<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/http://s7d2.scene7.com/is/image/Caterpillar/CM20170922-51045-29547/query-JGNjLXMk?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="358" height="269" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/http://s7d2.scene7.com/is/image/Caterpillar/CM20170922-51045-29547/query-JGNjLXMk"/></p>
<p><em>圖片來源：caterpillar.com</em></p>
<p>作為一個領先的工業股票，卡特彼勒（Caterpillar，股票代碼：CAT）通常反映經濟的基本強度，並預示長期市場定位。其價格行為往往引領更廣泛的市場趨勢，提供對結構性階段的洞察，而非短期波動。從這個角度來看，$CAT 當前的走勢表明穩定和領導力，支持 SPX 並非見頂，而是在為更高的長期走勢形成一個持久的基礎。</p>
<p>在我們的艾略特波浪理論框架內，卡特彼勒（$CAT）正在進入，或可能已經處於波浪 ((II)) 中。波浪 ((III)) 歷史上以其強勁和垂直的價格行為而聞名，當市場參與者普遍在市場的一側時，這種情況會發生。在這個階段的回調通常被視為獲利了結，而非真正的反轉。在我們的系統中，最強的波浪 ((III)) 的上漲通常是在一系列小幅度的 1-2 形態之後開始的，這種結構我們稱之為巢。</p>
<h3><strong>以下是艾略特波浪理論中的巢：</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Graphic-14-1-897x1024.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="897" height="1024" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Graphic-14-1-897x1024.jpg"/></p>
<p>巢是一種複雜的排列，常常讓交易者感到困惑。它可能看似完成了五波走勢，導致許多人期待修正，而實際上它代表的是更高階的佈局，為市場的擴展做準備。卡特彼勒目前正處於大超級週期中的巢，並繼續顯示出強勁的上行動能。自 2025 年 4 月 7 日以來，股票呈垂直上漲，表明波浪 ((3)) 已經開始，或者在波浪 ((3)) 之前形成了波浪 (1) 中的另一個巢。在任何情況下，信息都是明確的：卡特彼勒依然非常看漲，目標區間在$800-$900。</p>
<h3><strong>卡特彼勒（CAT）的月度艾略特波浪圖</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163412-1024x508.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="508" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163412-1024x508.jpg"/></p>
<p>下面的$SPX 圖表顯示了類似的巢結構，自 2026 年 4 月 7 日以來似乎正在結束波浪 (1)。與$CAT 的這種一致性支持了兩者都在強大的波浪 ((3)) 中運作的觀點。$10,000 是最低目標，但預測延伸至$12,000。許多交易者對這樣的水平仍持懷疑態度，但我們始終強調巢的有效性及其含義。</p>
<h3><strong>標準普爾 500（SPX）的月度艾略特波浪圖</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/SPX-Grand-Super-cycle-nest20260107163239-1024x508.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="508" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/SPX-Grand-Super-cycle-nest20260107163239-1024x508.jpg"/></p>
<p>另一張圖表直接比較了$SPX 和$CAT，突顯了這兩個符號之間的強相關性。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163702-1024x508.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="508" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163702-1024x508.jpg"/></p>
<p>在 EWF，我們反覆聲明指數保持良好支撐，儘管普遍存在懷疑，波浪 ((3)) 中的巢是一個真實的可能性。在最近的一次研討會上，您可以在這裏找到，我們詳細解釋了這個四重巢結構。我們嚴格遵循我們的系統，故意避免市場噪音，並信任我們的方法論。雖然只有時間能確認結果，但卡特彼勒的價格行為繼續強化我們的觀點。它加強了$SPX 向 10,000 移動的可能性可能比許多人預期的要早得多。</p>
<hr/>
<p><em>更多來自此作者的文章：</em></p>
<p>羅素 2000 期貨：鋸齒形修正可能找到支撐以延續新高</p>
<p>標準普爾 500 E-Mini 維持看漲結構，關注進一步上行</p>
<p>羅賓漢（Robinhood，HOOD）：在新高之前能否跌破$100？</p>

