SpaceM

SpaceM

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BABA 退休员工·特斯拉车主 · 9年特斯拉连续追踪 · BTC QQQHolder

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Longbridge AI 发布会

Until AI Changed Evo erything. LONGBRID
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$SK Hynix - WI(SKHYV.US)

LongbridgeAI SpaceM 2026/07/10 海力士ADR180美金定价的话,海力士2 倍做多港股应该是多少价格 这是一个涉及杠杆ETF定价机制Long image
Memory Sector's Stunning Reversal: Dip-Buying Opportunity or More Downside Ahead?
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$SpaceX(SPCX.US)$Tesla(TSLA.US)

Join the Space M team

https://activity.lbmkt.ing/pages/activities/option/ZD1779967803?channel=HM00522&team_id=44810&invite-code=404628&locale=zh-CN&utm_source=longbridge_app_share

activity.lbmkt.ing
LONGBRIDGE 加入我的战队 女 共领 HKD 100,000 奖励 团队达标队长最高享 S HKD 3,500 奖励 团队张数 获得奖励 2,500张 Long image
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Opened the account and took a look, what the heck is this?🤦‍♂️

SpaceM 2026-06-0617:25:07 累计免佣:6,108.98 HKD 当日持仓盈亏金额 -144.70万 HKD !! 用长桥 LONGBRI
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$Tesla(TSLA.US)

AI infrastructure stocks are rising, and physical AI Tesla is holding steady. There's not much activity in the community either. It's particularly quiet.

- DELL: 234%

- HPE: 79%

- MU: 240%

- SNDK: 614%

- DRAM (ETF): 128%

- ARM: 223%

- QCOM: 47%

- AMD: 141%

- AVGO: 29%

- MRVL: 141%

- SOXX (ETF): 89%

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Every time I think about adding to my position in Chinese concept stocks, I always think of this investor's "casino and gambling table theory."

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$TENCENT(00700.HK) $Tesla(TSLA.US)$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)Let's talk about Tencent and CATL being listed by the U.S. as companies supporting xx.

Just talking about investments.

Around the time the pandemic was ending, I liquidated all my non-U.S. holdings, non-U.S. Here are some of my immature thoughts.

1. If the U.S. stock market is the world's biggest casino, each stock is a gambling table. Does each table have to follow the casino's rules? Even if they're unfair rules.

2. The popularity of each table—you might think it's because of the table itself, but actually, it's set up intentionally or unintentionally by the casino.

3. If you want to make money at a table, what can you do?

a. Get on good terms with the casino. Which table has the best relationship with the casino?

b. Change casinos? Besides the U.S. stock market, which casino has so many tables and gamblers?

4. If you're sitting at a table that doesn't have a good relationship with the casino, it's not that you can't make money—it's just that it might not be very comfortable. The AC might blow on you suddenly, or the waitstaff might give you dirty looks.

So, why bother sitting at that table at all?

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Just now, both brokerage firms held conference calls with analysts and announced the penalty amounts. Overall, the two types of regulatory actions this time—fines and stock clearance—are relatively mild:

Fines: The pre-processing fine amounts for both institutions have been publicly announced, which are overall lower than market expectations (Futu: 1.85 billion yuan, Tiger Brokers: 410 million yuan).

Stock Clearance: This control measure is centered on the actual place of residence (physical jurisdiction). Overseas trading and fund transfers for existing mainland clients are unaffected; on the domestic platform, only selling and fund withdrawals are allowed.

Details of Stock Clearance: It does not require mainland clients to liquidate their stocks and close accounts within two years. Instead, after two years, domestic web servers will be shut down, prohibiting trading within the mainland. Clients located overseas can still deposit funds and trade normally.

Scope of Application: The new regulations apply to all overseas institutions, covering all overseas financial entities providing securities services to mainland clients. It is not only targeting Futu and Tiger Brokers but also includes overseas banks offering securities-related services.

Longbridge, being a non-listed company, should face relatively lighter penalties, and it's estimated that it won't be required to disclose them. In short, after two years, it's the crypto treatment—use a VPN.

$Futu(FUTU.US) $UP Fintech(TIGR.US)

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$Tesla(TSLA.US)

Haven't talked about Tesla for a long time. Little Tesla is probably going to explode soon, right?

Last time I was in Hangzhou, I unlocked FSD through a module, which should be a version between V12-13. In actual testing, it was more human-like than Huawei or Li Auto. When I took friends to Longjing, they completely didn't realize I wasn't driving.

Buy when no one is interested, sell when it's all the rage.

