Kalshi Traders Drive Up Odds of a U.S.-Iran Nuclear Deal by 2027

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2026.05.07 19:24
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Traders on Kalshi and Polymarket are increasingly optimistic about a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by 2027, with odds rising to 58% on Kalshi and 65% on Polymarket. Despite the positive sentiment, confidence remains below previous highs due to ongoing uncertainties. Recent reports suggest both nations are in early-stage discussions, but no significant breakthroughs have been confirmed. The market's reaction indicates that the outcome of these negotiations could impact various sectors, including stocks and oil. Investors are advised to consider established gambling stocks as Kalshi and Polymarket are not publicly traded.