<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2020/11/27/16/59/man-5782411_960_720.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="960" height="640" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2020/11/27/16/59/man-5782411_960_720.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>圖片來源：Pixabay</em></p>
<p>美元/日元貨幣對在週五跌至 158.16，因為日元繼續從本週早些時候的低點反彈。市場參與者越來越關注即將召開的日本銀行（BoJ）會議，希望能獲得關於未來利率加息步伐的更明確信號。</p>
<p>監管機構普遍預計在下次會議上將維持政策參數不變。然而，投資者已經開始預計最早在 6 月將進行下一次加息。日本銀行行長植田和男最近重申，如果經濟動能和通脹動態繼續與官方預測一致，央行隨時準備收緊政策。</p>
<p>日元的額外支撐來自於對可能進行貨幣干預的擔憂，因為美元/日元接近心理上重要的 160 水平。日本當局多次警告不要出現劇烈的單邊匯率波動，增加了市場在該區域的敏感性。</p>
<p>與此同時，政治不確定性繼續對日元施加壓力。市場正在考慮提前舉行議會選舉的可能性。根據媒體報道，首相高市早苗可能會宣佈解散下議院，以推動更積極的財政政策。進一步的細節預計將在 1 月 19 日向執政聯盟的代表提出。</p>
<h3><strong>技術分析</strong></h3>
<p><em>(點擊圖片放大)</em></p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://talkmarkets.com/contributor/andrey-goilov/user_content/ckimages/orig_usdjpyh4_639041535616688153.webp?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://talkmarkets.com/contributor/andrey-goilov/user_content/ckimages/orig_usdjpyh4_639041535616688153.webp"/></p>
<p>在 H4 圖表上，美元/日元已修正至 157.90 區域。今天，相關的考慮是潛在形成新的上升結構的初始階段，目標為 159.59，並有進一步向 160.00 移動的前景。</p>
<p>這一情景在技術上得到了 MACD 指標的支持，其信號線仍高於零水平並且急劇向上，表明儘管最近有所修正，仍然存在看漲動能。</p>
<p><em>(點擊圖片放大)</em></p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://talkmarkets.com/contributor/andrey-goilov/user_content/ckimages/orig_usdjpyh1_639041535871604945.webp?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://talkmarkets.com/contributor/andrey-goilov/user_content/ckimages/orig_usdjpyh1_639041535871604945.webp"/></p>
<p>在 H1 圖表上，美元/日元正在 158.77 附近形成一個整合區間。該區間目前向下擴展至 157.97。</p>
<ul>
<li>低於該水平的突破可能會觸發向 156.60 的下跌</li>
<li>向上的突破將為向 159.59 的看漲波浪打開道路</li>
</ul>
<p>這一前景得到了隨機振盪器的支持，其信號線位於 50 水平以上，並穩步向 80 移動，表明看漲壓力在增加。</p>
<h3><strong>結論</strong></h3>
<p>美元/日元處於關鍵交匯點，平衡着來自干預風險的日元支撐和對日本銀行收緊政策的預期，以及來自政治不確定性的持續壓力。在短期內，整合可能會持續，但從當前區間的突破將定義下一個方向性移動。只要該貨幣對保持在關鍵支撐水平之上，向 160 區域的更廣泛看漲趨勢在技術上仍然有效，而向下突破將使焦點轉向更深的修正目標。</p>
<hr/>
<p><em>更多來自此作者的文章：</em></p>
<p>英鎊/美元穩定：情緒轉向英鎊有利</p>
<p>黃金創下新高，未來有進一步上漲的空間</p>
<p>歐元/美元等待美國通脹數據以確定方向</p>

<p>美元/日元匯率跌至 158.16，因日元回升，市場關注即將召開的日本銀行（BoJ）會議。預計日本銀行將維持當前政策，但投資者預期在 6 月會加息。關於貨幣干預和政治不確定性（包括潛在的提前選舉）的擔憂正在影響日元。技術分析表明美元/日元正處於整合階段，關鍵支撐位將決定未來走勢。突破可能導致向 160 的看漲趨勢，而向下突破則可能將焦點轉向更深的修正</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2020/11/27/16/59/man-5782411_960_720.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2020/11/27/16/59/man-5782411_960_720.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>Image Source: Pixabay</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>圖片來源：Pixabay</em></p>
</div><p>The USD/JPY pair fell to 158.16 on Friday as the Japanese yen continued its recovery from earlier this week. Market participants are increasingly focused on the upcoming Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting, hoping for clearer signals regarding the future pace of interest rate hikes.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元/日元貨幣對在週五跌至 158.16，因為日元繼續從本週早些時候的低點反彈。市場參與者越來越關注即將召開的日本銀行（BoJ）會議，希望能獲得關於未來利率加息步伐的更明確信號。</p>
</div><p>The regulator is widely expected to keep its policy parameters unchanged at the next meeting. However, investors are already pricing in the next rate hike as early as June. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda recently reiterated that the central bank remains ready to tighten policy if economic momentum and inflation dynamics continue to align with official forecasts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>監管機構普遍預計在下次會議上將維持政策參數不變。然而，投資者已經開始預計最早在 6 月將進行下一次加息。日本銀行行長植田和男最近重申，如果經濟動能和通脹動態繼續與官方預測一致，央行隨時準備收緊政策。</p>
</div><p>Additional support for the yen came from renewed concerns over possible currency intervention as USD/JPY approached the psychologically important 160 level. Japanese authorities have repeatedly warned against sharp, unilateral exchange rate movements, increasing market sensitivity in this zone.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日元的額外支撐來自於對可能進行貨幣干預的擔憂，因為美元/日元接近心理上重要的 160 水平。日本當局多次警告不要出現劇烈的單邊匯率波動，增加了市場在該區域的敏感性。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, political uncertainty continues to weigh on the yen. Markets are factoring in the possibility of early parliamentary elections. According to media reports, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi may announce the dissolution of the lower house in an effort to push forward a more active fiscal policy. Further details are expected to be presented to representatives of the ruling coalition on 19 January.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，政治不確定性繼續對日元施加壓力。市場正在考慮提前舉行議會選舉的可能性。根據媒體報道，首相高市早苗可能會宣佈解散下議院，以推動更積極的財政政策。進一步的細節預計將在 1 月 19 日向執政聯盟的代表提出。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Technical Analysis</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>技術分析</strong></h3>
