<p>Avalanche [AVAX] 繼續吸引投資者，鏈上活動不斷上升。</p>
<p>截至發稿時，活躍地址激增，從 30K 躍升至超過 600K，僅用一週時間。這一戲劇性的激增表明了參與度的增加和採用率的提升，反映出對去中心化金融、代幣化和真實資產的更深興趣。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/G_Z__wbXgAEqyLM.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/G_Z__wbXgAEqyLM.jpg"/></p>
<p>來源：X</p>
<p>這一快速增長讓人感覺 AVAX 迎來了轉折點，機構投資者的興趣可能會隨之而來，進一步推動這一勢頭。</p>
<p>然而，儘管活動激增，期貨市場條件的降温和 MACD 的減弱表明 AVAX 可能處於危險區域。問題是：AVAX 會繼續攀升，還是即將面臨更深的回調？</p>
<h2><strong>C-Chain 動能 – 2026 年的看漲指標？</strong></h2>
<p>Grayscale 觀察到，Avalanche 的 C‑Chain 在 2025 年底獲得了動能，七天內平均有 250 萬次鏈上交易。這一增長突顯了網絡的長期實力，並反映出開發者和用户的興趣日益增加。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CC.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CC.png"/></p>
<p>來源：Grayscale</p>
<p>然而，AVAX 的成功依賴於保持動能。如果這一趨勢持續到 2026 年 1 月，AVAX 可能會看到強勁的回報，尤其是在市場支持的情況下。</p>
<h2><strong>評估短期泡沫風險</strong></h2>
<p>當 AVAX 的價格徘徊在 12 美元左右時，短期泡沫風險保持在 1，標誌着綠色和藍色區域。從歷史上看，這種降温階段通常會伴隨急劇反彈，給投資者帶來希望。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/G_WG8GzXkAApLYV.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/G_WG8GzXkAApLYV.jpg"/></p>
<p>來源：X</p>
<p>此外，期貨交易量泡沫圖反映了類似的趨勢，表明儘管短期活動降温，但價格反轉可能即將到來。綠色集羣后通常會跟隨中性、加熱，最後是過熱階段。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Avalanche-Futures-Volume-Bubble-Map-scaled.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Avalanche-Futures-Volume-Bubble-Map-scaled.png"/></p>
<p>來源：CryptoQuant</p>
<p>如果市場情緒轉向看漲，AVAX 可能會為強勁反彈做好準備。</p>
<h2><strong>AVAX 價格走勢和動能指標</strong></h2>
<p>截至發稿時，AVAX 在日線圖上顯示出經典的下降三角形模式，暗示看跌延續。</p>
<p>隨着 MACD 的疲軟和 RSI 接近下邊界，價格可能難以維持在 11.3 美元以上的支撐。如果這一水平被突破，下降可能會延伸至 8.60 美元。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/avaxd.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/avaxd.png"/></p>
<p>來源：TradingView</p>
<p>然而，重新奪回 18-22 美元對 AVAX 來説是一個關鍵舉動。如果市場情緒轉向積極，達到 43 美元是可能的，觸及下降三角形的上邊界。</p>
<hr/>
<h2><strong>最後的思考</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li><em>Avalanche 活躍地址的激增表明了強勁的網絡參與，支持 AVAX 的長期價格潛力。</em></li>
<li><em>期貨交易量的降温和低短期泡沫風險表明反彈的可能性，但疲弱的動能暗示短期內可能會回調。</em></li>
</ul>

<p>Avalanche (AVAX) 的鏈上活動顯著增加，活躍地址從 30,000 個上升到超過 600,000 個，顯示出對去中心化金融（DeFi）和代幣化的興趣日益增長。然而，儘管出現了這一激增，期貨市場的降温和 MACD 的減弱暗示價格可能會下跌，AVAX 可能會跌破 11 美元。價格走勢顯示出看跌的下降三角形模式，如果 11.3 美元的支撐位被突破，可能會跌至 8.60 美元。相反，如果重新奪回 18-22 美元的區間，可能會推動價格上漲至 43 美元，這取決於市場情緒</p>

