<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/monero-price-prediction.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/monero-price-prediction.jpg"/></p>
<p>門羅幣面臨新的壓力，熊市情緒在更廣泛的加密市場中愈發緊繃。</p>
<p>這款以隱私為重點的資產在跌破關鍵技術水平後，難以恢復動能。</p>
<p>與此同時，宏觀不確定性和監管阻力加大了 XMR 的下行風險。</p>
<p>這些因素的匯聚使得交易者採取了更為防禦的姿態。</p>
<p>因此，儘管門羅幣的長期基本面強勁，但其短期前景依然脆弱。</p>
<h2>監管壓力加劇門羅幣的熊市情緒</h2>
<p>施加在門羅幣上的主要力量之一是針對隱私幣的監管審查日益加劇。</p>
<p>俄羅斯即將出台的加密框架將零售加密投資限制在每年約 4000 美元，明確排除了像 XMR 這樣的隱私資產。</p>
<p>這一排除在規則生效之前就減少了主要市場的潛在零售需求。</p>
<p>歐盟類似的提案計劃在 2027 年前限制匿名加密賬户，這進一步加劇了這些擔憂。</p>
<p>這些措施共同增加了交易所上市門羅幣的合規風險。</p>
<p>過去的下架事件，如早期監管浪潮中的情況，仍然在交易者的記憶中。</p>
<p>儘管門羅幣的 24 小時交易量急劇上升，但這一激增主要反映了恐慌性拋售，而非信心積累。</p>
<p>流動性動態的變化使得價格走勢更容易受到劇烈下跌的影響。</p>
<h2>技術性破位暴露更深的下行水平</h2>
<p>從技術角度來看，門羅幣的結構在最近幾輪交易中顯著減弱。</p>
<p>價格果斷跌破了心理上重要的 450 美元支撐區。</p>
<p>這一破位觸發了止損訂單，加速了賣壓。</p>
<p>動量指標確認了這一熊市轉變。</p>
<p>MACD 直方圖持續處於深度負值，顯示出下行動能的增強。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/image-327.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/image-327.png"/></p>
<p>門羅幣價格圖表 | 來源：TradingView</p>
<p>與此同時，RSI 在日線圖上徘徊在 41 附近，顯示出疲軟，但尚未達到極度超賣的狀態。</p>
<p>這一組合表明賣方仍然控制着趨勢。</p>
<p>50 日移動平均線附近的 481 美元作為堅實的阻力，限制了反彈嘗試。</p>
<p>在下行方面，分析師密切關注 437.90 美元的支撐水平，作為第一道防線。</p>
<p>如果持續跌破該區域，將暴露出接近 419.90 美元的下一個支撐。</p>
<p>該區域與更廣泛的 417 美元區域緊密對齊，強化了其作為關鍵轉折點的地位。</p>
<p>未能守住這一集羣可能會打開更深回撤的大門。</p>
<h2>風險規避市場條件加劇賣壓</h2>
<p>門羅幣的疲軟是在廣泛市場風險厭惡的背景下展開的。</p>
<p>整個加密貨幣市場的總市值急劇下降，反映出廣泛的去槓桿化。</p>
<p>比特幣的主導地位上升，資本從小幣種轉向被認為更安全的大型資產。</p>
<p>這種環境往往對隱私幣等小眾領域造成不成比例的傷害。</p>
<p>加密恐懼與貪婪指數的讀數為 28，突顯了市場焦慮的深度。</p>
<p>在恐懼驅動的情況下，交易者更可能先賣出，然後再重新評估。</p>
<p>門羅幣在過去 90 天的強勁表現也使其成為獲利了結的目標。</p>
<p>隨着情緒惡化，這些收益變得容易迅速回吐。</p>
<p>這加劇了技術破位和監管擔憂的影響。</p>
<p>前景取決於支撐和情緒的變化</p>
<p>短期內，門羅幣的價格前景仍然偏向下行。</p>
<p>持續在之前的支撐水平下交易保持了熊市敍事的完整性。</p>
<p>如果果斷失去 417–420 美元的支撐區，可能會確認更深的修正階段。</p>
<p>相反，若在該區域上方穩定，可能為反彈鋪平道路。</p>
<p>然而，任何有意義的反彈都需要重新奪回 480 美元，並改善更廣泛的市場情緒。</p>
<p>緩解監管擔憂和對比特幣的重新買入也將是恢復信心的必要條件。</p>
<p>在這些條件尚未實現之前，門羅幣似乎面臨持續的風險規避賣壓。</p>
<p>目前，交易者仍然保持謹慎，因為短期阻力掩蓋了長期信念。</p>
<p>本文首發於 Invezz，標題為《門羅幣價格前景：XMR 面臨加劇的風險規避賣壓》。</p>

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<p>Monero (XMR) 在加密市場的悲觀情緒中面臨加劇的賣壓，價格在關鍵技術水平下掙扎。監管審查，特別是針對隱私幣的審查，增加了下行風險，俄羅斯和歐盟的提案限制了零售投資者的參與。Monero 的價格已跌破 450 美元的支撐位，分析師正密切關注 437.90 美元的水平。整體市場的風險厭惡情緒導致了獲利了結，並增加了比特幣的主導地位，進一步影響了 XMR。短期前景依然負面，除非 Monero 穩定在 420 美元以上並突破 480 美元的阻力位</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/monero-price-prediction.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/monero-price-prediction.jpg"/></p>
<p>Monero is under renewed pressure as bearish sentiment tightens its grip across the broader crypto market.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>門羅幣面臨新的壓力，熊市情緒在更廣泛的加密市場中愈發緊繃。</p>
</div><p>The privacy-focused asset has struggled to regain momentum after slipping below key technical levels.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這款以隱私為重點的資產在跌破關鍵技術水平後，難以恢復動能。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, macro uncertainty and regulatory headwinds have amplified downside risks for XMR.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，宏觀不確定性和監管阻力加大了 XMR 的下行風險。</p>
</div><p>This convergence of factors has pushed traders into a more defensive posture.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這些因素的匯聚使得交易者採取了更為防禦的姿態。</p>
</div><p>As a result, Monero’s near-term outlook remains fragile despite its strong long-term fundamentals.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，儘管門羅幣的長期基本面強勁，但其短期前景依然脆弱。</p>
</div><h2>Regulatory pressure reinforces bearish sentiment for Monero</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>監管壓力加劇門羅幣的熊市情緒</h2>
</div><p>One of the dominant forces weighing on Monero is the intensifying regulatory scrutiny aimed at privacy coins.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>施加在門羅幣上的主要力量之一是針對隱私幣的監管審查日益加劇。</p>
