<p>一位加密貨幣分析師此前曾警告交易者和投資者，最近比特幣（BTC）價格的飆升可能是一個假象，現在他分享了新的更新。確認他之前的預測是準確的，這位分析師現在提供了比特幣在持續熊市中真正走向的見解。</p>
<p><strong>比特幣價格接下來將走向何方</strong></p>
<p>DeFi 研究員和市場分析師 Sherlock 在 X 上分享了他上週早些時候發佈的分析的新更新。在這份新報告中，Sherlock 提出了一個相當不祥的比特幣價格預測，暗示全球最大的加密貨幣即將朝着約 53,000 美元的新低邁進。</p>
<p>他強調，53,000 美元的水平並不是一個隨機的看跌目標，而是經過多重數據信號匯聚後確立的一個點，這也對應於比特幣下一個每週支撐位。根據 Sherlock 的説法，比特幣上週接近 76,000 美元的歷史高點是他所預期的偏差，儘管一些交易者希望反彈能夠成為可持續的突破。</p>
<p>分析師指出，如果每週蠟燭圖在 72,500 美元以下收盤，預計將確認這一偏差趨勢。Sherlock 還提到了 1 月份的價格走勢，當時比特幣價格攀升至 94,500 美元，然後大約下跌了 38%。通常，在加密市場術語中，這種行為被稱為 “假突破”，即價格短暫突破關鍵阻力位，誘使交易者入場，然後迅速反轉。</p>
<p>目前，比特幣價格徘徊在 68,100 美元左右，比上週創下的 76,000 美元的前高低了超過 10%。在美國聯邦儲備委員會（FED）發佈鷹派立場的報告後，這種加密貨幣在一天內經歷了急劇且意外的崩潰。在那天短暫下跌至 70,000 美元水平後，比特幣繼續走低。</p>
<p>CoinMarketCap 的數據顯示，BTC 的下跌還受到地緣政治緊張局勢加劇的進一步推動，此前美國總統唐納德·特朗普向伊朗發出了 48 小時的最後通牒，導致風險資產普遍拋售。</p>
<p><strong>回顧比特幣的 76,000 美元假象</strong></p>
<p>在他之前的分析中，Sherlock 警告交易者不要被短期比特幣價格的飆升所誘惑。他指出，在 2026 年 1 月的最後一次重大偏差中，許多交易者進行了多頭操作，結果在接下來的五週內比特幣價格崩潰，遭受了重大損失。</p>
<p>分析師曾警告，如果比特幣未能在每週圖表上收盤高於 74,500 美元，那麼其短暫反彈將不過是一個偏差，而不是真正的突破。Sherlock 補充道，考慮到上週的 FOMC 會議和市場共識預計將再次暫停加息，比特幣的前景遠非看漲。他將比特幣之前的反彈形容為一個陷阱，可能是為了誘使投資者和交易者過早進入多頭頭寸。</p>

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<p>一位加密貨幣分析師警告稱，比特幣最近飆升至 76,000 美元是一次偶然現象，預測將回落至約 53,000 美元。分析師 Sherlock 強調，這一目標是基於多個數據信號，並與比特幣的下一個支撐位相一致。他指出，價格下跌受到地緣政治緊張局勢和美國聯邦儲備委員會鷹派立場的加劇影響。Sherlock 警告交易者不要被短期的價格波動誤導，建議近期的反彈是對過早做多頭寸的陷阱</p>

