<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2013/11/11/22/26/bank-note-209104_960_720.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2013/11/11/22/26/bank-note-209104_960_720.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>圖片來源：Pixabay</em></p>
<p>歐元在週五對美元找到了些許喘息，美元在短暫的兩天反彈後，於週五抹去了週四的漲幅，這在美元指數（DXY）中得到了體現。風險偏好情緒削弱了美元的避險吸引力，而週四歐洲央行的貨幣政策決定平淡無奇，使得交易者更傾向於市場情緒。EUR/USD 交易於 1.1817，上漲 0.34%。</p>
<h2>歐元在 1.1820 附近削減損失，美元強勢減弱和歐洲央行的穩定信息支撐了該貨幣對</h2>
<p>共享貨幣預計將以虧損結束本週，但似乎 EUR/USD 有望在 1.1750-1.1830 區間內鞏固。美國的經濟數據表明，消費者信心在二月份有所改善，但未能提振美元。</p>
<p>週四的糟糕就業數據引發了市場對美聯儲可能在今年降息超過兩次的猜測。在週五的交易中，貨幣市場預計降息 62 個基點，隨後回落至 54 個基點，根據 Prime Market Terminal 的數據。</p>
<p><em>(點擊圖片放大)</em></p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.fxstreet.com/_next/image/query-cT05NSZ1cmw9aHR0cHM6Ly9lZGl0b3JpYWwuZnhzc3RhdGljLmNvbS9taXNjZWxhbmVvdXMvaW1hZ2UtMTc3MDQxNTMxNjg4NC0xNzcwNDE1MzE2ODg1LnBuZyZ3PTE1MzY?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.fxstreet.com/_next/image/query-cT05NSZ1cmw9aHR0cHM6Ly9lZGl0b3JpYWwuZnhzc3RhdGljLmNvbS9taXNjZWxhbmVvdXMvaW1hZ2UtMTc3MDQxNTMxNjg4NC0xNzcwNDE1MzE2ODg1LnBuZyZ3PTE1MzY"/></p>
<p><em>來源：Prime Market Terminal</em></p>
<p>與此同時，美聯儲官員的講話傳出，拉斐爾·博斯蒂克持鷹派立場，瑪麗·達利則採取中立語氣，而副主席菲利普·傑弗遜表示，穩定的勞動力市場降低了通脹風險。</p>
<p>在大西洋彼岸，日程較為清淡，但德國的工業生產數據在十二月份表現不及預期。與此同時，歐洲央行（ECB）政策制定者發出消息，但他們重複了歐洲央行行長拉加德的講話，她指出他們並不擔心 EUR/USD 的波動，特別是歐元的強勢。事實上，她表示，自夏季以來，歐元 “一直在一個範圍內波動……”，並且歐洲央行 “得出結論，去年以來匯率升值的影響已納入我們的基線。”</p>
<p>下週，跨大西洋兩岸的日曆將會繁忙，主要由歐洲央行和美聯儲的講話主導。然而，主要事件將是一月份的非農就業報告、零售銷售和消費者物價指數（CPI），均在美國。</p>
<h2>每日市場動態：歐元無視美聯儲官員的評論，上漲</h2>
<ul>
<li>亞特蘭大聯邦儲備銀行的拉斐爾·博斯蒂克表示，保持利率在限制經濟活動的水平並將通脹恢復到 2% 是重要的。</li>
<li>舊金山聯邦儲備銀行行長瑪麗·達利表示，政策制定者必須平衡美聯儲雙重任務的兩方面。與此同時，美聯儲副主席菲利普·傑弗遜表示，他對經濟 “謹慎樂觀”，並補充説當前的貨幣政策 “處於良好位置”，以應對未來可能出現的情況。</li>
<li>職位空缺減少，裁員增加（由挑戰者報告突出），以及失業救濟申請激增，強化了市場對美聯儲將在 2026 年開始降息的預期。</li>
<li>與此同時，密歇根大學的消費者信心指數在二月份從 56.4 上升至 57.3，超出預期的 55。對一年的通脹預期從 4.0% 下降至 3.5%，而五年的預期則略微上升，從 3.3% 上升至 3.4%。</li>
<li>根據聯邦統計局週五發佈的數據，德國的工業生產在十二月份急劇收縮，環比下降 1.9%。這一下降遠遠超過經濟學家預期的 0.3% 的降幅。</li>
</ul>
<h2>技術分析：EUR/USD 將在 1.1750-1.1830 區間內保持震盪</h2>
<p>技術圖形顯示，EUR/USD 中性偏向下行，在連續出現更低的高點和更低的低點後，走勢逐漸穩定。賣出動能正在減弱，這在相對強弱指數（RSI）中得到了體現。</p>
<p>為了實現看漲延續，買家必須重新奪回 2 月 4 日的日高 1.1837。突破後者將暴露 1.1900。另一方面，如果 EUR/USD 貨幣對跌破 1 月 20 日的高點轉為支撐位 1.1769，進一步的損失將隨之而來。下一個關鍵支撐位是 1.1700，但一旦突破，歐元的下跌可能延伸至 1.1600。</p>
<p><em>(點擊圖片放大)</em></p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.fxstreet.com/_next/image/query-cT05NSZ1cmw9aHR0cHM6Ly9lZGl0b3JpYWwuZnhzc3RhdGljLmNvbS9taXNjZWxhbmVvdXMvaW1hZ2UtMTc3MDQxNTIzODg5OC0xNzcwNDE1MjM4ODk4LnBuZyZ3PTE1MzY?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.fxstreet.com/_next/image/query-cT05NSZ1cmw9aHR0cHM6Ly9lZGl0b3JpYWwuZnhzc3RhdGljLmNvbS9taXNjZWxhbmVvdXMvaW1hZ2UtMTc3MDQxNTIzODg5OC0xNzcwNDE1MjM4ODk4LnBuZyZ3PTE1MzY"/></p>
<p><em>EUR/USD 日線圖</em></p>
<hr/>
<p><em>更多來自此作者的內容：</em></p>
<p>黃金上漲超過 3%，因抄底買家湧入疲軟的美元</p>
<p>在歐洲央行維持利率不變後，EUR/USD 下滑，避險資金流入美元</p>
<p>黃金下滑近 2%，因美元強勢引發新一輪清算</p>

2 倍做多歐元 ETF - ProShares

