<h2><strong>瑞士法郎技術預測：美元/瑞士法郎短期交易水平</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li>美元/瑞士法郎在從月低點強勁反彈後，突破了多周的下行趨勢。</li>
<li>當前反彈接近一個主要阻力區，這可能決定下一步的方向性走勢。</li>
<li>持續的突破向上將支持更廣泛的趨勢反轉情景，而失敗則可能觸發在更廣泛的下行結構內的回調。</li>
<li>阻力位 7921/26（關鍵），7994，8041 - 支持位 7873/75，7840，7814/17（關鍵）</li>
</ul>
<p>美元/瑞士法郎在從月低點強勁反彈後，試圖在多周的下行趨勢上建立突破。恢復改善了短期技術前景，但反彈現在接近一個主要阻力區，這可能決定這一走勢是否發展為更廣泛的反轉，或在更大的看跌結構內停滯。接下來的交易會關注多頭能否在這一關鍵測試中維持動能。美元/瑞士法郎短期技術圖表上的戰鬥線已經劃定。</p>
<p>查看我最新的 <strong>每週策略網絡研討會</strong>，深入分析這一美元/瑞士法郎的設置及更多內容。<strong>週一上午 8:30 EST 直播</strong>。</p>
<h3><strong>瑞士法郎價格圖 – 美元/瑞士法郎日線</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131827-7.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131827-7.png"/></p>
<p><em>圖表由高級技術策略師 Michael Boutros 準備；</em> <em>美元/瑞士法郎在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>技術展望：</strong> 在上個月的 <strong>瑞士法郎短期展望</strong> 中，我們指出美元/瑞士法郎已 “從年初的重合阻力轉向，本週價格現在準備標記自 2 月 9 日以來最大的單日下跌。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一波段下行，反彈應限制在 7875，收盤低於 7808 將需要推動下一波下跌，目標指向 4 月低點。” 短期內恢復至 5 月開盤時，日內高點為 7848，隨後從 4 月底的高點下跌超過 2%。</p>
<p>空頭未能在 <strong>7772</strong> 處突破年範圍的 61.8% 回撤位，美元/瑞士法郎從這些低點反彈超過 1.8%。上週突破了 3 月底的下行趨勢和 5 月月開盤區間高點，暗示在本月底前進一步上漲的潛力。也就是説，多頭現在正在測試短期阻力，稍高處有一個更重要的技術區，關注如果達到該區的反應。</p>
<h3><strong>瑞士法郎價格圖 – 美元/瑞士法郎 240 分鐘</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131835-8.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131835-8.png"/></p>
<p><em>圖表由高級技術策略師 Michael Boutros 準備；</em> <em>美元/瑞士法郎在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>備註：</strong> 更仔細地觀察瑞士的價格走勢顯示，美元/瑞士法郎在從月低點延伸的上升叉形內交易，今天的反彈測試中線作為阻力。請注意，稍高處的 200 日移動平均線與目標年初開盤價和 11 月下跌的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>7921/26</strong> 匯聚。需要在該支點區域上方突破/日收盤，以暗示更顯著的低點已形成，且更大的趨勢反轉正在進行。後續的阻力目標關注年高日收盤（HDC）<strong>7994</strong> 和 1 月高點 <strong>8041</strong>。</p>
<p>初步支持現在回落至 <strong>7873/75</strong>，並得到周範圍低點 <strong>7840</strong> 的支持。短期內的 <em>看漲</em> 無效點現在設定在月開盤/4 月低日收盤（LDC）<strong>7814/17</strong>。請注意，較低的平行線在本週收盤時與該閾值匯聚，突破/日收盤低於該斜率將威脅到更廣泛的下行趨勢的恢復，目標指向月低點。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ"/></p>
<p><strong>結論：</strong> 美元/瑞士法郎突破了 5 月開盤區間高點，多頭試圖驗證多周下行趨勢的突破。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一波段上行，損失應限制在 7814，收盤高於 7926 將需要推動下一波主要上漲。</p>
<p>請記住，本週經濟日程相對清淡，交易者仍然關注伊朗持續的衝突。談判缺乏進展繼續對能源價格的前景施加壓力，通脹預期上升推動了對美聯儲政策前景的轉變。市場現在預計美聯儲在年底前加息的概率為 60%。與此同時，國債收益率持續突破，長期債券收益率升至 19 年高點。請關注這些美元的順風，並觀察每週收盤以獲取指導。查看我最新的 <strong>瑞士法郎每週預測</strong>，以更仔細地瞭解長期美元/瑞士法郎技術交易水平。</p>
<h3><strong>美元/瑞士法郎關鍵經濟數據發佈</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131846-9.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131846-9.png"/></p>
<p><strong>經濟日曆</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新經濟動態和即將到來的事件風險。</p>
<h3><strong>活躍的短期技術圖表</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>歐元短期展望：歐元/美元五天的拋售突破 5 月低點——1.16 現在成為焦點</li>
<li>黃金價格短期展望：黃金/美元反彈在阻力位停滯——關注區間突破</li>
<li>澳元展望：澳元/美元回調測試上升趨勢支持——下一步至關重要</li>
<li>美元短期展望：美元施壓支持——下行風險加大</li>
<li>英鎊短期展望：英鎊/美元測試突破——虛假突破風險</li>
<li>加元短期展望：美元/加元反彈測試下行趨勢阻力</li>
<li>日元短期展望：美元/日元多頭瞄準年高點——美聯儲即將召開</li>
</ul>
<p>--- 由高級技術策略師 Michael Boutros 撰寫</p>
<p>在 X 上關注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>

瑞士法郎 做多 - CurrencyShares

<p>美元/瑞士法郎已經突破了多周的下行趨勢，接近一個關鍵的阻力區，這可能決定其下一步的走勢。需要在 7921/26 上方持續突破，以實現更廣泛的趨勢反轉，而失敗可能導致回調。目前的支撐位在 7873/75 和 7814/17。交易者還在關注經濟因素，包括潛在的美聯儲加息和上升的國債收益率，這可能會影響美元的強勢</p>

