<p>（更新於紐約早晨時間）</p>
<p>Warsh 被認為可能支持降低利率，緩解擔憂</p>
<p>美元在美國生產者價格超出預期後上漲</p>
<p>比特幣跌至 11 月 21 日以來的最低點</p>
<p>作者：Karen Brettell</p>
<p>紐約，1 月 30 日（路透社）- 在前美聯儲理事 Kevin Warsh 被選為下一任美聯儲主席後，美元在週五上漲，同時美國貨幣從本週早些時候的急劇拋售中恢復，分析師表示這次拋售在短期內過度。特朗普總統週五選擇 Warsh 在傑羅姆·鮑威爾的領導任期於 5 月結束時接任美聯儲。Warsh 被認為可能支持降低利率，但不會像其他一些潛在提名者那樣採取更激進的寬鬆政策。</p>
<p>Bannockburn Global Forex 的首席市場策略師 Marc Chandler 表示，週五美元的上漲部分是由於在公告前的市場佈局。</p>
<p>“美元在短期動能上被嚴重超賣，” Chandler 説。同時 Warsh 只是 “一個人……即使我們在年底得到一兩次降息，也沒有共識認為利率會很快降低，就像 12 月的點陣圖所暗示的那樣。” 美聯儲在 12 月會議後發佈的政策制定者預測顯示，今年的中位數預期為降息 25 個基點。美聯儲在週三維持利率不變，正如廣泛預期的那樣，鮑威爾主席形容經濟穩健，通脹和就業風險減小，這一前景可能意味着在進一步降低借貸成本之前需要較長時間的等待。</p>
<p>美聯儲基金期貨交易者預計今年將降息 52 個基點，首個 25 個基點的降息可能在 6 月。</p>
<p>“我會説（Warsh 的任命）對美元是積極的。他是一位經驗豐富的中央銀行家，擁有之前的美聯儲經驗，” 丹麥銀行的分析師 Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen 説。</p>
<p>“如果我們得到一位更政治化或更鴿派的美聯儲主席，這將緩解一些緊張情緒。”</p>
<p>美元指數（=USD），衡量美元對包括日元和歐元在內的一籃子貨幣的表現，最後上漲 0.57%，至 96.73，歐元（EUR=）下跌 0.55%，至 1.1903 美元。在週五的數據公佈後，美元也進一步上漲，數據顯示美國生產者價格在 12 月超出預期上漲，企業似乎將進口關税帶來的更高成本轉嫁給消費者。同時，特朗普週四支持美國參議院共和黨和民主黨達成的支出協議，以避免政府停擺，儘管他承認仍可能發生停擺，而立法者繼續談判以限制移民執法人員的權限。地緣政治問題仍然受到關注。特朗普週四表示，他計劃與伊朗進行對話，即使美國向中東派遣了另一艘軍艦，五角大樓首席佩特·赫格塞斯表示軍方將準備執行總統的任何決定。</p>
<p>日元（JPY=）對美元貶值 0.94%，至每美元 154.57。然而，美元仍有望在本週對日元下跌 0.73%。</p>
<p>在過去一週，日元經歷了急劇反彈，因為日本政策制定者暗示可能與美國協調進行貨幣市場干預，以捍衞已跌至近 18 個月低點的貨幣。美國財政部在最新的匯率報告中沒有呼籲日本銀行繼續加息，刪除了六個月前發佈的報告中的相關內容。</p>
<p>在加密貨幣方面，比特幣（BTC=）下跌 1.19%，至 83,401 美元，早些時候達到 81,104 美元，為 11 月 21 日以來的最低點。（額外報道：Alun John；編輯：Chizu Nomiyama）</p>

<p>在凱文·沃什被任命為下一任美聯儲主席後，美元走強，預計將支持降低利率。美元指數上漲 0.57%，至 96.73，而歐元下跌 0.55%。美國生產者價格的增長超出預期，進一步推動了美元的上漲。儘管沃什的任命，分析師表示對於立即降息並沒有達成共識。比特幣跌至自 11 月 21 日以來的最低點，達到 81,104 美元。地緣政治緊張局勢依然存在，特朗普在該地區的軍事準備中討論了伊朗問題</p>

