<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/20250924_1410_Alibaba-AI-Cloud-Integration_simple_compose_01k5xe0qa7f4krwjhqe33reyz9.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/20250924_1410_Alibaba-AI-Cloud-Integration_simple_compose_01k5xe0qa7f4krwjhqe33reyz9.png"/></p>
<p>阿里巴巴的股價在 2025 年從最高點下跌約 20% 後，仍處於熊市中。它在 12 月份跌至 146 美元的低點，然後在盤前反彈至 152 美元。本文進行了一項技術分析，指向反彈的可能性。</p>
<h2>阿里巴巴股價技術分析</h2>
<p>日線圖顯示，BABA 股價在過去幾個月中回落，從 192 美元的高點下跌至當前的 152 美元。</p>
<p>它已經突破 200 日指數移動平均線（EMA），這在技術分析中是一個看漲的信號。</p>
<p>最重要的是，該股票形成了一個巨大的下跌楔形模式，由兩條下降且收斂的趨勢線構成。</p>
<p>這兩條線現在接近它們的匯合點，這表明即將發生看漲突破。</p>
<p>與此同時，楔形模式是在該股票從 7 月份的 103 美元低點上漲至 10 月份的 192 美元高點後形成的。這表明它正在形成一個看漲的旗形模式，由一條垂直線和一個對稱三角形構成。</p>
<p>因此，該股票在接下來的幾周或幾個月內可能會反彈，可能會達到 192 美元的心理關口，約比當前水平高出 25%。突破該價格將指向更多的漲幅，可能達到 200 美元的心理關口。</p>
<p>另一方面，若跌破 200 日 EMA 水平 140 美元，將使阿里巴巴的看漲預測失效，並指向近期更多的下行空間。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Alibaba-stock-1024x579.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Alibaba-stock-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p>阿里巴巴股票圖表 | 來源：TradingView</p>
<h2>BABA 股票有眾多催化劑</h2>
<p>阿里巴巴股價的上漲將受到人工智能（AI）行業持續繁榮的推動，這正在促進其雲業務的發展。</p>
<p>最新的財報顯示，其雲智能集團的收入在第三季度增長了 34%，達到了 55.9 億美元。這一增長也體現在其盈利能力上，EBITDA 增長了 35%，達到了 5.06 億美元。</p>
<p>阿里巴巴繼續在 AI 行業進行投資，推出了多個模型，包括 Qwen 和 Kimi，這些都是 OpenAI 的 ChatGPT 的良好替代品。</p>
<p>該公司的其他業務也表現相對良好，國際數字商務集團在第三季度增長了 10%，達到了 39.3 億美元。其電子商務收入也增長了 9%。</p>
<p>華爾街分析師對該公司的業務在未來幾年繼續良好發展持樂觀態度。平均估計是其 2025 年收入將達到 1.04 萬億日元，比 2024 年增長 4.7%。預計今年收入將達到 1.15 萬億日元，每股收益（EPS）將從 46.3 日元上升至 65.64 日元。</p>
<p>與同行相比，阿里巴巴的估值相對較低。它的前瞻市盈率為 20，遠低於亞馬遜的 32 和標準普爾 500 指數的平均水平 23。</p>
<p>因此，強勁的雲業務、強勁的盈利、低廉的估值和技術面因素共同指向近期更多的上漲空間。</p>
<p>本文的標題為《阿里巴巴股價在 2026 年可能上漲 25% - 技術分析》，首次發佈於 Invezz。</p>

<p>阿里巴巴的股價處於熊市，從 2025 年的高點下跌了約 20%。目前股價為 152 美元，技術分析顯示有潛在反彈的可能，目標價為 192 美元，意味着上漲 25%。該股票形成了看漲的下跌楔形圖形，並得到了其雲業務強勁增長的支持，第三季度收入增長了 34%。分析師預測收入將持續增長，使阿里巴巴相比同行更具吸引力。如果股價跌破 140 美元，將會使這一看漲前景失效</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/20250924_1410_Alibaba-AI-Cloud-Integration_simple_compose_01k5xe0qa7f4krwjhqe33reyz9.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/20250924_1410_Alibaba-AI-Cloud-Integration_simple_compose_01k5xe0qa7f4krwjhqe33reyz9.png"/></p>
<p>Alibaba stock price has remained in a bear market after plunging by ~20% from its highest point in 2025. It dropped to a low of $146 in December and then rebounded to $152 in the pre-market. This article conducts a technical analysis pointing to a rebound.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>阿里巴巴的股價在 2025 年從最高點下跌約 20% 後，仍處於熊市中。它在 12 月份跌至 146 美元的低點，然後在盤前反彈至 152 美元。本文進行了一項技術分析，指向反彈的可能性。</p>
</div><h2>Alibaba stock price technical analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>阿里巴巴股價技術分析</h2>
</div><p>The daily timeframe chart shows that the BABA stock price has retreated in the past few months, moving from a high of $192 to the current $152.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日線圖顯示，BABA 股價在過去幾個月中回落，從 192 美元的高點下跌至當前的 152 美元。</p>
</div><p>It has moved above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is a bullish sign in technical analysis.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>它已經突破 200 日指數移動平均線（EMA），這在技術分析中是一個看漲的信號。</p>
</div><p>Most importantly, the stock has formed a giant falling wedge pattern, which is made up of two descending and converging trendlines.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最重要的是，該股票形成了一個巨大的下跌楔形模式，由兩條下降且收斂的趨勢線構成。</p>