</div><p>Russia’s upcoming crypto framework, which caps retail crypto exposure at roughly $4,000 per year, explicitly excludes privacy assets like XMR.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>俄羅斯即將出台的加密框架將零售加密投資限制在每年約 4000 美元，明確排除了像 XMR 這樣的隱私資產。</p>
</div><p>This exclusion has reduced prospective retail demand in a major market before the rules even take effect.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這一排除在規則生效之前就減少了主要市場的潛在零售需求。</p>
</div><p>Similar proposals in the European Union to restrict anonymous crypto accounts by 2027 have reinforced these concerns.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>歐盟類似的提案計劃在 2027 年前限制匿名加密賬户，這進一步加劇了這些擔憂。</p>
</div><p>Together, these measures have increased the perceived compliance risk for exchanges listing Monero.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這些措施共同增加了交易所上市門羅幣的合規風險。</p>
</div><p>Past delistings, such as those seen in earlier regulatory waves, remain fresh in traders’ minds.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>過去的下架事件，如早期監管浪潮中的情況，仍然在交易者的記憶中。</p>
</div><p>While Monero’s 24-hour trading volume jumped sharply, the surge largely reflected panic-driven selling rather than confident accumulation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>儘管門羅幣的 24 小時交易量急劇上升，但這一激增主要反映了恐慌性拋售，而非信心積累。</p>
</div><p>This shift in liquidity dynamics has left price action more vulnerable to sharp downside moves.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>流動性動態的變化使得價格走勢更容易受到劇烈下跌的影響。</p>
</div><h2>Technical breakdown exposes deeper downside levels</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>技術性破位暴露更深的下行水平</h2>
</div><p>From a technical perspective, Monero’s structure has weakened notably in recent sessions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>從技術角度來看，門羅幣的結構在最近幾輪交易中顯著減弱。</p>
</div><p>The price broke decisively below the psychologically important $450 support zone.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>價格果斷跌破了心理上重要的 450 美元支撐區。</p>
</div><p>That breakdown triggered stop-loss orders and accelerated selling pressure.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這一破位觸發了止損訂單，加速了賣壓。</p>
</div><p>Momentum indicators have confirmed this bearish shift.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>動量指標確認了這一熊市轉變。</p>
</div><p>The MACD histogram has remained deeply negative, signalling strengthening downside momentum.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>MACD 直方圖持續處於深度負值，顯示出下行動能的增強。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/image-327.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/image-327.png"/></p>
<p>Monero price chart | Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>門羅幣價格圖表 | 來源：TradingView</p>
</div><p>Meanwhile, the RSI has hovered around 41 on the daily chart, showing weakness without yet reaching extreme oversold conditions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，RSI 在日線圖上徘徊在 41 附近，顯示出疲軟，但尚未達到極度超賣的狀態。</p>
</div><p>This combination suggests sellers still control the trend.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這一組合表明賣方仍然控制着趨勢。</p>
</div><p>The 50-day moving average near $481 has acted as firm resistance, capping recovery attempts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>50 日移動平均線附近的 481 美元作為堅實的阻力，限制了反彈嘗試。</p>
</div><p>On the downside, analysts are closely watching the $437.90 support level as the first line of defence.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在下行方面，分析師密切關注 437.90 美元的支撐水平，作為第一道防線。</p>
</div><p>A sustained break below this area would expose the next support near $419.90.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如果持續跌破該區域，將暴露出接近 419.90 美元的下一個支撐。</p>
</div><p>That zone aligns closely with the broader $417 region, reinforcing it as a critical inflexion point.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>該區域與更廣泛的 417 美元區域緊密對齊，強化了其作為關鍵轉折點的地位。</p>
</div><p>Failure to hold this cluster could open the door to even deeper retracements.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>未能守住這一集羣可能會打開更深回撤的大門。</p>