卡特彼勒

<p>卡特彼勒 (CAT) 確認其在標準普爾 500 指數中的結構性嵌套，表明看漲前景，目標在 800 到 900 美元之間。該股票的價格行為表明穩定性和領導力，支持標準普爾 500 指數正在形成一個長期上漲的堅實基礎的觀點。分析師預計標準普爾 500 指數的最低目標為 10,000 點，儘管交易者持懷疑態度，但有可能擴展至 12,000 點。卡特彼勒與標準普爾 500 指數之間的相關性進一步強化了近期市場將發生重大變動的預期</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/http://s7d2.scene7.com/is/image/Caterpillar/CM20170922-51045-29547/query-JGNjLXMk" alt="" original-src="http://s7d2.scene7.com/is/image/Caterpillar/CM20170922-51045-29547?$cc-s$"/></p>
<p><em>Image Source: caterpillar.com</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>圖片來源：caterpillar.com</em></p>
</div><p>As a bellwether industrial stock, Caterpillar (CAT) often reflects the underlying strength of the economy and signals long-term market positioning. Its price behavior tends to lead broader market trends, offering insight into structural phases rather than short-term fluctuations. Viewed through this lens, $CAT’s current action suggests stability and leadership, supporting the idea that the SPX is not topping but instead forming a durable base for a higher long-term move.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作為一個領先的工業股票，卡特彼勒（Caterpillar，股票代碼：CAT）通常反映經濟的基本強度，並預示長期市場定位。其價格行為往往引領更廣泛的市場趨勢，提供對結構性階段的洞察，而非短期波動。從這個角度來看，$CAT 當前的走勢表明穩定和領導力，支持 SPX 並非見頂，而是在為更高的長期走勢形成一個持久的基礎。</p>
</div><p>Within our Elliott Wave Theory framework, Caterpillar ($CAT) is entering, or may already be within wave ((II)). Wave ((III)) is historically recognized for its strength and vertical price action, occurring when market participants broadly align on one side of the market. Pullbacks in this phase are often regarded as profit-taking rather than genuine reversals. In our system, the most powerful wave ((III)) advances frequently begin after a sequence of smaller-degree 1–2 formations, a structure we call a nest.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在我們的艾略特波浪理論框架內，卡特彼勒（$CAT）正在進入，或可能已經處於波浪 ((II)) 中。波浪 ((III)) 歷史上以其強勁和垂直的價格行為而聞名，當市場參與者普遍在市場的一側時，這種情況會發生。在這個階段的回調通常被視為獲利了結，而非真正的反轉。在我們的系統中，最強的波浪 ((III)) 的上漲通常是在一系列小幅度的 1-2 形態之後開始的，這種結構我們稱之為巢。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Here is a nest in the Elliott Wave Theory:</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>以下是艾略特波浪理論中的巢：</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Graphic-14-1-897x1024.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Graphic-14-1-897x1024.jpg"/></p>
<p>A nest is a complex arrangement that often confuses traders. It can appear to complete a five-wave move, leading many to expect a correction, when in fact it represents higher-degree setups preparing the market for extension. Caterpillar is currently nesting within the Grand Super Cycle and continues to show strong upside momentum. Since 04.07.2025, the stock has moved vertically, suggesting either that wave ((3)) is already underway or that another nest in wave (1) is forming ahead of wave ((3)). In either case, the message is clear: Caterpillar remains very bullish, with upside targets in the $800–$900 region.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>巢是一種複雜的排列，常常讓交易者感到困惑。它可能看似完成了五波走勢，導致許多人期待修正，而實際上它代表的是更高階的佈局，為市場的擴展做準備。卡特彼勒目前正處於大超級週期中的巢，並繼續顯示出強勁的上行動能。自 2025 年 4 月 7 日以來，股票呈垂直上漲，表明波浪 ((3)) 已經開始，或者在波浪 ((3)) 之前形成了波浪 (1) 中的另一個巢。在任何情況下，信息都是明確的：卡特彼勒依然非常看漲，目標區間在$800-$900。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Monthly Elliott Wave Chart of Caterpillar (CAT)</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>卡特彼勒（CAT）的月度艾略特波浪圖</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163412-1024x508.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163412-1024x508.jpg"/></p>
<p>The $SPX chart below shows a similar nest structure, which appears to be ending wave (1) since 04.07.2026. This alignment with $CAT supports the view that both are operating within a powerful wave ((3)). The $10,000 level is the minimum target, but projections extend toward $12,000. Many traders remain skeptical of such levels, yet we have consistently emphasized the validity of the nest and its implications.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>下面的$SPX 圖表顯示了類似的巢結構，自 2026 年 4 月 7 日以來似乎正在結束波浪 (1)。與$CAT 的這種一致性支持了兩者都在強大的波浪 ((3)) 中運作的觀點。$10,000 是最低目標，但預測延伸至$12,000。許多交易者對這樣的水平仍持懷疑態度，但我們始終強調巢的有效性及其含義。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Monthly Elliott Wave Chart of S&amp;P 500 (SPX)</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>標準普爾 500（SPX）的月度艾略特波浪圖</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/SPX-Grand-Super-cycle-nest20260107163239-1024x508.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/SPX-Grand-Super-cycle-nest20260107163239-1024x508.jpg"/></p>
<p>Another chart compares $SPX and $CAT directly, highlighting the strong correlation between the two symbols.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一張圖表直接比較了$SPX 和$CAT，突顯了這兩個符號之間的強相關性。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163702-1024x508.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163702-1024x508.jpg"/></p>
<p>At EWF, we have repeatedly stated that indices remain well supported and that a nest into wave ((3)) is a real possibility despite widespread doubt. In a recent seminar, available here, we explain this quadruple nest structure in detail. We follow our system with discipline, deliberately avoiding market noise, and trust our methodology. While only time will confirm the outcome, Caterpillar’s price action continues to reinforce our view. It strengthens he case that a move in the $SPX toward 10,000 could occur much sooner than many expect.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 EWF，我們反覆聲明指數保持良好支撐，儘管普遍存在懷疑，波浪 ((3)) 中的巢是一個真實的可能性。在最近的一次研討會上，您可以在這裏找到，我們詳細解釋了這個四重巢結構。我們嚴格遵循我們的系統，故意避免市場噪音，並信任我們的方法論。雖然只有時間能確認結果，但卡特彼勒的價格行為繼續強化我們的觀點。它加強了$SPX 向 10,000 移動的可能性可能比許多人預期的要早得多。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p><em>More By This Author:</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>更多來自此作者的文章：</em></p>
</div><p>Russell 2000 Futures: Zigzag Correction Likely To Find Support For Extension To New Highs</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>羅素 2000 期貨：鋸齒形修正可能找到支撐以延續新高</p>
</div><p>S&amp;P 500 E‑Mini Maintains Bullish Structure, Eyeing Further Upside</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>標準普爾 500 E-Mini 維持看漲結構，關注進一步上行</p>
</div><p>Robinhood (HOOD): Can It Dip Below $100 Before New Highs?</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>羅賓漢（Robinhood，HOOD）：在新高之前能否跌破$100？</p>
</div>

卡特彼勒確認在標普 500 指數中存在結構性嵌套，目標定為 10,000 點