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With the emergence of a second war in the middle east, analysts are forecasting 2 rate hikes this year instead of the original 1. A high 90% probability of rate hike in a few days' time would probably see FED raising interest rate for the first time since 2023. Though I would not be surprised if Trump's pressure on FED leads to them holding off for yet another period of time before the inevitable will happen.

We are seeing the start of sell off especially in the AI and hardware sector, as AI leaders like Altman calls for slowdown amidst the rapid AI development and growth over the past years. Recently, there have also been reports of slightly renowned former scientists from various AI companies calling out the dangers of rapidly developing and adopting AI, claiming that they may replace humans faster than you think

US August CPI actually came in rather close to expectations - perhaps the reason why we are seeing stocks take a temporary breather after yesterday's fall? All eyes turn to next Wed's FOMC decision, personally think it might continue to hold. But feel free to share your opinions

Optoelectronics names "ran up" yesterday, I used the inverted commas because in reality, they have fallen a distance away from their all time highs. Swing trade momentum is still relatively high, as seen in the +/- 5% in these stocks.

$Corning(GLW.US)

Context: Corning and Verizon signed a multi-billion dollar agreement for over 80 million miles of optical fiber through 2032. The deal supports Verizon's broadband expansion and AI infrastructure needs while boosting Corning's U.S. manufacturing. The deployment is intended to support growing consumer broadband and converged-service demand while expanding broadband access for homes and businesses and building the national long-haul network needed for AI hyperscalers. The agreement will also support the expansion of Corning’s U.S. manufacturing footprint, helping Verizon secure the materials needed for its convergence strategy and long-haul AI corridors.

My Trade: Corning has been in the trade for many years and has established itself as one of the core companies. The dips so far have been buying opportunities, in my opinion.

Takeaway: Corning may not have the biggest runway in terms of share price as compared to some other companies in the similar industry like AAOI. Yet, I do think it's establishment and solid fundamentals/history would make it a great pick for "safer" bets. @Captain's Treasure

OpenAI claims that thier latest GPT-6 Astra model is able to do a whole new range of activities, including solving long standing open mathematics problem with a 98% score as well as being spectacular in the electrical engineering field. But the question is: Is the new frontier model really that impressive or did marketing and awareness overstate its benefits? There could also be ethical concerns raised if Astra 6 starts the revolution of taking over EE jobs and designs

$Nebius(NBIS.US)

Context: Palantir partnered with Nebius to offer a sovereign AI stack to commercial customers. Nebius serves as Palantir’s preferred sovereign AI infrastructure partner, integrating compute and inference endpoints within Palantir's perimeter. The collaboration aims to accelerate new AI capacity deployments and allow eligible customers to run open models on Nebius infrastructure.

My Trade: Still very bullish on Nebius both in the short and long term. I know the swing trade volume on the stock is relatively larger than others, but I'm holding on as this is only the beginning.

Takeaway: On the catalyst front, sustained demand for AI infrastructure drove investor interest in cloud computing and data center names. @Captain's Treasure

$Hesai(HSAI.US)

Context: In the second quarter of 2026, Hesai Group reported CNY 860.83 million in sales and CNY 70.55 million in net income, alongside strong year-to-date growth in revenue and earnings per share versus the prior year. At the same time, the company issued third-quarter 2026 revenue guidance of RMB 1,100 million to RMB 1,150 million, signaling confidence in its near-term operating momentum and demand visibility.

My Trade: Bought a small size for future growth. Might have been in a bit early at the high side in terms of price but I do think the sector has potential. Even Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to Buy and gave a price target of $31.

Takeaway: The latest earnings beat and strong third quarter revenue guidance reinforce the near term demand catalyst, but they do not remove key risks around heavy capacity expansion and dependence on a relatively concentrated customer base. @Captain's Treasure

US-Iran strikes continue as oil surges back up. This once again reiterates the inflation concerns that the FED is really concerned about. Although Trump continues to call for lower interest rates, the political situation is causing cost of living to soar as well. At this rate, September's rate hike could very well be on the cards.