T Tesla @Tesla·4小时 FSD Supervised is now available in: -United States -Canada -M
A812531 @ 11 60 2M 14:50 300m 杨公司 2 r 杨公堤 1.4lm 公 hiEir baseus 15:26 30分钟 01e 龙井
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Duan Yongping's top five holdings (by weight):

• AAPL (Apple): 36.72% (Largest holding, still the core position, but reduced quarter-over-quarter)

• BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway Class B): 21.91% (Second largest, a defensive core holding)

• NVDA (NVIDIA): 12.07% (Third largest, significantly increased allocation for AI computing power)

• Pinduoduo: 10.09% (Fourth largest, buying more as it falls)

• TSLA (Tesla): 6.34% (Newly entered as the fifth largest)

图3: 2026Q1 11 段永平持仓股数变动明细 序号 股票 26Q1持股数 25Q4持股数 变动数 变动比例 今年涨幅 1 苹果 28,945,607 32
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AI Full Industry Chain ETF Purchase Guide

(For personal use only, please do not buy recklessly)

01·AI全产业链7层概览 整个AI算力供给链可以拆为7层。最上层是能源与原材料(铀矿、稀土),最下层是AI综合主题层(覆盖应用/模型/机器人)。每一层都有自己
02·15只ETF横向对照 TICKER 层 全称 AUM 费率 顶部持仓 风险 角色 AIQ L1 Global X Al & Tech $7.9B 0.68
下表的100%是"AI 主题专属仓位"内部分配。假设你已有60%+资产在标普500/全球股/债券。每组都遵循"每层最多1只 ETF"原则。 保守型·怕回撤30%
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AI 时代: 从 AI 赚到 A10

AI 时代: 从 AI 赚到 A104 层 × 4 圈 × 1 条横切线,把 AI 产业链所有真正能赚钱的位置都标好坐标——附 70+ 上市标的 + 36+ 未上市标的盯盘清单。 源自个人投资 agents 所编写的文章,留住观察使用。 一、AI 投资的三个判断过去 18 个月,市面上几乎所有 AI 投资文章都在重复同一件事——告诉你英伟达多伟大、AGI 多近、模型多强。这些都对...

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AI产业链全景: 4层: ×4圈 × 1 条横切线 不是只看 青GPU,而是看资金从已定价资产向基础设施瓶颈扩散 第一圈 第二 二圈 第三圈 第四圈 已充分定价
6000 亿美元 Capex 的 ROI 缺口 应用收入还追不上基础设施投入,风险不在方向,风险在斜率 6,000亿美元 6000 一 5000 4,200亿美
行动框架:先拿核心仓,再等二三圈回调 这不是一张买入清单,是一套面对泡沫斜率的仓位纪律 一 阶段二 阶段三 现在→; 2026Q3 回调25%-35% 回调45
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$Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM.US)

The "cheap era" for memory chips is over. It's not temporary; it's structural.

It has gone from a "cyclical gamble" to a sector that can be held for the long term. Sell off the options, and keep holding the underlying shares.

SpaceM 2026-05-0422:13:50 DRAM260515 40 Call 持仓盈亏率 +332.00% 用长桥 LONGBRIDGE 终生免佣
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Robinhood 单日跌 13%,财报裂了

财报后市场用 crypto 收入下滑 -47% 这一个数字砸盘 HOOD,单日蒸发 13.24%。但这本身就是一个错误的估值框架——拿 crypto 季度数据给 Robinhood 估值,相当于拿周末客流给亚马逊估值。它真正的生命体征藏在另外三个指标里:MAU、AUC、Gold 订阅渗透率。一、市场到底在卖什么?先把现场说清楚。4 月 28 日盘后...

8.1048 106354 5 92511 水3000165 CRYPTO ETAIL 1047218 EXCHANGE /ESTOR ENTRY 240 05
HOOD.US 30日K线- 一 财报后单日蒸发 13.24% 90 85 十+ 80 财报前夜 $82.07 75· 70- 一 65 财报后 3/18 3/
HOOD vs COIN一商业模型本质相反 1.0 HOOD 订阅制收入 产品线宽度 COIN 0.8 一 10 8 6 0.6 2 AUC黏性 (退休/IRA
Q12026营收结构一 1一Crypto 仅占12.5% 真正的三个生命体征一全部双位数甚至三位数增长 Gold新客 +40% 附加率 股票/期权 等交易 Go
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FeaturedBehavioral Economics Opportunities Brought by Longbridge Skills (Real Cases)

Hedge funds spend hundreds of thousands of dollars on alternative data, and what they do essentially boils down to one thing: trading in the opposite direction when retail investor sentiment reaches extremes. The core barrier in this business isn't how complex the model is; it's the inability to access data sources. Reddit posts need to be scraped, StockTwits sentiment needs to be purchased, and Twitter's firehose requires payment. Retail investors want to do it themselves? No way. But Longbridge Skills has opened up the community API. What does this mean? It means a retail investor...