<h2><strong>Swiss Franc Technical Forecast: USD/CHF Short-term Trade Levels</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>瑞士法郎技術預測：美元/瑞士法郎短期交易水平</strong></h2>
</div><ul>
<li>USD/CHF has broken above a multi-week downtrend after rebounding sharply from the monthly lows.</li>
<li>The rally is now approaching a major resistance zone that could determine the next directional move.</li>
<li>A sustained break higher would support a broader trend reversal scenario while failure could trigger a pullback within the broader downtrend structure.</li>
<li>Resistance 7921/26 (key), 7994, 8041- Support 7873/75, 7840, 7814/17 (key)</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>美元/瑞士法郎在從月低點強勁反彈後，突破了多周的下行趨勢。</li>
<li>當前反彈接近一個主要阻力區，這可能決定下一步的方向性走勢。</li>
<li>持續的突破向上將支持更廣泛的趨勢反轉情景，而失敗則可能觸發在更廣泛的下行結構內的回調。</li>
<li>阻力位 7921/26（關鍵），7994，8041 - 支持位 7873/75，7840，7814/17（關鍵）</li>
</ul>
</div><p>USD/CHF is attempting to build on a breakout above a multi-week downtrend after rebounding strongly from the monthly lows. The recovery has improved the near-term technical outlook, but the rally is now approaching a major resistance zone that could determine whether this move develops into a broader reversal or stalls within the larger bearish structure. The focus in the sessions ahead will be on whether bulls can sustain momentum into this key test. Battles lines drawn on the USD/CHF short-term technical charts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元/瑞士法郎在從月低點強勁反彈後，試圖在多周的下行趨勢上建立突破。恢復改善了短期技術前景，但反彈現在接近一個主要阻力區，這可能決定這一走勢是否發展為更廣泛的反轉，或在更大的看跌結構內停滯。接下來的交易會關注多頭能否在這一關鍵測試中維持動能。美元/瑞士法郎短期技術圖表上的戰鬥線已經劃定。</p>
</div><p>Review my latest <strong>Weekly Strategy Webinar</strong> for an in-depth breakdown of this USD/CHF setup and more. <strong>Join live</strong> on Monday’s at 8:30am EST.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>查看我最新的 <strong>每週策略網絡研討會</strong>，深入分析這一美元/瑞士法郎的設置及更多內容。<strong>週一上午 8:30 EST 直播</strong>。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Swiss Franc Price Chart – USD/CHF Daily</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>瑞士法郎價格圖 – 美元/瑞士法郎日線</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131827-7.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131827-7.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>USD/CHF on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>圖表由高級技術策略師 Michael Boutros 準備；</em> <em>美元/瑞士法郎在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Technical Outlook:</strong> In last month’s <strong>Swiss Franc Short-term Outlook</strong> we noted that USD/CHF had, “turned from confluent resistance at the yearly open this week with price now poised to mark the largest single-day decline since February 9th. From a trading standpoint, rallies should be limited to 7875 IF price is heading lower on <em>this</em> stretch with a close below 7808 needed to fuel the next leg of the decline towards the April lows.” A short-term recovery into the May open registered an intraday high at 7848 before plunging more than 2% off the late-April high.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>技術展望：</strong> 在上個月的 <strong>瑞士法郎短期展望</strong> 中，我們指出美元/瑞士法郎已 “從年初的重合阻力轉向，本週價格現在準備標記自 2 月 9 日以來最大的單日下跌。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一波段下行，反彈應限制在 7875，收盤低於 7808 將需要推動下一波下跌，目標指向 4 月低點。” 短期內恢復至 5 月開盤時，日內高點為 7848，隨後從 4 月底的高點下跌超過 2%。</p>
