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Warren Buffett Generated Double The Market's Returns—Until Regulation Changed The Game

benzinga_article
Feb 15, 2026 at 06:54 AM
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Chamath Palihapitiya discussed how regulatory changes, specifically the 2000 Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD), impacted Warren Buffett's investment performance. Before Reg FD, Buffett generated double the market's returns due to information asymmetry. After the regulation prohibited selective disclosure, Buffett's performance advantage diminished, leading to returns that aligned with the market. Palihapitiya emphasized that this shift illustrates the effects of information symmetry on investment outcomes.

Social Capital founder Chamath Palihapitiya highlighted a striking pattern in Warren Buffett‘s investment performance, revealing how regulatory changes fundamentally altered returns for even the world’s best investors.

Berkshire Hathaway’s Alpha Vanished After 2000 Regulatory Shift

Speaking with Jason Calacanis on the All-In Podcast episode released Saturday, Palihapitiya shared data showing that Warren Buffett generated twice the market's returns before the implementation of Regulation Fair Disclosure in 2000.

“Markets thrive when there’s asymmetry,” Palihapitiya stated, explaining how information advantages drove superior performance.

The Reg FD Impact

Reg FD prohibited corporate executives from selectively disclosing material information to individual investors, a practice that was not illegal before 2000.

Palihapitiya described how investors previously operated through “networks of information arbitrage,” with CFOs sharing undisclosed quarterly results in private conversations before such practices became illegal.

The Canadian-American venture capitalist stated that following the regulation's implementation, Buffett's performance advantage vanished.

“The minute that it became illegal and you had to basically act on the same edge as everybody else, his returns went to the market return. He generated zero alpha. In fact, he probably on the margins lost a little bit,” Palihapitiya said, describing Buffett as the single best investor in the world.

“This is what happens when you have information symmetry.”

Palihapitiya used the Buffett example to explain how prediction markets will operate, arguing “billions and billions of dollars will be made in asymmetry.”

Photo: Shutterstock

Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

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