</div><p>The two lines are now nearing their confluence level, which is a sign that a bullish breakout is about to happen.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這兩條線現在接近它們的匯合點，這表明即將發生看漲突破。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, the wedge pattern is forming after the stock pumped from a low of $103 in July to a high of $192 in October. That is a sign that it is forming a bullish pennant pattern, which is made up of a vertical line and a symmetrical triangle.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，楔形模式是在該股票從 7 月份的 103 美元低點上漲至 10 月份的 192 美元高點後形成的。這表明它正在形成一個看漲的旗形模式，由一條垂直線和一個對稱三角形構成。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the stock will likely bounce back in true coming weeks or months, potentially to the psychological level at $192, which is ~25% above the current level. A move above that price will point to more gains, potentially to the psychological level at $200</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，該股票在接下來的幾周或幾個月內可能會反彈，可能會達到 192 美元的心理關口，約比當前水平高出 25%。突破該價格將指向更多的漲幅，可能達到 200 美元的心理關口。</p>
</div><p>On the other hand, a drop below the 200-day EMA level at $140 will invalidate the bullish Alibaba forecast and point to more downside in the near term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一方面，若跌破 200 日 EMA 水平 140 美元，將使阿里巴巴的看漲預測失效，並指向近期更多的下行空間。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Alibaba-stock-1024x579.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Alibaba-stock-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p>Alibaba stock chart | Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>阿里巴巴股票圖表 | 來源：TradingView</p>
</div><h2>BABA stock has numerous catalysts</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>BABA 股票有眾多催化劑</h2>
</div><p>Alibaba stock price rally will be driven by the ongoing boom in the artificial intelligence (AI) industry, which is boosting its cloud business.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>阿里巴巴股價的上漲將受到人工智能（AI）行業持續繁榮的推動，這正在促進其雲業務的發展。</p>
</div><p>The most recent results showed that its Cloud Intelligence Group’s revenue rose by 34% in the third quarter to $5.59 billion. This growth also happened in terms of its profitability, whose EBITDA jumped by 35% to $506 million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最新的財報顯示，其雲智能集團的收入在第三季度增長了 34%，達到了 55.9 億美元。這一增長也體現在其盈利能力上，EBITDA 增長了 35%，達到了 5.06 億美元。</p>
</div><p>Alibaba has continued to invest in the AI industry, where it has launched several models, including Qwen and Kimi, which are good alternatives to OpenAI’s ChatGPT.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>阿里巴巴繼續在 AI 行業進行投資，推出了多個模型，包括 Qwen 和 Kimi，這些都是 OpenAI 的 ChatGPT 的良好替代品。</p>
</div><p>The company’s other businesses are also doing relatively well, with the International Digital Commerce Group growing by 10% in the third quarter to $3.93 billion. Its e-commerce revenue also rose by 9%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>該公司的其他業務也表現相對良好，國際數字商務集團在第三季度增長了 10%，達到了 39.3 億美元。其電子商務收入也增長了 9%。</p>
</div><p>Wall Street analysts are optimistic that the company’s business will continue doing well in the coming years. The average estimate is that its 2025 revenue will be 1.04 trillion yen, up by 4.7% from 2024. This revenue is expected to then hit 1.15 trillion yen this year, with its earnings-per-share (EPS) rising to 65.64 yen from 46.3 yen.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>華爾街分析師對該公司的業務在未來幾年繼續良好發展持樂觀態度。平均估計是其 2025 年收入將達到 1.04 萬億日元，比 2024 年增長 4.7%。預計今年收入將達到 1.15 萬億日元，每股收益（EPS）將從 46.3 日元上升至 65.64 日元。</p>
</div><p>Alibaba is also a relatively cheaper company compared to its peers. It has a forward PE ratio of 20, much lower than Amazon’s 32 and the S&amp;P 500 Index average of 23.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與同行相比，阿里巴巴的估值相對較低。它的前瞻市盈率為 20，遠低於亞馬遜的 32 和標準普爾 500 指數的平均水平 23。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, a combination of strong cloud business, strong earnings, its cheap valuation, and technicals points to more upside in the near term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，強勁的雲業務、強勁的盈利、低廉的估值和技術面因素共同指向近期更多的上漲空間。</p>
</div><p>The post Albaba stock price could spike 25% in 2026 - technical analysis appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本文的標題為《阿里巴巴股價在 2026 年可能上漲 25% - 技術分析》，首次發佈於 Invezz。</p>
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根據技術分析，阿里巴巴的股價可能在 2026 年上漲 25%