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)

Context: Bank of America analyst raised his price forecast on Microsoft to $600, saying that investors still underestimate how the company differentiates itself in artificial intelligence. He thinks that instead of competing with Claude, Gemini etc, Microsoft builds on those AI models by offering enterprises a secure, controlled platform for deploying them. He views Copilot as an orchestration layer that allows businesses to use Microsoft’s own AI applications or external models depending on the task. This can help customers avoid using the most expensive AI models for every application and better manage token costs. Microsoft Code 1 as an example, saying it can reduce costs by as much as 85% for certain tasks.

My Trade: I am betting on Microsoft in the long run. It survived the Global Financial Crisis, Covid, 2022 rate hikes, why wouldn't it survive a minor Saas-apocalypse setback?

Takeaway: Microsoft’s advantage lies in delivering the AI capabilities customers need across products such as Excel, PowerPoint and Dynamics 365 at substantially lower costs rather than simply offering the most advanced AI model. The ecosystem is also one that has been undisputedly at the top for decades. @Captain's Treasure

Anthropic's 35 billion with Nvidia-backed lambda sparked concerns over "circular financing" once again, with primary concerns over capital flowing within the few top companies, and the overpromise and expectations that they will definitely do well without financial concerns. This could get rather problematic if and when, one of the companies in the circular financing starts getting into trouble with major technical pullback or face financial security concerns.

$Super Micro Computer(SMCI.US)

Context: In an effort to stand out from the crowd and get AI hardware in the hands of data centers, Cisco Systems is expanding its Secure AI Factory with Nvidia by including a partnership with Super Micro Computer. The Cisco AI Factory with Nvidia is a full-stack infrastructure system that helps companies build, deploy, and secure AI workloads. It combines AI infrastructure with full-stack security and is built to deliver faster agentic and physical AI applications. Cisco says with its partnership with Supermicro, customers will be able to deploy rack-to-fabric liquid cooling that features Cisco’s liquid-cooled AI networking systems alongside Supermicro’s liquid-cooled servers. Cisco expects to offer the solution in October.

My Trade: Still holding out in hopes for my rather ambitious profit target. Though it looks unlikely at least for now.

Takeaway: SMCI still has rooms for growth, and growing partnerships with companies outside of their main sector could diversify their revenue sources as well. @Captain's Treasure

A quiet start to the trading week with most moving sideways after the "damage" had already been done last Friday following the indication of a defensive stance from the FED in the coming months. Precious metals pulled back sharply while Bitcoin failed to break past 82k. I don't expect much to happen this week, while there are still some companies like Broadcom that are going to report earnings.

2 extreme ends of the spectrum following both Nvidia and Marvell earning results. The former beat expectations easily, even giving a glimpse into the revenue of FY2028 which surpassed analysts expectations by a margin. The latter however, also beat earnings, albeit by a smaller fraction, buy most importantly faced short selling pressure as the stock was already kind of priced in heading into earnings. Slower future growth and higher p/e ratio were also concerns for Marvell investors as the stock is currently selling off about 7%.

$IREN(IREN.US)

Context: Iren recorded $137.2 million in revenue for the fourth fiscal quarter. Among this, AI cloud service revenue rose from $33.6 million in the previous quarter to $70.5 million, accounting for about 51.4% of total quarterly revenue and surpassing the Bitcoin mining business ($66.7 million) for the first time. While AI cloud revenue grew, asset impairments posed a significant drag on current-period earnings. On a GAAP basis, IREN's fourth-quarter net loss widened to $684 million from $247.8 million in the prior quarter, far exceeding the analyst estimate of $204.3 million. The loss was mainly driven by two non-cash items: an impairment on mining equipment assets of approximately $450.4 million and a decrease in the fair value of mining equipment held for sale of about $102.1 million, totaling $552.5 million and accounting for roughly 81% of the quarterly net loss.

My Trade: Patiently waiting for low $30s before considering to average down. The stock did drop to lowest $28 in the past month so there's the dip opportunity there.

Takeaway: Quite ironic that the decrease in fair value of mining equipment and impairment of mining equipment were the main drivers of the loss for the 4th quarter as Bitcoin is now back on the rise again. Despite this short term pressure and turnover, Iren has secured good deals with mega cap companies like Nvidia and Microsoft, so I still believe in the long term trajectory. @Captain's Treasure