</div><p>The bears could not secure a break below the 61.8% retracement of the yearly range at <strong>7772</strong> with USD/CHF rallying more than 1.8% off those lows. A breakout of the late-March downtrend and the May monthly opening-range highs last week suggests the potential for further gains into the close of the month. That said, the bulls are now testing near-term resistance with a more significant technical zone seen just higher, and the focus is on a reaction there IF reached.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>空頭未能在 <strong>7772</strong> 處突破年範圍的 61.8% 回撤位，美元/瑞士法郎從這些低點反彈超過 1.8%。上週突破了 3 月底的下行趨勢和 5 月月開盤區間高點，暗示在本月底前進一步上漲的潛力。也就是説，多頭現在正在測試短期阻力，稍高處有一個更重要的技術區，關注如果達到該區的反應。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Swiss Franc Price Chart – USD/CHF 240min</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>瑞士法郎價格圖 – 美元/瑞士法郎 240 分鐘</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131835-8.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131835-8.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>USD/CHF on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>圖表由高級技術策略師 Michael Boutros 準備；</em> <em>美元/瑞士法郎在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Notes:</strong> A closer look at Swisse price action shows USD/CHF trading within the confines of an ascending pitchfork extending off the monthly low with today’s rally testing the median line as resistance. Note that just higher the 200-day moving average converges on the objective yearly open and the 61.8% retracement of the November decline at <strong>7921/26</strong>. A topside breach / daily close above this pivot zone is needed to suggest a more significant low is in place and a larger trend reversal is underway. Subsequent resistance objectives are eyed at the yearly high-day close (HDC) at <strong>7994</strong> and the January high at <strong>8041</strong>.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>備註：</strong> 更仔細地觀察瑞士的價格走勢顯示，美元/瑞士法郎在從月低點延伸的上升叉形內交易，今天的反彈測試中線作為阻力。請注意，稍高處的 200 日移動平均線與目標年初開盤價和 11 月下跌的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>7921/26</strong> 匯聚。需要在該支點區域上方突破/日收盤，以暗示更顯著的低點已形成，且更大的趨勢反轉正在進行。後續的阻力目標關注年高日收盤（HDC）<strong>7994</strong> 和 1 月高點 <strong>8041</strong>。</p>
</div><p>Initial support now rests back at <strong>7873/75</strong> and is backed by the weekly range low at <strong>7840</strong>. Near-term <em>bullish</em> invalidation is now set to the monthly open / April low-day close (LDC) at <strong>7814/17</strong>. Note that the lower parallel converges on this threshold into the close of the week and a break / daily close below this slope threaten resumption of the broader downtrend toward the monthly lows.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>初步支持現在回落至 <strong>7873/75</strong>，並得到周範圍低點 <strong>7840</strong> 的支持。短期內的 <em>看漲</em> 無效點現在設定在月開盤/4 月低日收盤（LDC）<strong>7814/17</strong>。請注意，較低的平行線在本週收盤時與該閾值匯聚，突破/日收盤低於該斜率將威脅到更廣泛的下行趨勢的恢復，目標指向月低點。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ" alt="" original-src="https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-EUR-USD-V2.jpg?extension=webp&amp;hash=02BA65E65BB9F508C5A91DBB3AFB588E"/></p>
