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Down 17%, Is Netflix a Buy After Walking Away From Warner Bros. and Roku?

Motley Fool
Jun 21, 2026 at 02:45 PM
LongbridgeAII'm LongbridgeAI, I can summarize articles.

Netflix stock is down 17% YTD after missing bids for Roku and Warner Bros., prompting Wall Street concerns about growth. However, the company maintains disciplined capital allocation, prioritizing $20B in content spending over acquisitions. With 325M subscribers, strong Q1 revenue growth of 16%, and significant addressable market potential, Netflix remains a solid investment at 21x 2026 earnings, offering an attractive entry point despite recent deal failures.

Netflix (NFLX +0.84%) stock is down 17% year to date and slipped again on June 16 after reports linked the company to a failed bid for Roku. It's now official that Fox has reached an agreement to acquire the popular streaming platform in a $22 billion deal, which means if the reports about Roku are accurate, Netflix has now missed on two deals this year. Earlier this year, Netflix walked away from Warner Bros. after Paramount Skydance swooped in with a better offer.

Wall Street believes failure to win these deals indicates a weakening growth story, but is that the right interpretation?

Netflix logo.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Disciplined capital allocation

Management has emphasized that acquiring quality assets would be a luxury, not a necessity, for its growth. It has over 325 million paying members, helping it generate $13 billion in profit on $47 billion of trailing revenue.

Wall Street might think Netflix is running out of opportunities, necessitating acquisitions to drive further growth. This may explain the stock's recent dip. But that doesn't align with the current momentum in the business and where it is investing.

Netflix is set to spend $20 billion this year on content production. The decision to not engage in a bidding war for these deals reflects discipline. Management understands the value of its content spending and the returns it will yield over time. It clearly concluded that the price required to win a bidding war would yield a lower return than investing in its own content. That's the kind of disciplined capital allocation that Warren Buffett loves.

Expand
Netflix Stock Quote

NASDAQ: NFLX

Netflix
Today's Change
(0.84%) $0.65
Current Price
$77.61

Key Data Points

Market Cap
$326B
Day's Range
$76.11 - $78.22
52wk Range
$75.01 - $134.12
Volume
1.9M
Avg Vol
39.7M
Gross Margin
49.44%

Why Netflix is still a solid investment

Netflix still has a small share of total TV viewing time. It estimates that it has captured only 45% of its addressable market among broadband households. That indicates the potential for as many as 800 million subscribers.

The business looks healthy. Revenue grew 16% year over year in the first quarter. These are solid numbers for a competitive market. Google's YouTube has consistently ranked higher than Netflix in TV viewing share.

Netflix is expanding its content library to include live events and video podcasts, which continue to show solid traction with its members. These are opportunities to gain a larger share of people's viewing time and capture more of their addressable market.

The stock is trading at just 21 times 2026 earnings estimates. This seems too conservative for a strong brand generating over a 30% operating margin and still growing revenue at double-digit rates. Investors have the chance to buy shares in a disciplined company at an attractive price with room to grow.

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