
JPM Expects Moderate Improvement in 1Q26 Revenue and Profit Growth for Chinese Banks

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JPMorgan expects moderate improvement in revenue and profit growth for Chinese banks in 1Q26. Agricultural Bank of China and Bank of Communications are anticipated to lead with stronger profit growth, while Postal Savings Bank may lag due to rising credit costs. Among joint-stock banks, Ping An Bank is likely to achieve positive growth, whereas China Minsheng Bank's profit growth may contract. JPM favors China Merchants Bank for its stable growth and attractive dividends. Overall, state-owned banks are expected to outperform joint-stock banks ahead of the dividend season in July.
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