<ul>
<li>川普稱伊朗提案是談判的基礎</li>
</ul><ul>
<li>伊朗稱協議是對川普的勝利</li>
</ul><ul>
<li>多個海灣國家報告伊朗導彈及無人機襲擊</li>
</ul><ul>
<li>川普早前的威脅引發國際譴責</li>
</ul><p>由史蒂夫·霍蘭、帕瑞薩·哈菲齊、伊納斯·阿拉什雷、艾哈邁德·托爾巴以及賈斯帕·沃德聯合報道</p><p>華盛頓/迪拜/開羅，4 月 8 日（路透社）——美國總統川普在德黑蘭未能重新打開霍爾木茲海峽的最後期限不足兩小時裏，同意與伊朗達成兩週的停火協議。</p><p>川普的這一聲明標誌着突然的逆轉，他早些時候曾警告如果要求未被滿足，“整個人類文明將在今晚滅亡。” 巴基斯坦軍方首長阿西姆·穆尼爾及總理沙巴茲·謝里夫協助促成了此次停火協議。</p><p>謝里夫在 X 平台發表聲明稱已經邀請伊朗及美國代表團週五在伊斯蘭堡會晤。</p><p>川普聲稱協議要求條件包括伊朗暫停通過霍爾木茲海峽封鎖石油與天然氣運輸。通常該海峽承擔着全球約五分之一的石油運輸量。伊朗外交部長阿巴斯·阿拉克齊則在聲明中表示如攻擊暫停，德黑蘭將停止反擊並提供安全通行。</p><p>“這是雙邊停火！” 川普在 Truth Social 上寫道，“這麼做是因為我們已經完成並超越了所有軍事目標，而且關於伊朗及中東的長期和平協議已然成熟。”</p><p>伊朗最高國家安全委員會將此協議描述為對美國的勝利，聲稱川普已接受伊朗關於結束敵對行動的條件。</p><p>川普告訴法國新聞社 AFP，這是一個 “完全徹底的勝利”。</p><p>被問及是否將停火視為勝利時，川普表示：“完全徹底的勝利，百分之百，無疑問。”</p><p>他隨後在 Truth Social 上表示：“今天是世界和平的重要一天！伊朗希望達成協議，他們已受夠了！每個人都是如此！”</p><p>川普補充道，伊朗可以開始重建進程，美國將協助霍爾木茲海峽的交通建設。</p><p>這場戰爭目前已持續六週，已在十多個國家導致超過 5000 人死亡，其中包括伊朗超過 1600 名平民。此數據來源於政府機構及人權組織。</p><p>一位消息人士表示對於此為期兩週的停火協議能否能持續持懷疑態度，稱美國方面認為伊朗可能是在爭取時間。這被視為一次 “建立信任機制” 的嘗試。</p><h3>停火須以海峽重新開放為條件</h3><p>以色列首相辦公室發表聲明支持暫停對伊朗的空襲兩週。但聲明稱此停火協議不適用於黎巴嫩，這似乎與巴基斯坦方面早前的宣言自相矛盾。巴基斯坦謝里夫曾表示，此協議包含對以色列在黎巴嫩戰事的終止。</p><p>目前尚不清楚停火協議何時完全生效。據以色列媒體報道，協議將在伊朗重新開放海峽後開始，以色列預計在此之前伊朗的攻擊可能會繼續。