<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Wall-St.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Wall-St.png"/></p>
<p>道瓊斯指數在今年最高點下跌 9% 後，正接近修正。</p>
<p>週三下跌了 768 點，期貨也下跌超過 120 點。</p>
<p>這種回撤可能會在未來幾周繼續，可能會跌至 45,000 美元，因為風險上升。</p>
<h2>道瓊斯指數技術分析顯示更多下行空間</h2>
<p>日線圖顯示，道瓊斯指數在過去幾周崩潰，從年初至今的高點 50,530 美元跌至當前的 46,040 美元。</p>
<p>該圖表顯示，指數已跌破 50 日和 200 日指數移動平均線（EMA）。跌破該水平是空頭佔優的跡象。</p>
<p>指數還跌破了 Ichimoku 雲指標，而 Supertrend 指標已從綠色轉為紅色。</p>
<p>與此同時，指數已跌破 23.6% 的斐波那契回撤水平。</p>
<p>這種回撤發生在指數形成了一個上升楔形模式，該模式由兩條上升且收斂的趨勢線構成。</p>
<p>與此同時，平均方向指數（ADX）已躍升至 31，為去年十月以來的最高水平。</p>
<p>ADX 指標的激增是下行趨勢正在加速的跡象。</p>
<p>因此，指數可能會繼續下跌，下一個關鍵目標是 50% 斐波那契回撤水平，位於 43,615 美元，比當前水平下跌 5.60%。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/dow-jones.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/dow-jones.png"/></p>
<p><em>道瓊斯指數圖表 | 來源：TradingView</em></p>
<h2>美國股票面臨重大風險</h2>
<p>道瓊斯指數在過去幾周大幅下跌，因為投資者採取了風險規避的情緒。</p>
<p>一個很好的例子是恐懼與貪婪指數，該指數已暴跌至極度恐懼區間 17。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Fear-and-Greed-Index.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Fear-and-Greed-Index.jpeg"/></p>
<p>恐懼與貪婪指數中的大多數子指數已移動到極度恐懼區間，只有市場波動性或 VIX 處於中性區間。</p>
<p>隨着美伊戰爭轉向能源市場，這些風險持續上升，布倫特原油作為全球主要基準，價格飆升至 116 美元，西德克薩斯中質原油（WTI）上漲至 96 美元。天然氣價格也大幅上漲。</p>
<p>因此，美國面臨更長時間高通脹的風險。</p>
<p>最新數據顯示，2 月份的整體和核心生產者價格指數（PPI）大幅上漲，這一趨勢可能在可預見的未來繼續。</p>
<p>消費者通脹可能會繼續上升，導致美聯儲更加鷹派。</p>
<p>這解釋了為什麼美國國債收益率持續上升，十年期和三十年期分別上升至 4.277% 和 4.90%。</p>
<p>一些分析師現在認為，美聯儲今年將加息兩次。</p>
<p>由於戰爭加劇，道瓊斯指數中的大多數公司在過去 30 天內大幅下跌。</p>
<p>例如，TradingView 彙編的數據表明，道瓊斯股票在過去 30 天內下跌了 17%。</p>
<p>Sherwin-Williams 的股票下跌了 16.5%，而像 Home Depot、波音、美國運通、耐克、高盛和卡特彼勒等公司在同一時期均下跌超過 9.5%。</p>
<p>另一方面，過去 30 天內只有少數公司上漲。</p>
<p>雪佛龍、亞馬遜、思科和 Salesforce 的股票上漲超過 1%。</p>
<p>道瓊斯風險崩潰至 43,000 美元的文章首次出現在 Invezz 上。</p>