<p>(Updated in New York morning time)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>（更新於紐約早晨時間）</p>
</div><p>Warsh seen as likely to support lower rates, easing concerns</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Warsh 被認為可能支持降低利率，緩解擔憂</p>
</div><p>Dollar gains after U.S. producer prices rise more than expected</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元在美國生產者價格超出預期後上漲</p>
</div><p>Bitcoin lowest since November 21</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特幣跌至 11 月 21 日以來的最低點</p>
</div><p>By Karen Brettell</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作者：Karen Brettell</p>
</div><p>NEW YORK, Jan 30 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar gained on Friday after former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh was selected to be the next Fed Chair, and as the U.S. currency recovered from a sharp selloff earlier in the week that analysts say was overdone in the short-term. President Donald Trump on Friday chose Warsh to head the U.S. central bank when Jerome Powell’s leadership term ends in May. Warsh is seen as likely to support lower interest rates but would stop well short of the more aggressive easing associated with some of the other potential nominees.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>紐約，1 月 30 日（路透社）- 在前美聯儲理事 Kevin Warsh 被選為下一任美聯儲主席後，美元在週五上漲，同時美國貨幣從本週早些時候的急劇拋售中恢復，分析師表示這次拋售在短期內過度。特朗普總統週五選擇 Warsh 在傑羅姆·鮑威爾的領導任期於 5 月結束時接任美聯儲。Warsh 被認為可能支持降低利率，但不會像其他一些潛在提名者那樣採取更激進的寬鬆政策。</p>
</div><p>Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, said that Friday’s move higher in the dollar is likely driven at least in part by positioning heading into the announcement.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Bannockburn Global Forex 的首席市場策略師 Marc Chandler 表示，週五美元的上漲部分是由於在公告前的市場佈局。</p>
</div><p>“The dollar was terribly oversold on the short-term momentum,” Chandler said. Meanwhile Warsh is “only one person…there’s no consensus to have lower rates anytime soon, even if we get a late cut or two at the end of the year, like the December dot plot suggested.” Policymaker projections issued after the U.S. central bank’s December meeting showed a median expectation for a single quarter-percentage-point cut this year. The Fed on Wednesday held interest rates steady, as was widely expected, amid what Chair Jerome Powell described as a solid economy and diminished risks to both inflation and employment, an outlook that could signal a lengthy wait before any further reductions in borrowing costs.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“美元在短期動能上被嚴重超賣，” Chandler 説。同時 Warsh 只是 “一個人……即使我們在年底得到一兩次降息，也沒有共識認為利率會很快降低，就像 12 月的點陣圖所暗示的那樣。” 美聯儲在 12 月會議後發佈的政策制定者預測顯示，今年的中位數預期為降息 25 個基點。美聯儲在週三維持利率不變，正如廣泛預期的那樣，鮑威爾主席形容經濟穩健，通脹和就業風險減小，這一前景可能意味着在進一步降低借貸成本之前需要較長時間的等待。</p>
</div><p>Fed funds futures traders are pricing in 52 basis points of rate cuts this year, with the first 25 basis point reduction likely in June.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美聯儲基金期貨交易者預計今年將降息 52 個基點，首個 25 個基點的降息可能在 6 月。</p>
</div><p>“I would say it (Warsh’s appointment) is dollar positive. He’s an experienced central banker with previous Fed experience,” said Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen, an analyst at Danske Bank.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“我會説（Warsh 的任命）對美元是積極的。他是一位經驗豐富的中央銀行家，擁有之前的美聯儲經驗，” 丹麥銀行的分析師 Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen 説。</p>
</div><p>“It alleviates some of the nervousness should we have got a Fed chair who was more politicised or who was a lot more dovish.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“如果我們得到一位更政治化或更鴿派的美聯儲主席，這將緩解一些緊張情緒。”</p>
</div><p>The dollar index (=USD) , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, was last up 0.57% at 96.73, with the euro (EUR=) down 0.55% at $1.1903. The dollar also added to gains after data on Friday showed that U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in December, with businesses appearing to pass on higher costs from import tariffs. Meanwhile Trump on Thursday endorsed a spending deal negotiated by U.S. Senate Republicans and Democrats to avoid a government shutdown, although he acknowledged one could still occur, while lawmakers continued negotiating guardrails to rein in immigration agents. Geopolitical concerns remain in focus. Trump said on Thursday he planned to speak with Iran, even as the U.S. dispatched another warship to the Middle East and Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth said the military would be ready to carry out whatever the president decided.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元指數（=USD），衡量美元對包括日元和歐元在內的一籃子貨幣的表現，最後上漲 0.57%，至 96.73，歐元（EUR=）下跌 0.55%，至 1.1903 美元。在週五的數據公佈後，美元也進一步上漲，數據顯示美國生產者價格在 12 月超出預期上漲，企業似乎將進口關税帶來的更高成本轉嫁給消費者。同時，特朗普週四支持美國參議院共和黨和民主黨達成的支出協議，以避免政府停擺，儘管他承認仍可能發生停擺，而立法者繼續談判以限制移民執法人員的權限。地緣政治問題仍然受到關注。特朗普週四表示，他計劃與伊朗進行對話，即使美國向中東派遣了另一艘軍艦，五角大樓首席佩特·赫格塞斯表示軍方將準備執行總統的任何決定。</p>
</div><p>The Japanese yen (JPY=) weakened 0.94% against the greenback to 154.57 per dollar. The greenback remains on track for a 0.73% weekly loss against the Japanese currency, however.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日元（JPY=）對美元貶值 0.94%，至每美元 154.57。然而，美元仍有望在本週對日元下跌 0.73%。</p>
</div><p>The yen has undergone a sharp rally in the past week as Japanese policymakers hint at possible coordinated currency market intervention with the United States to defend the currency that had tumbled to near 18-month lows. The U.S. Treasury Department refrained from calling on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates in its latest exchange-rate report to Congress, removing reference to do so in a previous report released six months ago.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在過去一週，日元經歷了急劇反彈，因為日本政策制定者暗示可能與美國協調進行貨幣市場干預，以捍衞已跌至近 18 個月低點的貨幣。美國財政部在最新的匯率報告中沒有呼籲日本銀行繼續加息，刪除了六個月前發佈的報告中的相關內容。</p>
</div><p>In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin (BTC=) fell 1.19% to $83,401 and earlier reached $81,104, the lowest since November 21. (Additional reporitng by Alun John; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama )</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在加密貨幣方面，比特幣（BTC=）下跌 1.19%，至 83,401 美元，早些時候達到 81,104 美元，為 11 月 21 日以來的最低點。（額外報道：Alun John；編輯：Chizu Nomiyama）</p>
</div>

FOREX-US dollar gains as Warsh named next Fed Chair

- 美元因前美聯儲官員 Warsh 被提名為新聯儲主席而走強。  
- 受美國生產者價格上漲影響，美元指數上升 0.57%。  
- 比特幣下跌 1.19%，為去年 11 月 21 日以來最低。

Reuters

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外匯市場——由於 Warsh 被任命為下一任美聯儲主席，美元走強