</div><h2>Risk-off market conditions magnify selling pressure</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>風險規避市場條件加劇賣壓</h2>
</div><p>Monero’s weakness has unfolded against a backdrop of broad market risk aversion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>門羅幣的疲軟是在廣泛市場風險厭惡的背景下展開的。</p>
</div><p>The total cryptocurrency market capitalisation has declined sharply, reflecting widespread deleveraging.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>整個加密貨幣市場的總市值急劇下降，反映出廣泛的去槓桿化。</p>
</div><p>Bitcoin dominance has increased as capital rotates away from altcoins into perceived safer large-cap assets.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特幣的主導地位上升，資本從小幣種轉向被認為更安全的大型資產。</p>
</div><p>This environment tends to disproportionately hurt niche segments such as privacy-focused cryptocurrencies.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這種環境往往對隱私幣等小眾領域造成不成比例的傷害。</p>
</div><p>The Crypto Fear and Greed Index reading of 28 underscores the depth of market anxiety.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>加密恐懼與貪婪指數的讀數為 28，突顯了市場焦慮的深度。</p>
</div><p>In fear-driven conditions, traders are more likely to sell first and reassess later.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在恐懼驅動的情況下，交易者更可能先賣出，然後再重新評估。</p>
</div><p>Monero’s strong performance over the prior 90 days has also made it a target for profit-taking.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>門羅幣在過去 90 天的強勁表現也使其成為獲利了結的目標。</p>
</div><p>As sentiment soured, those gains became vulnerable to rapid unwinding.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>隨着情緒惡化，這些收益變得容易迅速回吐。</p>
</div><p>This has compounded the impact of technical breakdowns and regulatory concerns.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這加劇了技術破位和監管擔憂的影響。</p>
</div><p>Outlook hinges on support and sentiment shifts</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>前景取決於支撐和情緒的變化</p>
</div><p>In the near term, Monero’s price outlook remains skewed to the downside.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>短期內，門羅幣的價格前景仍然偏向下行。</p>
</div><p>Sustained trading below former support levels keeps the bearish narrative intact.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>持續在之前的支撐水平下交易保持了熊市敍事的完整性。</p>
</div><p>A decisive loss of the $417–$420 support zone would likely confirm a deeper corrective phase.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如果果斷失去 417–420 美元的支撐區，可能會確認更深的修正階段。</p>
</div><p>Conversely, stabilisation above this region could set the stage for a relief bounce.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>相反，若在該區域上方穩定，可能為反彈鋪平道路。</p>
</div><p>However, any meaningful recovery would require a reclaim of $480 and improving broader market sentiment.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，任何有意義的反彈都需要重新奪回 480 美元，並改善更廣泛的市場情緒。</p>
</div><p>Easing regulatory fears and a renewed bid for Bitcoin would also be necessary to restore confidence.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>緩解監管擔憂和對比特幣的重新買入也將是恢復信心的必要條件。</p>
</div><p>Until those conditions materialise, Monero appears exposed to continued risk-off selling.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在這些條件尚未實現之前，門羅幣似乎面臨持續的風險規避賣壓。</p>
</div><p>For now, traders remain cautious as short-term headwinds overshadow long-term conviction.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>目前，交易者仍然保持謹慎，因為短期阻力掩蓋了長期信念。</p>
</div><p>The post Monero price outlook as XMR faces amplified risk-off selling appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本文首發於 Invezz，標題為《門羅幣價格前景：XMR 面臨加劇的風險規避賣壓》。</p>
</div>

Monero price outlook as XMR faces amplified risk-off selling

- Monero 面臨市場的賣壓，因整體加密市場的 bearish 情緒加劇。  
- 監管審查和技術層面崩潰加大了 XMR 的下行風險。  
- 如果無法維持在 $417-$420 的支撐區間，將確認深度修正階段。

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門羅幣的價格前景如何，XMR 正面臨加劇的風險規避性拋售壓力