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<p>道瓊斯指數今年已從高點下跌了 9%，週三下跌了 768 點，期貨下跌超過 120 點。技術分析顯示進一步下跌的可能性，潛在目標為 43,615 美元。恐懼與貪婪指數已降至 17，表明投資者極度恐懼。地緣政治緊張局勢加劇和通脹擔憂正在導致風險規避情緒，導致過去一個月大多數道瓊斯股票顯著下跌。分析師預測美聯儲今年將加息兩次，因為債券收益率上升</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Wall-St.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Wall-St.png"/></p>
<p>The Dow Jones Index is nearing a correction after falling by 9% from its highest point this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>道瓊斯指數在今年最高點下跌 9% 後，正接近修正。</p>
</div><p>It tumbled by 768 points on Wednesday, and its futures dropped by over 120 points.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>週三下跌了 768 點，期貨也下跌超過 120 點。</p>
</div><p>This retreat may continue in the coming weeks, potentially to $45,000 as risks rise.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這種回撤可能會在未來幾周繼續，可能會跌至 45,000 美元，因為風險上升。</p>
</div><h2>Dow Jones Index technical analysis suggests more downside</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>道瓊斯指數技術分析顯示更多下行空間</h2>
</div><p>The daily chart reveals that the Dow Jones Index has crashed in the past few weeks, falling from the year-to-date high of $50,530 to the current $46,040.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日線圖顯示，道瓊斯指數在過去幾周崩潰，從年初至今的高點 50,530 美元跌至當前的 46,040 美元。</p>
</div><p>This chart shows that the index has dropped below the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). Moving below that level will is a sign that bears have prevailed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>該圖表顯示，指數已跌破 50 日和 200 日指數移動平均線（EMA）。跌破該水平是空頭佔優的跡象。</p>
</div><p>The index has also crashed below the Ichimoku cloud indicator, while the Supertrend indicator has turned from green to red.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>指數還跌破了 Ichimoku 雲指標，而 Supertrend 指標已從綠色轉為紅色。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, the index has dropped below the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，指數已跌破 23.6% 的斐波那契回撤水平。</p>
</div><p>This retreat happened after Index formed a rising wedge pattern, which is made up of two ascending and converging trendlines.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這種回撤發生在指數形成了一個上升楔形模式，該模式由兩條上升且收斂的趨勢線構成。</p>
</div><p>Meanwhile, the Average Directional Index (ADX) has jumped to 31, its highest level since October last year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>與此同時，平均方向指數（ADX）已躍升至 31，為去年十月以來的最高水平。</p>
</div><p>A surge in the ADX indicator is a sign that the downtrend is gaining momentum.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>ADX 指標的激增是下行趨勢正在加速的跡象。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the index will likely continue falling, with the next key target being at the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level at $43,615, down 5.60% from the current level.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，指數可能會繼續下跌，下一個關鍵目標是 50% 斐波那契回撤水平，位於 43,615 美元，比當前水平下跌 5.60%。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/dow-jones.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/dow-jones.png"/></p>
<p><em>Dow Jones Index chart | Source: TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>道瓊斯指數圖表 | 來源：TradingView</em></p>
</div><h2>American stocks are facing major risks</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>美國股票面臨重大風險</h2>
</div><p>The Dow Jones Index has slumped in the past few weeks as investors have embraced a risk-off sentiment.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>道瓊斯指數在過去幾周大幅下跌，因為投資者採取了風險規避的情緒。</p>
</div><p>A good example of this is shown by the Fear and Greed Index, which has plunged to the extreme fear zone of 17.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一個很好的例子是恐懼與貪婪指數，該指數已暴跌至極度恐懼區間 17。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Fear-and-Greed-Index.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/03/Fear-and-Greed-Index.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Most sub-indices in the Fear and Greed Index have moved to the extreme fear zone, with only the market volatility or VIX being in the neutral zone.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>恐懼與貪婪指數中的大多數子指數已移動到極度恐懼區間，只有市場波動性或 VIX 處於中性區間。</p>
</div><p>These risks continued rising as the US-Iran war shifted to the energy market, with Brent, the top global benchmark, jumping to $116, and the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose to $96. Natural gas prices have soared.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>隨着美伊戰爭轉向能源市場，這些風險持續上升，布倫特原油作為全球主要基準，價格飆升至 116 美元，西德克薩斯中質原油（WTI）上漲至 96 美元。天然氣價格也大幅上漲。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, there is a risk that the US will face higher inflation for longer.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，美國面臨更長時間高通脹的風險。</p>
</div><p>The most recent results showed that the headline and core Producer Price Index (PPI) jumped in February, a trend that may continue in the foreseeable future.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最新數據顯示，2 月份的整體和核心生產者價格指數（PPI）大幅上漲，這一趨勢可能在可預見的未來繼續。</p>
</div><p>Consumer inflation will likely continue rising, leading to a more hawkish Federal Reserve.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>消費者通脹可能會繼續上升，導致美聯儲更加鷹派。</p>
</div><p>This explains why US bond yields continued rising, with the ten-year and 30-year rising to 4.277% and 4.90%, respectively.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這解釋了為什麼美國國債收益率持續上升，十年期和三十年期分別上升至 4.277% 和 4.90%。</p>
</div><p>Some analysts now believe that the Federal Reserve will deliver two rate hikes this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一些分析師現在認為，美聯儲今年將加息兩次。</p>
</div><p>Most companies in the Dow Jones Index have plunged in the past 30 days as the war has accelerated.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>由於戰爭加劇，道瓊斯指數中的大多數公司在過去 30 天內大幅下跌。</p>
</div><p>For example, data compiled by TradingView shows that Dow stock has dropped by 17% in the last 30 days.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>例如，TradingView 彙編的數據表明，道瓊斯股票在過去 30 天內下跌了 17%。</p>
</div><p>Sherwin-Williams stock has dropped by 16.5%, while companies like Home Depot, Boeing, American Express, Nike, Goldman Sachs, and Caterpillar have all plunged by over 9.5% in the same period.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Sherwin-Williams 的股票下跌了 16.5%，而像 Home Depot、波音、美國運通、耐克、高盛和卡特彼勒等公司在同一時期均下跌超過 9.5%。</p>
</div><p>On the other hand, just a handful of companies have jumped in the last 30 days.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一方面，過去 30 天內只有少數公司上漲。</p>
</div><p>Chevron, Amazon, Cisco, and Salesforce stocks have risen by over 1%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>雪佛龍、亞馬遜、思科和 Salesforce 的股票上漲超過 1%。</p>
</div><p>The post Dow risks crash to $43k as Fear and Greed Index tumbles appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>道瓊斯風險崩潰至 43,000 美元的文章首次出現在 Invezz 上。</p>
</div>

Dow risks crash to $43k as Fear and Greed Index tumbles

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道瓊斯指數面臨崩盤風險至 43,000 點，恐懼與貪婪指數暴跌