<p>Avalanche [AVAX] continues to attract investors with rising on-chain activity.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Avalanche [AVAX] 繼續吸引投資者，鏈上活動不斷上升。</p>
</div><p>At press time, Active Addresses surged, jumping from 30K to over 600K in just one week. This dramatic spike signaled increased engagement and growing adoption, reflecting deeper interest in DeFi, tokenization, and RWAs.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>截至發稿時，活躍地址激增，從 30K 躍升至超過 600K，僅用一週時間。這一戲劇性的激增表明了參與度的增加和採用率的提升，反映出對去中心化金融、代幣化和真實資產的更深興趣。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/G_Z__wbXgAEqyLM.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/G_Z__wbXgAEqyLM.jpg"/></p>
<p>Source: X</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：X</p>
</div><p>This rapid growth felt like a turning point for AVAX, with institutional interest likely to follow and fuel the momentum further.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這一快速增長讓人感覺 AVAX 迎來了轉折點，機構投資者的興趣可能會隨之而來，進一步推動這一勢頭。</p>
</div><p>However, despite the surge in activity, cooling futures market conditions and a weakening MACD suggested that AVAX might be in a dangerous zone. The question remained: would AVAX continue its climb, or was a deeper pullback imminent?</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，儘管活動激增，期貨市場條件的降温和 MACD 的減弱表明 AVAX 可能處於危險區域。問題是：AVAX 會繼續攀升，還是即將面臨更深的回調？</p>
</div><h2><strong>C-Chain momentum – A bullish indicator for 2026?</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>C-Chain 動能 – 2026 年的看漲指標？</strong></h2>
</div><p>Grayscale observed that Avalanche’s C‑Chain gained momentum in late 2025, averaging 2.5 million on‑chain transactions over seven days. This growth highlighted the network’s long‑term strength and reflected increasing interest from both developers and users.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Grayscale 觀察到，Avalanche 的 C‑Chain 在 2025 年底獲得了動能，七天內平均有 250 萬次鏈上交易。這一增長突顯了網絡的長期實力，並反映出開發者和用户的興趣日益增加。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CC.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CC.png"/></p>
<p>Source: Grayscale</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：Grayscale</p>
</div><p>However, AVAX’s success depended on maintaining momentum. If the trend continued into January 2026, AVAX could have seen strong returns, especially with market support.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，AVAX 的成功依賴於保持動能。如果這一趨勢持續到 2026 年 1 月，AVAX 可能會看到強勁的回報，尤其是在市場支持的情況下。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Assessing short-term bubble risk</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>評估短期泡沫風險</strong></h2>
</div><p>As AVAX’s price hovered around $12, the short-term bubble risk remained low at 1, marked by green and blue zones. Historically, such cooling phases had been followed by sharp rebounds, fueling hope among investors.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>當 AVAX 的價格徘徊在 12 美元左右時，短期泡沫風險保持在 1，標誌着綠色和藍色區域。從歷史上看，這種降温階段通常會伴隨急劇反彈，給投資者帶來希望。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/G_WG8GzXkAApLYV.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/G_WG8GzXkAApLYV.jpg"/></p>
<p>Source: X</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：X</p>
</div><p>Adding to this, the Futures Volume Bubble Map reflected a similar trend, suggesting that, while short-term activity cooled, a price reversal could be on the horizon. The green clusters had been followed by neutral, then heating, and finally, overheating phases.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，期貨交易量泡沫圖反映了類似的趨勢，表明儘管短期活動降温，但價格反轉可能即將到來。綠色集羣后通常會跟隨中性、加熱，最後是過熱階段。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Avalanche-Futures-Volume-Bubble-Map-scaled.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Avalanche-Futures-Volume-Bubble-Map-scaled.png"/></p>
<p>Source: CryptoQuant</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：CryptoQuant</p>
</div><p>If the market sentiment had shifted toward the bulls, AVAX could have been primed for a strong recovery.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如果市場情緒轉向看漲，AVAX 可能會為強勁反彈做好準備。</p>
</div><h2><strong>AVAX price action and momentum indicators</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>AVAX 價格走勢和動能指標</strong></h2>
</div><p>At press time, AVAX showed a classic descending triangle pattern on the daily time frame, signaling a bearish continuation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>截至發稿時，AVAX 在日線圖上顯示出經典的下降三角形模式，暗示看跌延續。</p>
</div><p>With MACD weakness and RSI near the lower boundary, the price may struggle to maintain support above $11.3. Should this level break, the decline could extend toward $8.60.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>隨着 MACD 的疲軟和 RSI 接近下邊界，價格可能難以維持在 11.3 美元以上的支撐。如果這一水平被突破，下降可能會延伸至 8.60 美元。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/avaxd.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/avaxd.png"/></p>
<p>Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：TradingView</p>
</div><p>Nevertheless, reclaiming $18-$22 was a critical move for AVAX. If the market shifted positively, reaching $43 was possible, tapping the upper line of the descending triangle.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，重新奪回 18-22 美元對 AVAX 來説是一個關鍵舉動。如果市場情緒轉向積極，達到 43 美元是可能的，觸及下降三角形的上邊界。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><h2><strong>Final Thoughts</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>最後的思考</strong></h2>
</div><ul>
<li><em>Avalanche’s surge in active addresses signals strong network engagement, supporting AVAX’s long-term price potential.</em></li>
<li><em>Cooling futures volume and low short-term bubble risk indicated a rebound, but weak momentum suggests a potential short-term pullback.</em></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><em>Avalanche 活躍地址的激增表明了強勁的網絡參與，支持 AVAX 的長期價格潛力。</em></li>
<li><em>期貨交易量的降温和低短期泡沫風險表明反彈的可能性，但疲弱的動能暗示短期內可能會回調。</em></li>
</ul>
</div>

Avalanche activity surges 20x, yet AVAX could slip below $11 – How?

- Avalanche 活躍地址數量大幅上升，表明 DeFi 和 RWAs 的興趣增長。  
- 市場情緒變化可能影響 AVAX 價格走勢，短期調整風險低。  
- 再次突破 $18-$22 可能帶來強勁回調潛力。

Amb Crypto

Bitwise Bitcoin ETF

Franklin Bitcoin ETF

Bitfarms Canada

Core Scientific, Inc.

ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF

Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF

21Shares FTSE Crypto 10 Index ETF

21Shares FTSE Crypto 10 ex-BTC Index ETF

Bitdeer Tech

Marathon Digital

Hut 8 Mining

CoinShares Bitcoin ETF

iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust BTC - ETF

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund - ETF

CleanSpark

WisdomTree Bitcoin Fund

Grayscale Bitcoin Miners ETF

VanEck Bitcoin ETF

Riot Platforms

ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF

Grayscale Bitcoin Premium Income ETF

Coinbase

雪崩活動激增 20 倍，但 AVAX 可能會跌破 11 美元——這是怎麼回事？