<p>A crypto analyst who previously warned traders and investors that the recent Bitcoin (BTC) price surge could be a fluke has shared a new update. Confirming that his earlier prediction was accurate, the analyst now provides insight on where Bitcoin is really headed as it continues to navigate the ongoing bear market.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一位加密貨幣分析師此前曾警告交易者和投資者，最近比特幣（BTC）價格的飆升可能是一個假象，現在他分享了新的更新。確認他之前的預測是準確的，這位分析師現在提供了比特幣在持續熊市中真正走向的見解。</p>
</div><p><strong>Where The Bitcoin Price Is Headed Next</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>比特幣價格接下來將走向何方</strong></p>
</div><p>DeFi researcher and market analyst Sherlock has taken to X to share a fresh update on an analysis he published earlier last week. In this new report, Sherlock presented a rather foreboding Bitcoin price forecast, suggesting that the world’s largest cryptocurrency is heading toward new lows around $53,000 soon.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>DeFi 研究員和市場分析師 Sherlock 在 X 上分享了他上週早些時候發佈的分析的新更新。在這份新報告中，Sherlock 提出了一個相當不祥的比特幣價格預測，暗示全球最大的加密貨幣即將朝着約 53,000 美元的新低邁進。</p>
</div><p>He emphasized that the $53,000 level was not a random bearish target but a point established after multiple data signals converged, which also corresponds to Bitcoin’s next weekly support level. According to Sherlock, Bitcoin’s record high last week near $76,000 was a deviation he had anticipated despite some traders hoping that the rebound could become a sustainable breakout.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他強調，53,000 美元的水平並不是一個隨機的看跌目標，而是經過多重數據信號匯聚後確立的一個點，這也對應於比特幣下一個每週支撐位。根據 Sherlock 的説法，比特幣上週接近 76,000 美元的歷史高點是他所預期的偏差，儘管一些交易者希望反彈能夠成為可持續的突破。</p>
</div><p>The analyst noted that the weekly candle on the chart is expected to confirm this deviation trend if it closes below $72,500. Sherlock also drew parallels to a January price movement, when the Bitcoin price climbed to $94,500 before crashing by approximately 38%. Usually, in crypto market terms, this type of action is called a “fakeout,” which is when the price briefly breaches key resistance levels, enticing traders to enter positions, before rapidly reversing in the opposite direction.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>分析師指出，如果每週蠟燭圖在 72,500 美元以下收盤，預計將確認這一偏差趨勢。Sherlock 還提到了 1 月份的價格走勢，當時比特幣價格攀升至 94,500 美元，然後大約下跌了 38%。通常，在加密市場術語中，這種行為被稱為 “假突破”，即價格短暫突破關鍵阻力位，誘使交易者入場，然後迅速反轉。</p>
</div><p>Currently, the Bitcoin price is hovering around $68,100, more than 10% below its previous high of $76,000 set last week. The cryptocurrency suffered a sharp, unexpected collapse in a single day following reports of a hawkish stance by the US Federal Reserve (FED). After briefly dipping toward the $70,000 level that day, Bitcoin has continued on a downward trajectory.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>目前，比特幣價格徘徊在 68,100 美元左右，比上週創下的 76,000 美元的前高低了超過 10%。在美國聯邦儲備委員會（FED）發佈鷹派立場的報告後，這種加密貨幣在一天內經歷了急劇且意外的崩潰。在那天短暫下跌至 70,000 美元水平後，比特幣繼續走低。</p>
</div><p>Data from CoinMarketCap also indicate that BTC’s decline was further accelerated by a surge in geopolitical tensions, after US President Donald Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum to Iran, triggering a broader sell-off across risk assets.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>CoinMarketCap 的數據顯示，BTC 的下跌還受到地緣政治緊張局勢加劇的進一步推動，此前美國總統唐納德·特朗普向伊朗發出了 48 小時的最後通牒，導致風險資產普遍拋售。</p>
</div><p><strong>A Look Back At BTC’s $76,000 Fluke</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>回顧比特幣的 76,000 美元假象</strong></p>
</div><p>In his previous analysis, Sherlock had cautioned traders not to get baited by short-term Bitcoin price spikes. He noted that during the last major deviation in January 2026, many traders went long, only to incur significant losses after Bitcoin’s price collapsed over the next five weeks.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在他之前的分析中，Sherlock 警告交易者不要被短期比特幣價格的飆升所誘惑。他指出，在 2026 年 1 月的最後一次重大偏差中，許多交易者進行了多頭操作，結果在接下來的五週內比特幣價格崩潰，遭受了重大損失。</p>
</div><p>The analyst had warned that if Bitcoin fails to close above $74,500 on the weekly chart, its brief rebound would be nothing more than a deviation, not a true breakout. Sherlock added that, with the FOMC meeting last week and market consensus expecting another interest-rate pause, the outlook for Bitcoin is far from bullish. He described Bitcoin’s previous rebound as a trap, likely engineered to lure investors and traders into long positions prematurely.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>分析師曾警告，如果比特幣未能在每週圖表上收盤高於 74,500 美元，那麼其短暫反彈將不過是一個偏差，而不是真正的突破。Sherlock 補充道，考慮到上週的 FOMC 會議和市場共識預計將再次暫停加息，比特幣的前景遠非看漲。他將比特幣之前的反彈形容為一個陷阱，可能是為了誘使投資者和交易者過早進入多頭頭寸。</p>
</div>

Bitcoin At $76,000 Was A Fluke: Here’s What The Price Is Really Headed

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比特幣達到 76,000 美元是偶然現象：以下是價格的真正趨勢