<p>門羅幣 [XMR] 在一月份經歷了一次拋物線式的上漲，就在它創下 798 美元的新歷史高點時，比特幣 [BTC] 的上漲動能耗盡。隨後的比特幣拋售導致門羅幣在短短 22 天內大幅回調 63.7%。</p>
<p>社交媒體上對這款隱私幣的關注非常顯著，但 AMBCrypto 指出這表明了 “明顯的羣眾 FOMO”，並強調了現貨交易量泡沫圖所顯示的過熱警報。</p>
<p>這些警告在幾天後伴隨着急劇的回調。未能捍衞長期趨勢線支撐意味着門羅幣可能會下探至 266 美元。2 月 6 日星期五，門羅幣最低跌至 276 美元。</p>
<h2><strong>門羅幣空頭重新奪回關鍵回撤水平</strong></h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-1-day-Chart-1.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-1-day-Chart-1.png"/></p>
<p>來源：TradingView 上的 XMR/USDT</p>
<p>A/D 指標在過去三週內創下多個月來的新低，突顯了賣壓的深度。急劇的回調和高交易量解釋了 A/D 指標的走勢，並顯示恢復在短期內極不可能。</p>
<p>20 日和 50 日移動平均線在經歷了 4 個月的上漲趨勢後形成了看跌交叉。DMI 也發出了強烈的下行趨勢信號。</p>
<p>僅從最近的回調來看，這些情況非常明顯。多頭最後的希望在於 352 美元，這是從 230 美元到 799 美元的上漲中的 78.6% 斐波那契回撤水平。</p>
<p>幾周前曾作為支撐的水平現在已轉變為堅固的供應區。賣壓如此強烈，以至於 352 美元的重新測試未能產生任何有意義的反應。</p>
<h2><strong>交易者應該期待什麼？</strong></h2>
<p>交易者和投資者應準備好下行趨勢將繼續。</p>
<p>門羅幣可能會在某些價格水平上停滯，並在比特幣 [BTC] 和主要山寨幣在其長期下行趨勢中出現價格反彈時形成區間。</p>
<h2><strong>XMR 面臨看跌重新測試區</strong></h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-Liquidation-Heatmap-1.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-Liquidation-Heatmap-1.png"/></p>
<p>來源：CoinGlass</p>
<p>這輪上漲顯然已經結束。比特幣的反彈可能會推動門羅幣上漲。清算熱圖顯示，390-420 美元和 500 美元的水平是下一個值得關注的磁性區域。重新測試這些區域可能會導致另一次看跌走勢。</p>
<hr/>
<h2>最後思考</h2>
<ul>
<li><em>門羅幣經歷了拋物線式的上漲和隨後的頂峯，並在短短三週內回調了 63%.</em></li>
<li><em>擺動交易者和投資者在此處買入需要特別的勇氣，但他們的投資組合可能不會因此而感激他們。抓住刀鋒可能令人興奮，但也可能是無謂的風險。</em></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>免責聲明：所提供的信息不構成財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議，僅代表作者的觀點。</strong></p>

RIOT

COIN

<p>Monero (XMR) 在經歷了一波高達 $798 的拋物線式反彈後，出現了 63.7% 的顯著回調。此次下跌是由於比特幣的拋售引發的，導致關鍵支撐位失守，形成了看跌趨勢。A/D 指標顯示出強烈的賣壓，表明恢復的可能性不大。交易者應為持續的下行趨勢做好準備，潛在的回測區域在 $390-$420 和 $500。市場情緒表明應保持謹慎，因為現在買入對波段交易者和投資者來説可能存在風險</p>

