<div id="readability-page-1">Money Markets Can SMCI Stock Recover If It Falls Another 30%?  ByTrefis Team ,  Contributor.  Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Building a platform to do the job of 1 million analysts for  Great Speculations Follow Author Dec 17, 2025, 09:29am EST Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares have decreased by 13.1% over the last 21 trading days. This recent decline indicates a shift in investor interest away from AI-related stocks and highlights the execution risks and margin pressures faced by SMCI. However, significant declines like this often provoke a more challenging question: is this weakness a fleeting issue, or does it indicate more profound issues within the company?  CHONGQING, CHINA - JULY 31: In this photo illustration, a person holds a smartphone displaying the logo of Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ: SMCI), a leading American provider of high-performance server and storage systems, with the company's green oval and red dot logo visible in the background, on July 31, 2025 in Chongqing, China. (Photo illustration by Cheng Xin/Getty Images) Getty Images Before evaluating its downturn resilience, let’s examine the current standing of Super Micro Computer.  Size: Super Micro Computer is a $19 billion company with a revenue of $21 billion, currently priced at $31.66 per share.  Fundamentals: Revenue growth over the last 12 months was 11.9% with an operating margin of 4.4%.  Liquidity: Holds a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.17 and a Cash to Assets ratio of 0.29.  Valuation: Super Micro Computer stock presently trades at a P/E ratio of 36.0 and a P/EBIT ratio of 28.9.  Has offered a median return of 30.9% within a year following sharp declines since 2010. Refer to SMCI Dip Buy Analysis.  These indicators reflect a strong combined with strong valuation, positioning the stock as strong. For further details, refer to Buy or Sell SMCI Stock .  This brings us to a crucial consideration for investors anxious about this downturn: how resilient is SMCI stock if the markets head south? This is where our downturn resilience framework becomes relevant. If SMCI stock dips another 20-30% to $22, can investors hold on with confidence? It turns out, the stock experienced a slightly worse impact than the S&amp;P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) the extent of the stock’s decline and (b) the speed of its recovery. Below, we take a closer look at each downturn.  2022 Inflation Shock  SMCI stock fell 34.5% from a peak of $35.33 on August 7, 2023, to $23.15 on September 21, 2023, compared to a peak-to-trough drop of 25.4% for the S&amp;P 500.  However, the stock completely regained its pre-Crisis peak by January 19, 2024.  Since that time, the stock has risen to a high of $118.81 on March 13, 2024, and is currently trading at $31.66.  2022 Trefis  2020 Covid Pandemic  SMCI stock dropped 45.8% from a peak of $2.95 on February 5, 2020, to $1.60 on March 18, 2020, compared to a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&amp;P 500.  Nevertheless, the stock completely regained its pre-Crisis peak by June 8, 2020.  2020 Trefis MORE FOR YOU  2018 Correction  SMCI stock decreased by 59.6% from a peak of $2.89 on January 4, 2017, to $1.17 on November 8, 2018, compared to a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&amp;P 500.  Nonetheless, the stock fully rebounded to its pre-Crisis peak by January 22, 2020.  2018 Trefis 2008 Global Financial Crisis  SMCI stock declined 66.3% from a peak of $1.14 on June 5, 2007, to $0.39 on November 13, 2008, versus a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&amp;P 500  Nevertheless, the stock completely recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by December 22, 2009.  Feeling nervous about SMCI stock? Consider a portfolio approach.  Portfolios Outperform Stock Selection  Individual stock choices can be unpredictable, but remaining invested is essential. A well-diversified portfolio enables you to stay the course, seize opportunities for growth, and mitigate risks.  The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio , comprising 30 different stocks, has consistently outperformed its benchmark, including all three indices – the S&amp;P 500, S&amp;P mid-cap, and Russell 2000. What accounts for this? Collectively, HQ Portfolio stocks have delivered superior returns with diminished risk compared to the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster experience, as demonstrated by HQ Portfolio performance metrics .  Editorial Standards Reprints &amp; Permissions LOADING VIDEO PLAYER... FORBES’ FEATURED Video</div>

超微電腦

<p>超微電腦（SMCI）股票在 21 天內下跌了 13.1%，引發了對進一步下跌的擔憂。儘管在經濟衰退期間表現出一定的韌性，但該股票面臨執行風險和利潤壓力。歷史上，SMCI 曾在重大下跌後反彈，但建議投資者考慮多元化投資組合以降低風險。Trefis 高質量投資組合的表現優於基準，提供了一個波動性較小的投資選擇</p>

Can SMCI Stock Recover If It Falls Another 30%?

- 超微計算機（SMCI）股價在過去 21 個交易日下跌了 13.1%。  
- 該公司在面臨市場興趣轉移和執行風險的情況下，市值為 190 億美元。  
- SMCI 股市在經濟下行時表現出比標準普爾 500 指數更大的波動。

如果 SMCI 股票再下跌 30%，它能否恢復？