<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/new-zealand-2.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/new-zealand-2.jpg"/></p>
<p>本週，NZD/USD 匯率將成為焦點，因為投資者關注即將到來的新西蘭儲備銀行 (RBNZ) 利率決策。本月該貨幣對經歷了強勁的牛市，從 0.5852 激增至接近 0.6150，為 3 月 14 日以來的最高點。</p>
<h2>RBNZ 利率決策即將到來</h2>
<p>上週，由於美國經濟數據疲軟導致美元指數 (DXY) 大幅下跌，NZD/USD 強勁上漲。數據顯示，在高利率環境下，建築許可證和新屋開工仍然承壓。</p>
<p>額外數據顯示，美國零售銷售在 4 月停滯不前，而製造業和工業生產在 4 月有所回落。在同一個月，消費者通脹的整體和核心指標首次下降。</p>
<p>因此，美聯儲正處於滯漲時期，特徵是高通脹和經濟增長乏力。之前的報告顯示，美國經濟在第一季度僅增長了 1.6%。因此，銀行可能決定在今年至少降息兩次。</p>
<p>NZD/USD 匯率的下一個重要催化劑將是定於週三的即將到來的新西蘭儲備銀行 (RBNZ) 利率決策。</p>
<p>此次會議恰逢新西蘭的通脹水平仍然較高，而經濟正在從深度衰退中復甦。最新數據顯示，第一季度消費者價格指數 (CPI) 從上個季度的 4.7% 降至 4.0%。該指標在 2022 年曾達到 7.3% 的峯值。</p>
<p>另一份報告顯示，經濟在第四季度收縮了 0.3%，相比之前的 0.6% 的下降有所改善。因此，分析師預計銀行將維持利率不變，並在第四季度暗示降息。</p>
<h2>NZD/USD 技術分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-150-1024x570.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-150-1024x570.png"/></p>
<p>NZD/USD 圖表來自 TradingView</p>
<p>日線圖顯示，NZD 對 USD 匯率在過去幾周處於強勁的牛市中。它最近突破了 0.6080 的關鍵阻力位，這是 4 月 10 日的最高點。</p>
<p>該貨幣對已經翻轉了 50 日和 100 日指數移動平均線 (EMA)，這是一個積極的信號。它還突破了 Woodie 支點的第一個阻力位。</p>
<p>相對強弱指數 (RSI) 和相對活力指數 (RVI) 都已躍升至數月來的最高水平。因此，該貨幣對可能會在 RBNZ 決策後重新測試 0.6157 的第一個 Woodie 支點，然後回落至 0.6080 的支撐位。這種表現被稱為突破和回測模式。</p>
<p>NZD/USD 預測和 RBNZ 利率決策預覽的文章首次出現在 Invezz 上。</p>

<p>NZD/USD 匯率受到即將到來的新西蘭儲備銀行（RBNZ）利率決策的關注。該貨幣對已從 0.5852 上漲至接近 0.6150。疲弱的美國經濟數據影響了美元。分析師預計 RBNZ 將維持利率不變，並可能在第四季度降息。技術分析表明可能會重新測試 0.6157，並回落至 0.6080</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/new-zealand-2.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/new-zealand-2.jpg"/></p>
<p>The NZD/USD exchange rate will be in the spotlight this week as investors focus on the upcoming Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) interest rate decision. The pair has been in a strong bull run this month as it surged from 0.5852 to near 0.6150, its highest swing since March 14th.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本週，NZD/USD 匯率將成為焦點，因為投資者關注即將到來的新西蘭儲備銀行 (RBNZ) 利率決策。本月該貨幣對經歷了強勁的牛市，從 0.5852 激增至接近 0.6150，為 3 月 14 日以來的最高點。</p>
</div><h2>RBNZ interest rate decision ahead</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>RBNZ 利率決策即將到來</h2>
</div><p>The NZD/USD surged hard last week after the weak US economic numbers led to a plunge of the US dollar index (DXY). Data revealed that the building permits and housing starts remained under pressure amid a high-interest rate environment.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>上週，由於美國經濟數據疲軟導致美元指數 (DXY) 大幅下跌，NZD/USD 強勁上漲。數據顯示，在高利率環境下，建築許可證和新屋開工仍然承壓。</p>
</div><p>Additional data showed that the US retail sales stalled in April while manufacturing and industrial production retreated in April. In the same month, the headline and core consumer inflation dropped for the first time in months.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>額外數據顯示，美國零售銷售在 4 月停滯不前，而製造業和工業生產在 4 月有所回落。在同一個月，消費者通脹的整體和核心指標首次下降。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the Fed finds itself in a period of stagflation, which is characterised by high inflation and weak economic growth. A previous report showed that the US economy expanded by just 1.6% in the first quarter. As such, the bank may decide to cut interest rates at least two times this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，美聯儲正處於滯漲時期，特徵是高通脹和經濟增長乏力。之前的報告顯示，美國經濟在第一季度僅增長了 1.6%。因此，銀行可能決定在今年至少降息兩次。</p>