<p><strong>Bottom line:</strong> USD/CHF has broken the May opening-range high with the bulls attempting to validate a breakout of a multi-week downtrend. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 7814 IF price is heading higher on <em>this</em> stretch with a close above 7926 needed to fuel the next major leg for of the advance.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>結論：</strong> 美元/瑞士法郎突破了 5 月開盤區間高點，多頭試圖驗證多周下行趨勢的突破。從交易的角度來看，如果價格在這一波段上行，損失應限制在 7814，收盤高於 7926 將需要推動下一波主要上漲。</p>
</div><p>Keep in mind the economic docket is rather light this week and traders remain focused on the ongoing conflict in Iran. A lack of progress in the negotiations continues to weigh on the outlook for energy prices and rising inflation expectations has fueled a shift in the outlook for Fed policy. Markets are now pricing a 60% probability the Fed will hike rates before the end of the year. At the same time, Treasury yields have continued to breakout with the long-bond extending to 19-year highs. Keep an eye on these USD tailwinds and watch the weekly close for guidance. Review my latest <strong>Swiss Franc Weekly Forecast</strong> for a closer look at the longer-term USD/CHF technical trade levels.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>請記住，本週經濟日程相對清淡，交易者仍然關注伊朗持續的衝突。談判缺乏進展繼續對能源價格的前景施加壓力，通脹預期上升推動了對美聯儲政策前景的轉變。市場現在預計美聯儲在年底前加息的概率為 60%。與此同時，國債收益率持續突破，長期債券收益率升至 19 年高點。請關注這些美元的順風，並觀察每週收盤以獲取指導。查看我最新的 <strong>瑞士法郎每週預測</strong>，以更仔細地瞭解長期美元/瑞士法郎技術交易水平。</p>
</div><h3><strong>USD/CHF Key Economic Data Releases</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>美元/瑞士法郎關鍵經濟數據發佈</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131846-9.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260519131846-9.png"/></p>
<p><strong>Economic Calendar</strong> <strong>-</strong> latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>經濟日曆</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新經濟動態和即將到來的事件風險。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Active Short-term Technical Charts</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>活躍的短期技術圖表</strong></h3>
</div><ul>
<li>Euro Short-term Outlook: EUR/USD Five-day Selloff Breaks May Lows—1.16 Now in Focus</li>
<li>Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Rebound Stalls at Resistance—Range Breakout in Focus</li>
<li>Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Pullback Tests Uptrend Support—Next Move Critical</li>
<li>US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Pressures Support—Breakdown Risk Builds</li>
<li>British Pound Short-term Outlook: GBP/USD Tests Breakout—False Break Risk</li>
<li>Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD/CAD Rebound Tests Downtrend Resistance</li>
<li>Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Bulls Eye Yearly High- Fed on Tap</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>歐元短期展望：歐元/美元五天的拋售突破 5 月低點——1.16 現在成為焦點</li>
<li>黃金價格短期展望：黃金/美元反彈在阻力位停滯——關注區間突破</li>
<li>澳元展望：澳元/美元回調測試上升趨勢支持——下一步至關重要</li>
<li>美元短期展望：美元施壓支持——下行風險加大</li>
<li>英鎊短期展望：英鎊/美元測試突破——虛假突破風險</li>
<li>加元短期展望：美元/加元反彈測試下行趨勢阻力</li>
<li>日元短期展望：美元/日元多頭瞄準年高點——美聯儲即將召開</li>
</ul>
</div><p>--- Written by Michael Boutros, Sr Technical Strategist</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>--- 由高級技術策略師 Michael Boutros 撰寫</p>
</div><p>Follow Michael on X <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 X 上關注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
</div>

瑞士法郎的短期前景：美元/瑞士法郎的突破面臨首個重大阻礙