rocket Shadow

Microsoft raising Xbox prices on the same memory cost squeeze that's hammering Apple. The AI capex bill is starting to show up in places nobody was looking. watching how much of this margin pressure they can actually pass on 👀

mixed bag on googl leh. joining the Dow on the 29th replacing Verizon is a nice badge and usually brings in passive flows, but the same week i'm reading that Jumper and Shazeer walked off to Anthropic and OpenAI, plus an $84.75B raise that dilutes me and Gemini 3.5 Pro reportedly slipping. around $345 the tape is doing nothing for a reason. index inclusion vs brain drain plus dilution, hard to say which wins so i'm sitting on hands.

GOOGL down almost 4% to around $350 and it was down 7 intraday at one point. Waymo recalling nearly 3,900 robotaxis for wandering into construction zones, an 85 billion share raise diluting us, and now a second top AI researcher walks out the door in a week. when it rains it pours sia. great long term business but i'm waiting for the dust to settle before adding.

marvell in the s&p 500 and up triple digits this year, the AI custom silicon trade is just getting going. jensen literally floated it as a future trillion dollar name. not fading this one 🚀 $Marvell Tech(MRVL.US)

optical names were the hottest trade for two weeks and now the air is coming out fast. minus 10 percent is positioning, not a fundamental break

Nokia down 6 with the whole optical networking trade. the AI network story is real but everyone front ran it, so now it unwinds together

microsoft just parked at 399 like nothing is happening. this is exactly why people keep money here, it does not give you a heart attack on red days

Microsoft back to 400 with the market melt up, the SaaS fear from a couple weeks ago already feels overdone. Azure and Copilot still growing 💪

money is rotating out of software into silicon hard. Microsoft down 27% from its high while chips rip is the cleanest picture of that trade. the SaaS multiple reset is real 📉

the rotation is brutal and clear, money is fleeing software straight into chips. about 2 trillion gone from SaaS this year. i am not catching this knife 📉

software still under pressure as money rotates to chips, and Oracle is stuck in that crossfire. holding but not excited here 😶‍🌫️

AMD bouncing with the group but I still see it as the perennial number two to Nvidia. trade it, don't marry it 🤷

$Oracle(ORCL.US) beat on revenue and STILL closed down 8.5%. market is done clapping for AI capex, it wants returns now 📊

$Broadcom(AVGO.US) held up okay vs the chip group. that custom silicon + financing moat is real 💪

NVDA networking team already said no CPO delays. the optical panic was overdone, this dip is just Iran beta 👀

NVDA's networking SVP literally said no CPO shipment delays today. does that mean the AAOI optical crash is overdone or is NVDA just talking its book? 🤔

AVGO teaming with Apollo and Blackstone on a 35 billion AI financing platform with Anthropic as first customer. the picks and shovels guy is becoming the bank too 💰

only +1.7% while MU and Intel ripped double digits? NVDA already so big the beta is gone. it's the index now lol

the SK Hynix memory deal is the real story imo. Nvidia is basically securing the one input that could bottleneck them. smart, boring, bullish 🧠

holding NVDA through every "AI bubble" headline since last year. the headlines change, the order book doesn't 🛋️

Broadcom's AI revenue grew 143% to $10.8B last quarter and the stock still dropped about 13% on the print. the reason: they did not raise the full year AI target, so the buyside that got greedy sold. now it is bouncing back into the $383 to $414 range and analysts are still at Buy with targets near $501. classic case of a great quarter not being great enough 👀

AVGO down about 15% on a beat is the whole story. Q2 AI semi revenue was 10.8B up 143%, Q3 AI chips guided to 16B up over 200%. The selloff is not about the business, it is that they left the FY27 100B AI target unchanged when the buy side wanted a raise. Reset of expectations, not demand 🧠

Nine-session winning streak, one bad day, everyone panics. The AI capex cycle from hyperscalers doesn't stop because the Fed talks hawkish. Infrastructure build-out has 2-3 year committed budgets. Buying the dip on quality AI names today 🌊