<p>Monero [XMR] had a parabolic rally in January, and just as it set a new all-time high at $798, Bitcoin [BTC] ran out of bullish momentum. The subsequent BTC sell-off led to a steep XMR correction of 63.7% in just 22 days.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>門羅幣 [XMR] 在一月份經歷了一次拋物線式的上漲，就在它創下 798 美元的新歷史高點時，比特幣 [BTC] 的上漲動能耗盡。隨後的比特幣拋售導致門羅幣在短短 22 天內大幅回調 63.7%。</p>
</div><p>The social media engagement on the privacy coin was remarkable, but AMBCrypto pointed out that this was a sign of “obvious crowd FOMO” and highlighted overheating alarms that the spot volume bubble map showed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>社交媒體上對這款隱私幣的關注非常顯著，但 AMBCrypto 指出這表明了 “明顯的羣眾 FOMO”，並強調了現貨交易量泡沫圖所顯示的過熱警報。</p>
</div><p>These warnings were followed by a steep correction just days later. The failure to defend the long-term trendline support meant that XMR was likely headed to $266 next. On Friday, the 6th of February, XMR reached a low of $276.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這些警告在幾天後伴隨着急劇的回調。未能捍衞長期趨勢線支撐意味着門羅幣可能會下探至 266 美元。2 月 6 日星期五，門羅幣最低跌至 276 美元。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Monero bears reclaim key retracement levels</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>門羅幣空頭重新奪回關鍵回撤水平</strong></h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-1-day-Chart-1.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-1-day-Chart-1.png"/></p>
<p>Source: XMR/USDT on TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：TradingView 上的 XMR/USDT</p>
</div><p>The A/D indicator made new multi-month lows to underline the depth of the selling pressure in the past three weeks. The steep correction and high volume explained the A/D indicator’s movement and showed that recovery was highly unlikely anytime soon.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>A/D 指標在過去三週內創下多個月來的新低，突顯了賣壓的深度。急劇的回調和高交易量解釋了 A/D 指標的走勢，並顯示恢復在短期內極不可能。</p>
</div><p>The 20 and 50-day moving averages formed a bearish crossover after 4 months of a bullish trend. The DMI also signaled a strong downtrend in progress.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>20 日和 50 日移動平均線在經歷了 4 個月的上漲趨勢後形成了看跌交叉。DMI 也發出了強烈的下行趨勢信號。</p>
</div><p>These were pretty obvious just looking at the recent drawdown. The bulls’ last spark of hope lay at $352, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level from the rally between $230 and $799.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>僅從最近的回調來看，這些情況非常明顯。多頭最後的希望在於 352 美元，這是從 230 美元到 799 美元的上漲中的 78.6% 斐波那契回撤水平。</p>
</div><p>Levels that once acted as support a few weeks ago have now flipped into firm supply zones. Selling pressure proved so strong that the $352 retest failed to produce any meaningful reaction.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>幾周前曾作為支撐的水平現在已轉變為堅固的供應區。賣壓如此強烈，以至於 352 美元的重新測試未能產生任何有意義的反應。</p>
</div><h2><strong>What should traders expect?</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>交易者應該期待什麼？</strong></h2>
</div><p>Traders and investors should be prepared for the downtrend to continue.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>交易者和投資者應準備好下行趨勢將繼續。</p>
</div><p>It is possible that Monero would halt at certain price levels and form a range at moments when Bitcoin [BTC] and major altcoins see a price bounce in their longer-term downtrends.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>門羅幣可能會在某些價格水平上停滯，並在比特幣 [BTC] 和主要山寨幣在其長期下行趨勢中出現價格反彈時形成區間。</p>
</div><h2><strong>XMR faces bearish retest zones</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>XMR 面臨看跌重新測試區</strong></h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-Liquidation-Heatmap-1.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-Liquidation-Heatmap-1.png"/></p>
<p>Source: CoinGlass</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>來源：CoinGlass</p>
</div><p>The run is clearly over. A Bitcoin bounce could take XMR higher. The liquidation heatmap showed that the $390-$420 and $500 levels were the next magnetic zones to watch. A retest of these areas could yield another bearish move.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這輪上漲顯然已經結束。比特幣的反彈可能會推動門羅幣上漲。清算熱圖顯示，390-420 美元和 500 美元的水平是下一個值得關注的磁性區域。重新測試這些區域可能會導致另一次看跌走勢。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><h2>Final Thoughts</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>最後思考</h2>
</div><ul>
<li><em>Monero has had its parabolic rally and subsequent blow-off top, and has retraced 63% in just over three weeks.</em></li>
<li><em>Swing traders and investors would have to be a special kind of brave to buy here, but their portfolios might not thank them for it. Catching knives can be exciting, but also needlessly risky.</em></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><em>門羅幣經歷了拋物線式的上漲和隨後的頂峯，並在短短三週內回調了 63%.</em></li>
<li><em>擺動交易者和投資者在此處買入需要特別的勇氣，但他們的投資組合可能不會因此而感激他們。抓住刀鋒可能令人興奮，但也可能是無謂的風險。</em></li>
</ul>
</div><p><strong>Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>免責聲明：所提供的信息不構成財務、投資、交易或其他類型的建議，僅代表作者的觀點。</strong></p>
</div>

Monero falls from FOMO to 63% freefall – What’s next for XMR?

- Monero [XMR] 在 1 月份經歷了 63.7% 的快速回調。  
- 當前 $XMR 正面臨 Bearish 回撤區域，未來走勢可能繼續下行。  
- 投資者應謹慎，因市場風險仍然較高。

門羅幣從 FOMO 情緒中下跌 63%——XMR 接下來會如何發展？