</div><p><em>(Click on image to enlarge)</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>(點擊圖片放大)</em></p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://talkmarkets.com/contributor/andrey-goilov/user_content/ckimages/orig_usdjpyh4_639041535616688153.webp" alt="" original-src="https://talkmarkets.com/contributor/andrey-goilov/user_content/ckimages/orig_usdjpyh4_639041535616688153.webp"/></p>
<p>On the H4 chart, USD/JPY has corrected to the 157.90 area. For today, it is relevant to consider the potential formation of the initial phase of a renewed upward structure, targeting 159.59, with the prospect of a further move towards 160.00.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 H4 圖表上，美元/日元已修正至 157.90 區域。今天，相關的考慮是潛在形成新的上升結構的初始階段，目標為 159.59，並有進一步向 160.00 移動的前景。</p>
</div><p>This scenario is technically supported by the MACD indicator, whose signal line remains above the zero level and is directed sharply upward, indicating that bullish momentum remains despite the recent correction.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這一情景在技術上得到了 MACD 指標的支持，其信號線仍高於零水平並且急劇向上，表明儘管最近有所修正，仍然存在看漲動能。</p>
</div><p><em>(Click on image to enlarge)</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>(點擊圖片放大)</em></p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://talkmarkets.com/contributor/andrey-goilov/user_content/ckimages/orig_usdjpyh1_639041535871604945.webp" alt="" original-src="https://talkmarkets.com/contributor/andrey-goilov/user_content/ckimages/orig_usdjpyh1_639041535871604945.webp"/></p>
<p>On the H1 chart, USD/JPY is forming a consolidation range around 158.77. The range has currently expanded downward to 157.97.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 H1 圖表上，美元/日元正在 158.77 附近形成一個整合區間。該區間目前向下擴展至 157.97。</p>
</div><ul>
<li>A breakout below this level would likely trigger a decline towards 156.60</li>
<li>A breakout to the upside would open the way for a bullish wave towards 159.59</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>低於該水平的突破可能會觸發向 156.60 的下跌</li>
<li>向上的突破將為向 159.59 的看漲波浪打開道路</li>
</ul>
</div><p>This outlook is supported by the Stochastic Oscillator, whose signal line is positioned above the 50 level and is moving steadily upward towards 80, indicating growing bullish pressure.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這一前景得到了隨機振盪器的支持，其信號線位於 50 水平以上，並穩步向 80 移動，表明看漲壓力在增加。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Conclusion</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>結論</strong></h3>
</div><p>USD/JPY remains at a critical juncture, balancing yen support from intervention risks and expectations of BoJ tightening against ongoing pressure from political uncertainty. In the short term, consolidation is likely to persist, but a breakout from the current range will define the next directional move. As long as the pair holds above key support levels, the broader bullish trend towards the 160 area remains technically valid, while a downside breakout would shift focus towards deeper corrective targets.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元/日元處於關鍵交匯點，平衡着來自干預風險的日元支撐和對日本銀行收緊政策的預期，以及來自政治不確定性的持續壓力。在短期內，整合可能會持續，但從當前區間的突破將定義下一個方向性移動。只要該貨幣對保持在關鍵支撐水平之上，向 160 區域的更廣泛看漲趨勢在技術上仍然有效，而向下突破將使焦點轉向更深的修正目標。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p><em>More By This Author:</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>更多來自此作者的文章：</em></p>
</div><p>GBP/USD Stable: Sentiment Shifts In Favor Of Sterling</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>英鎊/美元穩定：情緒轉向英鎊有利</p>
</div><p>Gold Sets New Highs, With Further Gains Ahead</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>黃金創下新高，未來有進一步上漲的空間</p>
</div><p>EUR/USD Awaiting U.S. Inflation Data For Direction</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>歐元/美元等待美國通脹數據以確定方向</p>
</div>

美元兑日元匯率下滑，因日元對一系列市場消息作出反應