</p><p>伊拉克的伊斯蘭抵抗組織也表示其將在兩週內暫停在伊拉克及地區範圍內的行動。</p><p>川普宣佈一個多小時後，以色列軍方稱確認檢測到伊朗發射導彈，並在特拉維夫聽到攔截導彈的爆炸聲。沙特、科威特、巴林和阿聯酋等海灣國家也幾乎同步發佈警報並啓動防空系統。</p><p>負責緊急救援的發言人表示，以色列急救人員正為在南部城鎮特爾舍瓦受爆炸輕微傷害的兩名 15 歲男孩提供醫療救治。</p><p>以色列媒體報道稱，以軍正在針對伊朗發射地點進行反擊。</p><p>川普在此前幾周發出了一系列威脅隨後又撤回。他表示雙方之間的進展促使其同意停火協議，並提到伊朗提出了一份由 10 點組成的提案，被視為談判的 “合理依據”，預計在兩週窗口期內能夠達成最終協議。</p><p>川普後續向 AFP 表示：“我們有一份 15 點交易，其中大部分內容已達成一致，我們拭目以待，看是否能夠實現。”</p><p>市場對此反應理性，油價下降（CLc1），股票上漲，亞洲市場美元走弱，市場對霍爾木茲海峽重新開放充滿期待。</p><p>全球領導人對停火協議表示歡迎。澳大利亞政府發表聲明稱，“戰爭持續時間越長，影響全球經濟力度越大，隨之的人類代價更顯重大。”</p><p>分析人士表示，通過接受停火協議，川普可能意識到戰爭已超預期地拖延，且在美國多個地區極為不得人心。</p><p>“總統川普顯然已注意到，與伊朗政權進行升級對抗不會在短期或中期內造成其崩潰，這或許是他的預期目標之一，” 澳大利亞新南威爾士大學公共政策研究所學術主任傑西卡·熱納爾指出。</p><p>“我們最近觀察到總統川普正在試圖找到一條脱離美國軍事參與伊朗戰爭的出路，同時也將其框架定為美國的一次勝利。”</p><h3>急劇反轉</h3><p>川普的聲明結束了一個由其威脅作為主導的一天，他威脅如果德黑蘭不重新開放海峽，將摧毀伊朗的所有橋樑與發電設施。此舉讓全球領導人感到焦慮，動搖了全球金融與能源市場，並引發了廣泛的批評，包括來自聯合國秘書長及教皇利奧的譴責。</p><p>一些國際法學家指出，無差別攻擊平民設施可能構成戰爭犯罪。</p><p>霍爾木茲海峽的封鎖造成油價急升，增加全球經濟衰退的風險。美國能源信息署早些時候發佈警告，即便海峽重新開放，燃料價格也可能持續上漲數月。</p><p>隨着美國中期選舉逐步展開，川普的支持率創出歷史新低，這可能會使其共和黨面臨所持國會中微弱多數席位的失去風險。民意調查顯示，美國民眾大多數反對戰爭並因油價上漲感到不滿。</p><p>在川普設定的美東時間晚上 8 點（格林威治標準時間 0 點）最後期限到來前，美國與以色列對伊朗的空襲力度進一步增強，目標包括鐵路公路橋樑、機場及石化廠。美軍還攻擊了克爾格島，即伊朗主要原油出口終端的位置。</p>