2 倍做空歐元 ETF - ProShares

歐元 做多 - CurrencyShares

<p>EUR/USD 貨幣對反彈至 1.1817，上漲 0.34%，因美元因風險偏好情緒而走弱。儘管就業報告不佳且美聯儲官員發出混合信號，歐元預計將在 1.1750-1.1830 區間內整固。經濟數據顯示美國消費者信心有所改善，但德國工業生產大幅下降 1.9%。歐洲央行對歐元波動並不擔憂，而即將發佈的美國經濟報告將受到密切關注。技術分析顯示 EUR/USD 呈中性至下行偏向，關鍵支撐位在 1.1769，阻力位在 1.1837</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2013/11/11/22/26/bank-note-209104_960_720.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2013/11/11/22/26/bank-note-209104_960_720.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>Image Source: Pixabay</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>圖片來源：Pixabay</em></p>
</div><p>The Euro found some respite on Friday versus its counterpart the Greenback, which enjoyed a short-live rally of just two days, but erased Thursday’s gains on Friday as depicted by the US Dollar Index (DXY). A risk-on impulse weighed on the Dollar’s safe-haven appeal, while an uneventful ECB monetary policy decision on Thursday, left traders leaning onto market mood. The EUR/USD trades at 1.1817, up 0.34%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>歐元在週五對美元找到了些許喘息，美元在短暫的兩天反彈後，於週五抹去了週四的漲幅，這在美元指數（DXY）中得到了體現。風險偏好情緒削弱了美元的避險吸引力，而週四歐洲央行的貨幣政策決定平淡無奇，使得交易者更傾向於市場情緒。EUR/USD 交易於 1.1817，上漲 0.34%。</p>
</div><h2>Euro trims losses near 1.1820 as fading Dollar strength and steady ECB messaging steady the pair</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>歐元在 1.1820 附近削減損失，美元強勢減弱和歐洲央行的穩定信息支撐了該貨幣對</h2>
</div><p>The shared currency is poised to end the week with losses, but its seems the EUR/USD is poised to consolidate within the 1.1750-1.1830 area. Economic data in the US revealed that Consumer Sentiment improved in February, yet it failed to boost the US Dollar.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>共享貨幣預計將以虧損結束本週，但似乎 EUR/USD 有望在 1.1750-1.1830 區間內鞏固。美國的經濟數據表明，消費者信心在二月份有所改善，但未能提振美元。</p>
</div><p>Thursday’s poor jobs data, fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve could cut rates more than twice this year. During Friday's session, money markets priced in 62 basis points of easing, before retreating to 54 bps, according to Prime Market Terminal data.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>週四的糟糕就業數據引發了市場對美聯儲可能在今年降息超過兩次的猜測。在週五的交易中，貨幣市場預計降息 62 個基點，隨後回落至 54 個基點，根據 Prime Market Terminal 的數據。</p>
</div><p><em>(Click on image to enlarge)</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>(點擊圖片放大)</em></p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.fxstreet.com/_next/image/query-cT05NSZ1cmw9aHR0cHM6Ly9lZGl0b3JpYWwuZnhzc3RhdGljLmNvbS9taXNjZWxhbmVvdXMvaW1hZ2UtMTc3MDQxNTMxNjg4NC0xNzcwNDE1MzE2ODg1LnBuZyZ3PTE1MzY" alt="" original-src="https://www.fxstreet.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Feditorial.fxsstatic.com%2Fmiscelaneous%2Fimage-1770415316884-1770415316885.png&amp;w=1536&amp;q=95"/></p>
<p><em>Source: Prime Market Terminal</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>來源：Prime Market Terminal</em></p>