</div><p>The next important catalyst for the NZD/USD exchange rate will be the upcoming Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) interest rate decision scheduled for Wednesday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>NZD/USD 匯率的下一個重要催化劑將是定於週三的即將到來的新西蘭儲備銀行 (RBNZ) 利率決策。</p>
</div><p>This meeting will come at a time when New Zealand’s inflation remains at an elevated level while the economy is emerging from a deep dive. The most recent data showed that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped to 4.0% in Q1, down from 4.7% in the previous quarter. It had peaked at 7.3% in 2022.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此次會議恰逢新西蘭的通脹水平仍然較高，而經濟正在從深度衰退中復甦。最新數據顯示，第一季度消費者價格指數 (CPI) 從上個季度的 4.7% 降至 4.0%。該指標在 2022 年曾達到 7.3% 的峯值。</p>
</div><p>A separate report showed that the economy contracted by 0.3% in Q4, a slight improvement from the previous decline of 0,6%. Therefore, analysts expect that the bank will leave interest rates unchanged and point to a rate cut in the fourth quarter.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一份報告顯示，經濟在第四季度收縮了 0.3%，相比之前的 0.6% 的下降有所改善。因此，分析師預計銀行將維持利率不變，並在第四季度暗示降息。</p>
</div><h2>NZD/USD technical analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>NZD/USD 技術分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-150-1024x570.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-150-1024x570.png"/></p>
<p>NZD/USD chart by TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>NZD/USD 圖表來自 TradingView</p>
</div><p>The daily chart shows that the NZD to USD exchange rate has been in a strong bull run in the past few weeks. It recently crossed the crucial resistance level at 0.6080, its highest swing on April 10th.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日線圖顯示，NZD 對 USD 匯率在過去幾周處於強勁的牛市中。它最近突破了 0.6080 的關鍵阻力位，這是 4 月 10 日的最高點。</p>
</div><p>The pair has flipped the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), a positive sign. It has also soared above the first resistance of the Woodie pivot point.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>該貨幣對已經翻轉了 50 日和 100 日指數移動平均線 (EMA)，這是一個積極的信號。它還突破了 Woodie 支點的第一個阻力位。</p>
</div><p>The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Relative Vigor Index (RVI) have all jumped to their highest levels in months. Therefore, the pair will likely retest the first Woodie pivot point at 0.6157 and then retreat to the support at 0.6080 after the RBNZ decision. This performance is known as a break and retest pattern.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>相對強弱指數 (RSI) 和相對活力指數 (RVI) 都已躍升至數月來的最高水平。因此，該貨幣對可能會在 RBNZ 決策後重新測試 0.6157 的第一個 Woodie 支點，然後回落至 0.6080 的支撐位。這種表現被稱為突破和回測模式。</p>
</div><p>The post NZD/USD forecast and RBNZ interest rate decision preview appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>NZD/USD 預測和 RBNZ 利率決策預覽的文章首次出現在 Invezz 上。</p>
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紐元兑美元的預測及新西蘭儲備銀行利率決策的前瞻