<ul>
<li>美元在初步反彈後回落，因為温和的 CPI 數據引發了降息的猜測，使得美元/日元波動不定。</li>
<li>儘管短期內存在噪音和日本銀行的風險，但由於持續的利率差，回調被視為買入機會。</li>
</ul>
<p><em>(點擊圖片放大)</em></p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.dailyforex.com/files/usdjpy-dec1925-chris.webp?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1285" height="719" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.dailyforex.com/files/usdjpy-dec1925-chris.webp"/></p>
<p>美元在週四的交易時段最初上漲，但很快回吐了漲幅，主要是因為美國的 CPI 數據低於預期。因此，人們開始關注美聯儲是否可能更快地降息。</p>
<p>鑑於這種情況，市場仍然非常嘈雜，這確實使得我們繼續看到很多波動是有一定道理的，但這對這個貨幣對來説並不新鮮。此外，您還必須記住，週五我們將迎來日本銀行的利率決策，因此這個貨幣對可能會立即反轉。</p>
<h3><strong>關鍵水平、政策風險和交易偏好</strong></h3>
<p>鑑於這種情況，這一情況受到密切關注，目前的回調被視為買入機會。50 日 EMA 接近 4.12 水平並且在上升，應該會提供一些支撐。上方的¥158 水平是一個潛在的目標。</p>
<p>市場是否會在年底之前達到這一水平是一個完全不同的問題，但預計最終會達到。利率差將在可預見的未來繼續偏向美國，而美國的通脹和增長預計將保持在中央銀行的最佳水平之上。因此，美聯儲在降息週期中可能需要保持一定的謹慎。</p>
<p>這似乎還不是一個主要的轉折點，至少目前還不是。因此，沒有真正的理由相信日元會顯著升值。在日本銀行的聲明或新聞發佈會後，這個貨幣對可能會出現回調，但這應該被視為一個潛在的機會。</p>
<hr/>
<p><em>更多來自此作者的內容：</em></p>
<p>AUD/USD 預測：避免觸及上限</p>
<p>USD/JPY 預測：美元上漲，50 日 EMA 支撐看漲趨勢</p>
<p>BTC/USD 預測：在$80K 支撐位保持整合，$95K 阻力位逼近</p>

<p>美元/日元貨幣對仍然波動不定，因美國 CPI 數據疲軟引發降息猜測，吸引買家在回調時入場。儘管存在噪音和日本銀行的風險，利率差異仍然有利於美元。50 日指數移動平均線在 4.12 附近提供支撐，目標為¥158。美聯儲謹慎的降息策略和持續的美國通脹支撐美元，而日本銀行公告後的潛在回調被視為買入機會</p>

<ul>
<li>The US dollar reversed after an initial rally as softer CPI data fueled rate-cut speculation, keeping USD/JPY volatile.</li>
<li>Despite near-term noise and Bank of Japan risk, pullbacks are viewed as buying opportunities amid a persistent rate differential.</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>美元在初步反彈後回落，因為温和的 CPI 數據引發了降息的猜測，使得美元/日元波動不定。</li>
<li>儘管短期內存在噪音和日本銀行的風險，但由於持續的利率差，回調被視為買入機會。</li>
</ul>
</div><p><em>(Click on image to enlarge)</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>(點擊圖片放大)</em></p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.dailyforex.com/files/usdjpy-dec1925-chris.webp" alt="" original-src="https://www.dailyforex.com/files/usdjpy-dec1925-chris.webp"/></p>
<p>The US dollar initially rallied during the trading session on Thursday, but gave back gains rather quickly, mainly due to the CPI numbers coming out with a lower-than-anticipated number in the United States. Therefore, people are starting to focus on the idea of whether or not the Federal Reserve may have to cut rates more quickly.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元在週四的交易時段最初上漲，但很快回吐了漲幅，主要是因為美國的 CPI 數據低於預期。因此，人們開始關注美聯儲是否可能更快地降息。</p>
</div><p>With that being the case, the market remains very noisy, and it does make a certain amount of sense that we continue to see a lot of volatility, but that’s nothing new for this pair. Furthermore, you also have to keep in mind that on Friday, we get the interest rate decision coming out of the Bank of Japan, so this is a pair that could get turned around right away.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>鑑於這種情況，市場仍然非常嘈雜，這確實使得我們繼續看到很多波動是有一定道理的，但這對這個貨幣對來説並不新鮮。此外，您還必須記住，週五我們將迎來日本銀行的利率決策，因此這個貨幣對可能會立即反轉。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Key Levels, Policy Risk, and Trade Bias</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>關鍵水平、政策風險和交易偏好</strong></h3>
</div><p>With that being the case, this is watched very closely, and pullbacks are being viewed at this point in time as buying opportunities. The 50-day EMA is near the 4.12 level and rising, and it should offer a little bit of support. The ¥158 level above is where a potential target is being watched.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>鑑於這種情況，這一情況受到密切關注，目前的回調被視為買入機會。50 日 EMA 接近 4.12 水平並且在上升，應該會提供一些支撐。上方的¥158 水平是一個潛在的目標。</p>
</div><p>Whether or not the market gets there between now and the end of the year is a completely different question, but it is expected eventually. The interest rate differential will continue to favor the Americans for the foreseeable future, and inflation and growth in the United States are expected to remain above the optimal level for the central bank. Therefore, the Federal Reserve will likely have to be a little cautious with its rate-cutting cycle.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>市場是否會在年底之前達到這一水平是一個完全不同的問題，但預計最終會達到。利率差將在可預見的未來繼續偏向美國，而美國的通脹和增長預計將保持在中央銀行的最佳水平之上。因此，美聯儲在降息週期中可能需要保持一定的謹慎。</p>
</div><p>This does not appear to be a major inflection point, at least not yet. As a result, there is no real reason to believe that the Japanese yen is going to appreciate significantly. There may be the potential for a pullback in this pair after the Bank of Japan statement or press conference, but that should be looked at as a potential opportunity.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這似乎還不是一個主要的轉折點，至少目前還不是。因此，沒有真正的理由相信日元會顯著升值。在日本銀行的聲明或新聞發佈會後，這個貨幣對可能會出現回調，但這應該被視為一個潛在的機會。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p><em>More By This Author:</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>更多來自此作者的內容：</em></p>
</div><p>AUD/USD Forecast: Shy Away From Ceiling</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>AUD/USD 預測：避免觸及上限</p>
</div><p>USD/JPY Forecast: Dollar Rises As 50-Day EMA Supports Bullish Trend</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>USD/JPY 預測：美元上漲，50 日 EMA 支撐看漲趨勢</p>
</div><p>BTC/USD Forecast: Consolidates As $80K Support Holds and $95K Resistance Looms</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>BTC/USD 預測：在$80K 支撐位保持整合，$95K 阻力位逼近</p>
</div>

美元兑日元的預測：回調仍然吸引買家