</div><p>Meanwhile, Fed speakers crossed the wires with Raphael Bostic being hawkish, Mary Daly striking a neutral tone, while the Vice Chair Philip Jefferson’s, revealed that a stable labor market reduces inflation risks.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，美聯儲官員的講話傳出，拉斐爾·博斯蒂克持鷹派立場，瑪麗·達利則採取中立語氣，而副主席菲利普·傑弗遜表示，穩定的勞動力市場降低了通脹風險。</p>
</div><p>Across the pond, the docket was light, yet Industrial Production figures in Germany were worse than expected in December. In the meantime, European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers crossed the wires, but they repeated some of ECB’s President Lagarde’s speech, in which she pointed out that they’re not worried about the volaitity in the EUR/USD, particularly the strength of the Euro. In fact she said that since the summer, the Euro “it has fluctuated within a range…” and that the ECB “concluded that the impact of the exchange rate appreciation since last year is incorporated in our baseline.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在大西洋彼岸，日程較為清淡，但德國的工業生產數據在十二月份表現不及預期。與此同時，歐洲央行（ECB）政策制定者發出消息，但他們重複了歐洲央行行長拉加德的講話，她指出他們並不擔心 EUR/USD 的波動，特別是歐元的強勢。事實上，她表示，自夏季以來，歐元 “一直在一個範圍內波動……”，並且歐洲央行 “得出結論，去年以來匯率升值的影響已納入我們的基線。”</p>
</div><p>Next week, the calendar will be busy in both sides of the Atlantic, dominated by ECB and Fed speeches. However, the main event would be the Nonfarm Payrolls report for January, Retail Sales and the Consumer Price Index (CPI), both in the US.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>下週，跨大西洋兩岸的日曆將會繁忙，主要由歐洲央行和美聯儲的講話主導。然而，主要事件將是一月份的非農就業報告、零售銷售和消費者物價指數（CPI），均在美國。</p>
</div><h2>Daily market movers: Euro shrugs-off Fed officials comments, rise</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>每日市場動態：歐元無視美聯儲官員的評論，上漲</h2>
</div><ul>
<li>Atlanta’s Fed Raphael Bostic said that it's important to keep interest rates at a level that restricts economic activity and returns inflation to 2%.</li>
<li>San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said policymakers must balance both sides of the Fed’s dual mandate. Meanwhile, the Fed’s Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said that he is “cautiously optimistic” about the economy, adding that current monetary policy is “well positioned” to deal with what likely lies ahead.</li>
<li>Falling job openings, an increase in layoffs highlighted by the Challenger report, and a surge in Jobless Claims have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates in 2026.</li>
<li>At the same time, the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment index for February improved to 57.3 from 56.4, topping forecasts of 55. One-year inflation expectations declined to 3.5% from 4.0%, while the five-year outlook edged up slightly to 3.4% from 3.3%.</li>
<li>German industrial production contracted sharply in December, falling 1.9% month-on-month, according to data released by the federal statistics office on Friday. The decline was far steeper than the 0.3% drop anticipated by economists.</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>亞特蘭大聯邦儲備銀行的拉斐爾·博斯蒂克表示，保持利率在限制經濟活動的水平並將通脹恢復到 2% 是重要的。</li>
