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SpaceX
D
Dolphin ResearchAug 5 at 09:00 AM

SpaceX’s Big AI Bet: Is the $100bn Prize Real?

Capex is surging — is compute infra a money pit?

SPACEX
SpaceX Revenue Business Segment Analogy Nature of the Business Core Vehicles Typ
Timeline of SpaceX Falcon 9 Launch Price Changes Year Standard launch price (US$
Chart: Falcon 9 first-stage reuse count vs. marginal cost decline (US$10k) 一 Fal+13
SpaceX

SpaceX

USSPCX

SpaceXFinancial Analysis
D
Dolphin ResearchAug 4 at 10:34 PM

SpaceX (Trans): AI turns profitable for the first time; targeting 100bn ARR by year-end

AI segment revenue rose 247% YoY to $2.6bn, and Adj. EBITDA turned positive for the first time at $1.1bn. Management said ARR could reach $100bn by year-end.

However, capex reached $18.4bn in the quarter. Management expects it will not decline over the next two quarters.

The Space segment still posted a $205mn loss. The company also pulled forward its $1tn revenue target from 2031 to 2030.

图片 1,共 1 张
SpaceX

SpaceX

USSPCX

SpaceXConference Minutes
D
Dolphin ResearchJul 8 at 11:48 AM

SpaceX: Space Compute — Musk's new hype or real future?

Space-based data centers are not just the linchpin of SpaceX's grand narrative.

They also represent the largest real-option value in its future valuation.

STARLINK
Space Cooling vs Terrestrial Cooling Dimension Terrestrial Data Center(DC) Space
Space Data Center: Radiator-Only Launch Freight Cost Scenario Radiator specific
~15 eclipses per day in 550 km LEO Orbit period ~95.5 min ·one shadow crossing p+13
SpaceX

SpaceX

USSPCX

SpaceXDeep Research
D
Dolphin ResearchJun 30 at 11:19 AM

SpaceX: AI cash burn persists—Is 'space compute supremacy' the ultimate play?

SpaceX is making its costliest bet ever

SPACEX
SpaceX 's Estimated TAM by Segment $22.7T $28.5T $2.4T $760B $600B $740B $370B $
AI Business Development Timeline Date Key event Core financials / deal data Stra
Space X AI Revenue search Advertising AI Solutions & Infrastructure Revenue 3,50+14
SpaceX

SpaceX

USSPCX

SpaceXDeep Research
D
Dolphin ResearchJun 15 at 11:18 AM

SpaceX: Is Starlink About to Be Unstoppable?

Starlink is the 'super base' underpinning SpaceX's long-term ambitions. It serves as the empire's core platform.

STARLINK
Starlink subscriber growth journey Starlink's global subscriber count has surpas
(Unit: $mn) Space X Connectivity Revenue 12,000 11,387 10,000 DolphinResearch Do
yoy% of Connectivity Revenue 200.0% DolphinResearchy yoy% Consumer 一 163.2% 150.+26
Destiny Tech100

Destiny Tech100

USDXYZ

SpaceXDeep Research
D
Dolphin ResearchJun 12 at 01:10 PM

From Daydream to Billions: Is SpaceX Really That 'Sci‑Fi'?

Wielding 'first principles' to disrupt the global aerospace industry

SPACEX
China Long March Metric Unit NASA SLS Electron Falcon 9 Falcon Heavy Starship Ne
SpaceX current rocket models: Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, Starship Falcon 9 defined
Rocket launch milestones Date Milestone event Industry significance 2002 Dolphin+37
Tesla

Tesla

USTSLA

SpaceXDeep Research
D
Dolphin ResearchApr 10 at 02:05 PM

RKLB: SpaceX's most dangerous rival?

In orbital launch, RKLB is one of the few players that can pose a direct challenge to SpaceX. Beyond launch, it has built leading capabilities in satellite manufacturing and constellation deployment.

How did RKLB assemble the capabilities to take on the industry incumbent, and where does its runway lie from here? What key shifts should investors watch? In this report, we break these questions down.

ROCKETLAB
ELECTRON LAUNCHVEHICLE 三 PARTS OVERVIEW FAIRING LENGTH 18m PAYLOAD PLATE DIAMETE
Payload Adapter ON SECOND STAGE One Archimedes Engine Two-Petal Captive Fairing
步骤 细节 进展 二级火箭建造开始 使用先进制造方法建造的首个全尺寸碳复合材料储箱。 完成 结构与低温测试 Neutron的碳复合材料二级火箭完成了一系列结构测+11
Rocket Lab

Rocket Lab

USRKLB

Commercial SpaceSpaceXRocket Lab
D
Dolphin ResearchMar 13 at 10:47 AM

SpaceX Challengers: Can Bezos and China Inc. Catch Up? ---

In the prior report, we used the prospect of a SpaceX IPO as a starting point. We mapped the main contours of the current commercial-space opportunity.

In this report, we focus on reusable rocket launches and satellite operations, profiling the major market participants. We also break down the value chain to analyze potential investment opportunities through the lenses of the competitive landscape and each link in the chain.

BLUE ORIGIN
MISSION NG-2 UWLEN REENTRY BURN BOOSTER LANDING BURN BOUSTERTOW D ◎ STAGE1 VELOC
MISSIONNG-2 BOOSTER LANDING BURN BOOSTER TOUCHDOWN 0 STAGE 1 STAGE1 STAGE 2 STAG
类型 优势 优势 劣势 劣势 系统复杂,成本高,储存要求 高,操作要求高,密度相对低, 液氧/液氢 比冲高,清洁无积碳 比冲高,推力可精确调节 密度低,成本高,+28
Bluebird Bio

Bluebird Bio

USBLUE

Commercial SpaceSpaceXRocket LabDeep Research
D
Dolphin ResearchFeb 24 at 09:47 AM

Musk drops another ace: Can SpaceX remake space economics?---

Since end-2025, commercial space has surged in investor attention in the capital markets. In this report, we take a cause-and-effect lens to frame the investment opportunity and offer an entry point for research.

The immediate catalyst is news that SpaceX is moving toward the public markets to raise capital. Its breakthrough lies in reusable rockets that sharply reduce satellite launch costs.

Using SpaceX as our entry point, we address three questions: (1) how SpaceX scaled and by how much reusability cuts costs; and (2) why the sudden push to go public contrasts with Musk’s prior stance. (3) How feasible is Musk’s vision for space-based compute, and where does the industry stand now?

图片 1,共 18 张
SPACEX < 203
Falcon Family of Rockets FFI SPAC P 二户AC sPAC SPAcex m Falcon 1 Falcon 9 Falcon
图片 4,共 18 张+14
Dragon

Dragon

SGMT1

Commercial SpaceSpaceXDeep Research

Total Heat

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