运行时间 (HKT,周一至周五): 时间 对应美股时段 用途 00:17 盘中 (1 (12:17PMET) 盘中情绪快照 04:17 收盘后(4:17PMET
BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS SIGNAL TSLA社区情绪x行为经济学机会 2026.04.02|Q1交付 358K vs vs预期373K|30
” AI Idea Lab“ — A place where everyone explores AI together
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SpaceX offering 30% of shares to retail investors: a benefit or a trade-off?

The whole internet is hyping: Musk is kind-hearted, SpaceX is reserving 30% of its IPO shares for retail investors. This narrative is completely wrong from start to finish. It's not the conclusion that's wrong, it's the framework. The essence of IPO allocation: who sets the price, who takes the shares, let's first clarify a basic logic. IPO allocation is essentially a distribution of pricing power. Institutions get shares, obtaining the arbitrage right to "buy at a low price and sell in the secondary market." Retail investors get shares, usually the leftovers after institutions have picked. In US IPO conventions, retail investors only get 5%-10%. Why? Because underwriters need institutions to "discover the price"...

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SpaceX散户配额 VS 美股IPO惯例 数据来源: Reuters,公开市场数据 SpaceX(2026) 30% Facebook(2012) 15% 美
特斯拉的散户持股比例远超市场平均 S&P 50 特斯拉(TSLA) 中排名前3% 标普500平均 内部人10% 散户15% 内部人/马斯克18% 散户38% 机
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SpaceX IPO reserves 30% for retail investors, Musk is genuinely helping ordinary people this time.

 

Everyone knows the unwritten rules of US stock IPOs: when a good company goes public, institutions get the meat, retail investors get the broth. Retail investors typically only get allocated 5%-10% of the shares. By the time you can buy in, the first wave of gains has already been scooped up by the institutions.

But this SpaceX IPO is different. Musk wants to reserve 30% of the IPO shares for retail investors. This isn't just for show. He's serious.

According to Reuters, SpaceX plans to IPO with a valuation of around $1.75 trillion, raising up to $750 billion—if successful, it would surpass Saudi Aramco's $294 billion record from 2019 to become the largest IPO in human history.

In this deal, Musk's team is pushing to allocate 20%-30% of the shares to individual investors. Based on $750 billion, 30% is $225 billion directly accessible to ordinary people.

When Facebook went public in 2012, it only gave retail investors about 15%, which was already called "unprecedentedly retail-friendly" by the media. SpaceX is doubling that.

The execution is also practical: Bank of America handles the high-net-worth client channel, while Morgan Stanley covers ordinary retail accounts through E*TRADE. These two pipelines ensure the shares actually reach individual investors' hands, not just get snatched up by institutions under a different name.

Why is Musk doing this? Honestly, any other CEO would never do this. Giving shares to institutions, locking in large orders, ensuring a smooth IPO day—that's the standard Wall Street playbook.

But Musk never plays by the rules.

Recall the Tesla story. During the 2020 surge, it wasn't Goldman Sachs or BlackRock that held off the short sellers; it was the millions of retail investors holding onto their few hundred or thousand shares, refusing to sell. They encouraged each other on Twitter, analyzed fundamentals on forums, and voted with their real money. Throughout Tesla's rise from $40 to $400, retail investors were the most steadfast allies.

Musk remembered that. Musk doesn't want "smart money"; he wants "conviction money." And history has shown that conviction money often holds on longer than smart money.

 

What does this mean for retail investors?

This might be the first time ordinary investors get a truly meaningful allocation in a super-unicorn IPO.

SpaceX's fundamentals also justify this trust. Starlink is already profitable, with 2025 revenue projected to exceed $120 billion, covering over 100 countries globally. Starship holds long-term NASA contracts, with commercial launch orders booked into the year after next. This isn't a company burning cash on stories; it's a space infrastructure giant with real cash flow, technological moats, and government backing.

Of course, a $1.75 trillion valuation isn't cheap, and the subscription threshold and lock-up period details haven't been announced yet. But the mere act of "reserving 30% for retail" has already changed the game.

For decades, wealth distribution in the IPO market has been tilted towards institutions. Retail investors are always the last to the table, and by the time you sit down, the good dishes are already gone.

This time, Musk has at least left a few hard dishes on the table.$Tesla(TSLA.US)