<li>舊金山聯邦儲備銀行行長瑪麗·達利表示，政策制定者必須平衡美聯儲雙重任務的兩方面。與此同時，美聯儲副主席菲利普·傑弗遜表示，他對經濟 “謹慎樂觀”，並補充説當前的貨幣政策 “處於良好位置”，以應對未來可能出現的情況。</li>
<li>職位空缺減少，裁員增加（由挑戰者報告突出），以及失業救濟申請激增，強化了市場對美聯儲將在 2026 年開始降息的預期。</li>
<li>與此同時，密歇根大學的消費者信心指數在二月份從 56.4 上升至 57.3，超出預期的 55。對一年的通脹預期從 4.0% 下降至 3.5%，而五年的預期則略微上升，從 3.3% 上升至 3.4%。</li>
<li>根據聯邦統計局週五發佈的數據，德國的工業生產在十二月份急劇收縮，環比下降 1.9%。這一下降遠遠超過經濟學家預期的 0.3% 的降幅。</li>
</ul>
</div><h2>Technical analysis: EUR/USD to remain range-bound within 1.1750-1.1830</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>技術分析：EUR/USD 將在 1.1750-1.1830 區間內保持震盪</h2>
</div><p>The technical picture shows the EUR/USD is neutral to downward biased, after registering successive series of lower highs and lower lows, but steadily. Selling momentum is fading as depicted in the Relative Strength index (RSI).</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>技術圖形顯示，EUR/USD 中性偏向下行，在連續出現更低的高點和更低的低點後，走勢逐漸穩定。賣出動能正在減弱，這在相對強弱指數（RSI）中得到了體現。</p>
</div><p>For a bullish continuation, buyers must reclaim the February 4 daily high at 1.1837. A breach of the latter will expose 1.1900. On the other hand, if the EUR/USD pair tumbles below the January 20 high turned support at 1.1769, further losses lie ahead. The next key support is 1.1700 but once conquered, the Euro’s fall could extend to 1.1600.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>為了實現看漲延續，買家必須重新奪回 2 月 4 日的日高 1.1837。突破後者將暴露 1.1900。另一方面，如果 EUR/USD 貨幣對跌破 1 月 20 日的高點轉為支撐位 1.1769，進一步的損失將隨之而來。下一個關鍵支撐位是 1.1700，但一旦突破，歐元的下跌可能延伸至 1.1600。</p>
</div><p><em>(Click on image to enlarge)</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>(點擊圖片放大)</em></p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.fxstreet.com/_next/image/query-cT05NSZ1cmw9aHR0cHM6Ly9lZGl0b3JpYWwuZnhzc3RhdGljLmNvbS9taXNjZWxhbmVvdXMvaW1hZ2UtMTc3MDQxNTIzODg5OC0xNzcwNDE1MjM4ODk4LnBuZyZ3PTE1MzY" alt="" original-src="https://www.fxstreet.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Feditorial.fxsstatic.com%2Fmiscelaneous%2Fimage-1770415238898-1770415238898.png&amp;w=1536&amp;q=95"/></p>
<p><em>EUR/USD Daily Chart</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>EUR/USD 日線圖</em></p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p><em>More By This Author:</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>更多來自此作者的內容：</em></p>
</div><p>Gold Surges Over 3% As Dip Buyers Pounce On Weaker USD</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>黃金上漲超過 3%，因抄底買家湧入疲軟的美元</p>
</div><p>EUR/USD Slides After ECB Hold As Risk-Off Flows Lift US Dollar</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在歐洲央行維持利率不變後，EUR/USD 下滑，避險資金流入美元</p>
</div><p>Gold Slides Nearly 2% As U.S. Dollar Strength Triggers Fresh Liquidation</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>黃金下滑近 2%，因美元強勢引發新一輪清算</p>
</div>

由於風險偏好情緒削弱了美元，歐元/美元反彈，關注每週的整合