<p>預測市場對美國未來可能收購格林蘭的想法賦予了越來越高的概率，儘管交易者對近期發生任何事情仍持懷疑態度。</p>
<p>Kalshi 交易者預計到 2026 年 5 月這一概率為 13%，到 2027 年之前上升至 27%，到特朗普總統任期結束的 2029 年達到 42%。</p>
<p>該市場的交易量，即在此市場上下注的總金額，略超過 360 萬美元。</p>
<p><strong>特朗普為何關注格林蘭及其重要性在三張地圖中</strong></p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/kalshi-trade-greenland.png/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="931" height="523" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/kalshi-trade-greenland.png/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x"/></p>
<p>在線預測市場 Kalshi 對美國是否會收購格林蘭進行了下注。(Kalshi)</p>
<p>與此同時，Polymarket 對年底前收購的概率定為 21%。Polymarket 的交易量略超過 1380 萬美元。</p>
<p>Kalshi 和 Polymarket 允許用户用真錢下注，從政治和經濟政策到體育和流行文化，將公眾情緒轉化為可交易的市場賠率。</p>
<p><strong>特朗普威脅對反對格林蘭收購計劃的國家徵收關税</strong></p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/polymarket-greenland-trade.png/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="931" height="523" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/polymarket-greenland-trade.png/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x"/></p>
<p>在線預測市場 Polymarket 顯示關於美國是否會收購格林蘭的下注。(Polymarket)</p>
<p>最新的消息顯示，特朗普將目光鎖定在格林蘭，這個世界上最大的島嶼，其戰略價值隨着冰層融化而上升，開啓了新的航運通道和自然資源的獲取。</p>
<p><strong>點擊這裏獲取福克斯商業新聞的移動版</strong></p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/greenland-port.png/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="931" height="523" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/greenland-port.png/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x"/></p>
<p>格林蘭努克港的景觀。(Julia Wäschenbach/picture alliance/Getty Images)</p>
<p>這一變化的地理格局也引起了俄羅斯和中國的關注，突顯了特朗普關注的地緣政治考量。</p>
<p>歐盟週日表示，將召開緊急會議以協調回應，因特朗普威脅對不支持美國收購格林蘭的國家徵收關税。</p>

<p>Kalshi 交易者估計，到 2029 年特朗普總統任期結束時，美國獲得格林蘭部分地區的機會為 42%，目前的賠率為 2026 年 5 月的 13% 和 2027 年前的 27%。Kalshi 上的交易量超過 360 萬美元，而 Polymarket 顯示的概率為 21%，交易量為 1380 萬美元。這一興趣受到格林蘭在不斷變化的地緣政治動態中戰略價值的推動，因為特朗普威脅對反對收購的國家徵收關税</p>

<p>Prediction markets are assigning rising odds to the idea that the United States could one day acquire part of Greenland, even as traders remain skeptical that anything happens in the near term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>預測市場對美國未來可能收購格林蘭的想法賦予了越來越高的概率，儘管交易者對近期發生任何事情仍持懷疑態度。</p>
</div><p>Kalshi traders put the odds at 13% by May 2026, rising to 27% before 2027 and 42% by the end of President Donald Trump's term in 2029.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Kalshi 交易者預計到 2026 年 5 月這一概率為 13%，到 2027 年之前上升至 27%，到特朗普總統任期結束的 2029 年達到 42%。</p>
</div><p>The trading volume, or the total dollar amount wagered on this market, is a little more than $3.6 million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>該市場的交易量，即在此市場上下注的總金額，略超過 360 萬美元。</p>
</div><p><strong>WHY TRUMP ZEROED IN ON GREENLAND AND WHY IT MATTERS IN 3 MAPS</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>特朗普為何關注格林蘭及其重要性在三張地圖中</strong></p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/kalshi-trade-greenland.png/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x" alt="" original-src="https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/kalshi-trade-greenland.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1"/></p>
<p>Online prediction market Kalshi bet on whether the U.S. will acquire Greenland. (Kalshi)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在線預測市場 Kalshi 對美國是否會收購格林蘭進行了下注。(Kalshi)</p>
</div><p>Meanwhile, Polymarket prices a 21% probability of an acquisition before year’s end. The trading volume on Polymarket is a little north of $13.8 million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，Polymarket 對年底前收購的概率定為 21%。Polymarket 的交易量略超過 1380 萬美元。</p>
</div><p>Kalshi and Polymarket let users bet real money on everything from politics and economic policy to sports and pop culture, transforming public sentiment into tradable market odds.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Kalshi 和 Polymarket 允許用户用真錢下注，從政治和經濟政策到體育和流行文化，將公眾情緒轉化為可交易的市場賠率。</p>
</div><p><strong>TRUMP THREATENS TARIFFS ON COUNTRIES OPPOSING GREENLAND TAKEOVER PLANS</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>特朗普威脅對反對格林蘭收購計劃的國家徵收關税</strong></p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/polymarket-greenland-trade.png/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x" alt="" original-src="https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/polymarket-greenland-trade.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1"/></p>
<p>Online prediction market Polymarket showing bets on whether the U.S. will acquire Greenland. (Polymarket)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在線預測市場 Polymarket 顯示關於美國是否會收購格林蘭的下注。(Polymarket)</p>
</div><p>The latest revelation comes as Trump zeroes in on Greenland, the world’s largest island, whose strategic value has risen as melting ice opens new shipping lanes and access to natural resources.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最新的消息顯示，特朗普將目光鎖定在格林蘭，這個世界上最大的島嶼，其戰略價值隨着冰層融化而上升，開啓了新的航運通道和自然資源的獲取。</p>
</div><p><strong>GET FOX BUSINESS ON THE GO BY CLICKING HERE</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>點擊這裏獲取福克斯商業新聞的移動版</strong></p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/greenland-port.png/query-dGw9MSZ2ZT0x" alt="" original-src="https://a57.foxnews.com/static.foxbusiness.com/foxbusiness.com/content/uploads/2026/01/931/523/greenland-port.png?ve=1&amp;tl=1"/></p>
<p>A view of a port in Nuuk, Greenland. (Julia Wäschenbach/picture alliance/Getty Images)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>格林蘭努克港的景觀。(Julia Wäschenbach/picture alliance/Getty Images)</p>
</div><p>That changing landscape has also drawn interest from Russia and China, underscoring the geopolitical calculations behind Trump’s focus.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這一變化的地理格局也引起了俄羅斯和中國的關注，突顯了特朗普關注的地緣政治考量。</p>
</div><p>The European Union said Sunday it will hold an emergency meeting to coordinate a response after Trump threatened to impose tariffs on countries that do not support a U.S. acquisition of Greenland.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>歐盟週日表示，將召開緊急會議以協調回應，因特朗普威脅對不支持美國收購格林蘭的國家徵收關税。</p>
</div>

Kalshi 的交易員認為，在特朗普任期結束前達成格陵蘭協議的可能性為 42%