美伊談判即將在巴基斯坦首都伊斯蘭堡舉行，巴方啟動紅色警戒，部署超萬名軍警嚴密封鎖核心區域，全力保障會談安全。你覺得這場關鍵會談能否緩和中東局勢？

<p>美伊談判即將在巴基斯坦首都伊斯蘭堡舉行，巴方啟動紅色警戒，部署超萬名軍警嚴密封鎖核心區域，全力保障會談安全。你覺得這場關鍵會談能否緩和中東局勢？</p>

美伊談判在即，中東局勢走向何方？

煉油公司指數 ETF - VanEck Vectors

油氣服務 ETF - Market Vectors

和順石油

<ul>
<li>Trump says Iran proposal is basis for negotiation</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>川普稱伊朗提案是談判的基礎</li>
</ul></div><ul>
<li>Iran describes deal as victory over Trump</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>伊朗稱協議是對川普的勝利</li>
</ul></div><ul>
<li>Several Gulf countries report Iran missile and drone attacks</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>多個海灣國家報告伊朗導彈及無人機襲擊</li>
</ul></div><ul>
<li>Trump’s earlier threat draws international condemnation</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>川普早前的威脅引發國際譴責</li>
</ul></div><p>By Steve Holland, Parisa Hafezi, Enas Alashray, Ahmed Tolba and Jasper Ward</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>由史蒂夫·霍蘭、帕瑞薩·哈菲齊、伊納斯·阿拉什雷、艾哈邁德·托爾巴以及賈斯帕·沃德聯合報道</p></div><p>WASHINGTON/DUBAI/CAIRO, April 8 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran on Tuesday, less than two hours before his deadline for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face devastating attacks on its civilian infrastructure.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>華盛頓/迪拜/開羅，4 月 8 日（路透社）——美國總統川普在德黑蘭未能重新打開霍爾木茲海峽的最後期限不足兩小時裏，同意與伊朗達成兩週的停火協議。</p></div><p>Trump’s announcement represented an abrupt turnaround from his extraordinary warning earlier in the day, when he said “a whole civilization will die tonight” if his demands were not met. Pakistan’s military chief Field Marshal Asim Munir and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif helped mediate the ceasefire.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>川普的這一聲明標誌着突然的逆轉，他早些時候曾警告如果要求未被滿足，“整個人類文明將在今晚滅亡。” 巴基斯坦軍方首長阿西姆·穆尼爾及總理沙巴茲·謝里夫協助促成了此次停火協議。</p></div><p>Sharif said in a post on X he had invited Iranian and U.S. delegations to meet in Islamabad on Friday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>謝里夫在 X 平台發表聲明稱已經邀請伊朗及美國代表團週五在伊斯蘭堡會晤。</p></div><p>Trump said the last-minute deal was subject to Iran’s agreement to pause its blockade of oil and gas supplies through the strait, which typically handles about one-fifth of global oil shipments. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said in a statement Tehran would cease counter-attacks and provide safe passage through the waterway, if attacks against it stop.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>川普聲稱協議要求條件包括伊朗暫停通過霍爾木茲海峽封鎖石油與天然氣運輸。通常該海峽承擔着全球約五分之一的石油運輸量。伊朗外交部長阿巴斯·阿拉克齊則在聲明中表示如攻擊暫停，德黑蘭將停止反擊並提供安全通行。</p></div><p>“This will be a double sided CEASEFIRE!” Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform. “The reason for doing so is that we have already met and exceeded all Military objectives, and are very far along with a definitive Agreement concerning Longterm PEACE with Iran, and PEACE in the Middle East.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“這是雙邊停火！” 川普在 Truth Social 上寫道，“這麼做是因為我們已經完成並超越了所有軍事目標，而且關於伊朗及中東的長期和平協議已然成熟。”</p></div><p>Iran’s Supreme National Security Council portrayed the deal as a victory over the U.S., claiming Trump had accepted Iran’s conditions for ending hostilities.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>伊朗最高國家安全委員會將此協議描述為對美國的勝利，聲稱川普已接受伊朗關於結束敵對行動的條件。</p></div><p>Trump told the French news agency AFP that it was a “total and complete victory”.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>川普告訴法國新聞社 AFP，這是一個 “完全徹底的勝利”。</p></div><p>“Total and complete victory. 100 percent. No question about it,” Trump said when asked if he was claiming victory with the ceasefire.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>被問及是否將停火視為勝利時，川普表示：“完全徹底的勝利，百分之百，無疑問。”</p></div><p>He later said Truth Social: “A big day for World Peace! Iran wants it to happen, they’ve had enough! Likewise, so has everyone else!”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他隨後在 Truth Social 上表示：“今天是世界和平的重要一天！伊朗希望達成協議，他們已受夠了！每個人都是如此！”