升烟

$Reddit(RDDT.US)

Although it was a poor entry, I remain relatively confident.

I believe Reddit has a unique moat in the AI era. The internet is currently flooded with generative data, while Reddit's community mechanism preserves it as a repository for genuine human activity and information.

Selling data to model companies looks like a promising business model going forward.

Holding.

This stock is highly volatile, making entry and exit points difficult to time. Do you have any tips? I'd appreciate your advice 🙏

$Reddit(RDDT.US)

Reddit lived up to expectations, rising against the trend yesterday, although the entry price wasn't ideal.

The rationale for buying: Reddit's authentic community rules make it a sanctuary for genuine emotional exchange in the AI era and a valuable resource for AI training.

I bought at 155 and am holding firm.

Reflection: This asset is highly volatile, comparable to small-cap AI concept stocks; swing trading might be more effective.

$Keppel DC Reit(AJBU.SG)

Keppel Data Centre announced a rights issue today, with the size accounting for over 10% of total share capital. The stock price has dropped significantly amid panic.

I'm not particularly worried and haven't reduced my position; instead, I'm considering adding to it, though still weighing in on the price.

The main reason is that I believe this is an equity-dilutive offering, likely for acquiring the Tokyo data center. My only concern is whether this week's CPI data will add to the pressure on rate hike expectations.

Memory costs have surged too much, compressing margins and putting short-term pressure on Apple; expect to see $310.

I bailed from Apple at 318 today. Market style is shifting; large caps are under pressure in the short term, as are non-AI upstream plays. I've run out of patience.

$Reddit(RDDT.US)

Context: Seeing AI giants devour Reddit’s data as premium ” digital dog food“, combined with its shiny S&P 500 badge, I refused to believe joining the big league meant instant doom.

My trade: Opened a position in Reddit around $155. I got instantly trapped and felt the icy winds at the peak, but I‘m holding long-term. For a high-volatility software stock sitting on an AI data goldmine, this dip is just a temporary detour.

Takeaway: Next time, hold my horses and wait for an entry near the cozy $140 consolidation pad.

The probability of rate hikes is indeed rising, but Trump's public comments have mixed effects. The greater momentum lies within the market itself. It seems Warsh is being clever: 'Don't look at me for whether it goes up or down; I'm not taking the blame for this.'

The memory storage sector has already rebounded significantly, with gains comparable to other semiconductors. I'm more bullish on optical communications; LITE and MU were once priced similarly. $Lumentum(LITE.US)

$Keppel DC Reit(AJBU.SG)

Context

Keppel DC REIT took a massive hit today, continually testing new intraday lows.

Action

I already averaged down yesterday at $2.20, but with it dipping further to $2.19 today, I lost my nerve. I‘m officially putting my buying on hold.

Why

The broader Singapore market is pulling back from its highs, and almost all the heavyweight stocks are flashing daily MACD bearish divergences. Right now, it feels like catching a falling knife—waiting it out is the only sensible move.

High probability that despite stern rhetoric, no rate hike will actually occur, so the impact will be limited. The market has its own momentum. I'm more inclined to believe the policy side will be favorable, though liquidity remains a challenge.

Never expected such a big pullback. However, it feels like market liquidity is becoming an issue. Despite NVIDIA's surge, my AI stocks still lost money yesterday. Need to think more about this.

The market has already reacted over the past two days. NVDA's post-market surge on Wednesday was a classic 'elephant dance,' yet other AI hardware sectors failed to rally, sending a clear warning signal. I'm looking forward to tonight's session. I prefer to believe their strategy is driven by long-term considerations; the key theme for H2 should be the midterm elections.

$Singtel(Z74.SG)

Context：

Held Singtel for a few months now. I missed trimming during the last run-up, but the price has surged back up to test the $4.50 resistance again.

Action：

Decided to play it safe and locked in profits on half my position today.

Why：

The broader index is sitting near elevated highs, but Singtel’s trading volume remains pretty thin. This sideways consolidation near the upper resistance band feels more like momentum fatigue than a clean, convincing breakout.

Can't sit still, can't wait. NVDA is already up over 7% in pre-market. The elephant is dancing, an undeniable force.

I'm now ignoring concerns about Warsh's remarks.

Heavily buying AI hardware stocks that haven't surged yet, staying away from trillion-dollar Nvidia clients. Gods fighting among themselves.

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)

Context：

With Nvidia’s Q2 earnings taking center stage, investors are prepping their portfolios, and I‘m no exception. Sensing a deep pullback across upstream AI hardware, I knew I needed to derisk.

Action：

Early last week, I completely exited my upstream AI holdings—including optical comms, HBM memory, and TSM—finally dumping my last NVDA position on Friday at $215.

Why：

Partly to lock in profits before institutions do, but mostly because market sentiment feels wildly fragmented. My focus is pure capital preservation right now: I’d much rather miss a potential rally than lose my principal!

Earnings data won't be disappointing; disappointment is often driven by market fear. I believe the market has already priced this in with a pre-emptive drop, and volatility should ease significantly going forward. I expect moderate fluctuations rather than sharp swings. Upstream 'shovel' stocks may see gentle upside, so keep an eye on the optical module sector.