幅。參議院投票結束停擺支持了價格，但眾議院和總統的批准尚待確定。美元走弱使得石油對外國買家更便宜。投資者關注 OPEC、IEA 和 EIA 的報告，以應對供應過剩的擔憂。USO ETF 交易價格低於 50 日指數移動平均線，阻力位在 73.70 美元，支撐位在 70.59 美元</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/20250829_071716_z6Zf1.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/20250829_071716_z6Zf1.png"/></p>
<p>Crude oil price edged higher on Monday amid optimism over the reopening of the US government and the subsequent surge in domestic oil demand. After the Senate vote, the market is hopeful of approval from the House of Representatives and the US President.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>週一，原油價格小幅上漲，因市場對美國政府重啓的樂觀情緒以及國內石油需求的激增。參議院投票後，市場對眾議院和美國總統的批准充滿期待。</p>
</div><p>However, the underlying uncertainties have curbed the commodity’s upside potential. USO crude oil price remains range-bound as investors eye market reports from OPEC, IEA, and EIA.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，潛在的不確定性抑制了商品的上漲潛力。USO 原油價格仍處於區間震盪中，投資者關注 OPEC、IEA 和 EIA 的市場報告。</p>
</div><h2>US Government Deal Bolsters Crude Oil Price</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>美國政府協議提振原油價格</h2>
</div><p>Brent crude oil price recorded its second straight week of losses in the just-concluded week amid heightened concerns of a supply glut in coming months. However, it has started the new week on its front foot as the market anticipates the end of the US government shutdown. Similarly, the benchmark of US oil price was trading in the green at $60.15 as at the time of writing.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>布倫特原油價格在剛剛結束的一週中連續第二週下跌，因市場對未來幾個月供應過剩的擔憂加劇。然而，隨着市場預期美國政府關門的結束，新的一週開始時價格有所回升。與此同時，作為基準的美國原油價格在撰寫時交易於 60.15 美元的綠色區域。</p>
</div><p>On Sunday evening, the Senate voted to advance a bill that would see the reopening of the government. The 60-40 vote in favor of the deal included the support of eight moderate Democrats.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>週日晚上，參議院投票通過了一項法案，旨在重啓政府。以 60 票對 40 票的投票結果支持該協議，其中包括八名温和派民主黨的支持。</p>
</div><p>This crucial step has supported crude oil price as the market anticipates the return of the paused government spending and improved domestic demand for energy and other goods and services. Besides, an improved risk appetite is set to lower the demand for safe havens for a shift in oil and other assets.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這一關鍵步驟支持了原油價格，因為市場預期暫停的政府支出將恢復，國內對能源及其他商品和服務的需求將改善。此外，改善的風險偏好將降低對避險資產的需求，從而影響石油和其他資產的走勢。</p>
</div><p>However, while the probability of the 40-day shutdown ending by mid-November is significantly high, the procedure is far from over. After the Senate vote, it will require approval from the House of Representatives before being handed over to President Trump for signing. With the underlying uncertainties, crude oil price will likely remain volatile in the short term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，儘管 40 天的關門在 11 月中旬結束的可能性相當高，但程序遠未結束。在參議院投票後，仍需獲得眾議院的批准，然後再交由特朗普總統簽署。在潛在的不確定性下，原油價格在短期內可能仍將保持波動。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, a weaker US dollar has made crude oil less expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. Notably, the US government shutdown and subsequent data blackout has forced financal markets to fly blind for weeks. While news of an end in sight have favored Treasury yields, the US dollar remains under selling pressure.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，美元走弱使得持有外幣的買家購買原油的成本降低。值得注意的是，美國政府關門及隨後的數據停滯使得金融市場在數週內處於盲目狀態。雖然結束的消息有利於國債收益率，但美元仍面臨賣壓。</p>
</div><p>The dollar index, which tracks the value of the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, started the week on a soft note, extending the recent correction. It remains below the crucial zone of $100 amid the improved risk appetite.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元指數追蹤美元相對於六種主要貨幣的價值，本週開局疲軟，延續了近期的修正。它仍低於 100 美元的關鍵區域，因風險偏好的改善。</p>
</div><p>In addition to the updates on reopening the US government, investors are also eyeing market reports from OPEC, IEA, and EIA. Crude oil price has been under selling pressure amid concerns over a supply glut in the coming months.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>除了關於美國政府重啓的最新消息外，投資者還在關注 OPEC、IEA 和 EIA 的市場報告。由於對未來幾個月供應過剩的擔憂，原油價格一直承受賣壓。</p>
</div><h2>USO Crude oil Price Technical Analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>USO 原油價格技術分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/crude-oil-price-1024x579.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/crude-oil-price-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p>USO ETF chart | Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美國石油基金（USO）圖表 | 來源：TradingView</p>
</div><p>The United States Oil Fund (USO) started the week on its front foot after two consecutive weeks of losses. However, it continues to trade below the medium-term 50-day EMA amid uncertainties over the ending of the US government shutdown. At the time of writing, it was hovering along the short-term 25-day EMA at $71.64.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美國石油基金（USO）在經歷了連續兩週的下跌後，本週開局表現良好。然而，由於對美國政府關門結束的不確定性，它仍然交易於中期 50 日 EMA 以下。在撰寫時，它在短期 25 日 EMA 附近徘徊，價格為 71.64 美元。</p>
</div><p>While the market is expected to be highly volatile in the ensuing sessions, an RSI of 49 points to range-bound trading. This is as investors remain cautious of the ongoing efforts to end the over one-month shutdown.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管市場預計在接下來的交易中將高度波動，但 RSI 為 49 表明交易處於區間震盪中。這是因為投資者對結束超過一個月的關門努力保持謹慎。</p>
</div><p>More specifically, the range between $71.26 and $72.77 will be worth watching in the near term. With further rebounding, USO crude oil price may find resistance at $73.70. On the flip side, this thesis will be invalidated by a pullback past the support zone of $70.59.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>更具體地説，71.26 美元至 72.77 美元的區間在短期內值得關注。如果進一步反彈，USO 原油價格可能在 73.70 美元處遇到阻力。相反，如果價格回落至 70.59 美元的支撐區間以下，則這一論點將失效。</p>
</div><p>The post Crude oil price analysis: Market uncertainties cap US government deal craze appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>原油價格分析：市場不確定性限制美國政府協議熱潮的文章首發於 Invezz</p>
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原油價格分析：市場的不確定性限制了美國政府的交易熱潮