</p></div><p>Iran could start the reconstruction process and the U.S. would help in traffic buildup in the Strait of Hormuz, he added.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>川普補充道，伊朗可以開始重建進程，美國將協助霍爾木茲海峽的交通建設。</p></div><p>The war, now in its sixth week, has claimed more than 5,000 lives in nearly a dozen countries, including more than 1,600 civilians in Iran, according to tallies from government sources and human rights groups.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>這場戰爭目前已持續六週，已在十多個國家導致超過 5000 人死亡，其中包括伊朗超過 1600 名平民。此數據來源於政府機構及人權組織。</p></div><p>A source briefed on the talks expressed wariness about the two-week ceasefire holding, saying the U.S. side believed Iran might be trying to buy time. It was a “trust-building exercise,” the source said.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一位消息人士表示對於此為期兩週的停火協議能否能持續持懷疑態度，稱美國方面認為伊朗可能是在爭取時間。這被視為一次 “建立信任機制” 的嘗試。</p></div><h3>CONDITIONED ON STRAIT’S REOPENING</h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3>停火須以海峽重新開放為條件</h3></div><p>Israel supported the decision to suspend strikes on Iran for the two-week period, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office said in a statement. The ceasefire does not apply to Lebanon, it said, in an apparent contradiction to comments from Pakistan’s Sharif who said earlier the agreement included a cessation of Israel’s campaign in Lebanon.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>以色列首相辦公室發表聲明支持暫停對伊朗的空襲兩週。但聲明稱此停火協議不適用於黎巴嫩，這似乎與巴基斯坦方面早前的宣言自相矛盾。巴基斯坦謝里夫曾表示，此協議包含對以色列在黎巴嫩戰事的終止。</p></div><p>It was not immediately clear how soon the ceasefire would take full effect. Israeli media reported it would begin once Iran reopened the strait and that Israel expected Iranian attacks to continue in the interim.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>目前尚不清楚停火協議何時完全生效。據以色列媒體報道，協議將在伊朗重新開放海峽後開始，以色列預計在此之前伊朗的攻擊可能會繼續。</p></div><p>Iraq’s Islamic Resistance also said it would suspend operations in Iraq and across the region for two weeks.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>伊拉克的伊斯蘭抵抗組織也表示其將在兩週內暫停在伊拉克及地區範圍內的行動。</p></div><p>More than an hour after Trump’s announcement, the Israeli military said it had identified missiles launched from Iran, and explosions from intercepted missiles could be heard in Tel Aviv. Gulf countries including Kuwait, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates also issued near-simultaneous alerts and activated air defences.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>川普宣佈一個多小時後，以色列軍方稱確認檢測到伊朗發射導彈，並在特拉維夫聽到攔截導彈的爆炸聲。沙特、科威特、巴林和阿聯酋等海灣國家也幾乎同步發佈警報並啓動防空系統。</p></div><p>Israeli first responders were providing medical treatment to two 15-year-old males who were in mild condition after blast injuries in the southern town of Tel Sheva, according to a spokesperson from the MDA ambulance service.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>負責緊急救援的發言人表示，以色列急救人員正為在南部城鎮特爾舍瓦受爆炸輕微傷害的兩名 15 歲男孩提供醫療救治。</p></div><p>Israeli media said its military was striking back at launch sites in Iran.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>以色列媒體報道稱，以軍正在針對伊朗發射地點進行反擊。</p></div><p>Trump, who has issued a series of threats in recent weeks only to back away, said progress between the two sides had prompted him to agree to the ceasefire. He said Iran had presented a 10-point proposal that was a “workable basis” for negotiations and that he expected an agreement to be “finalised and consummated” during the two-week window.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>川普在此前幾周發出了一系列威脅隨後又撤回。他表示雙方之間的進展促使其同意停火協議，並提到伊朗提出了一份由 10 點組成的提案，被視為談判的 “合理依據”，預計在兩週窗口期內能夠達成最終協議。</p></div><p>Trump later said to AFP: “We have a 15 point transaction, of which most of those things have been agreed on. We’ll see what happens. We’ll see if it gets there,”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>川普後續向 AFP 表示：“我們有一份 15 點交易，其中大部分內容已達成一致，我們拭目以待，看是否能夠實現。”</p></div><p>Markets enjoyed a relief rally as oil prices dropped (CLc1) , stocks surged and the dollar weakened in Asian trade, bolstered by hope that trade through the strait could resume.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>市場對此反應理性，油價下降（CLc1），股票上漲，亞洲市場美元走弱，市場對霍爾木茲海峽重新開放充滿期待。</p></div><p>Global leaders also welcomed the ceasefire with the Australian government saying that “the longer the war goes on, the more significant the impact on the global economy will be, and the greater the human cost”.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>全球領導人對停火協議表示歡迎。澳大利亞政府發表聲明稱，“戰爭持續時間越長，影響全球經濟力度越大，隨之的人類代價更顯重大。”</p></div><p>By agreeing to the ceasefire, Trump may be showing an awareness that the war - which is deeply unpopular in many parts of the United States - is dragging on longer than he expected, analysts said.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>分析人士表示，通過接受停火協議，川普可能意識到戰爭已超預期地拖延，且在美國多個地區極為不得人心。</p></div><p>“President Trump has clearly noticed that escalating against the Iranian regime is not going to lead to their collapse in the short- to medium-term, as he may perhaps have hoped,” said Jessica Genauer, academic director of the Public Policy Institute at Australia’s University of New South Wales.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“總統川普顯然已注意到，與伊朗政權進行升級對抗不會在短期或中期內造成其崩潰，這或許是他的預期目標之一，” 澳大利亞新南威爾士大學公共政策研究所學術主任傑西卡·熱納爾指出。</p></div><p>“In the last few days we’ve seen President Trump wanting to find a route towards a way that the U.S. military can back out of the war with Iran, but also frame that as a kind of victory for the U.S.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“我們最近觀察到總統川普正在試圖找到一條脱離美國軍事參與伊朗戰爭的出路，同時也將其框架定為美國的一次勝利。”</p></div><h3>ABRUPT TURNAROUND</h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3>急劇反轉</h3></div><p>Trump’s announcement capped a whirlwind day that was dominated by his threat to destroy every bridge and power plant in Iran unless Tehran reopened the strait. That unnerved world leaders, rattled global financial and energy markets and drew widespread condemnation, including criticism from the head of the United Nations and Pope Leo.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>川普的聲明結束了一個由其威脅作為主導的一天，他威脅如果德黑蘭不重新開放海峽，將摧毀伊朗的所有橋樑與發電設施。此舉讓全球領導人感到焦慮，動搖了全球金融與能源市場，並引發了廣泛的批評，包括來自聯合國秘書長及教皇利奧的譴責。</p></div><p>Some international law experts have said attacking civilian infrastructure indiscriminately could constitute a war crime.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一些國際法學家指出，無差別攻擊平民設施可能構成戰爭犯罪。</p></div><p>The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has sharply increased oil prices, escalating the chances of a global economic downturn or even recession. The U.S. Energy Information Administration warned earlier on Tuesday that fuel prices could continue to rise for months even after the strait reopened.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>霍爾木茲海峽的封鎖造成油價急升，增加全球經濟衰退的風險。美國能源信息署早些時候發佈警告，即便海峽重新開放，燃料價格也可能持續上漲數月。</p></div><p>With the U.S. midterm election campaign ramping up, Trump’s approval ratings have hit their lowest level ever, leaving his Republican Party at risk of losing its narrow majorities in Congress. Polls show sizable majorities of Americans are opposed to the war and frustrated by the rising cost of gasoline.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>隨着美國中期選舉逐步展開，川普的支持率創出歷史新低，這可能會使其共和黨面臨所持國會中微弱多數席位的失去風險。民意調查顯示，美國民眾大多數反對戰爭並因油價上漲感到不滿。</p></div><p>As the clock ticked down to Trump’s 8 p.m. EDT (0000 GMT) deadline, U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran had intensified, hitting railway and road bridges, an airport and a petrochemical plant. U.S. forces attacked targets on Kharg Island, home to Iran’s main oil export terminal.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在川普設定的美東時間晚上 8 點（格林威治標準時間 0 點）最後期限到來前，美國與以色列對伊朗的空襲力度進一步增強，目標包括鐵路公路橋樑、機場及石化廠。美軍還攻擊了克爾格島，即伊朗主要原油出口終端的位置。</p></div>

WRAPUP 1-Trump agrees to two-week ceasefire, Iran says safe passage through Hormuz possible

- 特朗普與伊朗達成為期兩週的停火協議，促使霍爾木茲海峽重開。  
- 伊朗外長表示，如攻擊停止，將提供安全通行，雙方推動談判。  
- 停火消息引發市場緩解，油價下跌，全球經濟預期改善。

川普同意兩週停火 伊朗稱霍爾木茲海峽可提供安全通行

川普同意兩週停火伊朗稱霍爾木茲海峽可提供安全通行